Overview - The food and beverage industry is currently facing a dual impact of oversupply and insufficient demand, leading to a restructuring of the overall pricing and competitive landscape [3][6][21] - Despite the pressure on prices and downward revisions of profit growth expectations in some sectors, the intense competition is driving innovation and reform, resulting in new business models and investment opportunities [3][6][21] Baijiu Industry - Since 2025, profound changes have occurred on both the supply and demand sides of the baijiu industry, with a coexistence of consumption upgrades and downgrades [7][22] - Some mid-range baijiu brands are under pressure, while certain local brands continue to grow rapidly, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [22][30] - Baijiu companies have proactively adjusted their supply strategies, leading to a significant slowdown in revenue growth to match demand changes [22][23] - The industry is undergoing a transformation in product and pricing strategies, suggesting a cyclical change, with recommendations to focus on companies with balanced product structures and healthy inventories [22][32] Consumer Goods - The consumer goods sector is entering a new phase where channel efficiency is paramount, driven by the rise of new retail formats such as discount stores and membership supermarkets [8][36] - New business models are disrupting traditional channel barriers and providing better value-for-money options, leading to structural growth opportunities [8][36][37] - The focus for investment should be on channel enterprises and related manufacturing companies, as new retail formats continue to gain traction [8][37] - The market for snacks and beverages is expanding rapidly, with the retail value in the lower-tier markets reaching 2.3 trillion yuan in 2024 [52][56] New Product Trends - There is still room for innovation in certain niche markets, with segments like leisure konjac products experiencing rapid growth [9][70] - The demand for high-quality products remains strong, with a significant portion of consumers willing to pay more for better quality [42][43] Market Structure - The industry is witnessing a consolidation phase, particularly in sectors like dairy, beer, and yeast, where competition intensity is decreasing and leading brands are gaining long-term competitive advantages [10][36] - Traditional sectors like yellow wine are also stabilizing, with improved profitability and potential for revaluation as market dynamics shift [10][36] Retail Channel Dynamics - The rise of membership supermarkets and discount retail channels is reshaping consumer purchasing behavior, with a notable increase in the number of snack retail outlets [48][56] - Companies like Youyou Foods and Lihigh Foods are effectively leveraging these new channels to drive growth and improve profitability [48][70]

有友食品本轮股价上涨呈现出明显的资金接力特征。 在股价年内飙升超90%、达到年内新高之际，"泡椒凤爪第一股"有友食品（603697.SH）突遭实控人高位减持。 有友食品6月22日公告，该公司董事长鹿有忠之妻赵英，计划减持名下3%的股份。次日，该股随即闻声下跌，盘中一度触及跌停，全天下跌7.65%，但24日 有所反弹，最终收涨4.26%，最新股价为13.22元。 若按23日收盘价静态计算，赵英此番套现规模将达1.63亿元。而除了大股东家族抛售套现，该公司近年持续"清仓式分红"，2024年分红率更是高达127.8%， 实控人家族分红金额达到1.4亿元左右。 有友食品的业绩，也存在隐忧。2024年，该公司业绩回暖，但核心产品泡椒凤爪收入较峰值缩水了近2亿元，新增长点"其他泡卤风味肉制品"虽放量明显， 毛利率却堪忧。 连年清仓分红大股东又欲高位减持 有友食品6月22日公告，赵英计划减持不超过1283.08万股，即不超过该公司总股本3%的股份。其中，以集中竞价、大宗交易减持的股份分别不超过427.69万 股、855.38万股。减持时间为7月15日至10月12日。 按照6月23日收盘价静态计算，赵英此次减持的金额，将达到 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 22 日 把握酒类情绪修复机遇，回归业绩主线 食品饮料行业周报（6.22） 消费品/食品饮料 本周新华社、人民网等媒体均发文指向整治违规吃喝一刀切现象，对于部分地 区过度限制正常社交聚餐等行为从态度上进行纠偏，白酒侧有望对于除公务接 待以外场景产生的冲击带来修复，叠加整体估值处于低位，行业加速触底后建 议逢低布局龙头；啤酒侧关注情绪面修复下，在旺季动销催化中具备大单品放 量结构性增长的标的。此外，新消费短期有所回调，建议关注下半年延续高增 品类的估值切换机会。 海天味业：H 股挂牌上市交易。6 月 19 日公司全球发售 2.79 亿股 H 股股 票在香港联交所主板挂牌并正式上市，扣除相关费用后预计收取发售款净 额约为 100.10 亿港元。 ❑ 核心公司跟踪：白酒积极调整应对环境，小食品、宠物景气延续 五粮液：股东会公司表态积极奋进，环境有挑战不改初心，分红有望进一 步提升。公司股东会表态积极，25 年分红率有望进一步提升。普五坚持 量价平衡，1618 以高质量动销为导向。营销执行提升年，精细化渠道政 策持续推进，成立销售公司、实施市场化机制考核。25H ...

研究报告 Research Report 8 Jun 2025 中国 & 香港 & 美国可选消费 China (A-share) & Hong Kong & US Discretionary 可选消费 W23 周度趋势解析：本周零食板块景气度增强，部分新消费公司解禁在即板 块分化，股价波动增强 Analysis of weekly Discretionary Trends: Snacks Sector Prosperity Increases; Sector Diversification and Stock Price Volatility Rise as Some New Consumption Companies Approach Share Release Dates [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | 股票名称 | 评级 股票名称 | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 耐克 | Outperform 永辉超市 | Outperform | | 美的集团 | Outperform 苏泊尔 | Outperform | | 京东集团 | Ou ...

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 近年来在贸易摩擦背景下，提振内需、刺激消费成为市场中长期主线，不过形成鲜明对比的是，随着消费者结构和消费观念的改变， 美妆、 IP 潮玩、宠物经济等为代表的"新消费"逐渐成为消费新趋势，而白酒、餐饮、消费电子等传统消费依然承压。 2024年以来"新消费"行情已走出多只翻倍股、十倍股，如港股的老铺黄金(2782.21%)、泡泡玛特(1126.12%)、蜜雪冰城(124.81%)、毛戈平 (144.91%)、古茗(175.65%)等；A股的万辰集团(405%)、中宠宠物(160.10%)、会稽山(130.77%)、东鹏饮料(139.08%)等。 目前我国居民消费占GDP比重为38-40%，对比美国、日本的68-70%、55-60%，中长期仍有巨大提升空间。 在后发展阶段， "新消费"赛道有望 成为促消费的重要抓手，当前市场关注度较高的"新消费"赛道包括： 潮玩、茶饮、宠物、新型烟草、黄金珠宝等 ， 其中哪些 "新消费"领域有 望穿越经济周期？（ 点此查看名单 ） 01 从"生存型"向"悦己型"消费！"新消费"或仍处于中早期阶段！ 2024年有关部门主 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料|行业周报 发布时间：2025-05-19 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《白酒主动降速减压、提高分红率，大 众品关注新渠道/新品类机会》 - 2025.05.12 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 18105.47 | | 52 周最高 | 19832.49 | | 52 周最低 | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现 -29% -25% -21% -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 食品饮 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料|行业周报 发布时间：2025-05-19 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 18105.47 | | 52 周最高 | 19832.49 | | 52 周最低 | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现 -29% -25% -21% -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《白酒主动降速减压、提高分红率，大 众品关注新渠道/新品类机会》 - 2025.05.12 食品饮 ...

行 业 及 产 业 食品饮料 2025 年 05 月 18 日 自下而上 继续关注新品与渠道变 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 《需求整体平淡 关注新品及新渠道变化— —食品饮料行业周报 20250506- 20250509》 2025/05/10 《大众品关注红利与成长，白酒增速回落 分化加剧——食品饮料行业周报 20250428—20250505》 2025/05/05 《板块持仓继续回落 关注新品与渠道共振 机会——食品饮料行业周报 20250421— 20250425》 2025/04/26 联系人 王子昂 (8621)23297818× wangza@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 报 告 化 看好 —— 食品饮料行业周报 20250512-20250516 证券分析师 吕昌 A0230516010001 lvchang@swsresearch.com 周缘 A0230519090004 zhouyuan@swsresearch.com 严泽楠 A02305240 ...

Core Viewpoint - Youyou Food, known as the "first stock of spicy chicken feet," is experiencing management instability with its fourth secretary resigning since its IPO in 2019, reflecting growth anxiety despite its leading position in the niche market [1][2][7]. Management Changes - The company has seen four secretaries resign since its listing in May 2019, with the most recent, Liang Yu, leaving after just over three months in office [2][3][6]. - The current chairman, Lu Youzhong, is temporarily acting as the secretary due to the prolonged vacancy [1][5]. Financial Performance - Youyou Food's net profit attributable to shareholders has declined for three consecutive years from 2021 to 2023, raising concerns about its growth trajectory [1][7]. - However, there is a recent turnaround, with both revenue and net profit showing growth in 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, with a net profit increase of 35.44% year-on-year [2][7]. Strategic Partnerships - The collaboration with Sam's Club is seen as a potential new growth driver for Youyou Food, enhancing its sales channels and brand image [7][8]. - The company is optimistic about achieving a revenue growth of no less than 20% in 2025, supported by its strong financial position and strategic partnerships [8][9]. Financial Management - As of April 30, the company had invested a total of 12 billion yuan in financial management, with 8.3 billion yuan still unredeemed, raising questions about its investment confidence [9][10].

事件概述 成本端来看，公司25Q1 毛利率为27.08%，同比-4.35pct。公司毛利率端有所承压，我们预计主因毛利率 较低的新渠道扩张较快所致。费用端来看，公司25Q1 销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为 8.88%/3.13%/0.28%/-0.02%，分别同比-2.88/-0.56/+0.09/-0.01pct。公司费用率水平显著下降，我们预计 主因低费投、高效率的会员制超市新渠道快速增长所致。利润端来看，公司25Q1 归母净利润率为 13.14%，同比-2.60pct；25Q1 扣非归母净利润率为11.38%，同比-1.22pct。受制于毛利率承压，公司净 利润率水平有所承压。 新渠道动能持续释放，关注潜在新品 根据公司24 年年报披露，公司2025 年预计营业收入增长不低于20%。产品端来看，我们认为公司24年 通过脱骨鸭掌新品成功切入选品严格的山姆渠道，并成为爆款单品，验证了公司在产品打造上的能力。 公司产品储备丰富，涵盖凤爪、素食、猪皮晶等种类，未来有望依靠产品创新，持续打造适合渠道特点 的新单品，带来业绩增量。渠道端来看，山姆以其优秀的选品能力与严格的供应链管理，近年来实现快 速增长。根据金 ...