机构：东吴证券 研究员：孙婷/罗宇康 公司简介：专业汽车金融平台，业绩高速增长。1）腾讯控股的汽车金融平台，专注汽车交易及融资服 务。易鑫集团发轫于易车网，2015-2017年连续完成三轮融资，并于2017 年11 月正式登陆港交所，目前 已成长为汽车金融领域的领跑者。公司股权结构相对集中，截至2024 年末腾讯通过旗下全资子公司合 计持有易鑫集团53.88%的股份，系公司控股股东。公司核心管理团队行业经验丰富，为公司长期发展 提供了坚实基础。2025 年3 月，公司发布了面向部分高管的股权激励计划，充分反映了公司对于后续发 展的信心。2）近年盈利高速增长，发展潜力持续兑现。易鑫集团业绩自2020 年触底后持续高增， 2025H1 公司业绩高增，营收同比+22%至54.52 亿元，归母净利润同比+34%至5.49 亿元，2021-2024 年 利润复合增速达到204%。收入结构方面，公司呈现从自营融资向交易平台业务加速转型的特征，金融 科技业务崛起速度较快。此外，公司经营费用率呈现下行趋势，信用减值损失增长与规模扩张并存。 汽车金融行业概况：发展空间依旧广阔，竞争或持续加剧。1）行业规模：汽车消费变革催生增长 ...

Group 1: Military Industry - The military sector is experiencing an upward trend, driven by the intensifying geopolitical competition among major powers, with a long-term positive outlook for military investments [4][5][6] - The recent commemorative events for the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War have highlighted the importance of national defense, leading to increased military spending [5] - Key companies to focus on include major manufacturers and component suppliers such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC South Lake, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [4] Group 2: Non-Metallic Building Materials - The implementation of new national standards for refrigerators is expected to accelerate the demand for VIP boards, with the company Reascent Technology poised for significant growth following its acquisition of Maikelong [8][9] - The company has integrated its supply chain from fiberglass cotton to VIP core materials and VIP boards, which is anticipated to enhance its competitive edge and profitability [9] Group 3: Dairy Industry - The price of raw milk continues to decline, and a supply-demand balance is expected in the second half of 2025, benefiting from reduced production and improved demand [11][19] - Beef prices are entering an upward cycle due to supply reduction and decreased import pressures, with a projected increase in profitability for livestock companies [12][20] - The cyclical resonance between meat and milk production is expected to enhance the profitability of leading livestock companies [11][21]

Group 1: Electric Equipment - Haopeng Technology - The company achieved revenue of 2.763 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.29% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 97 million yuan, up 252.49% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 80 million yuan, increasing by 366.27% [6] - The company expects net profits of 259 million, 387 million, and 503 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 183.9%, 49.3%, and 30.0% respectively [8] Group 2: Non-Banking Financial - Hong Kong Stock Exchange - The company reported a revenue of 14.076 billion HKD and a net profit of 8.519 billion HKD in H1 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 33% and 39% respectively [10] - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached approximately 240.2 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 117.6% [11] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 16.623 billion HKD in 2025, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.6 times based on the closing price on August 20 [12] Group 3: Nonferrous Metals - Jinli Permanent Magnet - The company achieved revenue of approximately 3.507 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.33%, with a net profit of 305 million yuan, up 154.81% [17] - Domestic sales revenue was 2.994 billion yuan, increasing by 8.17%, while overseas sales revenue was 513 million yuan, down 13.58% [17] - The company expects EPS of 0.47, 0.59, and 0.72 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-book ratios of 5.1, 4.6, and 4.1 [19] Group 4: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - Lihua Co., Ltd. - The company reported revenue of 8.353 billion yuan and a net profit of 149 million yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 7.02% but a decrease in net profit by 74.10% [21] - The chicken business revenue was 635 million yuan, down 6.76% year-on-year, while the pig business revenue was 1.947 billion yuan, up 117.65% [22] - The company expects net profits of 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a year-on-year change of -61.5%, +151.5%, and +31.8% respectively [23] Group 5: Non-Banking Financial - Ruida Futures - The company achieved total revenue of 1.047 billion yuan and a net profit of 228 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 4.49% and 66.49% respectively [26] - The asset management business saw a revenue increase of 223.83% to 121 million yuan, driven by product scale expansion and investment returns [26] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 423 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.5% [28] Group 6: Steel - Hualing Steel - The company reported revenue of 62.794 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.02%, while net profit increased by 31.31% to 1.748 billion yuan [29] - The company’s high-end products accounted for 68.5% of total sales, with a focus on product structure optimization [30] - The company expects EPS of 0.44, 0.51, and 0.55 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13, 11, and 10 [31] Group 7: Automotive - Yixin Group - The company achieved total revenue of 5.452 billion yuan and a net profit of 549 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 22% and 33.93% respectively [33] - The financing total reached 32.7 billion yuan, with a significant contribution from financial technology services, which saw a revenue increase of 124% [34] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.143 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [35] Group 8: Automotive - Fuyao Glass - The company reported revenue of 21.45 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.8 billion yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 16.9% and 37.3% respectively [36] - The company’s gross margin improved to 37.1%, with a net margin of 22.4% [37] - The company expects revenue growth of 15% annually from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 9.3 billion, 10.6 billion, and 12.4 billion yuan [38] Group 9: Nonferrous Metals - Bowei Alloy - The company achieved revenue of 10.221 billion yuan and a net profit of 676 million yuan in H1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 15.21% and 6.05% respectively [40] - The new materials segment generated revenue of 7.935 billion yuan, up 23.83%, while the renewable energy segment saw a revenue decrease of 10.10% [41] - The company expects EPS of 1.97, 2.05, and 2.21 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13.4, 12.9, and 11.9 [42]

Core Viewpoint - Yixin Group (02858) experienced a significant stock price increase of over 12%, closing at HKD 2.79 with a trading volume of HKD 1.42 billion, driven by supportive government policies for personal consumption loans [1] Group 1: Government Policy Impact - On August 12, the Ministry of Finance, People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Bureau jointly issued a plan for fiscal subsidies on personal consumption loans, providing a 1% subsidy for eligible loans [1] - The policy targets key consumption areas, including household vehicles with loans exceeding RMB 50,000, which is expected to directly boost Yixin Group's business growth in the automotive finance sector [1] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Yixin Group showcased a series of AI innovations in the automotive finance sector at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference WAIC 2025, attracting significant attention from the industry [1] - The company's Chief AI Scientist and Senior Vice President, Zhang Lei, announced that Yixin's self-developed Agentic large model has entered a critical development phase, showing promising progress [1] - Current testing indicates that the Agentic model has achieved breakthroughs in dynamic decision-making, enabling the automation and intelligence of the entire automotive finance process, significantly improving processing times to a "second-level era" [1]

Core Insights - Yixin Group reported a slight decline in total financing in Q1 2025, primarily due to a slowdown in used car sales growth and a decrease in average financing amounts [1][2] Summary by Category Overall Performance - In Q1 2025, Yixin Group achieved a total of 172,000 auto financing transactions, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [1] - The total financing amount reached 15.3 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 5.0% [1] - The decline in total financing is attributed to a slowdown in used car sales growth, with a total of 4.607 million used cars sold nationwide in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 0.15% [1] Structural Changes - The proportion of used car financing has increased, with Q1 2025 used car financing transactions reaching 104,000, a year-on-year increase of 31.9%, accounting for 60.5% of total transactions, up 14.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The financing transactions for used electric vehicles reached 9,000, representing 23.2% of the company's new energy vehicle financing transactions, with a year-on-year increase of 10.7 percentage points [2] - The company's fintech business saw significant growth, facilitating a total financing amount of 6.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56.5%, accounting for 39.9% of total financing, up 15.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Investment Analysis - Yixin Group is recognized as a leading third-party auto finance provider, characterized by high dividend yields, with a dividend of 0.13 HKD in 2024 and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, resulting in a dividend yield of 6% for 2025 [2] - The company expresses strong confidence in future growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 1.09 billion, 1.30 billion, and 1.49 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 20%, and 14% respectively [2] - The dynamic PE ratios for 2025-2027 are estimated to be 12.1x, 10.1x, and 8.8x [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating for Sinotruk (Hong Kong) with a target price of HK$20.50, down from the previous target price of HK$21.40, indicating an 8.5% downside from the current price of HK$22.40 [1][3]. Core Views - Sinotruk's 2024 net profit is projected at RMB5.86 billion, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, which is slightly above the report's estimate but below Bloomberg's consensus [1]. - The management anticipates a decline in export sales for 2025, aligning with the report's view that exports will face pressure due to a high base in the Russian market [1]. - The report revises down the earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 by 2% and 3% respectively, primarily due to lower export volume assumptions and low engine margins [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is expected to grow from RMB85.04 billion in FY23 to RMB95.06 billion in FY24, with a projected growth rate of 11.8% [2]. - Net profit is forecasted to increase from RMB5.32 billion in FY23 to RMB5.86 billion in FY24, representing a 10.2% growth [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be RMB2.14 for FY24, with a year-over-year growth of 10.9% [2]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 10.9 in FY23 to 9.8 in FY24, indicating a more attractive valuation [2]. Segment Performance - Heavy-duty truck (HDT) sales are projected to grow by 3% in 2025, driven by a 12% increase in China, but offset by a 5% decline in exports [8]. - Light-duty truck (LDT) sales are expected to grow by 5% in 2025, with the segment potentially turning profitable [8]. - Engine sales volume is anticipated to grow by 5% in 2025, with stable segment margins around 14% [8]. Shareholding Structure - The major shareholders of Sinotruk include CNHTC with a 51% stake and MAN SE with a 25% stake [4]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a 1-month absolute performance of 8.5% and a 3-month relative performance of -1.1% [5].