Core Viewpoint - Zhou Hei Ya has demonstrated strong performance in the competitive leisure marinated food industry, achieving significant revenue and profit growth while enhancing operational efficiency and profitability quality [1][3][10]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhou Hei Ya reported total revenue of 1.223 billion RMB, reaching the upper limit of its forecast range, with a net profit of 108 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 228% and a net profit margin of 8.8%, up by 6.2 percentage points [1][4]. - The company maintained strong cash flow, with net operating cash flow of 211 million RMB, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [1][6]. - Zhou Hei Ya's average single-store revenue reached 427,000 RMB, a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, outperforming competitors [3][4]. Competitive Positioning - Zhou Hei Ya has established a unique competitive moat through its supply chain, product offerings, and global expansion strategies, enabling sustainable growth [2][10]. - The company has successfully differentiated itself from competitors like Juewei and Huangshanghuang, which experienced revenue declines of 15.57% and 7.2%, respectively [3][4]. Operational Strategies - The company focuses on enhancing store operational quality and diversifying its sales channels, including partnerships with major retailers and international market expansion [8][9]. - Zhou Hei Ya has implemented a dual strategy of classic and innovative product offerings, catering to changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics [8][9]. Cost Management and Profitability - Zhou Hei Ya has optimized its cost structure, resulting in a decrease in financial expense ratio to 0.4% and sales expense ratio to 38.6% [6][10]. - The overall gross margin improved by 3.2 percentage points to 58.6%, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency [4][6]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company's long-term growth strategy emphasizes quality production, innovation, and user-centric approaches, positioning it to lead industry transformation [10][11]. - Zhou Hei Ya's commitment to long-termism and sustainable growth is expected to attract value investors, with a market value increase of over 40% this year [11].

Core Insights - The trend in the snack food industry, particularly in the marinated food segment, is shifting towards more diverse offerings that combine traditional snacks with full meal options, catering to changing consumer preferences for dining experiences [7][11] Company Strategies - Companies like Jiujia and Zhou Hei Ya are innovating by integrating hot pot elements into their offerings, such as Jiujia's fresh boiling of marinated items and Zhou Hei Ya's introduction of rice and noodle dishes [1][3] - Absolute Taste has launched a "plus store" concept, featuring a trendy atmosphere with a menu that includes fried snacks and craft beer, appealing to younger consumers looking for a social dining experience [5] - Zhou Hei Ya has expanded its product line to include marinated sauce packages for home cooking, while Absolute Taste has collaborated with tea brands to offer meal sets, indicating a strategy to diversify revenue streams [9] Market Trends - The marinated food market experienced a modest growth of only 3.7% last year, prompting brands to adapt by offering more substantial meal options rather than just snacks [7] - The evolving consumer behavior shows a preference for dining in and enjoying a variety of food options, leading brands to create environments conducive to longer stays and social interactions [11] Challenges and Risks - The shift towards freshly prepared items raises concerns about hygiene and food safety, particularly for brands like Zhou Hei Ya that are moving away from vacuum packaging [7] - The expansion into new markets, such as the U.S. for brands like Ziyuan Baiwei Chicken, presents challenges in consumer acceptance of traditional flavors among non-Chinese customers [9]

Core Viewpoint - The major players in the marinated food industry, such as Juewei Foods and Zhou Hei Ya, are undergoing transformations to adapt to a slowing market and increasing competition, shifting towards new dining experiences and product offerings [5][10][16]. Group 1: Industry Changes - Juewei Foods has launched "Juewei Plus," a new style of casual dining that offers snacks and beverages, moving away from traditional marinated food stalls [4][10]. - Zhou Hei Ya has introduced a sub-brand "3 Jin Ban · Small Pot Fresh Marinated," focusing on fresh marinated dishes combined with staple foods, enhancing the dining experience [11][13]. - The marinated food market is projected to reach a scale of 157.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.7%, down from 4.8% in 2023, indicating a slowdown in industry growth [17][20]. Group 2: New Business Models - Major brands are expanding their product offerings to include main meals, afternoon tea, and late-night snacks, moving from a single consumption scenario to a more diverse range [21][22]. - Juewei Foods' "Juewei Plus" focuses on social dining and late-night snacks, integrating various products like fried marinated items and beverages to extend consumption hours [25]. - Zhou Hei Ya's "3 Jin Ban" emphasizes an open kitchen experience, allowing customers to see the cooking process, and offers a variety of marinated products alongside staple foods [13][22]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Companies are diversifying their product lines by selling seasonings and beverages, with Zhou Hei Ya entering the compound seasoning market and Juewei Foods testing milk tea offerings [26]. - Some brands are exploring international markets, with Zhou Hei Ya entering Malaysia and Ziyan Baiwei Chicken expanding into Australia and the U.S., indicating a strategy to seek growth outside domestic markets [27]. - The transformations in the marinated food sector reflect a necessary adaptation to market maturity, where companies must innovate to survive in a competitive landscape [28].

Core Viewpoint - High-quality development has become the core proposition for companies to navigate through cycles, with Zhou Hei Ya serving as a model for the industry by transitioning from scale expansion to quality and efficiency enhancement [2] Financial Performance - Zhou Hei Ya expects to achieve a profit of approximately 90 million to 113 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.2% to 94.8% [2] - The anticipated revenue is between 1.2 billion to 1.24 billion yuan, excluding uncompleted statistics from joint ventures [2] Growth Drivers - The core drivers of performance growth include improved average sales efficiency per store and a decrease in raw material costs, which have enhanced gross margins [4] - Lean management has effectively optimized the sales expense ratio, contributing to significant improvements in overall profitability [4] Strategic Transformation - Zhou Hei Ya is focusing on "store quality reform" and optimizing store structure to enhance operational quality, which has laid a solid foundation for profit growth [5] - The company has shifted from "extensive expansion" to refined operations, closing inefficient stores and focusing on high-traffic areas [6] Sales and Marketing Strategy - Zhou Hei Ya has strengthened its "people-goods-scene" collaboration by upgrading service experiences and implementing refined membership management [7] - The company is expanding its multi-channel layout, forming a three-dimensional network of "offline stores + emerging channels + overseas markets" [7] International Expansion - Zhou Hei Ya is accelerating its overseas market penetration, with plans to build a global supply chain starting from Southeast Asia [9] - The company aims to achieve brand value globalization through localized innovation and supply chain integration [9][10] Cost Optimization - Zhou Hei Ya has implemented standardized models in production, procurement, and logistics, enhancing its pricing power on raw materials and distribution costs [11] - The company employs a dual strategy of "source control + strategic reserves" to improve gross margins, with a projected gross margin of 55.5% for 2025 [11] Quality Control - Zhou Hei Ya adheres to strict quality standards across the entire supply chain, ensuring product consistency and safety [12] - The company’s rigorous quality control has garnered recognition in the capital market, reinforcing its position as a leading brand in the industry [13]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit expectations for Zhou Hei Ya (01458) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of HKD 3.0, indicating a potential upside of approximately 20.5% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - The company has released a profit forecast for 1H25, expecting a year-on-year profit growth of 55.2% to 94.8%, with revenue projected between RMB 1.2 billion to 1.24 billion and profit (excluding uncompleted joint venture profits and related tax impacts) estimated at RMB 90 million to 113 million [2] - The earnings forecast slightly exceeds market expectations, primarily due to better-than-expected cost control, including effective management of store and emerging channel expenses [2] Group 2: Revenue Insights - The average same-store sales are expected to show a single-digit year-on-year increase in 1H25, as the company focuses on improving store quality through optimization of product placement and customer engagement [3] - The emerging channel team is expected to be fully established by 2024, with the company's marinated products entering Sam's Club and other retail channels by March 2025, although the revenue contribution from these channels remains limited for the first half of 2025 [3] Group 3: Profitability Analysis - The company is expected to see an improvement in gross margin year-on-year, supported by low costs of duck by-products and effective management of sales expenses [4] - The number of loss-making stores below the breakeven line is anticipated to continue decreasing in 1H25, with a projected net profit margin of approximately 8.3% based on the midpoint of the profit forecast [4]