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两年关店上万家,加盟模式大败退,这个行业的苦日子刚刚开始?
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-18 02:30
Core Viewpoint - The prepared food industry, particularly the marinated products sector, is facing significant structural challenges, leading to declining revenues and profits for several listed companies since 2024. The traditional growth model has failed, and mere promotional efforts or new product launches are insufficient to address these issues [1]. Structural Challenges - The four listed companies in the marinated products sector—Juewei, Zhou Hei Ya, Huang Shang Huang, and Ziyan Food—have all experienced a collective decline in performance in the first half of the year. Their combined revenue was 6.507 billion, down 11.25% from 7.332 billion in the same period last year, while net profit fell by 20.78% to 465 million from 587 million [2]. - Juewei, the largest player, saw the most significant decline, with revenue dropping 15.57% to 2.82 billion and net profit plummeting 40.71% to 175 million. Ziyan Food's net profit nearly halved to 105 million, with revenue shrinking to 1.146 billion [3]. Performance Data | Rank | Company Name | Revenue (Billion) | Change (%) | Net Profit (Billion) | Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | Juewei | 2.82 | -15.57% | 0.175 | -40.71% | | 2 | Ziyan Food | 1.473 | -11.46% | 0.105 | -47.20% | | 3 | Zhou Hei Ya | 1.223 | -2.93% | 0.108 | 228.00% | | 4 | Huang Shang Huang | 0.984 | -7.19% | 0.077 | 26.90% | - Zhou Hei Ya and Huang Shang Huang performed relatively better, with Zhou Hei Ya's net profit increasing by 228% to 108 million, although it remains at half the level of 230 million from mid-2021 [3]. Historical Context - Juewei's peak profit was in 2021 at 981 million, but profits fell to 233 million and 344 million in 2022 and 2023, respectively, despite revenue reaching a high of 7.261 billion in 2023. In 2024, Juewei's revenue dropped 13.84% to 6.257 billion, with net profit declining over 30% [4]. - The overall trend shows that from 2021 to 2024, these companies have experienced a significant decline in performance after reaching their highs around 2021 [6]. Market Dynamics - The decline in performance is attributed to intensified competition, consumer perception of value, and the inability to meet consumer expectations regarding price and quality. Consumers have expressed dissatisfaction with high prices, leading to reduced purchasing behavior [8]. - Companies have resorted to frequent discounts and promotions, which have not effectively changed consumer perceptions of high prices and have negatively impacted net profits [8]. Old Growth Model Failure - The previous growth model, which relied heavily on store expansion, is no longer effective. Juewei's franchise model was once a significant growth driver, but recent trends indicate that the closure of stores is directly linked to declining revenues [9]. - Juewei's revenue from franchise stores accounted for 73.5% of total revenue in 2024, down from 54.17 billion in 2023, indicating a 15% decline [9]. Store Closure Trends - The total number of operating stores for the four listed companies has decreased by over 8,700 since 2023, with significant closures also occurring among regional brands [13]. - Juewei's store count dropped from 15,950 at the end of 2023 to 10,725 by September 2024, while Zhou Hei Ya's stores decreased from 3,816 to 2,864 [10][12]. Future Outlook - The marinated products sector is at a crossroads, needing to identify new growth models or second growth curves. Current efforts, such as Juewei's new store format and Zhou Hei Ya's brand upgrades, have yet to show significant results [14]. - The industry requires a deep restructuring around channels, products, and organization to adapt to the changing market dynamics and consumer preferences [14].
周黑鸭(01458):2025年中期业绩点评:门店店效优化,新渠道多点破局
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-07 14:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Viewpoints - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.223 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 108 million, a year-on-year increase of 228.0% [2][4] - As of the end of June 2025, the total number of stores reached 2,864, including 1,573 self-operated stores and 1,291 franchised stores, covering 292 cities across 28 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China [2][4] - The average store efficiency for self-operated stores improved by 11.6% year-on-year, while the average revenue contribution per franchised store increased by 13.8% [8] - The company implemented four core strategies to enhance store efficiency: empowering staff, deepening private domain marketing, comprehensive traffic attraction, and extending operating hours [8] - The company reduced the number of stores by 167 in the first half of 2025, with self-operated stores decreasing by 9.3% and franchised stores decreasing by 25.0% year-on-year [8] - The gross profit margin increased by approximately 3.2 percentage points to 58.6% year-on-year, driven by improved store operation quality and supply chain efficiency [8] - Revenue from channels other than self-operated, franchised, and online sales grew by 27.5% year-on-year, indicating new growth points in retail and overseas channels [8] - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 200 million, 230 million, and 266 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to current price-to-earnings ratios of 22, 19, and 17 [8]
周黑鸭(1458.HK):盈利显著修复 平均店效改善
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 05:24
Group 1 - The company has significantly improved its profitability, with a notable increase in net profit by 228.0% year-on-year in 1H25, reaching 1.08 billion yuan, despite a slight decline in revenue by 2.9% to 1.223 billion yuan [1][2] - The company has reduced its store count by 425 to a total of 2,864 stores, representing a 17.1% year-on-year decrease, focusing on closing inefficient stores to enhance overall operational quality [1] - Average store productivity has improved by 15.5% year-on-year in 1H25, indicating a shift from scale expansion to quality and structure improvement [1] Group 2 - The gross margin has increased to 58.6%, up by 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin has risen to 8.8%, reflecting a 6.2 percentage point increase [2] - The company benefits from lower raw material prices and improved supply chain efficiency, contributing to profit growth [2] - Future plans include expanding into overseas markets and developing compound seasoning products to cultivate new growth [2]
周黑鸭2025年上半年:业绩引领同行,股东净利润大增2.3倍
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 05:37
Core Viewpoint - Zhou Hei Ya has demonstrated strong performance in the competitive leisure marinated food industry, achieving significant revenue and profit growth while enhancing operational efficiency and profitability quality [1][3][10]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhou Hei Ya reported total revenue of 1.223 billion RMB, reaching the upper limit of its forecast range, with a net profit of 108 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 228% and a net profit margin of 8.8%, up by 6.2 percentage points [1][4]. - The company maintained strong cash flow, with net operating cash flow of 211 million RMB, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [1][6]. - Zhou Hei Ya's average single-store revenue reached 427,000 RMB, a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, outperforming competitors [3][4]. Competitive Positioning - Zhou Hei Ya has established a unique competitive moat through its supply chain, product offerings, and global expansion strategies, enabling sustainable growth [2][10]. - The company has successfully differentiated itself from competitors like Juewei and Huangshanghuang, which experienced revenue declines of 15.57% and 7.2%, respectively [3][4]. Operational Strategies - The company focuses on enhancing store operational quality and diversifying its sales channels, including partnerships with major retailers and international market expansion [8][9]. - Zhou Hei Ya has implemented a dual strategy of classic and innovative product offerings, catering to changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics [8][9]. Cost Management and Profitability - Zhou Hei Ya has optimized its cost structure, resulting in a decrease in financial expense ratio to 0.4% and sales expense ratio to 38.6% [6][10]. - The overall gross margin improved by 3.2 percentage points to 58.6%, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency [4][6]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company's long-term growth strategy emphasizes quality production, innovation, and user-centric approaches, positioning it to lead industry transformation [10][11]. - Zhou Hei Ya's commitment to long-termism and sustainable growth is expected to attract value investors, with a market value increase of over 40% this year [11].
周黑鸭:2025年上半年母公司拥有人应占溢利增长228%,外卖终端销售额约3.8亿元
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-28 14:10
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.223 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [1] - Gross profit reached 717 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7% [1] - The pre-tax profit was 146 million RMB, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 157.4% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 108 million RMB, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 228.0% [1] Operational Strategies - The company has made positive progress in store operation efficiency, channel expansion, brand building, and supply chain optimization, indicating initial success in its strategic transformation [1] - The focus on enhancing store operation quality includes improving service standards and customer experience [2] - The "Four Seasons Battle Song" initiative aims to empower frontline staff through standardized execution, supervision, and skill training, enhancing service quality and customer satisfaction [2] Marketing and Sales Initiatives - The company has deepened its collaboration with delivery services, achieving approximately 380 million RMB in sales from takeout channels in the first half of the year [2] - The use of local lifestyle platforms for marketing has resulted in over 80 million RMB in sales from public domain to store conversions [2] - The company has expanded its operating hours to include late-night services, effectively increasing sales opportunities [2] Cost Management - The company has implemented strict controls on key metrics such as rent-to-sales ratio and labor efficiency, utilizing precise site selection models and flexible leasing strategies to reduce costs and enhance efficiency [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the total number of stores operated by the company reached 2,864 [2]
周黑鸭2025年上半年实现净利润1.08亿元,同比增长228.0%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-28 12:39
Core Viewpoint - On August 28, the company Zhou Hei Ya released its performance report for the first half of 2025, showing significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by operational efficiency and diversified sales channels [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue reached 1.223 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase [1] - Net profit for the period was 108 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 228.0% [1] Operational Strategies - The company enhanced store operational efficiency and strengthened single-store profitability [1] - Active expansion into diversified sales channels contributed to the notable improvement in profitability [1]
切入冻干食品优质赛道 煌上煌开拓第二增长曲线
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-20 12:45
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jiangxi Huangshanghuang Group is acquiring a 51% stake in Fujian Lixing Food Co., Ltd. for 495 million yuan, aiming to enhance its market position in the freeze-dried food sector [1][2] - Lixing Food, established in 2006, is a leading manufacturer in freeze-dried foods with significant production capacity, including 37 freeze-drying production lines and an annual output of nearly 6,000 tons of various freeze-dried products [1][2] - The freeze-drying technology, which originated in the aerospace field, preserves over 95% of the nutritional content of food, making it increasingly popular in the consumer market as health awareness rises [2][3] Group 2 - The acquisition allows Huangshanghuang to leverage Lixing Food's sales channels and market resources, facilitating entry into emerging markets and diversifying its product offerings [2] - The freeze-dried food sector has high technical barriers, and Lixing Food's products are certified for international markets, catering to clients like Starbucks and Nestlé [2] - Huangshanghuang's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 984 million yuan, a decrease of 7.19% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 26.90% to 76.92 million yuan [3] - Lixing Food is expected to contribute a cumulative net profit of at least 264 million yuan over three years, potentially becoming a significant growth driver for Huangshanghuang [3] - The global freeze-dried food market is projected to reach 83 billion yuan in 2024 and exceed 107.4 billion yuan by 2030, with China's market leading at a compound annual growth rate of 13.5% [3]
煌上煌:公司通过收购立兴食品可丰富公司产品矩阵,实现多元化发展战略
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-18 13:27
Core Viewpoint - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness in the industry through the acquisition of a 51% stake in Lixing Food, focusing on diversification and market expansion [2]. Group 1: Strategic Considerations - The acquisition will enrich the company's product matrix and support its diversification strategy [2]. - The company plans to leverage Lixing Food's sales channels and market resources to enter emerging markets such as aerospace, outdoor adventure, and healthcare [2]. - The use of freeze-drying technology will be applied to the preservation of seasoned products, expanding product forms to meet consumer demand for convenient and healthy food options [2].
煌上煌拟溢价收购立兴食品 布局冻干食品赛道
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-12 08:45
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Huangshanghuang plans to acquire 51% of Lixing Food for 494.7 million yuan, which will make Lixing a subsidiary and included in consolidated financial statements [1] - The acquisition comes with a significant premium, with Lixing Food's assessed value at 978 million yuan, representing a 217.89% increase over its book value of 307.65 million yuan [1] - The assessed value of Lixing Food's net assets is 977 million yuan, which is 252.58% higher than the consolidated net assets of 277.38 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Lixing Food shows strong growth potential, with a revenue of 251 million yuan and a net profit of 41.88 million yuan in the first half of 2025, nearing the full-year net profit of 42.22 million yuan for 2024 [2] - The original shareholders of Lixing Food have committed to a performance guarantee, ensuring net profits of at least 75 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 100 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, totaling 264 million yuan [2] Group 3 - The acquisition is expected to create business synergies, allowing Huangshanghuang to leverage Lixing's freeze-drying technology to develop new products [3] - Lixing Food operates 37 freeze-drying production lines with an annual capacity of nearly 6,000 tons of various freeze-dried products, positioning it among the top in the market [3] - The partnership will enable Huangshanghuang to access new markets and diversify its consumer base, particularly in the growing freeze-dried food sector, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.35% from 2024 to 2030 [3] Group 4 - The acquisition is viewed as a strategic move to enter the health-conscious and convenient food market, aligning with the evolving consumer preferences of the "Z generation" [4]
煌上煌半年闭店762家营收下滑7.19%
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-08 13:43
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Huang Shang Huang, one of the "three giants" in the marinated food industry, reported a significant reduction in the number of stores, closing 762 locations, which represents a closure rate exceeding 20% [1][2][4] - In the first half of the year, the company achieved a revenue of 984 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.19% [1][4] - Despite the revenue decline, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 26.9% to 76.92 million yuan [1][4]