US stock futures climbed on Friday as the market sentiment gets comfortable with the US government shutdown. Dow futures were more than 100 points up at press time, while futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were also rising. ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index experienced a short-term increase of approximately 20 points, currently reported at 98.10 [1] - US stock futures showed a slight decline, with the Nasdaq 100 index's drop expanding to 0.6% [1] - Spot gold prices decreased by about 8 dollars, currently reported at 3746.41 dollars per ounce [1] - The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose in the short term, currently reported at 4.177% [1]

8月零售销售数据预计增长0.2%，将为美联储决策提供关键参考。市场普遍预期周三将迎来25个基点降息，部分投资者不排除50 个基点的可能性。随着就业市场放缓迹象显现，政策制定者可能释放更加鸽派的信号。 具体来看，美股期货小幅走高，此前标普500指数周一突破6600点大关。 | 名称 ▼ | 月 ▼ | 最新 | 最高 | | 涨跌额 ▼ | 涨跌幅 ▼ 时间 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | = US 30 | | 45,910.80 | 45,942.60 | 45,844.00 | +26.60 | +0.06% 16:32:33 | | US 500 | | 6,631.80 | 6,632.70 | 6,554.10 | +16.50 | +0.25% 16:32:33 | | US Tech 100 | | 24,376.60 | 24,380.30 | 24,269.80 | +82.80 | +0.34% 16:32:33 | | US 2000 | | 2,410.50 | 2,411.60 | 2,399.30 | +5.40 ...

全球市场风险偏好持续升温，美股涨至历史新高之际，投资者聚焦今晚即将公布的零售数据，并为广泛预期的美联储年内首次降 息做准备。 周二，亚洲股市创下纪录高位，欧股开盘涨跌不一，美股三大股指期货集体上涨，黄金逼近3700美元关口，延续创纪录涨势，美 元兑所有主要货币跌至7月来最低水平。 8月零售销售数据预计增长0.2%，将为美联储决策提供关键参考。市场普遍预期周三将迎来25个基点降息，部分投资者不排除50 个基点的可能性。随着就业市场放缓迹象显现，政策制定者可能释放更加鸽派的信号。 | 名称 | 最新 最高 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 英国富时100 | 9,266.55 | 9,281.20 9,246.50 | -10.48 -0.11% | | 法国CAC40 | 7,890.62 | 7,894.13 7,862.38 | -6.31 -0.08% | | ■ 荷兰AEX | 921.06 | 922.66 919.91 | +1.93 +0.21% | | ■ 德国DAX30 | | 23,687.57 23,749.57 23,617.43 | -46.18 -0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The August non-farm payroll report from the U.S. Labor Department revealed a significant slowdown in the labor market, with only 22,000 jobs added, far below market expectations of 75,000 and the previous month's 73,000 [1][2]. Group 1: Labor Market Insights - The low job addition indicates a potential turning point in the labor market, confirming a cooling of economic activity [2]. - The unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.3%, up from 4.2%, which adds to concerns about the labor market's health [1][3]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the data release, the financial markets experienced significant volatility, with the dollar index dropping sharply and gold prices reaching historical highs [3]. - The relationship between the dollar and risk assets has become tighter, indicating that the dollar is increasingly acting as a "risk currency" rather than just a safe haven [3]. Group 3: Future Implications - Upcoming annual revision data is expected to potentially revise down hundreds of thousands of jobs, with estimates suggesting a reduction of 800,000 jobs [4]. - If the job revisions are substantial, it could shift market sentiment from anticipating rate cuts to concerns about an economic recession, impacting both equity and bond markets [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the unprecedented dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook by President Trump, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve [1] - This action has led to a sell-off in dollar assets, including the dollar, U.S. Treasuries, and U.S. stock futures [1] - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve have increased, with traders estimating an 85% probability of a rate cut in September [1] Group 2 - The article mentions that if Trump can influence the Federal Reserve, it may lead to a more accommodative monetary policy, potentially boosting risk assets like stocks and gold in the long term [1] - Legal challenges are anticipated regarding Cook's dismissal, as his lawyer plans to file a lawsuit, which could take months to resolve [1] - The dollar index is currently facing resistance at 98.317 and support at 97.859, with potential further movements depending on price action [1]

Group 1 - Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to a sell-off of dollar assets and a rise in gold prices [1][4][6] - The dollar index fell by 0.3% to 98.187, with the dollar against the yen down 0.4% to 147.24, and the euro rising 0.3% to 1.165 [4][5] - Market analysts predict that Trump's actions could lead to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with an 84% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September according to CME FedWatch [5][6] Group 2 - Cook has stated that she will not resign and plans to take necessary actions to prevent Trump's "illegal actions," asserting that he lacks the authority to dismiss her [2][8] - The potential legal battle over Cook's dismissal could test the Supreme Court's stance on the independence of the Federal Reserve, as past rulings have protected such officials from arbitrary dismissal [7][9] - Analysts express that Trump's actions could undermine the credibility of the dollar as a safe investment, which has historically been based on the Federal Reserve's independence [5][7]

Core Points - US stock futures fell by approximately 0.1%, while major European indices opened mostly higher [1][11] - The Japanese stock market declined, with the Nikkei 225 index down by 1.4% and the Topix index down by 1.1% [3] - The US Treasury yields mostly decreased, with both 2-year and 10-year yields down by over 1 basis point [4] - The British GDP for Q2 exceeded expectations with a growth of 0.3%, reducing the likelihood of further rate cuts [5] - Oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude rising over 0.4% to above $62.20 [8][18] - Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant gains, with Bitcoin rising over 2% to above $121,800 and Ethereum rising over 3% to above $47,700 [9][10] Market Reactions - The US dollar index initially fell by nearly 0.2% but later turned to an increase [4][12] - The Japanese yen appreciated by approximately 0.7%, marking its largest gain in nearly two weeks [1] - Gold prices remained stable, with spot gold slightly up by over 0.2% [6][15] - Silver prices showed minimal movement, with spot silver remaining flat [7]

Group 1 - The upcoming meeting between Russian President Putin and US President Trump on August 15 in Alaska is expected to influence market sentiment positively, leading to a decline in oil and gold prices [1][6]. - The S&P 500 futures rose by over 0.1%, indicating a slight increase in US stock market expectations [1][7]. - European stock markets opened higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index up by 0.27%, and other major indices also showing positive movement [1]. Group 2 - The Vietnamese stock index increased by over 1%, surpassing the 1600-point mark, reaching a new historical high [2]. - The US dollar index fell by more than 0.1%, while the Japanese yen and euro saw slight increases [2]. - Bitcoin surged past $122,000, marking a near one-month high, driven by institutional and corporate investments [4][6]. Group 3 - US Treasury yields declined across the board, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dropping by more than 1 basis point [3]. - Crude oil prices fell by over 1.1% to below $63.20, while Brent crude dropped by over 0.9% to below $66 [5][13]. - Spot gold prices fell below $3360 per ounce, with a daily decline of over 1%, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment [6].

美股期货短线小幅走低，特朗普称印度将支付25%的关税。 ...