Group 1 - The core market sentiment is characterized by a loss of calculability regarding the future rather than a loss of confidence [2] - The market reactions to the non-farm payroll data were mixed, with the dollar index initially falling before recovering, gold prices spiking then declining, and S&P 500 futures showing volatility before closing lower [2][3] - The U.S. Treasury bonds experienced a comprehensive rise, with yields dropping by 2 to 3.5 basis points, indicating a preference for assets that do not require narrative justification [2] Group 2 - The overall market response was moderate, suggesting that it was not a significant trading day, with expectations of increased volatility compared to the previous day [3] - The market is currently in a state of risk avoidance, with defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and real estate performing poorly, while technology stocks managed to show slight gains [4] - The implications of the non-farm data are troubling for the Federal Reserve, as it disrupts the sense of direction in the market, creating uncertainty in pricing models [4]

Group 1 - Citi Group is optimistic about the future of silver prices, predicting they will rise above $40 per ounce in the coming months due to tight physical supply and increasing investment demand [1] - The three-month silver price forecast has been raised from $38 to $40, while the six to twelve-month price forecast has been increased to $43 [1] - The outlook for gold prices remains cautious, with the bank suggesting that gold may have already peaked and predicting it will fall below $3,000 next year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a strong performance in commodities, with a notable increase in copper prices, while equity markets show a divergence in performance across regions, particularly with European markets outperforming the US and Japan [1][2]. Group 1: Asset Performance - Commodity prices continued to strengthen, with the CRB/Nanhua index rising and the increase in COMEX copper closing at a significant 10.9% [1]. - Equity performance showed increased divergence, with US stocks declining while the dollar strengthened [1]. - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks exhibited a strong positive correlation with US and Japanese stocks, while A-shares showed a strong negative correlation with Chinese government bonds [1]. Group 2: Equity Markets - European stock markets outperformed those in the US and Japan, with the German DAX and STOXX50 leading the gains, while US stocks experienced a broad pullback [2]. - Emerging markets saw strong performances from Vietnam and South Korea, with the Ho Chi Minh index rising by 5.1% and the Korean Composite Index increasing by 4.0% [2]. - In contrast, other emerging markets like India and Brazil showed weaker performance, with Brazil's IBOVESPA dropping by 3.6% [2]. Group 3: Bond Markets - China's bond market exhibited a "bear flat" pattern, with AAA-rated credit bond yields decreasing in the short term and increasing in the long term [2]. - The US bond market showed a "bear steep" pattern, with a rise in the 10-year Treasury yield influenced by inflation expectations, while the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September decreased compared to the previous week [2]. Group 4: Commodities and Currency - Commodity prices continued to rise, with 12 out of 14 types of futures contracts increasing, particularly in copper, coking coal, and silver, while nickel saw a decline of 1.1% [3]. - Since the beginning of the year, copper has shown a cumulative increase of 39.2%, with inventory levels for gold and silver decreasing [3]. - The US dollar index rose by 0.9%, reversing its previous depreciation, while the euro, pound, and yen depreciated against the dollar, although they have appreciated relative to the dollar since the start of the year [3].

Important News - Citigroup predicts that gold prices will decline due to weak demand and Federal Reserve rate cuts, with prices expected to fall below $3,000 per ounce in the coming quarters [1] - The U.S. Senate proposal states that wind and solar energy tax credits will end in 2028, while incentives for nuclear, hydropower, and geothermal energy will continue until 2036 [1] Individual Stock News - Siemens is expanding its partnership with NVIDIA to accelerate the application of artificial intelligence in the industrial sector [2] - Oracle is launching a project to facilitate suppliers in selling technologies, including AI, to the U.S. Department of Defense [2] - Eli Lilly is in deep negotiations to acquire gene-editing startup Verve Therapeutics for up to $1.3 billion [2] - Hong Kong Stock Exchange data shows that Wang Xing sold 5.737 million shares of Li Auto, raising over HK$600 million from June 10 to June 13 [2] - OpenAI is seeking new financial concessions from its largest shareholder Microsoft, aiming for Microsoft to hold about 33% of the restructured division in exchange for waiving future profit-sharing rights [2] Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales for May decreased by 0.9%, worse than the expected decline of 0.7%, with the previous value revised from 0.1% to -0.1% [3] - Merck's long-acting RSV monoclonal antibody is set for priority review in China [3] - Faraday Future announced the addition of new executives to its 10b5-1 stock buyback plan [3] - SK Group plans to collaborate with Amazon to build an AI data center in Ulsan [3] - SoftBank sold $4.8 billion worth of T-Mobile shares to reinvest in AI initiatives [3]

Group 1 - European stock markets have retreated after four consecutive days of gains, with the German DAX index showing a short-seller sentiment close to 80% [1] - Gold prices have dropped significantly, approaching the $3150 mark, while bullish sentiment remains high for several consecutive days [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 42% and bearish sentiment of 58% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 27% and bearish sentiment of 73% [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a strong bullish sentiment of 82% and a bearish sentiment of 18% [3] - The Dow Jones Index shows a bullish sentiment of 62% and bearish sentiment of 38% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has a bullish sentiment of 70% and bearish sentiment of 30% [3] - The German DAX 40 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 24% and bearish sentiment of 76% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 80% and bearish sentiment of 20% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 36% and bearish sentiment of 64% [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 30% and bearish sentiment of 70% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 62% and bearish sentiment of 38% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a bullish sentiment of 85% and bearish sentiment of 15% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 32% and bearish sentiment of 68% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a balanced sentiment with 53% bullish and 47% bearish [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [4] - The NZD/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 35% and bullish sentiment of 65% [4] - The USD/offshore RMB pair shows a strong bearish sentiment of 20% and bullish sentiment of 80% [4]