Group 1: Management Changes in the Alcohol Industry - The alcohol industry has seen a series of high-level management changes since last year, with companies like Yanghe, China Resources Beer, and Jinzhongzi Wine experiencing shifts in leadership, indicating a strong intent from shareholders and investors to boost performance [1] - Jinzhongzi Wine's General Manager He Xiuxia has resigned, and the company is facing significant market share pressure, with 2024 revenue projected to drop to 925 million yuan, a stark contrast to over 2 billion yuan in previous cycles [5] - Yanghe has appointed Gu Yu as the new Party Secretary, replacing Zhang Liandong, who has stepped down amid a challenging period for the white liquor industry [6][7] Group 2: Trade and Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Commerce has concluded an anti-dumping investigation into EU brandy, determining that dumping margins range from 27.7% to 34.9%, leading to the imposition of anti-dumping duties starting July 5, 2025 [2][3] - A total of 34 EU brandy exporters, including well-known brands like Martell and Hennessy, can avoid these duties by adhering to price commitments approved by Chinese authorities [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Promotions - Taobao Flash Sale has initiated a new subsidy program, investing 50 billion yuan, resulting in a significant increase in orders, particularly in the alcohol sector, with some brands seeing order volumes double [4] - Kuaizi Jiao reported that its high-end "Jian" series products have not performed as expected, with sales and consumer feedback being less favorable compared to older products [10] - Xijiu has launched a promotional campaign offering buy-three-get-one-free deals on various products, indicating a strategy to boost sales through consumer incentives [11]

食品饮料 2025 年 07 月 06 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《白酒持续探底，新消费标的值得重 视—行业周报》-2025.6.29 《"禁酒令"纠偏催化反弹，重视板 块底部机会—行业周报》-2025.6.22 《5 月社零增速稳步上行，内需动力进 一步修复—行业点评报告》-2025.6.17 白酒承压待布局，魔芋赛道涌生机 ——行业周报 张宇光（分析师） 张思敏（联系人） zhangyuguang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030003 zhangsimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790123070080 核心观点：白酒探底迎配置，关注魔芋扩容机会 6 月 30 日-7 月 4 日，食品饮料指数涨幅为 0.6%，一级子行业排名第 19，跑输沪 深 300 约 0.9pct，子行业中肉制品（+1.2%）、白酒（+1.2%）、烘焙食品（+0.9%） 表现相对领先。前期白酒批价走弱，一方面是受到电商 618 补贴影响，另一 ...

2025年4月8日，贵州习酒投资控股集团有限责任公司（以下简称"习酒"）在贵阳召开2025 年一季度营销工作会，第一季度，习酒营 业收入实现了71.8亿元，同比增长10.7%。但增速却有所放缓，已然跌破2024年15%的酱酒行业平均增速。 对此，中国企业资本联盟中国区首席经济学家柏文喜指出："2022年习酒脱离茅台独立后，虽然在品牌和市场推广上有了一定的自主 性，但也失去了茅台的部分资源支持。在独立后的品牌建设和市场拓展过程中，需要时间来适应和调整，这也对其增速产生了一定 影响。" 管理团队不敢放开拳脚做事儿？ 资料显示，习酒与茅台有着深厚的历史渊源。1998年，习酒并入茅台集团，在茅台的庇佑下，习酒从一个濒临破产的地方酒厂逐渐 发展壮大。 在脱离茅台之前，习酒借助茅台的品牌背书、技术支持和渠道资源，实现了快速发展，实现了从地方小厂到百亿级白酒品牌的跨 越。 在2019 - 2022年期间，习酒业绩一路攀升，营业收入从收购前的16亿元，一路飙升至独立时突破200亿元，酱香酒市场份额也从收购 前的3.2%升至独立时的12.3%，稳稳占据酱酒行业第二的位置。 但随着习酒的发展，其上市的诉求愈发强烈。而同一集团不能 ...

Core Viewpoint - Major e-commerce platforms are aggressively competing for users during the 618 mid-year promotion, utilizing strategies like substantial subsidies to attract customers, particularly in the high-margin liquor segment, where well-known brands are becoming key products for driving traffic [1][2][3] Group 1: Price Trends and Discounts - During the 618 period, e-commerce platforms offered significant subsidies on premium liquor brands such as Moutai and Wuliangye, with some prices dropping below wholesale reference prices [2][3] - The price of 53-degree 500ml Moutai has notably decreased, with current prices ranging from 2099 to 2200 yuan per bottle, down from approximately 2300 to 2500 yuan last year [2] - Discounts on other high-end liquor brands have also been observed, with some products priced below their respective wholesale prices, indicating a broader trend of price reductions across various liquor categories [3][5] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competition - The liquor market is experiencing intense competition, with e-commerce platforms and liquor distributors both seeking to clear inventory and attract more users, leading to price reductions [6][7] - Analysts suggest that while subsidies boost online sales, they may disrupt the pricing structure in offline markets, affecting distributors' profit margins [6][7] - Traditional liquor distributors are adapting to the shift towards online sales, with some exploring new marketing strategies like live streaming to maintain competitiveness [6][7] Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Market Shifts - There is a noticeable shift in consumer preferences towards better price-to-quality ratios, with younger consumers increasingly opting for alternative beverages over traditional liquor [8][9] - The wedding market has shown signs of recovery, with a significant increase in booking volumes, yet the price range for wedding liquor has contracted, reflecting changing consumer habits [8] - Major liquor companies are focusing on expanding their product offerings and targeting younger demographics to adapt to evolving market conditions [9]

风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 100元以下价格带 ， 基本上老玻汾和二锅头的天下 ， 二锅头胜出是杂牌军打不过大厂嫡系 ， 老玻汾胜出是清香老大降维打击 。 酱酒酿造成本就超过100元了 ， 杀头的生意有人做 ， 赔钱 的买卖没人干 ， 但是有人干了说明酒本身有问题 。 浓香以前在这里都是食用酒精酒 ， 打不过 人家纯粮酿造 。 随着一线浓香大厂固态新产能上市了 ， 看看有无机会突破吧 。 100元—200元价格带 ， 目前是海之蓝一支独大 。 五泸古在这里没有强势大单品竞争 ， 其他 酒厂的产品又没有洋河的好喝 。 海之蓝这些年不被洋河重视 ， 加上市场上假酒太多 ， 影响了 他的声誉 。 其实产品本身还是不错的 ， 要相信老百姓的选择 ， 年销售过亿瓶的大单品 ， 岂 是不好喝能做到的 。 200-300元价格带 ， 浓香基本是五粮春的天下 ， 一线大厂嫡系 ， 老窖这里没有强势大单品竞 争 。 其他浓香好喝的大单品基本都在400元价格带 ， 一般好喝的在这个价格带性价比又不高 ， 毕竟参照物是五粮春 。 400元价格带是中端和低端的分界线 ， 也是 ...

演唱会成为白酒争夺的"香饽饽"。 近期茅台文旅赞助的"黄小西"音乐节爆火；郎酒在宁夏银川即将举行的演唱会；河北丛台、古井贡酒旗 下的黄鹤楼等，这些企业举办的演唱会正在进行中……南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者注意 到，不论是一线酒企还是地方酒企，主办、冠名和赞助演唱会已经成为企业营销的新路径。 据了解，酒企赞助演唱会除了品牌输出，其背后运作的"买酒赠票"更是重要的营销动作，歌星似乎要成 为白酒渠道去库存的救星。不过业内人士认为，虽然短期内企业通过演唱会带动可以促成一波动销，但 由于终端吸货和消费能力有限，且产品最终流向未能掌握，因此"买酒赠票"更多是提升品牌价值，去库 存作用有限。 一二线品牌"争夺"演唱会 上到洋河、习酒，下到地方品牌都在"买酒送票" 根据中国演出行业协会票务信息采集平台数据监测和测算，2024年全国演出市场总收入796.29亿元，同 比增长7.61%，大型演唱会方面共覆盖30个省份、180座城市，"演出经济"呈现持续增长的态势，这让白 酒行业注意到这个圈层明确、消费力强却较为有待开发的市场。 据南都湾财社记者了解，虽然白酒企业主办、赞助和冠名演唱会由来已久，但是最近两年多时间内，行 业 ...