证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 09 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 银行业理财研究 银行理财月度跟踪 相关研究： | 1. | 《2025中期策略-价值重估仍 | | --- | --- | | 在进行时》 | 2025.07.02 | | 2. | 《业绩底部修复，配置价值提 | | 升》 | 2025.09.05 | 行业评级：增持(维持) 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 -10.1 -28.1 -8.8 分析师：郭怡萍 证书编号：S0500523080002 Tel：(8621) 50295327 Email：guoyp@xcsc.com 中国人寿金融中心10楼 核心要点： 理财市场动态 2. 《业绩底部修复，配置价值提 今年以来，理财存续规模保持稳定增长，但与公募基金相比，理财规模增 长速度较慢。根据 Wind 援引基金业协会数据，截至 2025 年 8 月末，公募 基金规模为 36.25 万亿元，同比增长 17.3%。理财存续规模自上半年末开始 超过 30 万亿元，增速仅为个位数。一方面，由于存款利率低位环境下的资 金迁移效应，理财规模整体保持扩张态势。另一方 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - The bank wealth management market has seen a decline in scale at the beginning of the year due to bond market volatility and a shift of investment funds to the recovering equity market. However, a recovery in the second quarter is expected as the bond market improves and deposit rates decline, driving savings into wealth management products [6][12] - Cash management product yields have been trending downward, with the average annualized yield for June at 1.49%, down 4 basis points from the previous month. This decline is attributed to a generally loose monetary policy and a decrease in the yields of various asset types [7][15] - The overall net value of fixed-income wealth management products remains stable, with a low break-even rate of approximately 1.1% in June, indicating a strong performance in the market [10][27] Summary by Sections Wealth Management Market Overview - The wealth management scale decreased from 29 trillion yuan in 2021 to 26.8 trillion yuan in 2023, with a projected recovery to 29.95 trillion yuan in 2024. Public fund scales are expected to grow from 26.03 trillion yuan in 2022 to 32.83 trillion yuan in 2024 [12] - The decline in wealth management scale in the first quarter was due to bond market fluctuations and a shift of funds to equities, but a recovery is anticipated in the second quarter [12] Wealth Management Product Yields - Cash management product yields have decreased, with the average annualized yield for June at 1.49%, down 34 basis points from December of the previous year. The average yield for pure fixed-income products was 2.49%, down 0.09 percentage points from the previous month [15][17] - Fixed-income plus wealth management product yields have increased, with short-term yields rising by 0.43 percentage points to 3.07% and medium-term yields increasing by 92 percentage points to 3.73% [9][19] Wealth Management Product Break-even Rates - The break-even rate for fixed-income plus wealth management products remains low, with only 401 products having a net value below 1 yuan, indicating a strong market stability. The break-even rate for pure fixed-income products is nearly zero [10][27]

Core Viewpoint - As the "May Day" holiday approaches, multiple banks' wealth management companies are proactively releasing investment "schedules" to help investors earn returns during the holiday period [1][2][4] Group 1: Investment Strategies - Banks are promoting wealth management products that allow investors to enjoy returns during the "May Day" holiday if purchased before April 30 [4][5] - Some banks, such as Nanyin Wealth Management and Hangyin Wealth Management, have specific products that confirm net value on April 30, enabling holiday earnings [4][5] Group 2: Product Performance - Many wealth management products launched for the holiday have historically high performance benchmarks, with some achieving around 6% [7][8] - For instance, a product from Ping An Wealth Management has a monthly annualized yield of 6.70%, while another product from Minsheng Bank shows a historical annualized yield of 6.23% [7][8] Group 3: Product Diversity - The variety of wealth management products is increasing, with a focus on cash management and fixed-income products, but also including more diverse underlying assets [10][12] - Products now range from open-ended to those with minimum holding periods from 7 days to about a year, with R2 risk level products being predominant [12] Group 4: Investor Guidance - Investors are advised to provide accurate personal information and undergo risk assessments to understand their risk tolerance when selecting wealth management products [13] - It is emphasized that higher returns typically come with higher risks, and investors should adjust their expectations accordingly in the current low-yield environment [14]

收益增厚新路径！这类资产成为"新宠" 【导读】国内固收市场收益率下行，海外债基成理财公司"新宠" 中国基金报记者李树超张玲 在国内债市收益率下行、固收类理财产品收益承压的背景下，部分纯固收理财产品将海外债券基金 作为重要投资方向，通过配置海外债基及多元化资产，以增厚组合收益和分散风险。 配置海外债基 为组合提供收益增厚空间 随着今年债市调整，固收类理财产品收益率整体呈现下行趋势。普益标准数据显示，截至3月16 日，全市场存续开放式固收类理财产品（不含现管）近1个月年化收益率的平均水平为1.04%，环比下 跌0.57个百分点。 在此背景下，部分纯固收理财产品开始转向配置海外债券基金。例如，信银理财安盈象固收稳健六 个月持有期20号G类以债券和公募基金为主要投向，2024年第四季度转向配置一些投资全球或亚洲债券 的基金。 基煜基金也认为，当前国内固收市场面临收益率下行压力，理财公司通过多元化配置寻求收益补充 是重要考量；另一方面，分散化配置也是重要动因，通过布局与国内债市相关性较低的海外资产，可降 低单一市场波动对净值的冲击。当然，这一策略也需权衡汇率波动、政策差异等潜在风险。 "海外债券的到期收益率相对更具吸引 ...