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2026春节五粮液降价vs国窖挺价:谁赢了市场?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 12:37
行业内通用界定:超高端白酒核心赛道为终端零售价≥800元/瓶(500ml主流度数核心大单品)的价格带(即行业俗称的千元价格带),是白酒行 业品牌壁垒最高、利润最丰厚、马太效应最显著的赛道。 截至2025年末-2026年春节周期,中国超高端白酒市场呈现绝对的"一超两强多极"寡头垄断格局,行业集中度达到历史高位: 1.第一梯队(绝对龙头):贵州茅台(飞天茅台),以超60%的市场份额稳居绝对统治地位,2025年市场份额较2021年的58%进一步提升至63%,在1500元 以上的顶级超高端赛道几乎形成垄断,是超高端市场的定价锚与价值标杆。 2.第二梯队(双强争霸):五粮液(第八代普五)与泸州老窖(国窖1573),二者合计占据超高端市场35%左右的份额,是800-1200元核心价格带的绝对主 力。其中五粮液普五市场份额约22%,位列行业第二;国窖1573市场份额稳定在12%-15%,位列行业第三,二者也是本次春节周期价格策略博弈的核心主 体。 3.第三梯队(差异化补位):洋河(梦之蓝手工班、M9)、郎酒(青花郎)、习酒(君品习酒)、山西汾酒(青花30复兴版)等品牌,单个品牌市场份额 均不足5%,合计占比不超6%,仅在区 ...
踩踏式抛货超10万箱!习酒沉默,经销商慌了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 03:35
春节旺季刚过,白酒流通市场便爆出重磅利空。在全国酒水流通核心枢纽郑州百荣世贸商城,习酒旗下大众单品圆习酒遭遇罕见集中抛货,批发价从500 元/箱直线跳水至339元,单日跌幅超百元,即便后续小幅回升,价盘仍远低于前期水平。这场突如其来的价格雪崩,绝非简单的市场供需波动,而是习酒 长期渠道管控失效、价格体系失控、厂商信任破裂的集中爆发。面对市场质疑与经销商恐慌,习酒始终保持沉默,迟迟未给出明确回应,让本就脆弱的市 场信心进一步崩塌。 此次圆习酒集中放量规模惊人,市场估算到货量高达数万箱,实际到货量甚至可能突破10万箱。如此庞大的货源短时间涌入流通市场,远超普通经销商的 运营与消化能力,业内普遍质疑货源来自厂家体系。在白酒行业,价格体系是品牌的生命线,而郑州百荣作为全国酒水价格风向标,其出现极端低价,直 接击穿了圆习酒的价格底线,引发渠道恐慌性抛售。众多中小流通商为避免亏损扩大,纷纷低价甩货,甚至宁愿损失定金撤单,形成"越跌越抛、越抛越 跌"的恶性循环。 圆习酒价格崩盘,并非偶然事件,而是习酒渠道积弊的集中爆发。过去多年,习酒依赖渠道压货实现规模扩张,在酱酒热潮期,通过层层分销将库存转移 至渠道端,营造出销量增长的 ...
大市“开门红”,白酒逆市调整,春节旺季结束淡季该怎么走?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-02-25 03:04
板块下的成分股表现方面,仅6只白酒股收涨,包括贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、洋河股份和泸州老 窖等龙头股收跌。其中跌幅最大为泸州老窖,收盘报112.5元/股,跌3.23%;农历新年前不断走高的贵 州茅台,24日收盘为1466.8元/股,跌1.25%,其他龙头股跌幅在0.8%至1.4%之间。 春节假期后首个交易日,白酒走出了"逆市"行情。 2月24日,A股大盘高开并收盘企稳4100点以上,但白酒行业却全线调整,同花顺白酒数据显示,该板 块高开2669.58点后走低,收盘报2619.94点跌0.94%。南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者了解到, 从2月6日开始,白酒板块呈现走低态势,2月份的7个交易日中有6个交易日收跌。 不过,市场分化加剧的同时,行业研报却认为龙头品牌已率先展现出复苏韧性。 高盛发布的中国白酒行业动态追踪显示,2026年农历新年期间白酒整体零售需求同比下降两位数,但这 一降幅相较于2025年中秋节下滑情况已有所企稳,表现略好于节前市场的普遍预期。 华创证券24日发布的研报表示,春节期间白酒表现整体符合节前预期,行业整体动销下滑双位数,回款 节奏慢于去年同期,其中高端"茅五"动销实现双位数增长,百 ...
白酒、乳业、中式滋补的2025:崩盘、变局与增长新逻辑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 09:02
Core Viewpoint - The traditional business model of the liquor industry, particularly in the high-end white liquor segment, is failing, leading to a collapse of the pricing system and the emergence of new business models and consumer behaviors driven by the Z generation [3][4][14]. Industry Overview - In 2025, the Chinese consumer market is undergoing profound changes, with high-end liquor prices, such as those of Moutai, continuously declining, raising questions about their investment and stockpiling attributes [3][4][14]. - The Z generation (born between 1995 and 2009) has become the main consumer force, reshaping market rules and consumer preferences [3][4][14]. Pricing and Sales Performance - The prices of major white liquor products have significantly dropped, with Moutai's wholesale price falling from over 2200 yuan per bottle at the beginning of the year to below 1500 yuan by December 2025 [5][16]. - The overall performance of white liquor companies has deteriorated, with 20 A-share listed companies reporting a combined revenue of 317.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.90%, and a net profit drop of 6.93% [5][17]. Corporate Strategies and Changes - Many liquor companies are experiencing frequent personnel changes, with over ten major companies, including Moutai and Yanghe, adjusting their core leadership positions in 2025 [6][18]. - Companies are exploring new business models and channels, such as switching from a "payment before delivery" to a "delivery before payment" model [8][20]. New Business Models - Moutai has announced a restructuring of its product system and pricing strategy, moving towards a direct sales model through its app, aiming to connect directly with consumers [9][20]. - The rise of "health liquor" has been notable, with a growth rate of 66%, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards healthier options [10][21].
习酒大单品价格日跌百元,谁在放量抛售?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 05:40
Core Insights - The article highlights a significant price drop for the popular Chinese liquor brand, Xijiu, particularly its flagship product, Yuan Xijiu, which saw wholesale prices plummet from nearly 500 yuan per box to a low of 385 yuan within days, indicating a severe disruption in the pricing structure [3][12][14] - The sudden influx of over 100,000 boxes of Yuan Xijiu into the market has led to a chaotic pricing environment, raising questions about the company's supply chain management and control mechanisms [4][13] - Xijiu is facing dual pressure from both high-end competitors like Moutai 1935 and mid-range brands, leading to a significant decline in market share and pricing power [6][15] Market Dynamics - The price of Yuan Xijiu dropped sharply, with a reported single-day decline of nearly 100 yuan, reflecting a broader trend of excess inventory and aggressive discounting among distributors [3][4] - The high-end product, Junpin Xijiu, also experienced a decline, with its wholesale price falling from 980 yuan per bottle at the beginning of the year to 630 yuan by year-end, a drop of 35.71% [14][17] - The overall sales forecast for Xijiu is projected to decline to approximately 19 billion yuan in 2025, down from 22.447 billion yuan in 2023, indicating a significant drop in market position [17] Strategic Challenges - Xijiu's management has acknowledged the need for improved market order and pricing control, with plans to implement a dual-brand strategy and marketing reforms aimed at stabilizing prices and enhancing brand value [5][18] - The company is also facing challenges from increased competition in both high-end and mid-range markets, with competitors like Moutai and Langjiu exerting pressure on Xijiu's pricing and market share [6][15] - The article emphasizes the importance of addressing supply chain issues, optimizing pricing strategies, and reinforcing brand differentiation to navigate the current market turmoil effectively [18]
飞天茅台价格腰斩,十大名酒降价,白酒消费真的回归理性了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 09:21
Core Viewpoint - The high-end liquor market, particularly the Moutai brand, is undergoing a significant price correction, moving from a speculative bubble to a more rational consumption phase, driven by changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [1][3][18]. Group 1: Market Changes - The price of Moutai has dropped significantly, with current wholesale prices stabilizing around 1700 yuan, down from a peak of 3500 yuan [3][5]. - Other top liquor brands are also experiencing price declines, with Wuliangye's actual transaction price falling to around 800 yuan and Moutai 1935 dropping from 2000 yuan to 700 yuan [5][7]. - The entire high-end liquor market is in a period of price adjustment, reflecting a systemic clearing of the bubble that has built up over the past two decades [7][12]. Group 2: Demand Dynamics - There has been a substantial contraction in business demand for high-end liquor, particularly due to reduced spending in the real estate and infrastructure sectors, leading to a sharp decline in large-scale consumption [7][10]. - The financial speculation surrounding high-end liquor has collapsed, as Moutai's increased supply through its iMoutai platform has diminished its scarcity, resulting in oversupply and falling prices [8][12]. - Younger consumers are shifting away from high-priced liquor, with only 11% expressing a preference for spirits over 30 degrees, favoring lower-alcohol, smaller-packaged, and diverse-flavored beverages instead [10][14]. Group 3: Industry Adjustments - Leading brands are proactively adjusting to market changes, with Moutai using its iMoutai platform to offer products at lower prices, effectively removing financial speculation and focusing on consumer needs [12][16]. - Wuliangye is also lowering its invoice prices for distributors to adapt to the changing market landscape [12]. - The overall production of liquor is expected to decline by 12% in 2025, marking the ninth consecutive year of decrease, indicating a challenging environment for second-tier brands [12][16]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The trend towards rational consumption in the liquor market is expected to continue, with high-end brands focusing on volume and affordability while smaller brands must differentiate themselves through high cost-performance [16][18]. - Consumer preferences are likely to become more diverse, with an increase in demand for low-alcohol and health-oriented products, as well as a shift towards personal consumption settings [16][18]. - The market is moving towards a more reasonable pricing structure as speculation fades, which is beneficial for consumers and essential for the industry's healthy development [18].
习酒大单品突遭抛售! 数万瓶涌入市场,价格日跌百元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 00:13
习酒大单品突遭抛售! 数万瓶涌入市场,价格日跌百元,董事长刚称"加强秩序" 【中国白酒网】一个多月前,习酒集团党委书记、董事长汪地强在大会上刚刚表示,"市场基础还 不稳固,市场秩序亟须加强"。 紧接着,手握习酒的经销商们就发现一件怪事,导致价格体系近乎崩盘。 通常来说,酒企为了把控市场的货量,维持价盘稳定,会分别从源头端和渠道端进行管控。例如, 酒厂按照经销商按月打回的货款分批次发货,使得货量稳定充裕;经销商则面临异地扫码管制,还有酒 厂业务员严查窜货。 《酒业内参》获悉,全国最大白酒流通地——百荣商城突然涌入大批圆习酒(习酒主打的大单品之 一)。此现象直接导致批发价格暴跌,从流入前的近500元跌至最低385元,随后价格虽小幅回暖但未能 回到初始高点。 酒商王翔(化名)表示,此次圆习酒的货量远超预期,最初估算为1万—3万箱,实际可能超过10万 箱。许多酒商直言库存积压,猜测抛货源头是习酒酒厂,"毕竟哪个经销商有这么大体量?"截至发稿 前,习酒未对相关情况进行回应。 习酒对价盘管控不足? 近日,被誉为全国最大白酒流通地的河南郑州百荣世贸商城突然涌入大批圆习酒产品。而也是由于 货物集中涌入,导致圆习酒产品批发价格 ...
习酒官宣与美团闪购战略合作:共建“官方直供,保真安心”体验
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-05 07:20
Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic partnership between Xijiu and Meituan Shanguo, marking a significant step in Xijiu's "Marketing 2.0" reform through channel innovation [1] - The collaboration aims to enhance the online and offline channel ecosystem, providing consumers with a new purchasing experience characterized by "official direct supply and guaranteed quality" [1] Group 1: Partnership Details - Xijiu's official flagship store will be launched on Meituan Shanguo, covering over 50 cities nationwide, enabling consumers to receive products within 30 minutes [1] - The partnership includes the establishment of a genuine liquor assurance system, addressing consumer concerns regarding product authenticity through measures like official verification and source tracing [1] Group 2: Marketing Initiatives - The collaboration coincides with the peak sales season for alcoholic beverages during the Spring Festival [1] - A "New Year Benefits" promotional campaign has been initiated, offering discounts on premium liquors and exclusive Spring Festival gift bags, along with opportunities to win high-end liquor prizes [1]
习酒大单品突遭抛售! 数万瓶涌入市场,价格日跌百元,董事长刚称“加强秩序”|酒业内参
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 01:32
新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 一个多月前,习酒集团党委书记、董事长汪地强在大会上刚刚表示,"市场基础还不稳固,市场秩序亟 须加强"。 紧接着,手握习酒的经销商们就发现一件怪事,导致价格体系近乎崩盘。 《酒业内参》获悉,全国最大白酒流通地——百荣商城突然涌入大批圆习酒(习酒主打的大单品之 一)。此现象直接导致批发价格暴跌,从流入前的近500元跌至最低385元,随后价格虽小幅回暖但未能 回到初始高点。 酒商王翔(化名)表示,此次圆习酒的货量远超预期,最初估算为1万—3万箱,实际可能超过10万箱。 许多酒商直言库存积压,猜测抛货源头是习酒酒厂,"毕竟哪个经销商有这么大体量?"截至发稿前,习 酒未对相关情况进行回应。 习酒对价盘管控不足? 近日,被誉为全国最大白酒流通地的河南郑州百荣世贸商城突然涌入大批圆习酒产品。而也是由于货物 集中涌入,导致圆习酒产品批发价格迅速下跌,短短一天内单箱跌去近百元。 有酒商在社交平台质问,茅台一箱波动一两百还可以理解,毕竟产品价格贵,"谁能想到圆习酒四五百 块一箱的酒,一箱价格也能掉这么多。" "现在百荣世贸商城的商家都在你追我赶地降价。过年前,不是在涨价, ...
春节前白酒促销热:“扫码抽黄金”!五粮液国窖等砸钱抢开瓶
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-31 11:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the price fluctuations in the liquor market as the Spring Festival approaches, with a particular focus on the rising prices of Moutai and promotional activities from major brands [2][3][5] - Moutai's wholesale price has increased, with some distributors expecting it to reach 2000 yuan per bottle before the festival, driven by strong demand and limited supply [3][5] - The average retail price of Moutai (500ml/53 degrees) on January 30 was reported at 1843.38 yuan, up from 1600 yuan in December, indicating a significant price increase of 250 yuan [3][19] Group 2 - Major liquor brands, including Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573, are actively engaging in promotional campaigns, offering substantial rewards such as cash and gold to stimulate sales during the festive season [6][8] - Wuliangye has implemented support policies to stabilize market prices, resulting in a slight decrease in the price of its eighth-generation product, with an average retail price of 874.75 yuan [6][19] - Various brands are utilizing incentive programs to enhance consumer engagement, aiming to increase actual sales and reduce inventory pressure [11][12] Group 3 - There is a divergence in market expectations regarding sales performance during the Spring Festival, with some distributors optimistic about sales while others report a decline compared to previous years [12][17] - The overall sentiment indicates a "旺季不旺" (busy season not busy) characteristic, with high-end brands performing better than mid-range and regional brands, which are facing inventory challenges [17] - Price trends are mixed, with some high-end products like Guojiao 1573 seeing price increases, while others like Junpin Xijiu are experiencing declines [15][19]