Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The significant increase in the scale in the third quarter of this year is mainly due to the large - scale maturity of high - interest fixed deposits after the major banks lowered deposit rates in May, the acceleration of floating profit release during the valuation rectification process by the end of the year, and the fact that the third quarter is a traditional peak season for wealth management growth. Looking ahead, the wealth management scale is still expected to increase significantly in the fourth quarter, but the fluctuations in net value and scale will be amplified after the full completion of valuation rectification [3][6][9] Group 3: Summary by Related Directory Reasons for the High Growth of Wealth Management Scale in the Third Quarter - The main reason for the large - scale increase in the third quarter is the combination of the major banks' deposit rate cut in May and the large - scale maturity of high - interest fixed deposits. From 2022 - 2023, residents' fixed deposits increased significantly at high interest rates, with 3 - year fixed deposits maturing in the next two years. After the rate cut in May, the interest rate difference between 3 - year and 1 - year fixed deposits dropped to 30BP, and the proportion of residents' fixed deposits declined, indicating that some deposits moved to wealth management [6] - By the end of the year, it may be the final node for the full completion of the valuation rectification task. During the rectification process, floating profits will be accelerated, and wealth management institutions can use this advantage to attract customers. Although bond market interest rates rose significantly in the third quarter, the proportion of fixed - income products remained stable above 97%, contributing most of the incremental scale, and the number of investors continued to grow. The average annualized return of wealth management products in the third quarter was 2.28%, still having an advantage over 3 - year fixed deposits [6] - Seasonally, the third quarter is usually a peak season for wealth management growth. From 2019 - 2024, the average growth of wealth management scale in the third quarter was 1.28 trillion yuan [6] Other Concerns in the Third - Quarter Report of Wealth Management - In terms of asset allocation, the proportion of cash and deposits increased significantly, the proportion of inter - bank lending increased slightly, and the proportions of other categories decreased to varying degrees. Although the equity market performed well, the proportion of equity assets still decreased slightly [6] - The leverage ratio decreased significantly, indicating that wealth management has a strong demand for stable net value when the bond market fluctuates [7] - The proportion of closed - end products increased slightly. Some closed - end wealth management products can use the amortized cost method for valuation, which may have certain advantages after the valuation rectification [7] Future Outlook - Whether from a seasonal perspective or the trend of fixed - deposit maturity, the wealth management scale is still expected to increase significantly in the fourth quarter. However, with the full completion of the valuation rectification of wealth management, the fluctuations in net value and scale will be amplified [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Views - The wealth management market has shown stable growth in the existing scale this year, but the growth rate is slower compared to public funds. As of the end of August 2025, the scale of public funds reached 36.25 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.3%. The existing scale of wealth management has exceeded 30 trillion yuan since the end of the first half of the year, with a growth rate in single digits. This is attributed to the low deposit interest rate environment causing a migration of funds, while public funds continue to attract inflows due to the favorable equity market conditions [5][12] - In September, the average annualized yield of cash management wealth management products was 1.33%, down 2 basis points from the previous month and down 50 basis points from December of the previous year. The average annualized yield of money market funds was 1.21%, unchanged from the previous value, and down 35 basis points from December of the previous year. The yield difference between cash management products and traditional money market funds has been narrowing [6][15] - The overall break-even rate of wealth management products increased in September, with the break-even rate of fixed income + wealth management products at approximately 4.4%, continuing to rise from the previous month. The number of deeply broken products (unit net value < 0.99) remains low, indicating an upward trend in break-even rates due to increased volatility in the bond market and differentiated performance in the equity market [9][27] Summary by Sections Wealth Management Market Dynamics - The existing scale of wealth management has shown stable growth, but the growth rate is slower compared to public funds. The existing scale has exceeded 30 trillion yuan, with a growth rate in single digits. The low deposit interest rate environment has contributed to this expansion, while public funds have attracted more inflows due to favorable equity market conditions [5][12] Wealth Management Product Yields - In September, the average yield of pure fixed income wealth management products was 2.09%, down 0.47 percentage points from the previous month. The yield of fixed income + wealth management products was 1.65%, down 0.99 percentage points. The yields across different maturities of fixed income wealth management products have decreased, with short-term yields at 1.90%, medium-term at 2.38%, and long-term at 1.84% [7][22] - The average yield of short-term fixed income + wealth management products was 1.78%, down 0.37 percentage points, medium-term at 1.50%, down 0.88 percentage points, and long-term at 2.06%, down 2.12 percentage points [8][22] Wealth Management Product Break-even Rates - The break-even rate of wealth management products has increased, with the overall break-even rate of fixed income + wealth management products at approximately 4.4%, indicating a rising trend due to increased market volatility [9][27]

Market Overview - The bond market experienced an unexpected correction last week, with an overall balanced and loose funding environment. The weighted average of DR007 on August 15 was 1.48%, and the yield on 10-year government bonds closed at 1.75% [2] - In the stock market, major A-share indices surged, with the ChiNext Index, STAR 50 Index, and Shenzhen Component Index recording weekly gains of 8.58%, 5.53%, and 4.55% respectively. The communication, electronics, and non-bank financial sectors led the gains [2] Product Performance - The number of underperforming products remains low, with 25,210 public wealth management products in existence as of August 17, 2025. Among these, 141 products had a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive break-even rate of 0.56% for bank wealth management. The break-even rates for equity and mixed wealth management products were 35.71% and 4.8%, respectively, while fixed income products had a break-even rate of 0.28% [3] - The break-even rates for fixed income products of various maturities remained low, with 1-2 year and over 3-year products slightly higher at 0.71% and 0.57% respectively [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 433 wealth management products were issued by 32 wealth management companies from August 11 to August 15, with joint-stock banks leading in issuance. Everbright Wealth issued 39 products, followed by Xinyin Wealth with 30 and Xinyin Wealth with 29 [4] - The newly issued products were primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products, with only 4 mixed products issued, accounting for 1.8%. No new equity or financial derivative products were launched [4] - Pricing trends showed a decline in most product maturities, with 1-2 year and 2-3 year products dropping below 2.80%, while products with maturities over 3 years saw a significant rebound to 2.55% [4] Investment Strategies - Notably, Xinyin Wealth launched a fixed income enhancement product named "Fengli Xindong Ruixiang 3M Holding Period Target Red 3 (Jixing Version)", which is a "fixed income+" product with a risk level of three and a minimum holding period of 90 days. The product's performance benchmark is based on a combination of various indices and deposit rates [5] Yield Performance - Fixed income wealth management yields declined, with an average net value growth rate of 0.0511% over the past week. Mixed and equity products had average net value growth rates of 0.2075% and 1.354%, respectively. Among fixed income products, those with maturities over 3 years had the highest average net value growth rate of 0.0794% [6] - The average annualized yield for cash public wealth management products in RMB, USD, and AUD was 1.338%, 3.924%, and 2.87%, respectively [6] - The proportion of negative yield products increased, primarily due to fixed income products, with 9.94% of RMB public wealth management products experiencing negative returns last week [6][7] Industry Trends - The scale of bank wealth management grew unexpectedly by approximately 2 trillion RMB to 32.67 trillion RMB by the end of July 2025, driven by the maturity of high-interest deposits and the relative attractiveness of wealth management products compared to deposit rates [8] - In August, the wealth management scale is expected to exceed 33 trillion RMB, with an annual target of 33.5 trillion RMB [8] - Last week, 16 new ESG-themed wealth management products were launched, indicating a rapid expansion of thematic wealth management offerings [9]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that by the end of July 2025, the scale of bank wealth management is expected to exceed expectations, growing by approximately 2 trillion yuan to reach 32.67 trillion yuan, driven by the maturity of high-interest three-year deposits and the relative attractiveness of wealth management products compared to deposit rates [1] Group 1 - The growth in bank wealth management is primarily attributed to the reallocation of deposits as high-interest three-year deposits mature [1] - The decline in deposit rates is occurring at a faster pace than the decrease in wealth management product yields, enhancing the appeal of these products [1] - Non-bank deposits are significantly related to the growth in wealth management scale, with an expected increase of at least 800 billion yuan attributed to cash management and short-term fixed-income products [1] Group 2 - The structure of wealth management shows that cash contributions are relatively low, while "fixed income plus" products are emerging as a strong performer, reflecting an increase in market risk appetite [1] - The wealth management scale is anticipated to surpass 33 trillion yuan in August, with an annual target of over 33.5 trillion yuan [1]

Market Overview - The bond market continued to experience fluctuations, with an overall balanced and loose funding environment. The weighted average of DR007 on August 8 was 1.425%, and the yield on 10-year government bonds closed at 1.69% [2] - In the stock market, major A-share indices saw gains, with the CSI 1000 index, Shanghai Composite Index, and CSI 500 index increasing by 2.51%, 2.11%, and 1.78% respectively. The defense, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment sectors led the weekly gains [2] Product Performance - The number of underperforming products remains low, with 25,003 public wealth management products in existence as of August 10, 2025, of which 179 had a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive break-even rate of 0.72%. The break-even rates for equity and mixed wealth management products were 38.1% and 5.46%, respectively, while fixed income products had a break-even rate of 0.4% [3] - Fixed income products with 1-2 year and over 3-year terms had slightly higher break-even rates of 0.9% and 1.12%, respectively [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 443 wealth management products were issued by 31 companies from August 4 to August 8, 2025. The leading issuers were Xinyin Wealth Management and Huaxia Wealth Management, each issuing 36 products, followed by Everbright Wealth Management with 32 products [4] - The newly issued products were primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products, with only 8 mixed products (1.8% of total) and no new equity products [4] - Pricing varied across different term products, with 2-3 year products seeing a rise of 24 basis points to 2.86%. In contrast, longer-term products (over 3 years) saw a decline of 36 basis points to 2.15% [4] Yield Performance - Fixed income wealth management products showed signs of recovery, with an average net value growth rate of 0.0718% over the past week. Mixed and equity products had average growth rates of 0.091% and 0.8529%, respectively. The highest growth rate among fixed income products was for those with over 3-year terms at 0.1075% [5] - The average annualized yield for cash public wealth management products in RMB, USD, and AUD was 1.364%, 3.91%, and 2.83%, respectively [5] - The proportion of negative yield products decreased, with 5.19% of RMB public wealth management products reporting negative returns over the past week. The negative yield rates for fixed income, mixed, and equity products were 4.02%, 23.3%, and 33.33%, respectively [5] Industry Trends - Since the opening of offline IPO participation for wealth management subsidiaries in March, only two companies, Everbright Wealth Management and Ningyin Wealth Management, have attempted this, with Ningyin being more active [6][7] - In the first half of 2025, 36 out of 69 city commercial banks without wealth management subsidiaries saw their asset management business scale decrease by over 10%, reflecting ongoing regulatory pressure [8] - Conversely, some city commercial bank wealth management subsidiaries experienced significant growth, with Ningyin Wealth Management's scale exceeding 600 billion RMB, marking a growth of over 25% compared to the beginning of the year [9]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market" with an expected increase of over 10% relative to the market index in the next six months [5][19]. Core Insights - As of the end of 1H25, the total scale of wealth management products reached 30.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of approximately 1.53 trillion yuan [2][11][17]. - There is an observed increase in the risk appetite among individual investors, with the proportion of aggressive investors rising by 1.25 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [2][12][17]. - The recent adjustments in deposit rates, particularly the significant drop in one-year deposit rates below 1%, are expected to drive a gradual increase in demand for fund reallocation, as investors seek better returns in a low-interest environment [2][13][17]. - Regulatory policies and their implementation pace are crucial to monitor, especially following the negative feedback from the bond market in 2022, which has affected overall risk appetite [3][14][16]. Summary by Sections Wealth Management Scale - The total number of wealth management products in existence reached 4.18 million, with a year-on-year growth of 4.54% [11]. - Wealth management products from companies accounted for 89.61% of the total market scale, with a total scale of 27.48 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.98% [12]. Fund Reallocation Demand - Recent adjustments in deposit rates have led to a significant decline, with the average reduction exceeding 15 basis points, marking the largest cut in three years [13]. - The low-interest environment, combined with a recovering capital market, is expected to enhance risk appetite and increase the demand for fund reallocation [2][13][17]. Regulatory Policy Focus - The focus on regulatory policies is heightened, particularly in light of the need to stabilize net asset values and manage risk [3][14][16]. - The ongoing regulatory adjustments are anticipated to continue, necessitating close attention to the direction and pace of policy changes [3][16]. Investment Recommendations - The expectation is for the wealth management scale to maintain steady growth throughout 2025, driven by increasing risk appetite and the need for diversified investment products [2][17]. - Attention should be given to valuation differentiation and the evolving regulatory landscape as key factors influencing future performance [3][17].

Core Insights - The growth of wealth management subsidiaries of city commercial banks has been significant, with some achieving over 20% growth compared to the beginning of the year, while others are facing pressure due to slower growth rates [1][3] Group 1: City Commercial Banks' Performance - Ningyin Wealth Management leads with over 600 billion yuan in scale, growing by over 25% [1] - Suyin Wealth Management remains the largest among city commercial banks at nearly 750 billion yuan, with a growth of nearly 20% [1] - Other notable growth includes Hangyin Wealth Management at around 17% and Nanyin Wealth Management at nearly 15% [1] - The top five city commercial banks in terms of scale are all from the Yangtze River Delta region [1] Group 2: Performance of Joint-Stock Banks - Joint-stock banks have shown stable growth, with notable increases from Huaxia Wealth Management at around 19% [3] - However, some joint-stock banks like Zhaoyin Wealth Management have seen a decline in scale [3] - The overall wealth management market has seen a total scale of 27.48 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.44% from the beginning of the year [2] Group 3: Market Trends and Investment Strategies - The growth in wealth management scale is driven by a recovery in equity markets, with significant increases in indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index [5][6] - City commercial banks have shifted towards equity investments, with a notable increase in the number of equity and mixed products [6][7] - The performance of wealth management products is influenced by market conditions, with increased equity exposure leading to higher volatility in returns [9][10] Group 4: Distribution Channels - Successful wealth management subsidiaries have high proportions of external distribution channels, with some exceeding 50% [8] - The expansion of distribution channels is crucial for growth, particularly in large joint-stock banks and city commercial banks [10]

Core Insights - The growth of wealth management subsidiaries of city commercial banks has been significant in the first half of the year, with some achieving over 20% growth compared to the beginning of the year [1][2][3] - The top city commercial banks in terms of scale growth are primarily located in the Yangtze River Delta region, with Ningyin Wealth Management leading at over 600 billion yuan, followed by Suyin Wealth Management at 745.38 billion yuan [1][2] - The overall wealth management market has seen a total product count of 27.48 trillion yuan, reflecting a 4.44% increase since the beginning of the year [2] City Commercial Banks Performance - Ningyin Wealth Management reported a 26.94% increase in scale, reaching over 600 billion yuan, while Suyin Wealth Management grew by 17.72% to 745.38 billion yuan [1] - Other notable growth includes Hangyin Wealth Management at 17.28% and Nanyin Wealth Management at 14.75% [1] - The competition among city commercial banks is intense, particularly between Nanyin and Hangyin Wealth Management, both of which are in the 500 billion yuan range [2] Wealth Management Market Trends - The growth in wealth management scale is primarily driven by top city commercial banks and some joint-stock banks, while major state-owned banks have seen significant declines [3][4] - For instance, ICBC Wealth Management saw a decrease of approximately 180 billion yuan, while Agricultural Bank of China Wealth Management declined by 220 billion yuan [3] - Conversely, some smaller city rural commercial banks also experienced scale declines, indicating a mixed performance across the sector [3] Investment Strategies and Market Conditions - The increase in scale for wealth management subsidiaries is linked to their equity investments and favorable returns from assets like USD, gold, and US stocks [5][6] - The equity market has rebounded, with significant increases in major indices, which has positively impacted the performance of wealth management products [6] - City commercial banks have shifted from conservative investment styles to include more equity investments in response to changing customer demands [6][7] Distribution Channels and Challenges - A common characteristic among wealth management subsidiaries with significant growth is a high proportion of external distribution channels [8] - For example, Xinyin Wealth Management and Xinyin Wealth Management have nearly 40% of their sales through external channels, while others like Guangda Wealth Management and Huaxia Wealth Management exceed 50% [8] - However, increasing equity positions can lead to greater volatility in product returns, posing challenges for maintaining customer trust, especially among conservative investors [9][10]

Core Insights - The report highlights significant growth in the asset management scale of city commercial banks' wealth management subsidiaries in the first half of the year, with some achieving over 20% growth compared to the beginning of the year [1][2][3] - The growth is primarily driven by leading city commercial banks and some joint-stock banks, while major state-owned banks are experiencing a decline in scale [3][4] Group 1: Growth Performance - Ningyin Wealth Management leads with a scale of 601.09 billion yuan, a growth of 26.94% from the beginning of the year [1] - Suyin Wealth Management remains the largest at 745.38 billion yuan, with a growth of 17.72% [1] - Other notable growth includes Hangyin Wealth Management at 514.39 billion yuan (17.28% growth) and Nanyin Wealth Management at 543.26 billion yuan (14.75% growth) [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The overall wealth management market saw a total of 27.48 trillion yuan in assets under management, an increase of 4.44% from the beginning of the year [2] - The report indicates a stark contrast in growth, with leading city commercial banks thriving while major state-owned banks like ICBC and ABC saw declines of approximately 180 billion yuan and 220 billion yuan, respectively [3][4] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The growth in asset management scale is attributed to a favorable equity market, with significant increases in indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index (up 8.42%) and the Hang Seng Index (up 24.18%) [6] - City commercial banks have shifted towards equity investments, with a notable increase in the number of equity and mixed products offered [7][8] Group 4: Distribution Channels - High external distribution channel ratios are common among the wealth management subsidiaries experiencing significant growth, with some exceeding 50% [8] - The expansion of distribution channels is crucial, especially in targeting large joint-stock banks and regional rural banks, which have substantial customer resources [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth and performance of the banking wealth management market in the first half of 2025, indicating a stable increase in both the scale and returns of wealth management products. Group 1: Market Overview - As of the end of June 2025, the total scale of the wealth management market reached 30.67 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.38% from the beginning of the year and a year-on-year increase of 7.53% [1] - A total of 16,300 new wealth management products were issued in the first half of the year, raising 36.72 trillion yuan [1] Group 2: Product Performance - The average annualized return of wealth management products in the first half of 2025 was 2.12%, a decrease from the average return of 2.65% for the entire year of 2024 [3] - Wealth management products generated a total return of 389.6 billion yuan for investors in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.18% [4] Group 3: Investor Behavior - The number of investors holding wealth management products reached 136 million by the end of June 2025, an increase of 8.37% from the beginning of the year [5] - Among individual investors, those with a risk preference classified as level two (steady) accounted for 33.56% as of mid-2025 [6] - The proportion of level five (aggressive) individual investors increased by 1.25 percentage points compared to the same period last year, while level one (conservative) investors also saw an increase of 1.03 percentage points [7] Group 4: Regulatory Environment - The Financial Regulatory Bureau issued the "Product Appropriateness Management Measures" on July 11, 2025, which will take effect on February 1, 2026, requiring financial institutions to understand products and clients to ensure suitable product sales [8]