消息面上，1月13日晚间，容百科技发布公告，公司与宁德时代签署《磷酸铁锂正极材料采购合作协 议》，自2026年第一季度开始至2031年，预计将向宁德时代国内区域供应磷酸铁锂正极材料305万吨， 总销售金额超1200亿元，预计将对公司未来经营业绩产生积极且重要的影响。 科创新能源ETF紧密跟踪上证科创板新能源指数，上证科创板新能源指数从科创板市场中选取50只市值 较大的光伏、风电以及新能源车等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映科创板市场代表性新能源 产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)前十大权重股分别为晶科能源、阿特 斯、天合光能、容百科技、大全能源、厦钨新能、嘉元科技、天奈科技、孚能科技、固德威，前十大权 重股合计占比46.84%。 科创新能源ETF（588830）、创业板新能源ETF鹏华（159261） 有机构指出，容百科技革命性的一步法工艺可将传统磷酸铁工艺生产流程由15道缩短至6道，单吨投资 成本与能耗控制方面具备明显优势，投资成本降低约40%，能耗降低约30%，折算下来单吨成本下降 1000元；同时，原料使用品位99.2%的盐湖碳 ...

截至2026年1月6日 09:52，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)强势上涨2.91%，成分股高测股份(688556)上 涨15.93%，奥特维(688516)上涨12.75%，固德威(688390)上涨10.50%，微导纳米(688147)，骄成超声 (688392)等个股跟涨。科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨2.79%，最新价报1.55元。 消息面上：（1）固态电池首个国家标准《电动汽车用固态电池第1部分：术语和分类》公开征求意见。 （2）红旗研发总院研发的首台全固态电池包成功装载于红旗天工06车型试制下线，正式进入实车测试 阶段。（3）贝特瑞与深圳清研电子签署合资公司合作协议，双方将就推动干法电极产业化工作展开深 入合作。（4）芬兰初创企业DonutLab宣布推出全球首款具备商业化量产条件的全固态电池（能量密度 400wh/kg），该产品将在2026年CES展会展出，并计划2026Q1搭载于Verge摩托车中。（5）后续大厂产 线招标、2月7-8日第三届中国全固态电池创新发展高峰论坛和5月13-15日2026年CIBF展会或将为固态电 池相关行情提供持续催化。 券商研究方面，有机构指出，国家市场 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, leveraging insights from previous strategy reports on industry style continuation and switching perspectives [1] - The strategy update indicates a cumulative net return of approximately 0.53% for the period from December 15 to December 19, 2025, with an excess return of about 0.66% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2][11] - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 26.72%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 5.86% [2] ETF Holdings and Performance - The report lists various ETFs with their market values and performance, highlighting the following: - Real Estate ETF (3.51 billion) is newly added with a 100% allocation to real estate development, showing a weekly timing signal of -1 [2] - Battery ETF (145.30 billion) continues to be held with a 62.7% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Innovative Energy ETF (12.02 billion) continues to be held with a 46.04% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Consumer Electronics ETF (11.41 billion) is newly added with a 46.5% allocation to semiconductors, showing a weekly timing signal of 0 [2] - Grid Equipment ETF (31.17 billion) continues to be held with an 80.77% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 1 [2] - 5G Communication ETF (79.24 billion) is newly added with a 41.2% allocation, showing a weekly timing signal of 1 [2] Weekly Recommendations - For the week of December 22 to December 26, 2025, the report recommends increasing holdings in sectors such as real estate development, batteries, and photovoltaic equipment, while continuing to hold existing positions in battery, innovative energy, and grid equipment ETFs [11]

消息面上，碳酸锂市场近期情绪升温，价格快速上行。江西宜春地区注销27个矿山采矿权，叠加宁德时 代旗下枧下窝矿区环评进程启动，市场普遍解读为供应端整顿趋严且复产预期推迟，强化了锂资源供应 偏紧的预期。与此同时，机构调研观点指出，市场正上修对2026年碳酸锂供需的预期，若1月下游正极 材料订单环比降幅有限，价格有望保持强势。 截至2025年12月22日 10:13，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)强势上涨1.05%，成分股微导纳米(688147) 上涨11.26%，骄成超声(688392)上涨8.90%，高测股份(688556)上涨3.70%，壹石通(688733)，嘉元科技 (688388)等个股跟涨。科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨1.07%，最新价报1.42元。 券商研究方面，光大证券指出，近期枧下窝锂矿进行第一次环评信息公示，若 Q1 需求淡季不淡预期兑 现，碳酸锂去库趋势有望延续。锂电需求端整体博弈国内储能 2026 年招标预期，新能源车和重卡 26 年 销量预期较为悲观，存在上修空间；供给端锂电产业链亦有"反内卷"逻辑加持，供需好转趋势确立。短 期六氟磷酸锂预期已较高，从中期看可重点关注供给变 ...

数据显示，截至2025年11月28日，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)前十大权重股分别为阿特斯 (688472)、天合光能(688599)、晶科能源(688223)、大全能源(688303)、容百科技(688005)、天奈科技 (688116)、厦钨新能(688778)、嘉元科技(688388)、孚能科技(688567)、派能科技(688063)，前十大权重 股合计占比47.84%。 截至2025年12月17日 13:19，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)强势上涨1.20%，成分股骄成超声(688392) 上涨11.11%，华盛锂电(688353)上涨9.04%，固德威(688390)上涨4.40%，厦钨新能(688778)，海目星 (688559)等个股跟涨。科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨1.24%，最新价报1.39元。 科创新能源ETF（588830），创业板新能源ETF（159261），光伏ETF基金（159863） 消息面上，中国一汽红旗品牌运营委员会副总裁蒋文虎近日透露，中国一汽联合27家单位联合攻关固态 电池研发，目前已完成66Ah电芯试制，正在向量产阶段加速迈进，"2027年底，中 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.11%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 2.1%, while the North Stock 50 rose by 0.54% [1] - The total market turnover was 1.75 trillion yuan, a decrease of 46.3 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The dairy and retail sectors were active, while the commercial aerospace sector saw a rise in the afternoon [1] - Precious metals, film and television, and photovoltaic sectors experienced adjustments [1] ETF Performance - Some cross-border ETFs strengthened, with the Huaxia Fund Brazil ETF, Invesco Great Wall Fund S&P Consumer ETF, and E Fund Brazil ETF rising by 2.21%, 1.64%, and 1.31% respectively [1] - The fintech sector showed active performance, with the Fintech ETF from Industrial Bank rising by 1.3% [1] - The autonomous driving sector also saw gains, with the Huatai-PB Fund Intelligent Driving ETF and Penghua Fund Intelligent Connected Vehicle ETF increasing by 1.16% and 0.8% respectively [1] Declines in Specific Sectors - Gold stocks faced significant declines, with the Gold Stock ETF, Gold Stocks ETF, and Gold Stocks ETF Fund dropping by 4.16%, 3.91%, and 3.78% respectively [1] - The electric grid sector saw a comprehensive decline, with the Electric Grid ETF falling by 3.48% [1] - The photovoltaic sector also adjusted, with the Photovoltaic ETF Fund and Kexin New Energy ETF both decreasing by 3% [1]

Market Overview - A-shares have seen a significant decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping from a high of 4034 points in mid-November to near 3800 points [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.74%, while the Hang Seng Index and the China Enterprises Index dropped by 1.54% and 1.79%, respectively, marking recent lows [1] - Bitcoin has recently fallen below $86,000 for the first time in two weeks, and gold prices ended a five-day increase, with COMEX gold down by 0.61% [1] ETF Performance - Gold-themed ETFs have experienced notable declines, with the Yongying Gold Stock ETF dropping by 4.16%, leading the market [2] - Other ETFs in sectors such as semiconductor, new energy, photovoltaic, and artificial intelligence also saw declines exceeding 3% [1][2] Reasons for Market Adjustment - The recent downturn in A-shares is attributed to three main factors: a significant drop in the AI sector of the US stock market, a hawkish stance on interest rate cuts, and increased liquidity demands as the year-end approaches [4] - The AI sector's decline was highlighted by major US tech stocks losing substantial market value, impacting the A-share technology index [4] Future Market Outlook - Despite recent volatility, several brokerages suggest that the spring market rally may still be anticipated, supported by policy measures and liquidity improvements as year-end approaches [6] - There is a consensus among institutions that the current market conditions may present opportunities for a "spring rally," particularly in sectors aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan" such as quantum technology and biomanufacturing [7] 2026 Market Predictions - Looking ahead to 2026, institutions are optimistic about the equity market, particularly in technology, which is expected to remain a key focus [9] - The return of foreign capital to the Chinese market is anticipated, with sectors such as high-end manufacturing and biotechnology expected to offer significant investment opportunities [10]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, leveraging insights from previous strategy reports on industry rotation and ETF market overview [2]. - The strategy has shown a cumulative net return of approximately 1.44% during the period from December 8 to December 12, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 1.53% [3]. - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 26.05%, with an excess return of about 5.03% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [3]. ETF Holdings and Performance - The report lists various ETFs with their respective market values and sector weights, indicating a shift in holdings towards sectors such as batteries, photovoltaic equipment, and automation equipment [3]. - The weekly performance of the ETF portfolio shows an average return of 1.44%, while the CSI 300 ETF had a return of 1.53%, indicating a slight underperformance of the strategy in that week [12]. - The report recommends increasing positions in ETFs related to batteries, photovoltaic equipment, automation equipment, chemical products, and airport sectors for the upcoming week [12].

消息面上，由多家硅料龙头企业联合投资设立的北京光和谦成科技有限责任公司近日正式登记成立，这 被视为光伏行业"反内卷"的重要一步。未来，相关企业规划保留的硅料产能不会超过150万吨;另外，光 和谦成公司目前注册资本为30亿元，持股比例靠前的股东包括通威、协鑫、东方希望、大全能源、新特 能源等。该知情人士介绍，光和谦成公司未来会进行增资，届时各股东持股份额仍会有变动，而且，光 和谦成公司股权份额将可以在股东内部自由流动。 科创新能源ETF（588830），创业板新能源ETF（159261），光伏ETF基金（159863） 江海证券指出，多晶硅行业有望进入"市场化运作+行业协同调控"的新发展阶段。与市场上现有的多晶 硅生产企业或贸易商截然不同，光和谦成科技明确了一个核心定位："不负责卖多晶硅"。公司核心使命 在于搭建一个行业级的产能整合与战略收储平台，通过市场化手段，对行业产能与产品进行调节与托 底。综合行业成本测算，引入新机制后，多晶硅市场主流价格预计将稳定在每吨6万元以上。光伏头部 企业2026年有望盈利，关注2025光伏行业大会。 科创新能源ETF紧密跟踪上证科创板新能源指数，上证科创板新能源指数从科创板市场 ...

截至2025年12月8日 11:25，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)强势上涨，成分股利元亨(688499)上涨 17.12%，嘉元科技(688388)上涨6.56%，先惠技术(688155)上涨6.36%，海目星(688559)，微导纳米 (688147)等个股跟涨。科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨1.96%，最新价报1.45元。 中信建投指出，储能需求爆发的大背景下，制造业环节的盈利能力仍处于历史低位的情况是不合理和不 可持续的。当前终端 IRR 水平较高 ，预计可接受 10-15 分/Wh 的利润让渡。预计 2026 年制造业环节价 格将上涨10-15 分/Wh，税后对终端电站的成本上涨 12 分/ Wh，这对于下游需求的影响是可控的，但中 游制造业利润将大幅增厚，看好储能需求驱动下，制造业上下游量价齐升、共振受益。 科创新能源ETF紧密跟踪上证科创板新能源指数，上证科创板新能源指数从科创板市场中选取50只市值 较大的光伏、风电以及新能源车等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映科创板市场代表性新能源 产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 从资金净流入方面来看，科创新能源ETF近5天获得连续资金净流入， ...