Core Viewpoint - The construction of a national unified market is a strategic deployment by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, aimed at breaking through the challenges posed by globalization and enhancing the socialist market economy [1] Group 1: Role of Futures Market - The futures market serves as a core component of the modern financial system, facilitating price discovery, risk management, and resource allocation, which are essential for the construction of a national unified market [1] - The futures market can provide pricing benchmarks for major commodities, helping to eliminate regional barriers and create a unified market expectation [2][3] - The authority of futures prices can guide resource flow to more efficient regions, enhancing the national production and circulation network [2] Group 2: Enhancing Market Resilience - The futures market offers risk management tools that stabilize industrial chains and enhance market resilience, allowing companies to hedge against price fluctuations [4] - Companies can lock in costs and revenues through futures contracts, ensuring supply chain stability and reducing regional shortages or surpluses [4] - The application of futures tools fosters collaboration among upstream and downstream enterprises, improving overall efficiency in the industrial chain [5] Group 3: Optimizing Resource Allocation - The futures market guides the flow of capital, technology, and data to high-value sectors, promoting a transition from low-level expansion to high-quality development [6] - The market's investment attractiveness directs social capital towards efficient industries, reducing resource misallocation [6] - The integration of standardization and digital transformation in the futures market supports the construction of a national unified market [6] Group 4: Institutional Innovation - The development of the futures market must align with the institutional design of the national unified market, providing a model for market governance [7] - The standardization of futures market practices can accelerate the integration of market rules nationwide, reducing local protectionism [7] - The futures market is becoming a testing ground for aligning domestic and international regulatory frameworks, facilitating the integration of global value chains [7] Group 5: Future Directions - The futures market can further enhance its role in the national unified market by developing strategic product systems and promoting innovative futures products [10] - The "insurance + futures" model can bridge the gap between urban and rural market participation, enhancing the resilience of small farmers [11] - Strengthening cross-regional regulatory collaboration and establishing a unified risk prevention network are essential for market stability [12] - Promoting the dual opening of the futures market and aligning with international rules can enhance the global influence of Chinese pricing [12]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Shanghai Offshore Economic Function Zone is a strategic move in response to the profound adjustments in the global financial landscape, aiming to enhance Shanghai's international financial center capabilities and facilitate the internationalization of the Renminbi from "trade settlement" to "reserve currency" [1] Institutional Innovation - The core competitiveness of the Shanghai Offshore Economic Function Zone lies in a regulatory framework that aligns with international practices while incorporating Chinese characteristics, emphasizing "transparent rules + precise regulation" [2] - The zone will implement a "boundary management" approach, allowing foreign capital to flow freely while ensuring that offshore activities do not disrupt the onshore financial system [2] Business Environment Innovation - The average approval time for foreign financial institutions to set up offshore business departments in China is currently 187 days, significantly longer than the 4-week standard in Dubai. The zone aims to reduce this to 30 days through a "commitment system + full-process supervision" [3] - The zone will promote a "multi-currency fund pool + blockchain clearing" model to enhance cross-border settlement efficiency, targeting a significant increase in corporate fund turnover rates by 2025 [3] Tax Policy Design - The zone will adopt a "low tax + strong regulation" policy, proposing a 5% capital gains tax and zero VAT for offshore financial activities, while implementing strict anti-tax avoidance measures [4] - A "tax neutrality + anti-avoidance" mechanism will be established to prevent tax arbitrage and ensure compliance in offshore operations [4] Legal and Regulatory Coordination - A "special legal application zone" will be created to allow international commercial contracts to choose applicable laws, enhancing the legal framework for offshore operations [5][6] - A joint regulatory meeting involving the central bank, foreign exchange bureau, and financial regulatory authorities will oversee offshore financial activities, promoting innovation while managing risks [6] Business Ecosystem - The zone will focus on providing comprehensive services for cross-border trade and investment, particularly for countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [7] - The offshore bond market will be a key focus, with targets set for issuance and financing for infrastructure projects by 2026 [8] Internal and External Coordination - The zone will establish a network linking itself with Hong Kong and global nodes, facilitating risk isolation and collaborative value release [12] - A "Shanghai-Hong Kong offshore financial express" mechanism will be implemented to allow for the flow of funds based on real trade backgrounds [13] Risk Prevention - A "prevention-monitoring-disposal" risk control system will be established to mitigate concerns about risk spillover [16] - The zone will implement strict account management to ensure complete separation between offshore and onshore accounts, with rigorous transaction verification processes [17] Ecological Support - The zone will develop a talent system to attract and cultivate international financial professionals, aiming to increase the proportion of foreign talent by 2025 [21] - High-level infrastructure will be enhanced to improve global competitiveness, including the establishment of a global offshore financial data port [22]

Group 1 - Green finance acts as a "lubricant" in the era of carbon neutrality, facilitating the flow of social capital towards low-carbon, environmentally friendly, and efficient industries [1] - Green finance is defined as financial services that support environmental improvement, climate change response, and resource efficiency, including various tools like green credit, green bonds, and green insurance [2] - The global rise of green finance is evident, with multiple countries implementing policies to support its development, such as the EU's Green Deal and initiatives in China, the US, and Japan [2] Group 2 - The futures market plays a crucial role in green finance by providing price signals that help businesses manage risks associated with price volatility in green industry-related commodities [3] - Futures markets enhance investor confidence in green projects by offering risk management tools, allowing companies to hedge against price fluctuations in raw materials and carbon emissions [3][4] - Innovations in domestic futures markets, such as options and swaps, provide businesses with diverse risk management choices tailored to their specific needs [3] Group 3 - The price discovery and risk management functions of futures markets can attract more funds and resources into green industries, optimizing resource allocation and enhancing competitiveness [4] - Practical examples include the soybean market, where futures signals guide farmers in crop selection and risk management through insurance and futures contracts [5] - The cotton futures market supports both cotton growers and textile companies in managing price risks while promoting green production practices [5] Group 4 - The natural gas futures market aids in locking in prices for producers and consumers, contributing to infrastructure development and energy transition [6] - The copper futures market allows electronic companies to stabilize production costs while encouraging green production methods through "green copper" standards [6] - Lithium futures markets support the rapid development of the electric vehicle industry by providing price discovery and risk management platforms [6] Group 5 - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange is planning to list carbon emission rights futures to help companies manage carbon quota price volatility, promoting a healthy carbon market [7] - Overall, the integration of futures markets and green finance provides robust support for sustainable economic development, guiding funds towards green industries and facilitating the green transition of the real economy [7]

5月12日，中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局、广东省人民政府联合印发《关于 金融支持广州南沙深化面向世界的粤港澳全面合作的意见》（下称《意见》），从完善创新创业金融服 务、发展特色金融服务、推进粤港澳金融市场互联互通等方面提出30条重点举措，推动广州南沙在粤港 澳大湾区"新发展格局战略支点、高质量发展示范地、中国式现代化引领地"建设中更好发挥引领带动作 用。 鼓励广期所积极探索电力期货 期货日报记者注意到，《意见》给予了广期所多项支持政策。在创新服务低碳发展的绿色金融业务方 面，《意见》提出，"鼓励广期所积极探索电力期货，做精做深新能源期货品种体系"。 随着我国电力现货市场加速推进，建设电力期货市场的呼声愈发强烈。今年全国两会期间，全国人大代 表、阳光电源董事长曹仁贤建议，推进电力期货市场，完善全国电力统一大市场。结合我国国情推进电 力期货市场建设，充分发挥期货市场价格发现、风险管理和优化资源配置的功能。 "电力作为最具同质性的商品之一，具备品质稳定、价格不易被操纵且波动频繁等期货品种所需的特 点，非常适合开展期货交易。"业内人士表示，境外的电力期货实践表明，其可以有效规避电力市场的 风险因 ...

Group 1: Policy and Market Interaction - The implementation of the "Opinions" by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to align capital market functions with national strategies, opening new dimensions for financial tools to serve the real economy [1] - The financial innovation in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is expanding along five dimensions defined by the policy [1] Group 2: Financial Innovation for Technology Enterprises - The "Opinions" emphasize the need to "smooth financing channels for technology enterprises," which can alleviate the dual pressures of R&D cycles and market fluctuations [2] - Financial derivatives can provide risk mitigation for technology companies, allowing them to stabilize costs by locking in raw material prices through futures trading [2] Group 3: Green Transformation and Value Reconstruction - The exploration of green finance by the Guangzhou Futures Exchange aims to incorporate environmental costs into market pricing, marking a significant institutional breakthrough [3] - The demand for new energy metals like lithium and cobalt is increasing with the rapid development of the electric vehicle industry, and integrating environmental costs into pricing can promote greener production practices [3] Group 4: Inclusive Finance and Service Enhancement - The "Opinions" call for improving service quality for small and micro enterprises, expanding traditional financial services to include tailored micro contracts [4] - This shift allows small and micro enterprises to engage in risk management through futures markets, enhancing the resilience of the industrial ecosystem [4] Group 5: Wealth Management in an Aging Society - The "Opinions" address the need for innovative pension finance solutions, allowing pension funds to diversify their investments through commodity index funds and futures markets [5] - This approach aims to counter inflation and reshape wealth management strategies in the context of demographic changes [5] Group 6: Regulatory Evolution through Technology - The "Opinions" advocate for the development of regulatory big data warehouses and industry databases, facilitating the application of technologies like blockchain for market oversight [6] - The use of smart algorithms can enhance regulatory efficiency by enabling real-time analysis of trading data, thus improving market transparency [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Tariff issues continue to disrupt the market, being the main trading logic. Most non - US countries aim to negotiate agreements with the US. After the US delays imposing reciprocal tariffs, other countries also delay counter - measures [1]. - The market is in a high - level oscillation, lacking unilateral investment opportunities. The impact of tariffs on the real economy is gradually emerging, and risk appetite is difficult to improve significantly [2][21]. - The price trends of various commodities are affected by factors such as supply - demand relationships, policies, and weather, showing different characteristics of oscillation, strength, or weakness. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Reviews 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - Tariff issues continue to disrupt the market. Gold oscillated and closed higher, showing strength. The market is concerned about future Sino - US negotiation space. The actual trade has been affected, and economic downward pressure is increasing. Market sentiment is bullish, but attention should be paid to increased volatility [12]. - Investment advice: Short - term market volatility increases, so pay attention to risks [12]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted 164.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations. The market is in high - level oscillation, lacking unilateral investment opportunities. Attention can be paid to the positive arbitrage opportunities of short - term varieties [13]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to the positive arbitrage opportunities of short - term varieties [14]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Multiple events such as the US considering tax increases on the rich, investigating key minerals, and the slow progress of US - EU trade negotiations have occurred. The difficulty of trade negotiations persists, and the market should have a long - term expectation for tariff negotiations [15][18]. - Investment advice: The US dollar index will rebound in the short term [19]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - New York state's manufacturing has contracted for two consecutive months, and Canada will conditionally exempt some counter - measures against US - imported cars. The EU expects US tariffs to remain unchanged. The impact of tariffs on the real economy is emerging, and the stock index is expected to oscillate weakly [20][21]. - Investment advice: Although US stocks have temporarily stabilized, they have not completely reversed their weak performance [21]. 3.2 Commodity News and Reviews 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - The NOPA's March soybean crushing volume was lower than expected, and ANEC raised Brazil's April soybean export forecast. Domestic soybean import costs have decreased. The spot market has mixed price changes, and the basis contract is the main form of trading [22][24]. - Investment advice: The futures price is expected to oscillate. Pay attention to Brazil's export quotes, US soybean growing area weather, and Sino - US relations. The spot and basis of soybean meal will be under pressure [24]. 3.2.2 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - The export tariff of Malaysian crude palm oil in May remains at 10%, and the reference price is lowered. The export of Malaysian palm oil from April 1 - 15 increased. The oil market oscillated. Rapeseed oil was affected by rumors, palm oil was supported by exports, and soybean oil was affected by the expectation of high soybean arrivals [25][26]. - Investment advice: It is advisable to long - allocate distant - month soybean oil. The price of palm oil will be weak until its cost - performance is fully restored [27]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - Guangxi issued a drought risk warning for sugarcane. Brazil's sugar exports in the first two weeks of April decreased year - on - year. The sugar mill's high - price sales support the futures market, but it is in the off - season, and the downstream acceptance of high prices is low. The international market may be under pressure, and the import volume is expected to increase [30][33]. - Investment advice: Zhengzhou sugar is expected to oscillate weakly in Q2 2025, and attention should be paid to the origin weather and Brazil's crushing production [33]. 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - Starch enterprises' losses remain unchanged. The raw material cost is high, and the downstream demand is weak. The futures price difference is affected by complex factors, and the loss may lead to a reduction in production. The substitution of wheat may affect the regional price difference [34][35]. - Investment advice: The futures price difference of corn starch has complex influencing factors and is expected to have small fluctuations [36]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The spot price of corn is stable. The import of grains is decreasing, and the inventory reduction in Northeast China is accelerating. The drought in North China wheat may affect the market [37]. - Investment advice: Before the May delivery, pay attention to inventory reduction in Northeast China and North China wheat production. Otherwise, the second - round upward repair of old - crop corn may be driven by the tightening of inventory after the May delivery [37]. 3.2.6 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - In early April, the daily output of key steel enterprises' crude steel increased, and the inventory increased. The steel price oscillated, and the market driver is not obvious. The market is waiting for policy signals and the impact of administrative crude steel production cuts [38][40]. - Investment advice: Be cautious about steel price rebounds, operate with light positions, and use spot for rebound hedging [41]. 3.2.7 Non - ferrous Metals (Copper) - In March 2025, the production of domestic cathode copper increased. The US copper industry called for export restrictions instead of tariff policies. The global economic downturn concerns and domestic supply - demand conditions may suppress copper prices [42][44]. - Investment advice: In the short term, copper prices are expected to oscillate widely. It is advisable to conduct band operations unilaterally and remain on the sidelines for arbitrage [44]. 3.2.8 Non - ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - The polysilicon production plan is expected to increase, but the high inventory and weak demand may put pressure on the spot price. The number of registered warehouse receipts is limited [46]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to the opportunities of going long on PS2506 at low prices and shorting PS2511 at high prices unilaterally. Hold the PS2506 - PS2511 positive arbitrage [46]. 3.2.9 Non - ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The demand for industrial silicon raw materials is weak, and the price of silica has decreased regionally. The supply is loose, and the demand is mainly for rigid needs. The market is affected by factors such as factory production reduction and policy [47]. - Investment advice: The price of industrial silicon is expected to oscillate between 9000 - 10500 yuan/ton. Pay attention to shorting opportunities after the price rebounds [49]. 3.2.10 Non - ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - The discovery of high - grade tin - tantalum mineralization in a project may affect the market sentiment. The short - term supply reduction may help the price stabilize, but the long - term external demand is uncertain due to the tariff war [50][51]. - Investment advice: Short - term lithium prices may stabilize, and short positions can consider taking profits. In the medium - long term, pay attention to shorting opportunities on rebounds [51]. 3.2.11 Non - ferrous Metals (Nickel) - The LME will add two nickel delivery warehouses in Hong Kong. The macro - market and supply - demand factors affect nickel prices. The current nickel price may be oversold, and there are opportunities for upward repair [52][53]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to long - buying opportunities at low prices, manage positions well, and find short - matching varieties to hedge risks [53]. 3.2.12 Non - ferrous Metals (Lead) - The lead price oscillated, following macro - news. The supply of primary lead decreased, and the raw material of recycled lead was in short supply. The import window of crude lead opened, and the inventory decreased slightly [54][55]. - Investment advice: In the short term, wait and see. Hold previous long positions and wait for buying opportunities on pullbacks. Hold the internal - external reverse arbitrage [55]. 3.2.13 Non - ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The LME approved four LME - approved warehousing facilities in Hong Kong. The zinc price oscillated downward, and the inventory may turn from decreasing to increasing. In the short term, zinc prices will oscillate widely, and in the medium term, it is advisable to short on rebounds [56][58]. - Investment advice: Unilaterally, pay attention to shorting opportunities on medium - term rebounds near the moving average. For arbitrage, remain on the sidelines for inter - period and hold the internal - external positive arbitrage in the medium term [58]. 3.2.14 Energy Chemicals (Crude Oil) - The API crude oil inventory increased, and the IEA lowered the global oil demand growth forecast. The oil price oscillated, and the market is pessimistic about the demand outlook [59][60]. - Investment advice: The short - term crude oil price will maintain an oscillating pattern [61]. 3.2.15 Energy Chemicals (PTA) - The PTA spot price decreased, and the basis strengthened slightly. The terminal demand is affected by tariffs, and the supply - side inventory decreased due to maintenance. In the short term, it may rebound slightly, but in the long term, it is bearish [62][63]. - Investment advice: The rebound height of the PTA industry chain is limited, and it is bearish in the medium - long term [64]. 3.2.16 Energy Chemicals (Urea) - The urea market prices in Shandong and Henan decreased slightly. The supply is stable, and the demand is for rigid needs. The future supply may increase, and the demand is restricted by the downstream's acceptance of high - price复合肥 [65][66]. - Investment advice: The urea price will oscillate weakly. Pay attention to the demand in traditional and new delivery areas [66]. 3.2.17 Energy Chemicals (Styrene) - The trading volume of Shandong styrene decreased. The styrene price oscillated weakly, and the supply - demand pattern is relatively better than that of pure benzene. However, the demand after May is still under pressure [67][68]. - Investment advice: Consider taking profits on the strategy of expanding the styrene - pure benzene price difference. The styrene price is expected to be under pressure [68]. 3.2.18 Energy Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The price of liquid caustic soda in Shandong increased steadily. The supply increased, and the demand improved. The price may have bottomed out, but there is still macro - uncertainty [69]. - Investment advice: Temporarily wait and see [70]. 3.2.19 Energy Chemicals (Pulp) - The price of imported wood pulp was mainly stable, with some local price drops. The pulp price is affected by the macro - environment [71]. - Investment advice: Wait and see [73]. 3.2.20 Energy Chemicals (PVC) - The spot price of PVC powder decreased slightly, and the trading was poor. The market is affected by tariffs and domestic stimulus policies [74]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to the impact of tariffs on demand and the scale and type of domestic stimulus policies [74]. 3.2.21 Energy Chemicals (Bottle Chips) - The export quotes of bottle chip factories decreased locally. The bottle chip market is affected by raw materials and tariffs. The supply and demand both increase, and the processing fee is expected to oscillate at a low level [75][76]. - Investment advice: The processing fee of bottle chips will oscillate in a low - level range [76]. 3.2.22 Energy Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - In 2025, the national carbon emission trading market work started. Three industries will be included in the carbon market, and the carbon emission price is expected to be under pressure [77]. - Investment advice: The CEA price will be under pressure [78]. 3.2.23 Energy Chemicals (Soda Ash) - The price of soda ash in the southwest market oscillated at a low level. The supply is at a high level, and the demand is weak [79]. - Investment advice: The soda ash futures price is expected to be under pressure, and it is advisable to short on rebounds in the medium term [79]. 3.2.24 Energy Chemicals (Float Glass) - The price of float glass in the Shahe market was stable. The glass price decreased, and the demand in different regions is different [80]. - Investment advice: In the short term, the near - month contract will be under pressure. Consider going long on distant - month contracts on large pullbacks, but the rebound space is not optimistic [81][82]. 3.2.25 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - MSC is expected to become the world's largest terminal operator. The spot index is lower than expected, and the market is worried about the excess capacity on the US line [83]. - Investment advice: The excess capacity on the US line may suppress the upward space of the market. The European line will be weak in the short term. Pay attention to low - buying opportunities due to sentiment over - selling [83].