数字经济新媒体&智库 ＃网经社 旗下跨境电商台借助AI大模型，推出《全国各省市跨境电商发展全景分析报告》大型策划，通过发展历程、发展现状、数 据案例、创新实践、未来趋势等维度深度解码34省、165座城市的跨境电商生态，共计199份报告。 四川省作为中部地区重要的跨境电商枢纽，正从"内陆腹地"向"开放高地"加速跃升。作为西部经济大省，四川依托区位、资源和创新优势，使跨境电商成为 外贸增长新引擎。在"一带一路"和西部大开发战略机遇下，国际物流通道的完善提供了强劲支撑，但同质化竞争、高物流成本及国际合规风险仍是行业亟待 突破的挑战。本报告全面分析四川省跨境电商的发展现状、趋势、挑战及未来机遇。（AI生成内容或存在偏差，内容仅供参考） 出品 |网经社 撰写 | DeepSeek 编辑 | 周思源 审稿| 云马 配图 |网经社图库 一、四川省跨境电商现状与发展历程 四川省跨境电商现状分析 行业规模与增长态势 四川省跨境电商交易规模持续高速增长。2025年1-5月，全省跨境电商进出口交易规模达1358.9亿元，同比增长超20%。其中，成都作为核心城市贡献显著， 2025年前4月交易规模达373.94亿元，同比增长43%。 ...

沪指本周累计涨3.49%，深证成指累计涨4.57%，创业板指累计涨5.85%。A股后市怎么走？看看机构怎 么说： ①中信证券：此轮行情并不是散户市 中信证券发文称，从各类资金情况来看，此轮行情持续到现在主要的发起者和推动者并非散户；事实上 本轮行情从起步到加速，核心线索都是围绕产业趋势和业绩；既然都是聪明的钱入场占主导地位，就不 能执迷于类比过往行情走势。随着2020~2021年发行的产品整体步入盈亏平衡区域，市场会有个新旧资 金接力的过程；未来行情的延续需要的是新的配置线索，而不是拘泥于"钱多"和流动性。配置上，建议 继续聚焦资源、创新药、游戏和军工，开始关注化工，逐步增配一些"反内卷+出海"品种，9月消费电子 板块也值得关注。 ②光大证券：市场中长期仍然有望持续上行，或以"轮动补涨"特征为主 光大证券研报指出，展望未来，市场仍然有望继续上行。目前来看，支撑股票市场上涨的逻辑并没有发 生变化，市场估值目前也较为合理，并未出现明显透支。此外，还有一些新的积极因素正在出现，如美 联储降息周期可能会开启、公募资金发行出现回暖。综合来看，市场中长期仍然有望持续上行。当前来 看，本轮行情或许会以"轮动补涨"特征为主， ...

Group 1: Market Trends - A-shares have shown strong performance since August, driven by improved global manufacturing sentiment and rising domestic demand[3] - The overall valuation of the TMT and military sectors has reached historical highs, indicating limited room for further expansion[4] - The shift from small-cap growth represented by the National Index 2000 to large-cap growth represented by the ChiNext Index is evident, reflecting accelerated industry rotation[4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The manufacturing sector's profitability is expected to improve, with the lower limit of net profit margins confirmed by February 2025[4] - As of July, the electricity consumption in the secondary industry has shown a continuous recovery for five months, indicating a positive trend in production activity[4] - The average ROE for non-financial companies in the A-share market is projected to improve in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, suggesting a broadening of profit recovery across sectors[4] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors benefiting from overseas manufacturing recovery, such as industrial metals and capital goods, as they are expected to see increased demand[5] - The insurance sector is likely to benefit from capital returns reaching a bottom, alongside brokerage firms[5] - Opportunities in domestic demand-related sectors are emerging, particularly in food and beverage and electric equipment, as large-cap stocks begin to outperform[5] Group 4: Risks - There is a risk that domestic economic recovery may fall short of expectations, which could impact market performance[6] - A significant downturn in the global economy could also pose risks to the A-share market[6]

Group 1: Diplomatic Developments - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit to India from August 18 to 20 aims to discuss military withdrawal and trade cooperation amidst ongoing border tensions [1][7] - The 24th meeting on border issues signifies a potential shift in communication mechanisms, focusing on establishing regular dialogue and reducing friction through verifiable agreements [2][11] Group 2: Economic Implications - China is taking concrete actions to restore trade confidence, such as approving 183 Brazilian coffee companies for export to China and enhancing trade facilitation measures with India [3][10] - India's response to U.S. tariffs includes a political mobilization against the 50% tariffs imposed on various sectors, indicating a strategic shift in its economic stance [5][7] Group 3: Trade Dynamics - The U.S. tariffs on India, particularly the 50% increase affecting textiles, jewelry, and automotive parts, are expected to severely impact profit margins and lead to a decline in investment plans among Indian enterprises [5][10] - The focus on cooperation in low-sensitivity sectors like renewable energy components and IT services is seen as a way to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs and enhance bilateral trade efficiency [3][8] Group 4: Strategic Considerations - India's cooperation with China is viewed as a means to create strategic redundancy and shift some risks away from reliance on the U.S., while China seeks to stabilize relations to alleviate uncertainties [7][8] - The ongoing diplomatic negotiations are crucial for both countries, as they navigate the complexities of trade and security in a changing global economic landscape [11]

Group 1: Deep Sea Technology Industry - The government has positioned deep sea technology as a strategic emerging industry, alongside commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, highlighting its importance for national security and resource safety [6][7] - The deep sea sector is crucial for ensuring resource security, as the global underwater resource competition intensifies, particularly with the U.S. and Japan accelerating their deep-sea mining efforts [7] - The blue economy in China reached a production value of 10.54 trillion yuan in 2024, indicating significant market potential for growth in related sub-industries [8] - The deep sea technology industry chain spans from basic materials to high-end equipment manufacturing, with a focus on "deep sensing" capabilities as a foundational infrastructure for development [8] Group 2: New Consumption - Crystal International - Crystal International reported a revenue of 1.229 billion USD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.42%, and a net profit of 98 million USD, reflecting strong operational resilience despite external challenges [11][12] - The company improved its gross profit margins in leisure and intimate apparel due to enhanced production efficiency, with gross margins reaching 20.50% and 20.80% respectively [12] - Crystal International's strategic advantages, including its FOB revenue structure and strong brand client pricing power, have helped mitigate the impact of tariffs [12][13] Group 3: New Consumption - Laopu Gold - Laopu Gold achieved a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan in H1 2025, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 251%, with a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan, reflecting strong market positioning and brand influence [15][16] - The company expanded its offline presence with 41 self-operated stores across 16 cities, achieving an average sales performance of approximately 459 million yuan per store [17] - Laopu Gold's brand strength is validated by a high overlap rate with major luxury brands, and the company plans to adjust product prices to support profit performance [17][18] Group 4: North Exchange - Youji Co., Ltd. - Youji Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 443 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19%, and a net profit of 34.3 million yuan, reflecting strong growth driven by capacity release and business expansion [19][20] - The company experienced significant revenue growth in the oil and gas sector, with a 19% increase, and a 48% increase in the aviation sector due to the integration of Beiyang Precision [20][21] - The mechanical parts processing industry is expected to benefit from global industrial upgrades and domestic demand expansion, positioning China as a key supplier in the global market [21][22]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The mechanical components processing industry is expected to benefit from global industrial iteration and domestic demand expansion, with mechanical component exports likely to continue growing [6] - The company reported a year-on-year increase of 37% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, driven by capacity release and the consolidation of Byang Precision's aviation business expansion [5][7] - The company is positioned as a significant supplier in the global equipment manufacturing sector, with a comprehensive and competitive industrial system in mechanical components processing [6] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 443 million yuan (up 19% year-on-year) and a net profit of 34.3 million yuan (up 37% year-on-year) [7] - The revenue for Q2 2025 was 261 million yuan (up 17% year-on-year and up 43% quarter-on-quarter), with a net profit of 18.79 million yuan (up 8% year-on-year and up 21% quarter-on-quarter) [7] - The company’s revenue from oil and gas fluid control equipment and components increased by 19% year-on-year, while revenue from the aviation sector surged by 48% year-on-year [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 95 million yuan, 111 million yuan, and 128 million yuan, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 34.9, 29.9, and 25.7 times [5][8] - The company is expected to maintain a robust growth trajectory, with projected revenue growth rates of 13.20% in 2025, 13.71% in 2026, and 13.81% in 2027 [8]

Company Overview - Guangzhou Jiangyan Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. has recently been established with a registered capital of 200,000 RMB [1] - The company is involved in various sectors including mechanical parts processing, metal processing machinery manufacturing, and general equipment manufacturing [1] Business Scope - The operational scope includes manufacturing of industrial robots, general components, and various mechanical equipment [1] - The company also provides information technology consulting services, installation services for general machinery, and sales of electrical and mechanical equipment [1] - Additional services include mold manufacturing, professional design services, industrial design services, and wholesale and retail of electronic components and automotive parts [1] Technology and Services - The company offers a range of technical services including technology development, consulting, exchange, transfer, and promotion [1] - It also provides safety consulting services and artificial intelligence public service platform technology consulting [1]

Group 1 - Guangzhou Hengchang Plastic Products Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 50,000 RMB [1] - The company's business scope includes processing of mechanical parts and components, manufacturing and sales of rubber products, and sales of plastic packaging containers for food [1] - Additional activities include sales of plastic processing equipment, sales of mechanical equipment, and production of labor protection products [1] Group 2 - The company also engages in the manufacturing of fiberglass reinforced plastic products, toy manufacturing, and sales of outdoor products [1] - The scope of plastic products includes manufacturing and sales of various plastic products and fiberglass reinforced plastic products [1]

Core Insights - High-tech products are driving China's export growth, with a notable increase in the share of high-tech product exports reaching 18.2% in 2024 and a year-on-year growth of 9.2% in the first half of this year [2][5] - Emerging products, particularly in the fields of high-end equipment and green technology, are leading the export growth, with a 9.5% increase in electromechanical product exports [3][5] - Chinese brands are gaining popularity in international markets, with significant sales increases in electric vehicles and consumer electronics, indicating a shift in perception from "world factory" to a technology powerhouse [7][9] Export Growth - In the first half of the year, China's electromechanical product exports reached 7.8 trillion yuan, accounting for 60% of total exports, with high-end equipment growing over 20% [3] - The export of industrial robots surged by 61.5%, reflecting the effectiveness of China's advanced manufacturing policies and the diversification of international markets [3][5] Brand Influence - Chinese brands are increasingly recognized globally, with BYD electric vehicles surpassing Tesla in Europe and dominating the electric vehicle market in Brazil [5][7] - The value of Chinese brands is projected to increase significantly, with a 26% growth expected by 2025, showcasing their market vitality and brand strength [7] Technological Advancements - China's transition from a labor-intensive manufacturing model to a technology-driven ecosystem is evident, with automation and AI integration enhancing production efficiency [6][8] - The development of a robust AI industry supply chain independent of the U.S. is underway, focusing on practical applications that attract users [7][9] Global Trade Dynamics - Despite global economic challenges, China's export performance remains resilient, with a growing number of sovereign wealth funds planning to increase investments in Chinese assets due to its strengths in advanced technology and clean energy [9] - The adaptability of Chinese exporters in changing trade routes and maintaining competitiveness in high-tech and capital-intensive sectors is crucial for sustaining export growth [5][9]

Group 1 - The company has provided a guarantee of RMB 20 million for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Qijing Industry (Thailand) Co., Ltd, to secure a credit facility from China Merchants Bank Ningbo Branch [1][2] - The guarantee is part of a credit agreement that allows Qijing Industry to access a total credit limit of RMB 100 million, which was approved in previous board meetings [2][6] - The total amount of guarantees provided by the company, including this new guarantee, is RMB 20 million, which represents 1.73% of the company's latest audited net assets, with no overdue guarantees reported [6] Group 2 - Qijing Industry (Thailand) Co., Ltd was established on December 23, 2020, and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, holding 98% of its shares [3][4] - The subsidiary's registered capital is 630 million Thai Baht, and its business scope includes manufacturing and processing automotive engine and transmission components, among other activities [3][4] - As of the first quarter of 2025, Qijing Industry reported total assets of RMB 172.93 million and a net loss of RMB 2.14 million, compared to a net profit of RMB 1.84 million for the entire year of 2024 [3][4]