Group 1: Monthly Performance of US Public Funds - In June 2025, US equity funds outperformed international equity funds, bond funds, and asset allocation funds, with median returns of 4.48%, 3.59%, 1.10%, and 3.32% respectively [1][7][9]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Trends - In June 2025, the US fund market saw a net inflow of $696 billion into passive funds, while active funds experienced a net outflow of $231 billion [8][21]. - The total number of new funds established in June 2025 was 94, comprising 79 ETFs and 15 open-end funds, with 65 new equity funds, 21 bond funds, and 8 asset allocation funds [3][44]. Group 3: Insights from Leading Asset Management Firms - Key themes from leading asset management firms include the outlook on US macroeconomic conditions, stock market perspectives, and the impact of geopolitical events on inflation and investment strategies [4][46][49]. - Firms like PIMCO and Capital Group emphasize the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio amid economic uncertainties and market volatility [49][50].

Core Viewpoint - The current atmosphere in the US stock market appears unsettling, with signs of institutional investors pulling out despite the market's apparent stability [1][3]. Market Conditions - As of mid-July 2025, the S&P 500 has risen over 18% for the year, largely driven by the performance of major tech companies, with Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft contributing over 70% to the index's gains [3]. - The market's upward momentum is not supported by the real economy but rather by the Federal Reserve's signals regarding future interest rate cuts [3]. Investor Behavior - Notably, investor Rogers has liquidated all his US stock positions, indicating a strategic retreat due to perceived systemic risks [6][4]. - Historical precedents show that Rogers has successfully exited markets before major downturns, raising concerns about the current market's stability [6]. Sector-Specific Risks - The commercial real estate sector is facing significant challenges, with the national office vacancy rate reaching a historical high of 21.4%, up 3.2 percentage points from the previous year [8]. - Many commercial properties are unable to refinance, leading to potential technical defaults that could impact regional banks heavily tied to these assets [8]. Broader Economic Concerns - State-level fiscal deficits are expanding, with over 20 states facing budget shortfalls for the 2025 fiscal year, including California's projected deficit of over $50 billion [8]. - The reliance on debt issuance by these states raises the risk of defaults if interest rates do not decrease [8]. Market Sentiment - The current market structure is heavily reliant on a few tech stocks, making it vulnerable to shocks if any part of this structure falters [10]. - Investor confidence is eroding, leading to budget cuts and hiring freezes across various sectors, indicating a shift towards a more conservative financial strategy [10].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月20日 海外资管机构月报 6 月美国股票型基金涨幅中位数 4.5%，大盘成长风格基金持 续领涨 美国公募基金市场月度收益 2025 年 6 月，美国股票型基金业绩强于国际股票基金、债券基金和资产配 置基金。具体来看，6 月美国股票型基金、国际股票型基金、债券型基金、 资产配置型基金收益中位数分别为 4.48%、3.59%、1.10%、3.32%。 美国非货币公募基金资金流向 按管理方式：2025 年 6 月，主动管理型基金整体净流出 231 亿美元，被动 基金整体净流入 696 亿美元。 按资产类型：2025 年 6 月美国市场开放式基金中，债券型基金资金净流 入较多，为 283 亿美元，股票型基金资金净流出较多，为 727 亿美元。 2025 年 6 月，美国市场 ETF 中，股票型、债券型 ETF 资金净流入较多， 分别达 620 亿、232 亿美元。 值得注意的是，在股票型基金中，开放式基金与 ETF 资金流向相反，表现 为资金流出开放式基金并流入 ETF。 头部资管机构资金净流入 美国开放式基金规模 Top10 资管机构除了 Fidelity Investments、 ...

The provided content does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor does it include any related construction processes, formulas, evaluations, or backtesting results. The documents primarily focus on fund performance, asset flows, and market observations without delving into quantitative finance methodologies.

报 告 摘 要 一、美国公募基金市场月度收益 2025年3月，美国股票型基金业绩弱于国际股票基金、债券基金和资产配置基金。 具体 来看，3月美国股票型基金、国际股票型基金、债券型基金、资产配置型基金收益中位 数分别为-5.65%、-1.62%、-0.27%、-2.62%。 二、 美国非货币基金资金流向 三、 头部资管机构资金净流入 四、美国公募基金市场新发产品 2025年3月， 美国基金市场新成立基金共58只，其中包括48只ETF和10只开放式基金产品； 按资产类别区分，2025年3月新成立股票型基金38只、债券型基金8只、资产配置型基金2 只。 2025年3月， 美国股票型基金业绩弱于国际股票基金、债券基金和资产配置基金。 具体来看，3月美国股票型基金、国际股票型基金、债券型基金、资产配置型基金收益中位数 分别为-5.65%、-1.62%、-0.27%、 -2.62%。 按管理方式： 2025年3月，主动管理型基金整体净流出307亿美元，被动基金整体净流入 544亿美元。 按资产类型： 2025年3月， 美国市场开放式基金中，股票型基金资金净流出较多 ，达 582亿美元。 2025年3月， 美国市场ETF中 ...