▲ 戳蓝 色字关注我们！ "能源是文明的基础，每一次能源革命都将重塑世界格局。"——丹尼尔·耶金 今天想跟你们聊个事儿——新年刚开工不到一周，早上我就被一个融资消息炸醒了。 东昇聚变 ，一家成立才半年的核聚变公司，天使轮就拿了数亿元。 投资方是谁呢？红杉、IDG、高瓴、鼎晖……我这么说吧，如果创投圈有个全明星阵容，那这肯定是了。 第一次看我文章的朋友，看到标题可能会想，我要开始讲那些离我们生活很远的硬科技。 但作为一名投资人出身的科普Up，我做的每篇科普文章都跟钱有关系！ 所以，先别急着划走。 不过这期信息量有点大，建议先点个赞收藏一下，听我讲完你就会明白，这事儿跟你钱包的关系，比你想的要近得多。 为何巨头集体抢投高风险天使轮？ 先说个背景。我们行业都知道，VC看项目有个铁律——天使轮基本不投大钱，因为风险太大。 但这次不一样，几乎所有一线机构全部开了大额支票，而且是抢着投。为什么？ 答案藏在一个你最近肯定刷到过的词里——AI算力。 很多人一听算力，就觉得是芯片的事儿，英伟达H100多少钱、A100多少钱。 这里我得先给大家纠正一个认知误区。 其实，算力不等于芯片，芯片只是算力的一部分。 比如一个典型的AI数 ...

在能源需求激增与人工智能算力爆发的双重驱动下，被视为清洁能源"圣杯"的可控核聚变技术正加速从实验室走向资本市场。近期，随着美国一 笔数十亿美元的并购交易落地，以及中国初创公司在关键磁体技术上取得突破，全球核聚变商业化竞赛已进入白热化阶段。 这一领域的最新焦点来自于特朗普旗下的媒体集团。据媒体23日报道，Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.（DJT）已同意通过一项价值60 亿美元的交易与核聚变初创公司TAE Technologies合并。受此消息刺激，DJT股价一度飙升近70%。根据交易条款，双方股东将各持有合并后实体 约一半的股权，特朗普作为大股东的媒体集团将成为TAE Power Solutions和TAE Life Sciences的控股公司。 此项交易不仅引发了二级市场的剧烈波动，更标志着顶级资本对核聚变赛道的押注力度显著升级。TAE Technologies成立于1998年，背后拥有谷 歌、Goldman Sachs、Chevron Technology Ventures和Sumitomo Corporation of America等豪华投资方阵容。该公司计划采用 ...

Core Insights - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has released the "Fusion Energy Outlook 2025," indicating that global fusion energy exploration has entered a decisive new phase in 2023 [1] - Significant milestones have been achieved in fusion energy, particularly by the United States and China, with the U.S. National Ignition Facility (NIF) claiming a Q value greater than 4 and China's BEST project entering the assembly phase [1][2] - The report highlights a growing competition between the U.S. and China in the fusion energy sector, with increasing investments and advancements in technology [12][21] Investment and Funding - Global funding for fusion enterprises has surpassed the total amount raised in the previous year, reaching a historical high by September 2023 [13] - China's cumulative funding in fusion energy, approximately $5 billion, is still less than the U.S.'s $7.5 billion, but since 2023, China's annual funding has exceeded that of the U.S. [14] - The U.S. report indicates that China has mobilized up to $13 billion for fusion infrastructure since 2023, significantly outpacing U.S. investments [17] Technological Advancements - Fusion performance has improved tenfold over the past decade, with projections indicating that the 2030s will be a critical decade for fusion power generation [3][6] - The Lawson criteria, which determines the energy gain of fusion systems, shows that the three-product (temperature, fuel density, and confinement time) is improving at a rate of one order of magnitude every ten years [4][5] Global Competition - The U.S. and China are positioned as the primary competitors in the commercial fusion energy race, with both countries' projects nearing operational status [12][21] - The report notes that 27% of the papers submitted to the IAEA Fusion Energy Conference in 2025 are from China, surpassing the combined contributions from the U.S. and Japan [21] Supply Chain Concerns - The U.S. faces significant challenges regarding supply chain security in the fusion sector, particularly in critical minerals and components where China holds a dominant position [23][26] - Key materials such as tungsten and lithium-6 are primarily produced by China and Russia, raising concerns for U.S. energy independence [26][27] Strategic Recommendations - The U.S. report emphasizes the urgency for increased government funding and subsidies to maintain competitiveness in the fusion energy sector [28]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Company in Shanghai marks a significant step towards the commercialization of nuclear fusion technology in China, which is expected to have profound implications for future energy needs and human civilization [1][2]. Group 1: Company Establishment and Implications - China Fusion Energy Company has officially been established, indicating that China's nuclear fusion project has reached a commercial phase [1]. - The formation of this company suggests that the Chinese government has conducted thorough strategic assessments and believes the technology is ready for market implementation [2]. - The establishment of this company is seen as a platform for commercial operations in the nuclear fusion sector, which is expected to drive significant advancements in energy production [2]. Group 2: Energy Landscape and Challenges - Current energy sources, including fossil fuels and nuclear fission, are limited and pose environmental challenges, with fossil fuels expected to last only about 200 years at current consumption rates [4]. - Nuclear fission relies on uranium, which is scarce in China, leading to a heavy dependence on imports for 80% of its uranium needs [4]. - The limitations of existing energy sources hinder technological advancements and space exploration due to low energy density and high costs associated with traditional fuels [5]. Group 3: Advantages of Nuclear Fusion - Nuclear fusion primarily uses deuterium, which is abundant in seawater, making it a virtually limitless energy source [6]. - The energy output from nuclear fusion is significantly higher than that of nuclear fission, with one gram of nuclear fuel releasing up to 90 million kilowatt-hours of energy, compared to 2 million kilowatt-hours from fission [6]. - Fusion does not produce greenhouse gases or long-lived radioactive waste, making it a cleaner and safer energy option [6]. Group 4: Strategic Competition - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Company comes amid intense competition with the United States, which is also making strides in nuclear fusion technology [8][14]. - Recent agreements, such as the one between Commonwealth Fusion Systems and Google for a significant power supply from a commercial fusion plant, highlight the urgency and stakes involved in this technological race [8][14]. - Both China and the U.S. are racing against time to achieve commercial fusion energy by 2030, which could redefine energy production and human civilization [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the nuclear fusion industry, indicating a potential stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [4]. Core Insights - The successful plasma ignition of the HHMAX-901 device by Hanhai Fusion marks a significant breakthrough in China's commercial exploration of controlled nuclear fusion, particularly in the field-reversed configuration (FRC) technology [1][2]. - FRC technology is gaining attention due to its simpler system structure and lower costs, positioning it as a frontrunner for commercialization in the nuclear fusion sector [1]. - The report suggests that the commercialization of the nuclear fusion industry is accelerating, urging continued attention to the sector's catalysts [3]. Summary by Sections Event Highlights - On July 18, Hanhai Fusion successfully conducted the plasma ignition ceremony for its HHMAX-901 device, representing a major milestone in the commercial application of nuclear fusion technology in China [1]. - The FRC technology, which Hanhai Fusion focuses on, is characterized by its ability to create a closed magnetic field through reverse current, forming a self-organizing magnetic structure [1]. Company Developments - Hanhai Fusion's HHMAX-901 project began in June 2024, with significant progress made in physical design and engineering, culminating in the successful ignition of plasma [2]. - The company plans to leverage the HHMAX-901 as a platform to advance research in controllable nuclear fusion technology and accelerate breakthroughs in core components [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in vacuum chambers, high-power electronic tubes, superconductors, and capacitors, including Guoguang Electric, Xuguang Electronics, and Yongding Co., among others [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The signing of a 200MW power supply agreement between Google and Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) is a strong validation of the commercial viability of nuclear fusion technology [5][6] - The increase in nuclear fusion project tenders since 2025 indicates a growing interest and investment in this sector, with various domestic projects accelerating [6] - The report emphasizes that nuclear fusion is a crucial solution to humanity's energy challenges, and the competition in this field is intensifying globally [6] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The utility sector has shown a performance of 1.7% over the last month, 2.7% over the last three months, and a decline of 2.1% over the past year, compared to the CSI 300 index which has increased by 2.9%, 3.1%, and 15.6% respectively [4] Key Investment Points - CFS's tokamak technology has completed feasibility verification, with assembly starting in March 2025 and expectations to achieve Q>1 by 2027 [6] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant project positioning advantages, including Guoguang Electric, Hezhong Intelligent, and others in various segments such as power systems and materials [6][8] Focused Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report lists several companies with their respective stock prices and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024A, 2025E, and 2026E, indicating their potential growth and investment ratings [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of controlled nuclear fusion concept stocks, driven by a significant partnership between Alphabet and a fusion energy company, marking a historic breakthrough in commercial power procurement for nuclear fusion energy [1][2] - The stock of Rongfa Nuclear Power surged to its daily limit, becoming the leading stock in the sector, with other companies like Haheng Huaton and Tianli also seeing gains of over 5% [1] - The market's optimism regarding the commercialization prospects of nuclear fusion technology has increased, leading to heightened activity in related concept stocks [1][2] Group 2 - Rongfa Nuclear Power is recognized as a key supplier of nuclear power equipment in China and has participated in the manufacturing of components for international fusion reactor projects [1] - The company has established a presence in fourth-generation nuclear technology and provides forgings for the Huaneng Shidaowan High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor Power Station [1] - The strategic value of nuclear fusion technology is becoming more prominent due to the growing global demand for clean energy and the surge in electricity needs from emerging industries like artificial intelligence [1]

Group 1: Nuclear Fusion Industry - Google has signed a historic power purchase agreement with Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) to buy 200MW of electricity from its fusion power project in Virginia, marking a significant milestone in the commercialization of nuclear fusion energy [3][5] - The ARC project, located in Chesterfield County, Virginia, aims to be the world's first commercial fusion power plant, expected to generate 400MW of fusion power by the early 2030s, sufficient to power 150,000 homes or large industrial sites [3][4] - CFS, established in 2018, has raised over $2 billion and is one of North America's largest nuclear fusion commercialization companies, with ongoing projects including SPARC, which aims to achieve net energy gain by 2027 [4][5] Group 2: Market Recognition and Trends - The nuclear fusion sector is gaining recognition, with major tech companies like Google and Microsoft entering into power purchase agreements, indicating a growing acceptance and maturity of the nuclear fusion supply chain [5] - Microsoft's previous agreement with Helion Energy to provide at least 50MW of fusion power by 2029 further illustrates the accelerating commercialization of nuclear fusion technology [5]

Core Viewpoint - Google's signing of the largest fusion power purchase agreement with Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) marks a significant step towards the commercialization of nuclear fusion, indicating growing market recognition of the fusion industry [1][3]. Group 1: Agreement Details - On June 30, 2023, CFS announced that Alphabet, Google's parent company, will purchase 200MW of power from its fusion project in Chesterfield County, Virginia [1]. - The ARC project aims to build the world's first commercial fusion power plant, expected to be operational in the early 2030s, with a lifespan of 20 years or more, generating 400MW of fusion power sufficient to supply 150,000 households [1]. Group 2: CFS's Development Plans - CFS, established in 2018, has raised over $2 billion and is one of North America's largest nuclear fusion commercialization companies [2]. - In addition to the ARC project, CFS is developing the SPARC project, which aims to achieve net energy gain (Q>1) and provide critical knowledge for the ARC project [2]. - SPARC is designed with a plasma major radius of 1.85m, a minor radius of 0.57m, a plasma current of 8.7MA, and a maximum auxiliary heating power of 25MW, with a magnetic field strength of 12.2T [2]. Group 3: Market Recognition - Prior to Google's agreement, Microsoft had already committed to purchasing fusion power, with Helion Energy promising to deliver at least 50MW by 2029 [3]. - The increasing maturity of upstream equipment in the fusion industry and the acceleration of commercialization are evident, as major tech companies like Google and Microsoft sign power purchase agreements, indicating widespread market acceptance of fusion energy [3].

Core Viewpoint - The current trend in technology is AI, with the next focus shifting towards nuclear power, specifically nuclear fusion, as a solution to the increasing energy demands driven by AI advancements [1]. Investment Trends in Nuclear Fusion - Major tech companies are investing heavily in nuclear fusion to meet the exponential growth in computational power requirements. Google has made significant investments in Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS), including a recent agreement to purchase electricity from CFS's first power plant, Arc, which is expected to be operational by 2030 [2][5][12]. - Google has invested in CFS multiple times, including participation in a $1.8 billion B-round financing in 2021 and leading a $150 million E-round financing for TAE Technologies in 2023 [4][13]. CFS Developments - CFS, which has raised over $2 billion and is one of the largest nuclear fusion companies globally, is developing the Sparc demonstration reactor, which aims to produce more energy than it consumes. The reactor is currently 60% complete and is expected to be finished by 2026 [8][10]. - The Arc power plant will be located near Richmond, Virginia, and is set to supply 200 megawatts of power to Google [5][12]. Broader Industry Movements - Other tech giants are also entering the nuclear power sector. Microsoft has signed a power purchase agreement with Helion for a fusion power plant expected to be operational by 2028, marking the first such agreement globally [17]. - Microsoft is also investing $16 billion to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant, which is expected to provide power for 20 years [23]. - Amazon is supporting the construction of new small modular reactors (SMRs) in the Pacific Northwest and has led a $50 million financing round for X-energy [23]. - Meta has signed a 20-year nuclear power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy [24]. Chinese Nuclear Power Initiatives - Chinese companies are also increasing their investments in nuclear fusion, with announcements of significant capital injections into domestic fusion energy firms [30]. - Notably, the company Energy Singularity, backed by MiHoYo, has completed a B-round financing and is advancing its high-temperature superconducting tokamak technology [30]. Conclusion - The nuclear fusion sector is gaining momentum as a critical area of investment among tech companies, driven by the need for sustainable energy solutions to support the growing demands of AI technologies [31].