证券研究报告·公司深度研究·风电设备 德力佳（603092） 风电齿轮箱领军者，海风放量开启第二曲线 2026 年 02 月 26 日 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,442 | 3,715 | 5,454 | 6,359 | 7,209 | | 同比（%） | 42.92 | (16.36) | 46.79 | 16.60 | 13.37 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 633.96 | 533.79 | 815.85 | 1,076.96 | 1,339.97 | | 同比（%） | 17.36 | (15.80) | 52.84 | 32.01 | 24.42 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.58 | 1.33 | 2.04 | 2.69 | 3.35 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 42.98 | 51.05 | 33.40 | 25.30 | 20.33 | [T ...

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·风电设备 德力佳（603092） 风电齿轮箱领军者，海风放量开启第二曲线 2026 年 02 月 26 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,442 | 3,715 | 5,454 | 6,359 | 7,209 | | 同比（%） | 42.92 | (16.36) | 46.79 | 16.60 | 13.37 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 633.96 | 533.79 | 815.85 | 1,076.96 | 1,339.97 | | 同比（%） | 17.36 | (15.80) | 52.84 | 32.01 | 24.42 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.58 | 1.33 | 2.04 | 2.69 | 3.35 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 42.98 | 51.05 | 33.40 | 25.30 | ...

Core Insights - The wind power industry is expected to experience a synchronous recovery in both domestic and international markets, driven by changes in demand and industry dynamics, creating new investment opportunities [1] - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the wind power sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment [1] Group 1: Industry Review - Since 2021, China's onshore wind power has entered a parity era, with rapid cost reductions achieved through large-scale and technological advancements, leading to continuous installation exceeding expectations [3] - The competition within the main engine segment has significantly compressed the profitability of the industry chain, resulting in a situation where growth in volume does not equate to growth in profit [3] - The price of the onshore wind industry chain has been recovering since the second half of 2024, with profitability expected to improve in 2025 as shipment volumes increase [3][4] Group 2: Onshore Wind Power Outlook - For 2026, it is anticipated that new onshore installations in China will reach 120 GW, a year-on-year increase of 10%, setting a new historical high [4] - The industry chain prices are expected to have solid support, leading to significant recovery in main engine profits, with component segments showing notable operational leverage [4] - The CAGR for new onshore installations in emerging markets is projected to be 17% from 2024 to 2030, with domestic manufacturers expected to see substantial growth in export profits [4] Group 3: Offshore Wind Power Outlook - The report forecasts that new offshore installations in China will rise to a range of 11-15 GW in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of over 40% [5] - The national offshore wind project development is expected to commence in 2026, with a total of 70-100 GW of new offshore installations projected during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5] - The global offshore wind market is anticipated to see steady growth in orders and construction demand, particularly in Europe, where supply constraints for cables and piles are expected [5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key players in the main engine segment such as Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., and Sany Renewable Energy, while component manufacturers like Delijia and Jinlei Co. are also highlighted [6] - In the offshore wind sector, companies such as Dajin Heavy Industry, Haili Wind Power, and Oriental Cable are recommended for investment consideration [6]

Core Viewpoint - Delijia Transmission Technology (Jiangsu) Co., Ltd. successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking a significant achievement for Yida Capital in the green industry sector [1][7]. Company Overview - Delijia Transmission is a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of gear transmission products, with its core product being the wind turbine main gearbox, a critical component of wind power generation [3]. - Since its establishment in 2017, the company has developed a comprehensive business chain from design to production and operation services, with the capability to produce a full range of products from 1.5MW to 22MW [3]. - The products are designed to meet various geographical and climatic conditions, excelling in power density, transmission efficiency, gear safety factors, vibration, and noise levels, and have received multiple certifications from authoritative institutions [3][4]. Market Position - According to QY Research, Delijia holds a global market share of 10.36%, ranking third worldwide, and a market share of 16.22% in China, ranking second nationally [3]. - The company has established strong partnerships with leading wind turbine manufacturers, receiving multiple awards for excellence in supply and delivery [6]. Research and Development - Delijia has a robust R&D capability, with 63 authorized patents, including 24 invention patents, and has contributed to the drafting of several national and industry standards [4]. - The company's self-developed 10-12MW offshore gearbox was recognized as a significant technological equipment project by the National Energy Administration in 2021 [4]. Future Projects - The company plans to invest in projects to produce 1,000 units of large land-based wind gearboxes and 800 units of large offshore wind gearboxes, aimed at expanding production capacity and enhancing technological strength [6]. - These projects align with the trend of increasing single-unit capacity in wind turbines and aim to strengthen the company's market position in both domestic and international markets [6]. Industry Context - The growth of the wind power sector is supported by national policies promoting renewable energy and technological advancements that lower costs and improve efficiency [6][9]. - Yida Capital emphasizes the importance of industry research and regional focus, believing that solid industrial foundations and continuous technological innovation will foster globally competitive Chinese enterprises in the context of energy transformation [9].

Group 1 - China CRRC (601766.SH) announced the spin-off of its subsidiary CRRC Qishuyan Locomotive and Vehicle Research Institute Co., Ltd. to be listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's ChiNext board, which has attracted significant attention in the capital market due to its market capitalization exceeding 200 billion yuan [1][8] - The spin-off has been approved by 100% of the votes at the fourth meeting of the fourth board of directors and will require shareholder approval and compliance with relevant procedures from the stock exchange and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1][8] - After the spin-off, China CRRC will retain an 84.20% stake in CRRC Qishuyan, maintaining absolute control, and the financial data of the subsidiary will still be included in the consolidated financial statements [1][8] Group 2 - CRRC Qishuyan, established in 1959, has been recognized as a "Science and Technology Reform Enterprise" in 2023 and is involved in national key projects such as the "Sahara" wind power gearbox and "Deep Sea" transmission systems [1][8] - The company entered the wind power sector in 2008 and is one of the earliest suppliers of wind power gearboxes in China, leveraging over 60 years of rail transit gear transmission technology [2][9] - By 2025, the production capacity across its three bases in Changzhou and Baotou is expected to reach 3,800 units of 3-32 MW onshore/offshore gearboxes annually [2][9] Group 3 - CRRC Qishuyan has secured over 1,000 orders for 2024, with nearly 500 of those being 10 MW units, and has already surpassed the total new contracts signed in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the entire year of 2024 [2][9] - The company has achieved a cumulative installation of over 6,000 units globally, with more than 800 units operating overseas, covering 178 wind farms, and has a record of 15 years without failure [2][9] - The company has established itself among the top three in the industry, forming a competitive landscape with South High Gear and Delichongding [3][10] Group 4 - CRRC Qishuyan's high-speed train gear transmission systems have been installed in over 6,600 trains, maintaining the highest market share domestically [4][11] - The wind power main gearboxes range from 1.5 MW to 16 MW, making CRRC Qishuyan a core supplier for leading manufacturers such as Envision, Mingyang, and Goldwind [5][12] - The company’s business layout aligns with strategic emerging industries, with over 50% of its new business in wind power equipment, mining equipment, and intelligent manufacturing, and a year-on-year increase of over 40% in new orders from January to October 2024 [5][12] Group 5 - The spin-off of CRRC Qishuyan is seen as a reflection of the deepening reform of state-owned enterprises, being part of the fourth batch of mixed-ownership reform pilot enterprises [6][13]

Group 1 - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment is shifting towards a new growth paradigm, focusing on productivity enhancement, moderate inflation, and currency appreciation, which will lead to a systematic revaluation of equity markets [8][9] - The report indicates that the profitability of companies is expected to improve due to policies aimed at enhancing nominal GDP, which will directly translate into increased revenues and profits for listed companies [8][9] - The report notes that the relative attractiveness of various asset classes is changing, with equities showing significant potential for growth compared to bonds and real estate, which are under pressure [9] Group 2 - The report discusses the performance of the U.S. stock market, noting that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced declines of 1.9% and 2.7% respectively, with most sectors under pressure [28][30] - The report mentions that the semiconductor sector saw a significant upward revision in earnings expectations, indicating a positive outlook despite recent market volatility [30] - The report highlights that the Hong Kong stock market faced significant pressure, with the Hang Seng Index declining by 5.1%, reflecting a broader trend of market pullbacks across various styles and sectors [28][30] Group 3 - The report emphasizes that the lithium battery industry is progressing steadily towards solid-state battery commercialization, despite ongoing internal competition [3] - The report notes that the wind power gearbox manufacturer, Delijia, is benefiting from industry prosperity and is experiencing high growth in performance [3] - The report indicates that the agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is undergoing orderly progress in reversing internal competition, with a positive outlook for the broader livestock cycle [3] Group 4 - The report highlights that the AI-driven growth in companies like Kuaishou and Baidu is significant, with Kuaishou's revenue exceeding 300 million RMB in a single quarter, and Baidu's new AI business revenue growing over 50% year-on-year [3] - The report discusses the recovery of recruitment demand in BOSS Zhipin, with stable growth in profit margins, indicating a healthy labor market [3] - The report mentions that the financial engineering sector is seeing substantial inflows into U.S. stock ETFs, with net inflows exceeding 100 billion USD, reflecting strong investor interest [3] Group 5 - The report indicates that the REITs market is experiencing a general decline, with the index down 1.0% for the week, although it remains relatively stable compared to equity assets [17] - The report notes that the infrastructure REITs are gaining traction, with significant support from government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption through REITs [19] - The report highlights that the turnover rate for REITs has decreased, indicating a potential slowdown in trading activity within this sector [17] Group 6 - The report discusses the performance of the convertible bond market, which has shown resilience amid stock market declines, with the index only down 1% compared to larger drops in equities [20] - The report highlights that certain convertible bonds are exhibiting strong defensive characteristics, particularly those with underlying stocks that are experiencing downward pressure [20] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the supply-demand dynamics in the convertible bond market, which could provide opportunities for investors [20]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading enterprise in the wind power main gearbox sector, benefiting from industry prosperity and high growth in performance [4][6]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major wind turbine manufacturers, ensuring stable sales and operational stability [14][16]. - The wind power industry is expected to continue its growth, which will drive stable growth in the gearbox sector, with a projected global market size of $11.563 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.10% from 2024 to 2030 [4][42]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-speed heavy-duty precision gear transmission products, particularly wind power main gearboxes [3][6]. - The company was founded in 2017 and has rapidly grown to become one of the top three global suppliers of wind power main gearboxes [6][49]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading market share in the wind power main gearbox sector, with a global market share of 10.36% and a domestic market share of 16.22% as of 2024 [51]. - The company has established a diverse customer base, including major players like Goldwind Technology and Envision Energy, which helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a few clients [5][16]. Financial Performance - The company expects significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected figures of 8.27 billion, 10.66 billion, and 13.28 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 55.0%, 28.9%, and 24.5% respectively [5][76]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with nearly 2,800 units on hand by May 2025, valued at approximately 30.37 billion yuan, indicating strong future revenue potential [16][17]. Production Capacity and Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity with projects aimed at producing 1,000 units of 8MW and above land-based wind power gearboxes and 800 units of offshore wind power gearboxes [3][18]. - The company’s production capacity reached 3,096 units by the end of 2024, with a utilization rate of 86% [17][18]. Product Range and Technology - The company offers a full range of wind power gearbox products, catering to both direct-drive and doubly-fed wind turbine technologies, with power ratings from 1.5MW to 22MW [18][19]. - The company’s gearboxes are designed with high safety factors and operational efficiency, exceeding industry standards [49][50]. Industry Outlook - The wind power industry is expected to experience robust growth driven by global carbon neutrality goals, with significant increases in installed capacity anticipated in both onshore and offshore segments [28][34]. - The domestic wind power gearbox market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.46% from 2024 to 2030, reaching a market size of 32.4 billion yuan by 2030 [42].

Group 1 - The company has successfully exported its wind turbine main gearboxes indirectly to multiple overseas countries through wind turbine manufacturers, receiving positive feedback [2] - The company is currently in the process of developing direct overseas customers, with updates to be provided in future announcements [2]

Group 1: Quality and Innovation in Nanjing - Nanjing has become a significant player in the global wind turbine gearbox market, with one out of every three new gearboxes coming from the city [1] - The city has been recognized for ten consecutive years with the highest quality assessment rating in Jiangsu Province, emphasizing a development path that promotes innovation through quality [1] - The establishment of the "Zijin Mountain Triangular" technology transfer system accelerates the cultivation of new productive forces, integrating communication and sensing capabilities in 6G technology [2][3] Group 2: Robotics and Industrial Development - Nanjing is home to nearly 200 robotics-related companies, with Estun Robotics leading in industrial robot installations [3] - The city showcased over ten robotics companies at the 2025 World Robot Conference, highlighting its role as a hub for robotics innovation [3] - Nanjing has developed a comprehensive quality service model covering 15 high-tech parks and key industrial chains, contributing to the enhancement of core competitiveness in various sectors [3] Group 3: Low-Carbon Transformation - Traditional industries in Nanjing, such as steel and petrochemicals, are undergoing a green transformation, with significant investments in environmental projects [4][5] - Nanjing Steel has implemented a smart energy management platform, improving resource efficiency and integrating industrial production with ecological tourism [4][5] - China Petrochemical's photovoltaic project has transformed a former waste site into a solar power station, generating significant energy savings and emissions reductions [5] Group 4: Quality Improvement in Daily Life - Nanjing's quality improvements extend to consumer products, with companies like Weigang Dairy utilizing advanced technologies to enhance product safety and nutrition [6] - The city has established multiple quality-focused projects in urban construction, agriculture, and elder care, enhancing the quality of life for residents [6] - Initiatives such as the "Ning Rest Assured" consumption platform aim to create a safe and reliable consumer environment, reflecting the city's commitment to quality [6]

Core Insights - Delijia Transmission Technology officially listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on November 7, 2023, marking a significant milestone for the company [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-speed heavy-duty precision gear transmission products, primarily for wind power generation [1] - Delijia holds a global market share of 10.36% and ranks third worldwide, while its market share in China is 16.22%, placing it second nationally [1] Company Overview - Established in 2017, Delijia focuses on wind turbine gearboxes, with its core product being the main gearbox for wind power [1] - The IPO proceeds will primarily fund the production of 1,000 units of 8MW and above onshore wind power gearboxes and 800 units of large offshore wind power gearboxes in Shantou [1] - The projects aim to expand production capacity, enhance technological strength, and align with the trend of larger wind turbine capacities [1] Investment Context - Delijia's IPO represents the tenth company to go public under Yida Capital's investment portfolio by 2025, highlighting Yida's long-term commitment to the green industry [1][2] - Yida Capital emphasizes continuous investment in clean energy and environmental protection, building a "green investment network" through industry research and regional collaboration [2] - The successful listing of Delijia is seen as a testament to Yida Capital's strategy of combining industry research with regional depth [2]