中信证券指出，2025年11月美国新增非农就业人数和失业率均超预期。10月新增非农就业人数大幅减 少，原因是部分接受"延迟辞职"方案的美国联邦政府雇员退出了工资单，导致政府部门拖累整体读数。 鲍威尔给非农"官方打折"，11月新增非农就业谈不上强劲。"低招聘"延续，但"低裁员"在10月和11月有 所变化。不过就12月美股公司提到"Job Cuts"的次数来看，裁员规模并未恶化。若12月失业率不继续上 升，则预计美联储仍会认为政策利率"well positioned"。中信证券预计美联储将在明年1月暂停降息，剩 余两次鲍威尔作为主席的议息会议可能还有一次25bps降息。 道琼斯工业平均指数(Dow Jones IndustrialAverage，DJIA，简称"道指")是以价格平均数计算美国30家蓝 筹公司的股价平均指数。该指数涵盖了除运输业和公用事业各个行业。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 截至2025年12月17日 13:20，道琼斯ETF(513400)最新报价1.25元，盘中换手5.63%，成交1.18亿元。拉 长时间看，截至12月16日，道琼斯ETF近1周日均成 ...

锂电池板块走低，电池ETF景顺、新能源车龙头ETF和新能源汽车ETF均跌1%。稀有金属板块走 弱，稀有金属ETF跌1%。化工股表现萎靡，化工ETF跌0.76%。 A股低开高走，截至午盘，上证指数跌0.04%，深证成指涨0.57%，创业板指涨0.6%，北证50涨 1.12%。全市场成交额1.26万亿元，较上日成交额放量912亿元。 板块题材上， 电网设备、贵金属板块 活跃，商业航天概念股反复活跃，核聚变、CPO、特高压、超导、充电桩、光刻机概念股涨幅居前。锂 电电解液、两岸融合、银行板块走弱。 ETF方面，特高压、智能电网板块快速拉升，华夏基金电网设备ETF、国泰基金电网ETF和广发基 金电网ETF分别涨3.07%、2.64%和2.63%。隔夜道指收涨，鹏华基金道琼斯ETF涨2.68%。黄金股连续第 二日上涨，平安基金黄金股票ETF基金、华夏基金黄金股ETF分别涨2.16%和1.89%。智能驾驶板块表现 活跃，富国基金智能汽车ETF、汇添富基金智能汽车ETF基金分别涨1.93%和1.83%。 （责任编辑：王治强 HF013） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立 ...

A股低开高走，截至收盘，上证指数涨0.41%，深证成指涨0.84%，创业板指涨0.97%，北证50涨 0.31%。全市场成交额2.12万亿元，较上日成交额放量2335亿元。 板块题材上， 电网设备、贵金属、半 导体设备板块活跃，零售、海南板块调整。 ETF方面，半导体设备板块全线拉升，华夏基金科创半导体ETF、华泰柏瑞基金科创半导体设备 ETF和科创半导体设备ETF鹏华分别涨5%、4.98%和4.52%。智能电网板块表现强势，华夏基金电网设 备ETF、广发基金电网ETF分别涨3.49%、3.26%。隔夜道指收涨，鹏华基金道琼斯ETF涨2.84%。港股 久违反弹，广发基金港股通非银ETF涨2.84%。 能源化工板块走低，能源化工ETF跌1%，化工ETF跌0.54%。隔夜美股科技股走弱，纳指科技 ETF、纳指科技ETF分别跌0.85%和0.69%。 （责任编辑：贺翀 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun ...

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯 12月12日，ETF午间收盘涨跌不一，电网设备ETF(159326)涨3.07%，道琼斯 ETF(513400)涨2.68%，电网ETF(561380)涨2.64%；电池ETF景顺(159757)跌1.16%，新能源汽车 ETF(516390)跌1.13%，新能源车龙头ETF(159637)跌1.13%。 上证报中国证券网讯 12月12日，ETF午间收盘涨跌不一，电网设备ETF(159326)涨3.07%，道琼斯 ETF(513400)涨2.68%，电网ETF(561380)涨2.64%；电池ETF景顺(159757)跌1.16%，新能源汽车 ETF(516390)跌1.13%，新能源车龙头ETF(159637)跌1.13%。 来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 ...

美股周四收盘涨跌不一，标普500指数与道指携手创下收盘历史新高。由于甲骨文的财报令投资者对人工智能投资前景 心存疑虑，科技权重更高的纳指表现不佳。 此外，罗素2000种小盘股指数周四再创收盘纪录新高。相较于大公司，小公司通常更能从降息中受益，因为它们的借贷 成本与市场利率关联更为紧密。 受盘面影响，道琼斯ETF早盘涨超2%。 | 513400[道琼斯ETF] 09:49 价 1.261 涨跌 0.029 | | --- | | | | | | | | 1.232 | 每日经济新闻 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline across major indices last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 1000, and CSI 300 showing returns of -0.18%, -0.52%, and -1.08% respectively. In contrast, the STAR 50, ChiNext Index, and SME Board Index had poorer performances with returns of -3.85%, -3.01%, and -1.71% respectively [1] - In terms of industry performance, consumer services, textiles and apparel, and pharmaceuticals led with returns of 4.81%, 4.43%, and 3.29% respectively, while communication, electronics, and computers lagged with returns of -4.90%, -4.44%, and -3.72% respectively [1] Fund Flow - The ETF market saw a net inflow of 29.317 billion yuan last week, with stock ETFs contributing 17.352 billion yuan, QDII stock ETFs 5 billion yuan, commodity ETFs 5.957 billion yuan, money market fund ETFs 1.236 billion yuan, and bond ETFs experiencing a net outflow of 0.276 billion yuan [2] - Specific indices that saw significant net inflows include SGE Gold 9999 (5.573 billion yuan), STAR 50 (3.532 billion yuan), and ChiNext AI (2.300 billion yuan) [4] - Conversely, indices such as CSI A500 and CSI 300 experienced notable net outflows of 4.055 billion yuan and 2.640 billion yuan respectively [2][4] ETF Performance - The median weekly return for stock ETFs was -1.09%, with the CSI 50 ETF showing the highest median return of 0.02% among broad-based ETFs. Consumer ETFs had a median return of 2.10%, the highest among sectors [11] - Top-performing ETFs included the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (10.92%), Hang Seng Innovative Drug ETF (10.80%), and Tourism ETF (9.30%) [12][14] - In contrast, ETFs such as 5G Communication ETF and Communication ETF saw declines of -7.03% and -6.89% respectively [16][18] New Fund Activity - A total of 56 funds were reported last week, an increase from the previous week, including one QDII and several thematic ETFs [20] - 25 new funds were established with a total issuance scale of 14.173 billion yuan, which is a decrease compared to the previous week [20] - 41 funds entered the issuance phase last week, with 33 more expected to begin issuance this week [21] Hot News - Several cross-border ETFs have been flagged for premium risks due to significant discrepancies between market trading prices and net asset values [22] - The "Southbound ETF" program expanded on November 10, adding six ETFs to the Hong Kong Stock Connect list, increasing the total number of products from 17 to 23 [23]

Market Performance - US stock market faced significant declines, with all three major indices recording their worst performance since October 10 [1] - Dow Jones dropped over 700 points, S&P 500 fell nearly 1.7%, and Nasdaq briefly dipped below the 50-day moving average [2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks were the primary focus of the sell-off, with Tesla down 7%, Nvidia and Broadcom down 5%, and Disney dropping nearly 8% due to disappointing earnings [2] - Nasdaq technology ETF fell over 3%, while various other ETFs including S&P ETF and Dow Jones ETF declined over 2% [2][3] Valuation Insights - Major US indices are currently at high valuation levels, with Nasdaq index PE at 41.04, S&P 500 at 28.67, and Dow Jones at 31.32 [4] - Year-to-date performance shows significant gains for some tech stocks, with Google up 47.64% and Nvidia up 39.18% [4] Liquidity and Interest Rate Dynamics - Liquidity conditions have rapidly deteriorated, exacerbated by a 44-day government shutdown that froze expected fiscal spending [9] - Increased US debt issuance has withdrawn substantial cash from the market, tightening the financing environment and reducing available lending capital [9] - The Federal Reserve's recent statements indicate a shift in interest rate expectations, with a notable decrease in the probability of a rate cut in December [10][11] Future Earnings Projections - Forecasts suggest that US stock earnings growth could reach 13.5% in 2026, driven by sustained AI demand and easing tariff risks [12] - The market is expected to focus on two main narratives: the ongoing strength of tech stocks, particularly in AI, and a potential recovery in cyclical sectors such as industrials and materials [12]

Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising over 1% to reach a record closing high [1] - The Dow Jones ETF increased nearly 3%, setting a new all-time high [1] - The S&P Biotechnology ETF rose over 4%, while the Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF gained over 2% [1] Group 2 - Analysts believe that Wall Street is betting on the potential end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, leading to optimistic investor sentiment [2] - Investors are hopeful that upcoming official economic data will provide more insights into the Federal Reserve's interest rate path [2]

Market Performance - On Monday, US stock markets experienced a dramatic reversal, initially opening lower due to Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, with the S&P 500 index dropping over 1% and the Nasdaq falling more than 1.5% [1] - However, by the end of the trading day, all three major indices closed slightly higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.32% at 42,792.07 points, the S&P 500 up 0.09% at 5,963.6 points, marking six consecutive days of gains, and the Nasdaq up 0.02% at 19,215.46 points [1] ETF Performance - Various ETFs, including the Nasdaq Technology ETF, Nasdaq ETF, Dow Jones ETF, and S&P 500 ETF, saw increases in value [2] - Specific ETFs showed notable daily gains, with the Nasdaq Technology ETF rising by 1.46% and the S&P 500 ETF increasing by 1.20% [3] Retail Investor Activity - Retail investors are driving a record influx of capital into the US stock market, with net purchases reaching a record $4.1 billion as of May 19, marking the first time this figure surpassed $4 billion before noon [4] - Retail trading volume accounted for 36% of total trading, setting a new peak since April [4] Major Stock Movements - Significant net purchases were observed in popular stocks, with Tesla seeing a net buy of $675 million and Palantir receiving $439 million [4] Market Sentiment and Warnings - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, issued a warning about high risks in the credit market, suggesting that optimism may be misplaced and that the market could face significant downturns [5] - Notable investors, including Warren Buffett and Li Lu, have reduced their positions in US stocks during the first quarter [5] Valuation Trends - The valuations of the "Tech Seven" giants have dropped to a seven-year low, with their forward price-to-earnings ratio at 28 times, which is a 43% premium over the S&P 493 index's 20 times [5] - This adjustment has led to the lowest NTM valuation multiples for Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla since 2018 [5] Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs strategists believe that lighter short-term positions and cheaper valuations could lead to a rebound in the stock prices of the Tech Seven, although risks remain due to ongoing antitrust investigations and competitive pressures [6] - Dimon cautioned that earnings growth expectations for S&P 500 constituents are likely to decline from approximately 12% at the beginning of the year to zero growth in six months, which would also impact price-to-earnings ratios [6]