继峰股份 20250815 摘要 Q&A 公司在 2025 年上半年的整体运营情况如何？ 2025 年上半年，公司集团层面的营业收入同比下滑约 4%，但归母净利润大幅 增长，增幅接近 190%。扣非后的归母净利润同比增长约 600%，主要受到汇 率波动的影响。剔除汇率因素后，扣非规模比原规模多了约 3,500 万元。 公司的各业务板块表现如何？ 在具体业务板块方面，季丰本部的传统头枕扶手业务在 2025 年上半年营业收 入同比持平，下滑 1%，EBIT 则同比下滑 7.7%。去年同期 EBIT 为 2.12 亿元， 今年为 1.95 亿元，下滑约 2000 万元。这主要是由于合资企业占比下降、国内 自主品牌份额增加所致。 座椅事业部方面，2025 年上半年销售收入同比增长 120%，从去年的 9 亿元增至今年的 19.84 亿元。然而，归母净利润亏损扩大， 从去年的 2000 多万元亏损增至今年的 6,300 多万元亏损。这一现象主要是由 集团二季度营收环比增长 9%，但归母净利润减少约 5,000 万人民币， 主要受汇兑损失和研发费用上升影响。扣非归母净利润增加约 1,200 万 人民币。 公司坚持聚焦乘用 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on profitability due to fluctuations in the luxury car market and rising costs, with a focus on positioning itself in the low-altitude economy [1][3] - The company has increased its R&D investment significantly, which has impacted short-term profits but is aimed at enhancing competitiveness in the industry [2][3] - The company is expanding its customer matrix and product offerings in the automotive parts business, focusing on smart upgrades and new business opportunities in the low-altitude economy [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 160 million yuan, a decrease of 3.7% [1][11] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.64 million yuan, a decrease of 49.1% [1][11] - The company's gross profit margin for 2024 was 24.2%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.6%, also down by 0.2 percentage points [2][11] Business Segment Insights - The automotive parts business generated 5.09 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 86.2% of total revenue, with a focus on optimizing the customer matrix and expanding into new areas [3] - The weighing instrument business generated 770 million yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 13.0% of total revenue, with ongoing efforts to enhance brand premium and product competitiveness [4] Shareholder Changes and Strategic Outlook - The controlling shareholder has changed to Joyson Electronics, which holds a 29.0% stake as of Q1 2025, potentially leading to strategic synergies in automotive parts and emerging businesses [5] - The company expects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% in net profit attributable to shareholders over the next three years, with projected net profits of 160 million, 200 million, and 240 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the integration of Grammer is deepening, and the overseas performance inflection point has been basically established [1][9][10] - The company has completed the acquisition of Grammer and is advancing integration from multiple aspects, despite challenges such as the global pandemic and chip shortages [1][20][23] - In 2024, the company will continue to deepen the integration of Grammer overseas, with measures including the divestiture of the loss-making North American TMD subsidiary and strategic adjustments in the European region [1][28][29] Group 2 - The passenger car seat market is accelerating, with a market size exceeding 100 billion yuan in China, driven by consumer upgrades [2][39][43] - The industry has high barriers to entry, creating a favorable competitive landscape, with major players being foreign and joint ventures [2][47][51] - The company has secured a substantial number of high-quality seat projects, covering major OEMs, and an employee stock ownership plan is expected to enhance profitability [2][57][59] Group 3 - The company forecasts a significant improvement in performance, with net profits projected to reach 6.46 billion yuan, 10.97 billion yuan, and 13.84 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [4][61] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the passenger car seat industry, benefiting from a broad market space and accelerated domestic substitution [4][64] - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to its performance reversal and expected valuation premium [4][64]

Group 1 - Several listed companies, including Absen Optoelectronics, Gujia Home Furnishing, and Xiangshan Group, have announced plans for private placements, indicating strong confidence from controlling shareholders in the companies' future development [1][2] - Controlling shareholders' participation in private placements is closely related to policy support and relatively low market valuation levels, which helps convey confidence to the market and supports business development and R&D processes [1][2] - Absen plans to raise up to 360 million yuan through a private placement to its controlling shareholder, with the funds intended to supplement working capital [1] Group 2 - Gujia Home Furnishing aims to raise up to 1.997 billion yuan through a private placement, with funds allocated for smart transformation of production lines, expansion of functional iron frame production lines, R&D of smart home products, and digital transformation projects [2] - Xiangshan Group plans to raise up to 812 million yuan through a private placement to its controlling shareholder, focusing on enhancing its funding strength to invest in innovative products in the competitive automotive parts sector [2][3] - The active participation of controlling shareholders in private placements is also aimed at maintaining control stability and optimizing corporate governance structures, which can enhance overall competitiveness and promote sustainable development [2][3]

Group 1 - The 20th Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition (2025 Shanghai Auto Show) was held from April 23 to May 2, showcasing the advancements in intelligent cockpits and new energy charging systems, with Jiangsu Junsheng Group, a subsidiary of Xiangshan Co., Ltd., making a significant appearance [1] - Junsheng Electronics launched the new immersive intelligent cockpit, JoySpace+, which integrates smart technology and humanistic aesthetics to enhance the driving experience [4] - The cockpit features a "hidden electric air vent" designed to reduce visual clutter, utilizing fluid dynamics algorithms for automatic adjustment of airflow direction and volume, along with a smart air purification system that monitors and filters PM2.5 [7] Group 2 - Junsheng Group has over 20 years of experience in the intelligent cockpit sector, providing air management systems and luxury smart components to top global automotive brands such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi, while also serving domestic brands like BYD and NIO [12] - From 2019 to 2023, Junsheng's air management systems ranked first in the domestic market share and second globally, recognized as a national champion product [12] - With the acquisition of Junsheng Electronics as a controlling shareholder, Xiangshan Co., Ltd. is entering a new development phase, focusing on R&D in intelligent cockpits and new energy systems while exploring emerging fields like low-altitude economy [12][13] Group 3 - Xiangshan Co., Ltd. is expanding its business into the low-altitude economy, including flying car projects, and is enhancing its core component R&D and production capabilities to meet future market demands [13] - The company has established three R&D centers in China, Germany, and North America, along with 15 production bases, actively participating in international standard-setting and supporting domestic brands in global markets [13] - Xiangshan Co., Ltd. aims to deepen its high-end, global, and innovative strategies, enhancing cooperation with traditional luxury and domestic brands worldwide to improve the position of the Chinese automotive industry in the global value chain [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Views - The company’s subsidiary, Grammer, turned profitable in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of €487.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, and a net profit of €9.7 million, marking a turnaround from losses [2][3]. - The restructuring measures under the "Top 10" plan are beginning to show results, particularly in the EMEA region, which has positively impacted performance [2][4]. - The company is expanding its market presence in the electric vehicle sector, with significant growth potential in domestic seat assembly projects, having secured 21 projects with a total lifecycle value of approximately ¥888-935 billion [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Grammer's revenue was €487.4 million, with a net profit of €9.7 million, leading to a significant increase in net profit attributable to the parent company of ¥65.4 million, a year-on-year increase of ¥106.8 million [2][3]. - The company forecasts revenue for 2025 to reach ¥267.50 billion, with net profit expected to be ¥6.61 billion, translating to an EPS of ¥0.52 [4][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company aims to become a global leader in smart cockpits by leveraging the strengths of both Grammer and itself, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [4]. - The company has made significant strides in the passenger car seat business, achieving mass production and substantial revenue growth from new projects [3][4]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at ¥267.50 billion, ¥299.50 billion, and ¥359.50 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of ¥6.61 billion, ¥9.50 billion, and ¥13.47 billion [4][6].