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中国12月CPI环比由降转涨,同比涨幅继续扩大,核心CPI上涨1.2%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-09 01:35
中国12月CPI同比 0.8%,前值 0.7%。中国12月PPI同比 -1.9%,前值 -2.2%。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年12月份CPI和PPI数据: 12月份,扩内需促消费政策措施继续显效,叠加元旦临近,居民消费需求增加,居民消费价 格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.2%,同比上涨0.8%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨 1.2%。受国际大宗商品价格传导拉动以及国内重点行业产能治理相关政策持续显效等因素 影响,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.2%,同比下降1.9%。 一、CPI环比由降转涨,同比涨幅继续扩大,核心CPI上涨1.2% 色金属价格上行拉动国内有色金属矿采选业、有色金属冶炼和压延加工业价格环比分别上涨 3.7%和2.8%,其中银冶炼、金冶炼、铜冶炼、铝冶炼价格分别上涨13.5%、4.8%、4.6%和 0.9%。国际原油价格下行影响国内石油开采、精炼石油产品制造价格分别下降2.3%和 0.9%。 PPI同比下降1.9%,降幅比上月收窄0.3个百分点。国内各项宏观政策持续显效,部分行业价 格呈现积极变化。一是全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,相关行业价格同比降幅持续收 ...
基本面高频数据跟踪:铜库存小幅回升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-06 06:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Due to the lack of some high - frequency data during the festival, there is no forecast value for the current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is下调, with the signal factor at 3.1% (previous value was 3.2%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index is 127.9, with a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point compared to the previous value of 127.8, and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged at 4.9 points [1][9]. - In terms of total demand, the high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 40.5, a week - on - week decrease of 0.2 points compared to the previous value of 40.7, and the year - on - year decrease remains unchanged at 6.5 points; the high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 121.9, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 point compared to the previous value of 122.0, and the year - on - year increase narrows; the high - frequency index of exports is 143.7, remaining the same as the previous value, and the year - on - year increase narrows; the high - frequency index of consumption is 121.2, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point compared to the previous value of 121.1, and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged at 3.3 points [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the month - on - month forecast of CPI is 0.0% (previous value was 0.0%); the month - on - month forecast of PPI is 0.0% (previous value was 0.1%) [1][9]. - The high - frequency inventory index is 163.8, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 point compared to the previous value of 163.7, and the year - on - year increase remains unchanged at 7.4 points [1][10]. - The high - frequency financing index is 246.5, a week - on - week increase of 0.6 points compared to the previous value of 245.9, and the year - on - year increase rises [2][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index is Stable - Based on the report "Fundamental High - Frequency Data - An Effective Tool for Bond Market Investment" published on September 5, 2023, Guosheng Securities constructed a high - frequency data system covering overall, production, demand, prices, financing, etc., and built the Guosheng fixed - income fundamental high - frequency index and its sub - indices [8]. - From December 29, 2025, to January 4, 2026, due to the lack of some high - frequency data during the festival, there is no forecast value for the current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds is下调, with the signal factor at 3.1% (previous value was 3.2%) [1][9]. 3.2 Production: Overall Decline in Operating Rates During the Festival - The polyester operating rate is 86.0%, down from the previous value of 87.8%; the semi - tire operating rate is 69.4%, down from the previous value of 72.1%; the full - tire operating rate is 59.6%, down from the previous value of 62.0%; the PX operating rate is 88.4%, down from the previous value of 88.6%; the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port is 50.6 tons, up from the previous value of 47.0 tons [17]. 3.3 Real Estate Sales: Slight Decline in Commercial Housing Transaction Area - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large - and medium - sized cities in the current week is 390,000 square meters, down from the previous value of 420,000 square meters; the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large - and medium - sized cities is 2.1%, up from the previous value of 1.2% [30]. 3.4 Infrastructure Investment: High - Frequency Index of Infrastructure Investment Remains Stable - The high - frequency index of infrastructure investment in the current week is 121.9, down from the previous value of 122.0; the operating rate of petroleum asphalt is 27.4%, down from the previous value of 31.3% [39]. 3.5 Exports: Slight Decline in RJ/CRB Index - The high - frequency export index in the current week is 143.7, the same as the previous value; the RJ/CRB index is 299.9 points, down from the previous value of 300.6 points [46]. 3.6 Consumption: Increase in Average Daily Box Office of Movies - The average daily box office of movies is 166.12 million yuan, up from the previous value of 108.11 million yuan [58]. 3.7 CPI: Slight Increase in Pork Prices - The latest average wholesale price of pork is 17.7 yuan per kilogram, up from the previous value of 17.5 yuan per kilogram; the latest average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables is 5.6 yuan per kilogram, down from the previous value of 5.8 yuan per kilogram; the latest average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits is 7.8 yuan per kilogram, the same as the previous value; the latest average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.7 yuan per kilogram, down from the previous value of 17.9 yuan per kilogram [65]. 3.8 PPI: Continued Increase in Spot Price of Copper - The closing price of steam coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port is 673 yuan per ton, down from the previous value of 682 yuan per ton; the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 61 US dollars per barrel, down from the previous value of 62 US dollars per barrel; the spot settlement price of LME copper is 12,473 US dollars per ton, up from the previous value of 12,088 US dollars per ton; the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2,953 US dollars per ton, up from the previous value of 2,916 US dollars per ton [73]. 3.9 Transportation: Increase in the Number of Executed Flights - The passenger flow of the subway in first - tier cities in the current week is 38.97 million person - times, down from the previous value of 39.96 million person - times; the number of domestic executed flights is 12,548, up from the previous value of 12,353 [81]. 3.10 Inventory: Continuous Decline in Soda Ash Inventory - The soda ash inventory is 1.407 million tons, down from the previous value of 1.469 million tons [89]. 3.11 Financing: Credit Bond Financing Turns from Positive to Negative - The net financing of local government bonds in the week is 17.4 billion yuan, up from the previous value of - 3.2 billion yuan; the net financing of credit bonds is - 61.7 billion yuan, down from the previous value of 40.8 billion yuan; the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill transfer discount rate is 0.88%, down from the previous value of 0.93%; the average value of the bill rate - certificate of deposit rate is - 0.75%, down from the previous value of - 0.70% [100].
山东青岛西海岸新区市场监督管理局关于2025年6月份食品安全抽检结果公示(2025年第5期)
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-14 07:29
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint The Qingdao West Coast New Area Market Supervision Administration has published the results of food safety inspections conducted in June 2025, highlighting various non-compliance issues related to food safety standards. Group 1: Inspection Results - The inspection revealed multiple food products that failed to meet safety standards, including excessive levels of harmful substances such as lead (Pb) and cadmium (Cd) [1]. - Specific products listed as non-compliant include various agricultural products contaminated with pesticides and heavy metals, indicating potential risks to consumer health [1][2]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The announcement serves as a public notice to ensure transparency and accountability in food safety practices within the region [1]. - The Market Supervision Administration emphasizes its commitment to enforcing food safety laws and regulations to protect public health [1][2]. Group 3: Implications for the Industry - The findings may lead to increased scrutiny and regulatory actions against food producers and suppliers in the Qingdao area, potentially impacting their operations and market reputation [1][2]. - Companies in the food industry may need to enhance their quality control measures to comply with safety standards and avoid penalties [1][2].
重庆市綦江区市场监督管理局关于36批次食品安全抽检情况的通告(2025年第11号)
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-13 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The Chongqing Qijiang District Market Supervision Administration reported the results of food safety inspections, revealing that out of 36 samples tested, 33 were compliant while 3 were found to be non-compliant, prompting regulatory actions to address the issues [2][3]. Group 1: Inspection Results - A total of 36 food samples were tested, with 33 passing and 3 failing the safety standards [2]. - The non-compliant samples included excessive levels of sulfur dioxide and pesticide residues, which exceeded the national food safety standards [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The local market supervision authority has initiated legal actions against the non-compliant products as per the Food Safety Law of the People's Republic of China [2]. - Risk control measures have been implemented, including product recalls and removal from shelves, to mitigate potential health risks [2][3].