Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown a significant increase in revenue and net profit, with a 24.88% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, reaching 12.30 billion yuan, and a 35.80% increase in net profit, amounting to 1.16 billion yuan [7] - The overseas revenue has reached 21.31 billion yuan, growing by 20.80% year-on-year, accounting for 57.36% of total revenue, indicating a strong global presence [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing its core product competitiveness and expanding into emerging sectors such as humanoid robotics, which opens up new growth opportunities [7] - The company plans to issue convertible bonds in Hong Kong to raise up to 6 billion yuan, aimed at strengthening R&D and overseas market development [7] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 4.91 billion yuan, 6.30 billion yuan, and 7.56 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.1, 11.0, and 9.2 [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 47,075 million yuan, with a growth rate of 13.1% [6] - The net profit for 2023 is projected at 3,506 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 52.0% [6] - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 28.9% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 10.8% [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 6.2% in 2023 to 10.9% by 2027 [6][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company maintains its leading position in the engineering machinery sector, particularly in the crawler crane market [7] - The strategy includes diversifying into new industries and enhancing global competitiveness through localized supply chains in Europe and other regions [7] - The company is actively pursuing innovation in electric machinery and humanoid robotics, indicating a commitment to technological advancement [7]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 37.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8.06% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.920 billion yuan, up 24.89% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to issue convertible bonds of up to 6 billion yuan in the Hong Kong market, with funds allocated for R&D innovation and overseas expansion to enhance global competitiveness [1] - The overseas revenue reached 21.313 billion yuan, accounting for 57.36% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 20.80% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters: 37.156 billion yuan, up 8.06% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 3.920 billion yuan, up 24.89% year-on-year [1] - Net cash flow from operating activities: 2.866 billion yuan, up 137.31% year-on-year, with a cash collection rate of 102.59% [1] Market and Product Development - The domestic market recovery has extended from excavators to cranes and concrete machinery, with the company maintaining the top market share in crawler cranes [2] - The concrete machinery sector benefits from electrification policies, with a projected demand of approximately 80,000 mixing trucks over the next three years and an expected penetration rate of electric mixing trucks reaching 90% [2] - Emerging sectors such as earthmoving machinery, mining machinery, agricultural machinery, and aerial work machinery are experiencing robust growth [2] Technological Advancements - The company is focusing on the development of humanoid robots, leveraging its technological expertise in industrial internet, AI, IoT, and robotics, with plans to launch humanoid robot products starting in 2024 [2] - The company has established a high-level supercomputing center with a GPU computing power of 59P, supporting extensive server and cloud computing capabilities [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zhonglian Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the company") demonstrated robust growth in key performance indicators in its Q3 2025 report, reflecting a high-quality and stable development trend. The company plans to issue up to 6 billion HKD in convertible bonds in the Hong Kong market to support R&D innovation and overseas expansion, indicating confidence in future performance and stock price growth with a high conversion premium rate of 35% [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved operating revenue of 37.156 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 8.06% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.920 billion CNY, up 24.89% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.644 billion CNY, growing by 20.69% - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.866 billion CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 137.31% [1]. Overseas Market Growth - The company has effectively implemented its "end-to-end, digitalization, localization" strategy, with overseas revenue reaching 21.313 billion CNY, accounting for 57.36% of total revenue, a year-on-year increase of 20.80% - The growth rate in the third quarter further accelerated to 34.01% - The company is expanding its manufacturing bases in Europe, with local supply chains taking shape [2]. Emerging Industries Development - Emerging sectors such as earthmoving machinery, mining machinery, agricultural machinery, and aerial work machinery are experiencing robust growth - The company leads the domestic market in large-scale mining excavators and is enhancing its product matrix with high-end offerings - The company has developed a comprehensive solution for smart mining, integrating various technologies [3]. Technological Infrastructure - The company possesses a top-tier supercomputing center with a GPU computing power of 59P, supporting extensive server and cloud capabilities - This infrastructure positions the company to benefit from advancements in humanoid robotics, fostering a "third growth curve" [4]. Convertible Bond Issuance - The company plans to issue up to 6 billion HKD in convertible bonds in the Hong Kong market, which will support its business and enhance its capital strategy - The high conversion premium rate of 35% reflects the company's confidence in future growth, and the bond issuance is expected to improve liquidity and international investor representation [5].

长沙晚报掌上长沙10月30日讯（全媒体记者 周辉霞 通讯员 刘成坤）今晚，中联重科发布2025年三季报。报告期 内，公司营业收入、净利润、经营性现金流等核心指标实现全面增长，展现出高质量稳健发展态势。公司同步公 告拟在港股市场发行不超过60亿元可转债，资金将全部投入研发创新与海外体系建设，提升全球竞争力，较高的 转股溢价率（35%）也展示了公司对未来业绩和股价增长的信心。 前三季度，公司实现营业收入371.56亿元，同比增长8.06%。特别是第三季度，业绩拐点效应明显，单季实现营业 收入123.01亿元，同比增长24.88%，并迎来境内外共振向上局面。 海外持续增长内销拐点向上 报告期内，中联重科持续深化"端对端、数字化、本土化"战略布局，海外市场提升成效显著。前三季度境外收入 达213.13亿元，占总营收的57.36%，同比提升6.05个百分点，同比增长20.80%，第三季度增速进一步提升至 34.01%。公司海外制造基地实现全品类产品覆盖，并持续加密拓展欧洲、非洲、拉美、东南亚等市场网点，德国 二期、匈牙利工厂建设加速，欧洲本地化供应链体系初步成型。 国内市场方面，复苏态势已从挖掘机传导至起重机、混凝土机 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 54.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year growth, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.36 billion yuan, up 16.6% year-on-year [1] - The company’s cash flow from operations increased significantly by 96.6% to 2.9 billion yuan, indicating improved operational quality [1] - The company is focusing on international markets, with international revenue growing by 16.64%, and the aftermarket revenue increasing by 33.23% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 28 billion yuan, a 5.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.34 billion yuan, up 9.3% year-on-year [1] - The company’s non-GAAP net profit for Q2 was 2.46 billion yuan, reflecting a 35% year-on-year growth [1] - The gross margin improved by 1.2 percentage points to 18.7% [1] Market and Product Development - The company’s revenue structure is optimizing, with significant growth in high-end products (41.44% year-on-year) and new energy products (9.43% year-on-year) [1] - The domestic sales to high-quality customers increased by 6%, while major project tracking improved by 34% [1] - The company has strengthened partnerships with major overseas clients, including BHP, Rio Tinto, and Vale [1] Business Segments - The earthmoving machinery segment saw a 20% increase in export revenue and a 29% growth in aftermarket revenue [2] - The sales of new energy loaders surged by 139.4%, solidifying the company’s position as a global leader [2] - The company’s revenue from bulldozers grew by 243%, indicating strong performance in the earthmoving machinery sector [2] Strategic Initiatives - The mining machinery division is expanding its overseas projects, with terminal revenue from open-pit mining equipment increasing by 30% year-on-year [3] - The acquisition of a 51% stake in a heavy vehicle company aims to enhance the competitiveness of the mining machinery product line [3] - The company hosted a global summit on zero-carbon smart mining technology, attracting participants from over 30 countries [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 7.8 billion yuan, 9.5 billion yuan, and 12 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 31%, 22%, and 26% [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the domestic replacement cycle in the engineering machinery sector and further expansion in overseas markets [3]

证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 31 年 月 日 中联重科（000157.SZ） Q2 扣非归母净利润增长接近 50%，表现亮眼 公司发布 2025 年半年度报告。今年上半年公司实现营业收入 248.55 亿 元，同比增长 1.30%；归属于母公司净利润 27.65 亿元，同比增长 20.84%。 今年单 2 季度，公司扣非后归母净利润 10.51 亿元，同比增长接近 50%。 混凝土、起重机市场地位稳固。混凝土机械、工程起重机械、建筑起重机 械三大传统优势产品线，公司坚守稳健发展战略，统筹优化全局资源配置， 全面推进海外转型。三大产品线国内市场地位稳固，新能源搅拌车、履带 吊产品实现翻番增长。海外业务规模与市场地位持续提升，三大产品线整 体出口销售规模同比增幅超 13%。 土方机械全场景产品矩阵筑优势，实现海内外市场双增长。土方机械通过 全面完善微小挖型谱、全方位提升中大挖性能、引领超大吨位绿色矿山技 术，已构建覆盖全场景的产品矩阵，形成行业领先的竞争力。国内市场方 面，销售模式切换为经销模式，产品结构持续优化，中大挖市占率位居行 业前列。海外市场方面，深耕全球化布局 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The excavator market in July exceeded expectations for both domestic and international sales, with a strong upward cycle observed in both markets [1] - The domestic excavator market is experiencing structural optimization, with an increased demand for medium and large excavators, leading to enhanced profit elasticity [1][2] - The overall engineering machinery sector is characterized by a robust profit pool, presenting high investment value [2] Key Insights - **Domestic Market Dynamics**: - The demand for small excavators is supported by central government funding for water conservancy projects and high-standard farmland construction, with a significant increase in fixed asset investment in the water management sector [1][7] - Medium and large excavators are affected by the slow issuance of local government special bonds, leading to a cautious outlook for the next 3-5 years [1][8] - The relationship between excavator sales and stock prices is significant, with stock prices influenced by sales trends despite the limited impact of sales on overall profits [3] - **Sales and Inventory Trends**: - There is a notable divergence between sales and operating hours, primarily due to the increased share of small excavators and low operating rates for medium and large excavators [4] - Dealer inventory levels have been low, around 1.5 to 2 months, leading to a replenishment phenomenon in July, which supported sales [6] - **Future Demand Projections**: - The demand for small excavators is expected to remain strong as long as government policies are clear and funding is in place [7] - The medium and large excavator market may rely heavily on policy guidance and support in the coming years [8] Export Performance - Excavator exports are projected to grow by 10%-15% for the year, with strong performance noted in Africa, Indonesia, and the Middle East [1][10] - The total export value for excavators is expected to reach approximately 7-8 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 60% [11] - The demand structure in key regions has improved, with medium and large excavators making up a significant portion of exports [11] Non-Excavator Segment - The non-excavator segment has shown good profit release, with improvements in export structure and a narrowing decline in certain product categories [9] - The overall trend for cranes and other lifting equipment remains positive, with a significant market share held by Chinese brands [13] Investment Recommendations - The focus for stock selection this year is on leading companies such as SANY and XCMG, which are expected to have greater profit elasticity in an upward cycle [15] - Other recommended companies include Liugong, Zoomlion, and Shantui, which are seen as having potential for growth but may not match the profit realization of the leading firms [15]

Summary of Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing fluctuations in domestic market performance, particularly in excavator sales, which saw a decline in growth rate since April 2025. The expected growth rate for June is projected to be within ±5% [1][2] - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the domestic excavator market remains positive, with strong production schedules for medium and large excavators [1][2] Company Performance Expectations - Annual net profit forecasts for key companies in the engineering machinery sector are optimistic: - SANY Heavy Industry: ¥8.5 billion - XCMG: ¥7.5 billion - Zoomlion: ¥4.8-5 billion - LiuGong: ¥1.8-1.9 billion - The second quarter is expected to show significant year-on-year growth for these companies [1][3] Market Dynamics - The domestic market has a high proportion of small excavators (70-80%), which have lower profitability. However, the export market has shown a year-on-year growth of 8-9% from January to May 2025, supporting overall performance [1][5] - Non-excavator products, such as truck cranes, have shown a notable recovery, alleviating some domestic performance pressures [1][5] Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The engineering machinery sector has seen a valuation correction, with P/E ratios for major companies at relatively low levels: - SANY: 17x - XCMG: 12x - Zoomlion: 12-13x - LiuGong: 10-13x - This presents a favorable investment opportunity [1][6] Future Market Outlook - The domestic market is not expected to experience significant declines in the coming months, with strong production data from Hengli Hydraulic and positive feedback from dealers regarding downstream demand [1][7] - If local government funding issues are resolved, the market is anticipated to gradually recover and grow in the second half of the year [1][8] Funding Sources and Government Impact - Funding for the engineering machinery industry primarily comes from two sources: small investors and central government allocations for water conservancy projects, which provide stable cash flow and support excavator demand [1][9] - The issuance of ¥1 trillion in government bonds, with 70-80% directed towards water conservancy projects, is expected to stabilize cash flow and support demand for excavators [1][10] Debt Replacement Effects - Local government debt replacement has led to a temporary decline in operating rates, but new projects are expected to increase in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, boosting excavator sales [1][11][12] Long-term Market Trends - The domestic excavator market is projected to experience an upward trend over the next few years, driven by replacement demand and the export of used equipment [1][13] - Non-excavator equipment markets are also showing signs of recovery, with significant improvements in profitability for companies like SANY [1][14] Export Market Performance - The export market for engineering machinery has remained stable, with excavator exports growing by 8% from January to May 2025, despite some fluctuations due to tariff adjustments [1][15] - Chinese brands have a significant presence in emerging markets, with potential for substantial growth in regions like Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America [1][19][20] Recommendations for Investment - Key companies recommended for investment include: - SANY Heavy Industry: Strong performance and potential for profit release - XCMG: Notable scale advantages, though facing short-term caution due to stock unlock issues - Zoomlion: Focus on tower crane and aerial work platform recovery - LiuGong: Attractive valuation with significant upside potential - Hengli Hydraulic: Strong short-term growth potential and global expansion opportunities [1][25][26]

Group 1 - The core focus of the Malaysian Crane Association is on products such as truck cranes, crawler cranes, and aerial work platforms, highlighting the rapid development and high cost-performance of Chinese engineering machinery brands [1] - The fourth Changsha International Construction Machinery Exhibition attracted over 760 international trade merchants from more than 50 countries, showcasing a strong global interest in Chinese engineering machinery [1] - Large procurement delegations from countries like Vietnam, India, and Russia are seeking various machinery, including concrete mixers, excavators, tower cranes, and mining equipment, indicating a robust demand for Chinese products [1] Group 2 - The exhibition featured six global buyer negotiation meetings aimed at building international trade bridges, with specialized sessions for regions such as India, Russia, the Middle East, Africa, South Korea, Chile, Europe, and Southeast Asia [2] - Chinese engineering machinery companies are increasing their investment in smart technology and green energy solutions, gaining global attention for their innovative products [2] - The cluster development advantage of Changsha's engineering machinery industry allows overseas customers to achieve one-stop procurement, enhancing the appeal of Chinese products in international markets [2]

Group 1 - The fourth Changsha International Construction Machinery Exhibition has officially opened, attracting over 200 procurement representatives from Malaysia [1] - Malaysian buyers express strong interest in Chinese construction equipment, particularly small excavators and intelligent weeding machines, indicating a growing confidence in the quality of Hunan's engineering equipment [1][2] - The event showcases a variety of construction machinery, with notable interest in products from established brands like Zoomlion and SANY, which have been in the Malaysian market for over a decade [2] Group 2 - The Malaysian delegation includes members from various industries, all with specific procurement needs, highlighting the diverse applications of construction machinery [1] - The exhibition has seen significant improvements in equipment intelligence and quality compared to previous years, reflecting the evolving standards in the construction machinery sector [2] - The event not only serves as a procurement platform but also as an opportunity for cultural exchange and exploration of the local area by international visitors [1]