Core Points - US stock futures fell by approximately 0.1%, while major European indices opened mostly higher [1][11] - The Japanese stock market declined, with the Nikkei 225 index down by 1.4% and the Topix index down by 1.1% [3] - The US Treasury yields mostly decreased, with both 2-year and 10-year yields down by over 1 basis point [4] - The British GDP for Q2 exceeded expectations with a growth of 0.3%, reducing the likelihood of further rate cuts [5] - Oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude rising over 0.4% to above $62.20 [8][18] - Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant gains, with Bitcoin rising over 2% to above $121,800 and Ethereum rising over 3% to above $47,700 [9][10] Market Reactions - The US dollar index initially fell by nearly 0.2% but later turned to an increase [4][12] - The Japanese yen appreciated by approximately 0.7%, marking its largest gain in nearly two weeks [1] - Gold prices remained stable, with spot gold slightly up by over 0.2% [6][15] - Silver prices showed minimal movement, with spot silver remaining flat [7]

Group 1 - Spot gold prices declined in the Asian market, reaching a low of $3,320.51 per ounce and currently reported at $3,327.02 per ounce, reflecting a daily drop of approximately 0.3% [1] - U.S. stock futures showed an upward trend, with Nasdaq 100 futures rising by 0.5% and S&P 500 futures increasing by 0.4% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake [1] - Gold prices experienced fluctuations last week, opening at 3364, reaching a high of 3377, a low of 3309, and closing around 3350 [1][3] - The market is currently in a state of volatility, with potential for both upward and downward movements, particularly focusing on resistance levels at 3360-65 and 3375-80, and a significant level at 3400 [3][4] Group 2 - The analysis indicates that the gold market is undergoing a "big sweep" phase, with rapid changes in market sentiment, necessitating caution against sudden one-sided movements [3][4] - The international silver market is also experiencing high volatility, with resistance levels at 38.4 and 39.2, and a key support level at 37.3 [3] - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following similar trends, with specific resistance and support levels identified for trading strategies [6] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar index is performing as expected, maintaining a bullish trend with resistance levels at 99 and 100, and support at 98 [7] - U.S. stock futures are showing strength, with the S&P 500 facing resistance at 6320, 6390, and 6480 [8]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with recent movements indicating a lack of trend continuation for both bullish and bearish positions [1][5][6] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3320 and 3300, while resistance is noted at 3340-43 and the CPI data high at 3360 [5][6] - A recent trading strategy involved entering long positions at 3323, with a focus on monitoring the 3340-43 resistance area for potential profit-taking [5][14] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - The international silver market has shown a downward trend, with recent positions taken at 39.05-10 indicating a bearish outlook, targeting a first goal of 37.3 [5][6] - The strategy for silver includes holding short positions while monitoring for potential rebounds near the identified support levels [5][6] Group 3: Oil Market Developments - The crude oil market has shown a bullish trend, with recent trading strategies indicating a buy position around 64-65, targeting a breakout above 70 [9][11][22] - Profit-taking occurred at the 70 mark, with plans to re-enter long positions on any significant pullbacks [11][22] Group 4: Currency Market Trends - The US dollar index has recently broken through key resistance levels, indicating a bullish sentiment, with expectations for further upward movement [8] - The analysis suggests that the ability of the dollar to maintain its upward trajectory will depend on breaking through the April lows and the downward trend established since 101 [6][8] Group 5: Stock Market Performance - The US stock market experienced a significant decline, with futures indicating a bearish outlook for major indices such as the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq [7] - A strategy was implemented to enter short positions on the S&P futures above 6290, with stop-loss measures in place to manage risk [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake [1] - International gold prices showed a significant upward trend, with a weekly opening at 3336.9, reaching a high of 3374, and a notable increase of nearly 100 dollars from the 3382 level [1][3] - The market is currently observing a bullish sentiment in gold, with key support levels identified at 3350-3345 and 3330-3325, while the critical resistance level remains at 3400 [3][4] Group 2 - Silver prices have also surged, breaking through the annual high of 37.3, with a focus on the resistance level at 39-39.2, indicating a short-term bullish outlook [4] - The dollar index is at a critical juncture, having reached the April low and facing resistance from a long-term downward trend, which will determine the extent of the dollar's bullish movement [6] - Crude oil prices are expected to continue rising, with key support identified at 64-65, despite OPEC's production increase potentially having a limited impact [10]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 30% tariff on imports from Mexico and the EU by President Trump has led to increased market pressure and heightened risk aversion, resulting in declines in U.S. stock futures and slight increases in gold, the dollar, and Bitcoin [1][11]. Market Reactions - U.S. stock futures opened lower, with the S&P 500 futures down by 0.4% [1]. - The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 200.50 points, or 0.45%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also experienced declines of 0.47% and 0.46%, respectively [2]. - Asian markets reacted with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.3% and the South Korean KOSPI remaining flat [3]. Commodity and Currency Movements - Gold prices increased by 0.5%, marking the fourth consecutive day of gains, although the increase has moderated [3]. - The U.S. dollar and Japanese yen saw slight increases against major currencies [6]. - Bitcoin experienced a temporary rise of about 1% before retreating from its recent highs [9]. Economic Context - Analysts warn that the 30% tariff is punitive and may have a more significant impact on the EU than on the U.S. itself [11]. - Upcoming economic data releases, including China's Q2 GDP and U.S. June CPI, are expected to be focal points for the market [12]. - The recent tariff announcement disrupts the previously optimistic sentiment surrounding trade negotiations [14]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market's resilience is being tested as Trump's trade threats complicate accurate pricing in financial markets [13]. - Some analysts believe that the market may overlook the trade conflict until tariffs are fully implemented, drawing lessons from past experiences [14]. - Discussions around potential changes in Federal Reserve leadership due to Trump's criticisms of Powell add further uncertainty to the market [15].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a significant drop followed by a recovery, suggesting potential bullish momentum if key support levels hold [1][2]. - The analysis highlights critical price levels for gold, including support at 3280 and resistance at 3345, with expectations for further movements towards 3365 and possibly 3400 if the 3345 resistance is broken [2]. - The commentary on crude oil and stock indices suggests a cautious approach, with recommendations to take profits on long positions and consider shorting at higher levels, particularly for the S&P 500 [5]. Group 2 - The trading strategy emphasizes a high-low trading approach, advising against chasing prices in either direction and suggesting profit-taking on successful trades [2]. - The commentary on gold and other commodities indicates a bullish outlook, with expectations for continued upward movement in gold prices and other sectors [8].

Core Viewpoint - The intensification of tariff threats by Trump ahead of the negotiation deadline on July 9 has heightened market tensions, leading to declines in U.S. stock futures, European stocks, and fluctuations in Asian markets, while safe-haven assets like the yen, Swiss franc, and gold saw slight increases [1][10]. Market Performance - U.S. stock futures for the three major indices fell over 0.3% [1][7]. - European stocks experienced widespread declines, with the German DAX and UK FTSE both down over 0.2%, and the French CAC down over 0.7% [1][8]. - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 0.1%, while the Tokyo Stock Price Index fell by 0.04%, and the South Korean Composite Index dropped by 2% [1]. Currency Movements - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.2%, while the British pound and euro increased by over 0.1%, and the South Korean won rose by over 0.4% [2]. - The Japanese yen appreciated by approximately 0.4%, and the Swiss franc rose by over 0.2% [2][13]. Commodity Prices - Spot gold saw a slight increase of about 0.3%, while spot silver declined by approximately 0.2% [3][16]. - U.S. crude oil prices fell by over 0.3%, and Brent crude oil dropped by over 0.5% [4]. Cryptocurrency Trends - Bitcoin experienced a decline of about 0.4%, and Ethereum fell by approximately 1.5% [5]. Investor Sentiment - Some investors are adopting a cautious approach, holding more cash in their portfolios due to concerns about market optimism among other fund managers, leading to reduced equity positions [6].

Group 1 - Spot gold prices have continued to decline, with a daily drop of 2%, currently reported at $3260.99 per ounce [1]

Group 1 - The week has been particularly challenging for gold bulls, not due to significant price drops, but because geopolitical tensions have not supported gold prices, leading to a sharp decline [3][5] - Gold experienced a significant drop, with a maximum decline of $112, reaching a low of $3340 during the week, and closing with a small gain on Friday [3][8] - The upcoming week is critical for gold, with the $3340 level being a key support point; if it breaks down, further declines to the $3300-$3295 range may occur [8][10] Group 2 - The situation in Iran is escalating, with the U.S. conducting airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which could lead to significant impacts on oil and gold prices if the situation deteriorates further [5][6] - The United Nations Security Council is convening an emergency meeting regarding the U.S. strikes on Iran, indicating the seriousness of the geopolitical situation [6] - Iran has threatened retaliation, which could further destabilize the region and impact global markets [5][6] Group 3 - The oil market has seen significant volatility, with recent weeks experiencing major price fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions, particularly related to Iran [14] - If oil prices open high, traders may consider short positions initially, but the overall sentiment remains bullish as geopolitical factors could drive prices higher [14] - The dollar index has shown signs of stabilization, with a potential target range of 101.5 to 102, indicating a possible rebound in the currency [17]