Core Viewpoint - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) has seen a significant stock price increase, with shares rising over 7% and reaching a new high of 51.83 CNY during trading, indicating strong market interest and potential growth prospects for the company [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Sanhua Intelligent Control plans to hold a board meeting on October 30 to consider and approve its unaudited third-quarter results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [1] - The company's stock is currently trading at 42.9 HKD, with a trading volume of 698 million HKD, reflecting robust investor activity [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - Tesla has updated its plans during its third-quarter earnings call, announcing the launch of Optimus V3 in Q1 2026 and the initiation of a million-unit production line by the end of the year, which may impact the robotics sector [1] - Dongfang Securities has noted that Sanhua Intelligent Control is accelerating its development in emerging businesses such as robotics and data center liquid cooling, which opens new growth opportunities [1] - The company continues to focus on its robotic electromechanical actuator business, collaborating with clients on product development and achieving recognition for its products, which positions it favorably in the market [1] - The firm is believed to have a first-mover advantage in the robotic actuator field, potentially allowing it to capture a larger market share as the robotics industry evolves [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [5]. Core Views - The company is a leader in the aluminum plate-fin heat exchanger market and is entering the liquid cooling sector for data centers, which opens up new growth opportunities [2][16]. - The company has a strong technical foundation and customer resources, which are expected to drive growth in both traditional and emerging markets [16][24]. - The demand for efficient and energy-saving heat exchange solutions is surging due to the rapid growth of AI server computing power, aligning the company's capabilities with industry trends [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in 2000, the company focuses on manufacturing aluminum plate-fin heat exchangers for various industries, including air compressors and engineering machinery [2][16]. - The establishment of a joint venture with Suzhou Hexin Precision Technology marks the company's entry into the liquid cooling equipment sector, which is significant for business expansion [2][16]. 2. Traditional Markets - The company has diversified applications in various sectors, including engineering machinery, wind power, compressors, and diesel engines, with significant market potential in each [3][4]. - The engineering machinery market is projected to have a cooling system market space of approximately $14 billion in 2024, driven by the recovery in demand and the electrification trend [3][37]. - The wind power sector is expected to see a cooling system market space of around 14.7 billion yuan in 2024, benefiting from industry recovery and technological upgrades [4][41]. - The compressor market is estimated to reach approximately $9.8 billion in 2024, with traditional and AI data center demands driving growth [4][46]. - The diesel engine market for data centers is projected to reach 74.9 billion yuan by 2028, indicating substantial growth potential [4][59]. 3. Data Center Sector - Liquid cooling technology is essential for addressing heat dissipation challenges in data centers, offering advantages such as low energy consumption and high cooling efficiency [4][5]. - The market for liquid cooling systems is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 29.4 billion yuan for ASIC systems and 58.1 billion yuan for NVIDIA systems by 2026 [4]. - The company has established strong ties with key players in the industry, positioning itself favorably within the supply chain for liquid cooling components [4][5]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% in revenue from 2015 to 2024, with a notable recovery in profitability [24][26]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.0 billion, 2.0 billion, and 3.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 49, 25, and 16 times [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company for the first time [4][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in ultra-high voltage pure water cooling equipment and is expected to benefit from the long-term prosperity of the domestic power grid and continuous breakthroughs in overseas business, particularly in the data center liquid cooling sector, which is anticipated to open up greater growth potential [4][14]. - The company has a strong order backlog, with orders expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for power management solutions in both domestic and international markets [2][50]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company has been focused on thermal management technology for over 20 years and has established itself as a leading provider of industrial thermal management solutions, with products that are recognized as domestically leading or internationally advanced [14][15]. - The company has a diverse client base, including major players in various sectors such as State Grid, Alibaba, Tencent, and GE, which reflects its strong market position [15][20]. Financial Analysis - The company experienced revenue fluctuations due to acquisitions and divestitures but has returned to a growth phase, with a revenue of 4.18 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.81% [24][31]. - The company's net profit for the same period was 23 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 1438.57% [24][31]. Power Electronics Thermal Management - The company is benefiting from the recovery of the domestic power grid investment, with its power electronics thermal management business experiencing a significant revenue increase of 239.39% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [31][45]. - The company’s focus on high-power density thermal management products, particularly in data centers and energy storage, has led to rapid growth, with revenues expected to reach 3.28 billion yuan in 2024, a 74.66% increase [31][36]. Data Center Liquid Cooling - The global data center liquid cooling market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.21% from 2025 to 2030, driven by the increasing demand for AI infrastructure and high-density computing [3][57]. - The company has established stable partnerships with leading clients in the data center sector, including ByteDance and Alibaba, which positions it well to capitalize on the growing demand for liquid cooling solutions [62][64]. Overseas Expansion - The establishment of subsidiaries in Singapore and the United States is aimed at enhancing the company's ability to serve overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and North America, thereby opening up new growth opportunities [20][64].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 6.62 [7][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a recovery in silicon wafer profitability as it continues to optimize its processes and reduce costs. The equipment business is also progressing well, potentially creating a second growth curve for the company [2][4]. - The company has experienced a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in asset impairment losses [2][3]. - The report highlights the company's strong cash flow generation, with operating cash flow remaining positive for four consecutive quarters [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of RMB 4.39 billion, a year-on-year decline of 37.1%. The net loss attributable to the parent company was RMB 600 million, a significant reduction from RMB 1.26 billion in the same period last year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded a net loss of RMB 440 million, with a gross margin decrease of 1.3% and an increase in asset impairment losses to RMB 170 million [3]. Silicon Wafer Business - The company has equipped its entire production line with 1600 furnaces, capable of producing M10, G12, and customized rectangular silicon wafers. It is also advancing the construction of smart factories to enhance efficiency [4]. - The company aims to improve yield rates and production efficiency through better material quality control and process management [4]. Equipment Business - The company is expanding its new energy equipment orders, particularly in hydrogen energy, and has established a direct sales network across multiple provinces in China. It has signed a sales contract worth RMB 450 million for green hydrogen systems [5]. - In the data center cooling segment, the company is actively participating in several high-profile projects, which may lead to significant benefits as the data center market continues to grow [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to a decline in demand following the end of the domestic photovoltaic installation rush, the company has adjusted its revenue and gross margin assumptions downward for its photovoltaic business. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected to be RMB -665 million, RMB 420 million, and RMB 1.006 billion, respectively [6][13]. - The report assigns a PE valuation of 30.09x for 2026, leading to a target price of RMB 6.62, reflecting an increase from the previous target of RMB 4.94 [6][15].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the latest holdings of the "National Team" in the A-share market as of the end of Q2 2025, highlighting their significant investments in traditional industries, particularly in the financial sector, and the performance of their key stocks. Group 1: National Team Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q2 2025, the "National Team" was involved in 804 A-share companies, with a total holding value of approximately 44,362 billion yuan, an increase of about 2,312 billion yuan from the previous quarter [3][5]. - The "National Team" includes entities such as Central Huijin, China Securities Finance, and social security funds, which play a crucial role in stabilizing the market [3][20]. Group 2: Sector Allocation - 85% of the "National Team's" holdings are concentrated in the financial sector, with bank stocks alone accounting for 33,124 billion yuan, representing 74.67% of their total holdings [5][8]. - Other sectors with significant holdings include food and beverage, public utilities, and construction decoration, each exceeding 500 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Stock Performance - Among the "National Team's" major holdings, 10 companies saw stock price increases exceeding 100% since April 2025, with notable performances from AI computing and innovative pharmaceutical companies [8][10]. - A total of 25 companies with holdings over 1 billion yuan experienced stock price increases of over 60% since April, indicating strong market performance [8]. Group 4: Major Holdings - The "National Team" held over 10 billion yuan in 152 companies, with 33 companies exceeding 100 billion yuan in holdings [10]. - Major bank holdings include China Bank (11,158.12 billion yuan), Industrial and Commercial Bank (10,608.27 billion yuan), and Agricultural Bank (9,825.95 billion yuan), collectively accounting for over 70% of the "National Team's" A-share holdings [10][12]. Group 5: New Investments and Adjustments - In Q2 2025, the "National Team" initiated positions in 155 new companies and increased holdings in 343 companies, while reducing positions in 136 companies [17]. - Notable new investments include companies in the electronics and biopharmaceutical sectors, with some stocks like Deep South Circuit and Yifang Bio seeing price increases over 100% since April [17][18]. Group 6: Central Huijin and Social Security Fund - Central Huijin holds the largest market value among "National Team" members, with significant investments in major banks [4][28]. - The social security fund has the highest number of holdings, with a focus on maintaining a diversified portfolio across various sectors [4][28].