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甲状腺癌并非全是“懒癌”,复发风险不容忽视
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-21 11:30
在我国,甲状腺癌的发病率正迅猛攀升。据国家癌症中心2024年数据统计,我国甲状腺癌年新 发病例达46.61万例,是所有恶性肿瘤发病率第三位,且发病结构年轻化趋势明显,已成为离 年轻人最近的癌症。有数据显示,在15-29岁年轻人群中,甲状腺癌新增病例数位居所有癌症 之首。 万,即每10万个女性当中,每年就有接近50个人新发甲状腺癌。自2000年起,甲状腺癌女性 发病率以年均20%的速度增长,快速成为了中国女性最常见的癌症之一。 《2025版北京市体检人群抽样健康报告》显示, 在体检随访确诊的癌症中,甲状腺癌占比高 达48.8%,位居首位。然而,公众中对甲状腺癌"懒癌无害"的误区仍然普遍存在,术后随访和 长期管理意识不足。 需要警惕的是,甲状腺癌并非全是"懒癌",某些类型恶性程度高、进展快,甚至可能危及生 命。基于此,在不少公开场合,临床专家呼吁,应打破认知偏差,重视甲状腺癌危害及复发风 险,推动科学防治。 中国医师协会医学科学普及分会副会长田文教授对记者指出:"懒癌"一词不科学、不全面。甲 状腺癌有分化型甲状腺癌,如乳头状癌、滤泡癌这类'预后较好'的类型,但也存在高度恶性的 类型,如髓样癌、未分化癌/低分化癌, ...
破除误区:甲状腺癌并非全是“懒癌”,复发风险不容忽视
甲状腺癌是一种源于甲状腺滤泡上皮或滤泡旁上皮细胞的恶性肿瘤,也是头颈部最为常见的恶性肿瘤。 由于甲状腺癌病程较长、发展缓慢、早期生存率高,而被公众称为"懒癌"、"幸福癌"、"最温柔的癌"。 然而,近年来全球多数国家和地区的甲状腺癌发病率持续上升,使其成为全球共同面临的健康课题。 甲状腺疾病"重女轻男",女性甲状腺疾病患病率为男性的2-3倍。2024年国家癌症中心发布数据显示, 2022年我国男、女性甲状腺癌发病率均位于前10位,其中,女性发病率为49.4/10万,即每10万个女性 当中,每年就有接近50个人新发甲状腺癌。自2000年起,甲状腺癌女性发病率以年均20%的速度增长, 快速成为了中国女性最常见的癌症之一。 虽然甲状腺癌发病率高且增速较快,但并非高死亡率的肿瘤。2024年发布数据也显示,2022年我国男女 性甲状腺癌的死亡率不论男性、女性,均没有进入前10位。在发病率快速增长的同时,近二十年来,甲 状腺癌的死亡率仅以每年约1.4%的速度略有上升。 目前,甲状腺癌总体上预后良好,生存时间长,但复发转移仍有相当比例。数据显示,我国5年生存率 已达92.9%,但仍低于美国的98%~99%,而且术后10年复发 ...
泽璟制药(688266):商业化进展顺利 在研管线出海潜力可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 00:34
Group 1: Financial Performance - Company reported total revenue of 376 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56.07% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -73 million yuan, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was -103 million yuan [1] - Sales expenses increased by 75.76% to 211 million yuan, management expenses rose by 46.43% to 39 million yuan, and R&D expenses grew by 8.47% to 197 million yuan [1] Group 2: Product Development and Commercialization - The company successfully launched its key product, Jikaxitini, in May 2025, which is included in the CSCO guidelines for treating primary myelofibrosis [1] - Jikaxitini is expected to generate significant revenue due to its first-line and second-line treatment recommendations for related conditions [1] - The company is also advancing the regulatory review for its recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone [1] Group 3: Pipeline Potential - The company has a promising pipeline with several candidates progressing: ZG005 (PD-1/TIGIT bispecific antibody) shows an ORR of 40.9% for cervical cancer [2] - ZG006 (CD3/DLL3/DLL3 trispecific antibody) has received orphan drug designation and shows significant efficacy in small cell lung cancer [2] - ZGGS15 (LAG-3/TIGIT bispecific antibody) is the first of its kind to enter clinical trials, demonstrating good safety profiles [2] - ZGGS34 (MUC17/CD3/CD28) has submitted IND applications to CDE and FDA for advanced solid tumors [2] Group 4: Revenue Forecast - Projected total revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 824 million yuan, 1.388 billion yuan, and 2.391 billion yuan respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same years are -95 million yuan, 117 million yuan, and 561 million yuan [3] - Current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 242 for 2026 and 50 for 2027 [3]
华源晨会精粹20250904-20250904
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-09-04 14:03
Non-Banking Financials - China Ping An (601318.SH) reported a revenue of 500.1 billion and a net profit of 68 billion for H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.0% and a decline of 8.8% respectively [2][8] - The operating profit after tax (OPAT) increased by 3.7% to 77.7 billion, while the net assets rose by 1.7% to 944 billion [2][8] - The new business value (NBV) for life insurance grew by 39.8%, and the combined ratio (COR) for property insurance improved by 2.6 percentage points to 95.2% [2][8] Pharmaceuticals - Zai Lab (688266.SH) achieved a total revenue of 376 million, marking a 56.07% increase year-on-year, although it reported a net loss of 73 million [13][14] - The company’s key product, Gika Xini, was approved for market, expected to generate significant revenue [14][15] - The pipeline includes promising candidates like ZG005 and ZG006, which are in various stages of clinical trials and have shown strong efficacy [15][16] Utilities and Environmental Protection - China Nuclear Power (601985.SH) reported a revenue of 40.973 billion, a 9.43% increase, but a net profit of 5.67 billion, down 3.66% year-on-year [18][19] - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of 0.02 per share, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [20] - The company has 19 units under construction or approved, with a total capacity of approximately 22GW, ensuring long-term growth [20] Medical Devices - Haitai New Light (688677.SH) reported a revenue of 266 million, a 20.50% increase, and a net profit of 74 million, up 5.52% [22][23] - The company’s medical endoscope revenue reached 207 million, with significant growth in overseas markets [23][24] - The gross margin for the company improved to 65.84%, driven by increased sales and operational efficiency [23][24] Construction and Building Materials - Jianghe Group (601886.SH) reported a revenue of 9.339 billion, a decrease of 5.86%, but a net profit increase of 1.69% to 328 million [30][31] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 51.82%, indicating strong investor returns [30][31] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with significant growth in orders from international markets [31][32] Transportation - Shentong Express (002468.SZ) achieved a revenue of 25.02 billion, a 16.02% increase, but faced a net profit decline of 3.73% [37][38] - The company’s market share reached 12.9%, with a significant volume of 6.54 billion parcels processed [38][39] - The company is focusing on digital transformation and improving customer service to enhance profitability amid competitive pricing pressures [39][40]
泽璟制药(688266):商业化进展顺利,在研管线出海潜力可期
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-09-04 09:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing smooth commercialization progress, with significant potential for its pipeline in overseas markets [5] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 376 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 56.07%, driven by the inclusion of its product in the national medical insurance directory [7] - The company's key product, Jikaxitini, was successfully approved for market launch in May 2025 and is recommended as a first-line treatment for primary myelofibrosis [7] - The pipeline shows promising potential, with several products advancing through clinical trials and expected to contribute to future revenue growth [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 824 million yuan, 1.388 billion yuan, and 2.391 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.68%, 68.36%, and 72.28% [6][8] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 117 million yuan in 2026 and 561 million yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of 222.86% and 379.53% respectively [6][8] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 242 for 2026 and 50.44 for 2027 [6][8]
泽璟制药(688266):2025 年半年报点评:商业化持续拓展,早研产品释放积极数据
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][12]. Core Views - The company's product commercialization is accelerating, with significant data released from early-stage products, indicating a promising competitive position [2][12]. - The financial forecast shows a substantial increase in revenue, with total revenue projected to reach 791 million in 2025, representing a 48.3% year-on-year growth [4][13]. - The early-stage pipeline is progressing steadily, with positive data from ASCO for ZG006 and ZG005, enhancing the company's competitive edge [12][13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is expected to grow from 386 million in 2023 to 1,941 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59.0% [4][13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to improve from a loss of 279 million in 2023 to a profit of 231 million in 2027 [4][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to transition from -1.05 in 2023 to 0.87 in 2027 [4][13]. Market Data - The company's target price is set at 132.14 yuan, with a current price of 109.10 yuan [6][12]. - The market capitalization stands at 28.88 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 54.60 to 133.48 yuan [7][12]. Pipeline and R&D Progress - The company has three products approved for market, with ongoing clinical trials for additional indications, indicating a robust pipeline [12][13]. - Positive clinical data from ZG006 and ZG005 suggest strong potential for further development and market success [12][13].
东吴证券晨会纪要-20250716
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-15 23:30
Macro Strategy - The "urban renewal" initiative is expected to achieve a total investment of at least 4.48 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, averaging nearly 900 billion yuan annually. The main sources of potential demand will come from the renovation of urban villages, old residential areas, and urban infrastructure upgrades [1][18] - The renovation of old residential areas and urban infrastructure is projected to contribute at least 2.35 trillion yuan in new investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, supported by over 470 billion yuan in central budget investments and special bonds [1][18] - The urban village renovation is estimated to contribute 2.13 trillion yuan in new investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, assuming a "half-demolition, half-renovation" approach for the remaining self-built houses [1][18] Economic Data - The actual GDP growth rate for Q2 was 5.2%, with a cumulative growth of 5.3% for the first half of the year, indicating a strong performance compared to the previous year. However, the nominal GDP growth rate was lower at 3.9% [2][20] - Consumer spending showed a year-on-year increase of 5.0% in the first half, driven by the "old-for-new" policy, while real estate sales showed resilience compared to the previous year [2][20] - Industrial production in June saw a year-on-year increase of 6.8%, supported by strong external demand, particularly in the equipment manufacturing sector [2][21] Company Analysis - Zhongkuang Resources (002738) has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027 due to pressure from falling lithium prices and temporary losses in copper smelting, projecting net profits of 4.0/9.6/19.3 billion yuan [10] - Li Ning (02331.HK) anticipates challenges in sales due to deepening discounts and increased expenses, with revised net profit forecasts of 23.1/26.0/29.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [10] - 361 Degrees (01361.HK) is expanding its superstore network and maintaining industry-leading growth, with net profit forecasts of 13.0/14.6/16.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [11] - Zhongrong Electric (301031) expects continued high growth in its electric vehicle-related products, projecting net profits of 3.4/4.8/6.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - Huanxin Cement (600801) reported a significant increase in Q2 profits, driven by improvements in domestic cement profitability and overseas operations, with revised net profit forecasts of 28.8/32.2/35.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [15]
泽璟制药(688266):业绩符合预期,关注重磅管线积极进展
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-04-30 14:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance meets expectations, with a focus on the positive progress of key pipelines [5] - The company reported a revenue of 533 million RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 37.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -138 million RMB [7] - The company has successfully commercialized existing products and is advancing two products towards market launch [7] - The company is developing multiple innovative drugs with promising clinical trial results expected to be announced in 2025 [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 864 million RMB, 1.471 billion RMB, and 2.387 billion RMB respectively, with growth rates of 62.12%, 70.23%, and 62.33% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -11 million RMB in 2025, followed by 313 million RMB in 2026 and 734 million RMB in 2027 [6][8] - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain high, with estimates of 95.69% in 2025 and 94.46% in 2027 [9]
【私募调研记录】中欧瑞博调研上海家化、泽璟制药
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-29 00:10
Group 1: Shanghai Jahwa - Shanghai Jahwa is confident about achieving high double-digit GMV growth for its core brands during the 618 shopping festival [1] - The employee stock ownership plan aims to enhance competitiveness, reduce turnover rates, and foster a sense of ownership among employees [1] - The company has made strategic adjustments in the past six months, including organizational design, talent development, and cultural initiatives [1] - E-commerce strategies have been refined, including inventory management, pricing adjustments, organizational restructuring, and product iterations [1] - The Yuze B5 series is planned to be a key product line on JD.com [1] - The company aims for double-digit revenue growth this year and to turn profits around [1] - The long-term profit recovery is expected to follow a timeline of 1-2 years for revenue growth, 2-3 years for profit improvement, and 3-5 years to meet profit margin targets [1] - The main brand Yuze is positioned as a skin barrier repair expert, while Liushen is expanding its usage scenarios and target demographics [1] Group 2: Zai Lab - Zai Lab introduced its pipeline drugs ZG006, ZG005, and ZGGS18, highlighting their latest developments and future plans for the next 3-5 years [2] - ZG006 is the world's first DLL3-expressing tumor tri-specific antibody, which has received clinical trial approvals from NMPA and FDA, showing promising early efficacy [2] - ZG005 is one of the first drugs in clinical research targeting the same pathway, with multiple clinical studies underway [2] - ZGGS18 has completed the dose escalation in Phase I trials in China and is currently in Phase I/II clinical trials [2] - The company plans to continuously explore the commercialization potential of its existing and upcoming products to achieve sustained revenue growth [2] - Zai Lab also discussed the sales progress and future expectations for recombinant human thrombin and the approval status of recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone [2] Group 3: Company Overview - Shenzhen Zhongou Ruibo Investment Management Co., Ltd. was established in 2007 and is one of the earliest private equity fund management companies in China [3] - The company focuses on secondary market securities investment and has launched over 50 private equity products in collaboration with top domestic financial institutions [3] - It obtained private fund manager qualifications in 2014 and launched its first overseas fund in 2016 [3] - The name "Rabbit Fund" reflects the company's investment culture of risk management, emphasizing the importance of risk prevention and management [3] - The investment philosophy is centered on growing alongside great companies and adapting strategies to respect market trends [3] - The company has received numerous accolades for its performance, including the "Morningstar Award" and "Golden Bull Award" [3]
泽璟制药:业绩增长符合预期,在研品种将在ASCO会议披露数据-20250423
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-23 06:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 533 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.91%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was -138 million yuan, a reduction in losses by 50.52% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 168 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.87%, with a net profit of -28.26 million yuan, a reduction in losses by 28.45% [1] - The clinical trial data for the drug ZG006 exceeded expectations, with a 66.7% objective response rate (ORR) in patients receiving doses of 10 mg or higher [2] - ZG005, a PD-1/TIGIT bispecific antibody, shows potential as a first-in-class (FIC) drug, with promising efficacy data in cervical cancer patients [3] - The company has multiple commercialized or near-commercialized products, with a reasonable pipeline that is expected to yield significant clinical and commercial advancements [4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 820 million yuan and 1.20 billion yuan, respectively, with a forecasted revenue of 1.60 billion yuan for 2027 [5] - The net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to -20 million yuan and 121 million yuan, respectively, with a projected net profit of 282 million yuan for 2027 [5] - The company reported a total market capitalization of approximately 28.48 billion yuan [6] Clinical Pipeline - ZG006 has completed the dose escalation phase in patients with advanced small cell lung cancer or neuroendocrine cancer, with a new clinical trial set to begin in the U.S. in September 2024 [2] - ZG005 is undergoing multiple clinical trials for various solid tumors, with expectations for several indications to reach proof of concept (POC) this year [3] - The company currently has two marketed products and two products under review, with several others in clinical stages [4]