羚锐制药（600285.SH） 连续 5 年营收利润双增，如何看待羚锐增长的持续性？ | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 3,311 | 3,501 | 4,157 | 4,620 | 5,111 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 10.3 | 5.7 | 18.7 | 11.1 | 10.6 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 568 | 723 | 839 | 973 | 1,099 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 22.1 | 27.2 | 16.2 | 15.9 | 13.0 | | ROE（%） | 20.3 | 23.5 | 24.7 | 25.0 | 24.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.48 | 1.72 | 1.94 | | P/E（倍） | 23.5 | 18.5 | 15.9 | 13.7 | 12.1 | | P/B（倍） | 4.8 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 ...

Group 1 - The company is a leading player in the traditional Chinese medicine patch industry, with a stable growth in performance, achieving a revenue of 3.501 billion yuan in 2024 (+5.72%) and a net profit of 723 million yuan (+27.19%) [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.021 billion yuan (+12.29%) and a net profit of 217 million yuan (+13.89%) [1] - The core products showed steady growth, with revenues from patches, tablets, capsules, ointments, and other categories reaching 2.115 billion, 356 million, 752 million, 128 million, and 148 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +3.35%, +35.60%, +5.66%, -7.09%, and -1.20% [1] Group 2 - The company has a strong market presence in external traditional Chinese medicine patches, with annual sales of the Tongluo Pain Relief Patch exceeding 1 billion yuan and the "Two Tigers" series products selling over 1 billion patches annually [1] - The company’s R&D expense ratio for 2024 was 3.76% (+0.45 percentage points), focusing on major diseases and products in orthopedics, respiratory, skin, and digestive systems [2] - The company signed a letter of intent for acquisition with Yingu Holdings Group in December 2024, aiming to acquire a controlling stake in Yingu Pharmaceutical, which aligns with its strategic planning and enhances its product matrix with high-tech nasal sprays and inhalants [2] Group 3 - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 831 million, 932 million, and 1.056 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of +15.0%, +12.2%, and +13.4% respectively [2] - The company maintains a leading brand advantage in the traditional Chinese medicine patch sector, with a solid market share for multiple products, and continues to enhance its product matrix through R&D and acquisitions [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in terms of profit is outstanding, with a revenue of 3.501 billion yuan in 2024 (up 5.72% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 722.55 million yuan (up 27.19% year-on-year) [2] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.021 billion yuan (up 12.29% year-on-year, up 37.62% quarter-on-quarter) and a net profit of 217 million yuan (up 13.89% year-on-year, up 45.83% quarter-on-quarter) [2] - The company is a leading player in the traditional Chinese medicine patch market, with a strong performance in core products and a promising growth outlook due to recent acquisitions [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 75.82% and a net margin of 20.64%, with improvements in gross margins across various product lines [6] - The company plans to enhance its product pipeline through the acquisition of Yingu Pharmaceutical for 704 million yuan, which is expected to provide significant synergies and fill gaps in its product offerings [6][7] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from patches reached 2.115 billion yuan in 2024 (up 3.35% year-on-year), while tablets saw a significant increase of 35.60% year-on-year, reaching 355 million yuan [6] - The core product Tongluo Qutong Gao is expected to generate over 1.2 billion yuan in revenue, with double-digit growth anticipated for the "Two Tigers" series [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 826.30 million yuan, 951.24 million yuan, and 1.07982 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.46, 1.68, and 1.90 yuan [7]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.501 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 723 million yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.021 billion yuan, a 12.3% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 217 million yuan, reflecting a 13.9% year-on-year growth [1] Business Performance - The orthopedic segment showed steady growth, with revenue of approximately 2.32 billion yuan in 2024, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, and a gross margin improvement of 3.9 percentage points [2] - The sales of the Tongluo Pain Relief Plaster exceeded 1 billion yuan, and the "Two Tigers" series products sold over 1 billion patches, indicating strong brand strength [2] - The cardiovascular segment generated about 450 million yuan in revenue, a 3.3% year-on-year increase, with the Peiyuan Tongnao capsule gradually gaining market traction [2] Product Expansion and Acquisitions - The tablet segment saw significant growth, with revenue of approximately 360 million yuan, a 35.6% increase year-on-year, driven by strong sales of Danlu Tongdu tablets [3] - The company acquired 90% of Yingu Pharmaceutical for 704 million yuan, enhancing growth potential and filling gaps in its nasal spray product line [3] - The acquisition is expected to strengthen the company's hospital sales capabilities and enhance the sales channels for Yingu's products [3] Dividend Policy - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.90 yuan per share for 2024, totaling approximately 510 million yuan, which represents 70.64% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3] Financial Forecast - The orthopedic business is expected to benefit from an aging population, with projected revenues of 4.2 billion yuan, 4.68 billion yuan, and 5.23 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.9%, 11.6%, and 11.7% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 840 million yuan, 950 million yuan, and 1.07 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 15.9%, 13.1%, and 13.0% respectively [4] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 1.48 yuan, 1.67 yuan, and 1.89 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15, 13, and 12 times [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.501 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 723 million RMB, up 27.2% year-on-year [2]. - The acquisition of Yingu Pharmaceutical for 704 million RMB is expected to enhance the company's growth potential by filling product gaps and improving sales capabilities [3]. - The orthopedic product segment continues to show robust growth, with revenue reaching approximately 2.32 billion RMB in 2024, a 9.5% increase year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.021 billion RMB, reflecting a 12.3% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 217 million RMB, up 13.9% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The orthopedic segment's revenue growth is attributed to an aging population and improved product margins, with a gross margin increase of 3.9 percentage points [3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.90 RMB per share, totaling approximately 510 million RMB, which represents 70.64% of the net profit for 2024 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 4.196 billion RMB, 4.683 billion RMB, and 5.231 billion RMB, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 19.9%, 11.6%, and 11.7% [4]. - The expected net profit for the same period is projected to be 840 million RMB, 950 million RMB, and 1.07 billion RMB, with growth rates of 15.9%, 13.1%, and 13.0% respectively [4].

国金证券股份有限公司袁维近期对羚锐制药（600285）进行研究并发布了研究报告《业绩稳健增长，期待 并购整合进展》，给予羚锐制药买入评级。 羚锐制药 业绩简评 2025年4月25日，公司发布2024年年度报告。2024年公司实现收入35.01亿元(同比+5.7%)，实现归母净利润 7.23亿元(同比+27.2%)，实现扣非归母净利润6.42亿元(同比+20.2%)。 公司同时发布2025年一季报。2025年Q1公司实现收入10.21亿元(同比+12.3%)，实现归母净利润2.17亿元 (同比+13.9%)，实现扣非归母净利润2.04亿元(同比+12.4%)。 经营分析 盈利预测、估值与评级 公司骨科业务有望受益于老龄化，持续稳健增长，收购银谷有望实现内生外延双轮驱动。考虑银谷并表， 预计公司25-27年营收分别42.0/46.8/52.3亿元，分别同比增长19.9%/11.6%/11.7%，预计公司25-27年归母净 利润分别8.4/9.5/10.7亿元，分别同比增长15.9%/13.1%/13.0%，25-27年EPS分别为1.48/1.67/1.89元，现价对 应PE分别为15/13/12倍，维持"买入" ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.501 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 723 million RMB, up 27.2% year-on-year [2]. - The acquisition of Yingu Pharmaceutical for 704 million RMB is expected to enhance the company's growth potential by filling product gaps and improving sales capabilities [3]. - The orthopedic product segment continues to show robust growth, with revenues reaching approximately 2.32 billion RMB in 2024, a 9.5% increase year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.021 billion RMB, reflecting a 12.3% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 217 million RMB, up 13.9% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The orthopedic segment's revenue growth is attributed to an aging population and improved product margins, with a gross margin increase of 3.9 percentage points [3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.90 RMB per share, totaling approximately 510 million RMB, which represents 70.64% of the net profit for 2024 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 4.196 billion RMB, 4.683 billion RMB, and 5.231 billion RMB, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 19.9%, 11.6%, and 11.7% [4]. - The expected net profit for the same period is forecasted to be 840 million RMB, 950 million RMB, and 1.07 billion RMB, with growth rates of 15.9%, 13.1%, and 13.0% respectively [4].