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新易盛:算力需求激增,光模块市场高景气,预测全年营业收入310.71~562.06亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 12:39
Group 1 - The company is expected to achieve an operating revenue of 31.07 to 56.21 billion yuan and a net profit of 12.51 to 21.70 billion yuan by February 10, 2026, according to Chaoyang Yongxu's quarterly performance forecast data [1][5][6] - Tianfeng Securities predicts that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will reach 9.4 to 9.9 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 231.24% to 248.86% [2][8] - The fourth quarter performance is expected to show significant growth due to increased demand for computing power and high-speed products, driven by AIGC technology [2][8] Group 2 - AIGC technology is expected to double the capacity of large-scale data centers within the next four years, with total capacity projected to grow nearly threefold by 2030 [3][9] - The development of AI clusters is accelerating the application of high-speed optical modules, with an expectation that by 2027, 20% of Ethernet data center switch ports will be used to connect servers supporting AI tasks [3][9] - The company is accelerating the shipment of 1.6T and silicon photonics products, with production from its Thailand factory expected to support its position as a global core supplier [3][9]
中际旭创(300308):全年盈利或破百亿,龙头尽享AI算力红利
Guotou Securities· 2026-02-03 11:49
2026 年 02 月 03 日 中际旭创(300308.SZ) 红利 事件: 1 月 31 日,中际旭创发布全年业绩预告,公司预计 2025 年 1-12 月 业绩大幅上升,归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 98.00 亿至 118.00 亿,净利润同比增长 89.50%至 128.17%。公司预测业绩增长主要基 于:受益于算力需求,高速光模块等产品出货增加带动营收和利润提 升。虽然股份支付费用、存货与应收款减值损失、汇率下跌带来的汇 兑损失共计减少净利润约 6.06 亿元,但投资收益与公允价值变动损 益增加了净利润约 2.96 亿元,部分抵消了上述负面影响。 全球市场高速增长,需求远超供给: 全球 AI 算力建设正推动高端光模块需求高速增长,市场呈现"需求 远超供给"的紧平衡状态。根据 Lightcounting 预计,由于海内外科 技巨头(如 Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta、微软、阿里巴巴、腾讯、百度 等)创纪录的资本支出,当前包括光模块在内的许多产品需求超出供 应两倍以上。未来市场增速将直接取决于供应链的扩产能力。 增长的核心动力明确:一是 AI 基础设施对高速光模块与交换机的强 劲需求;二是光互连技 ...
研报掘金丨群益证券(香港):新易盛业绩略超预期,给予“买进”建议
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-03 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from Yuanta Securities (Hong Kong) indicates that NewEase is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.4-9.9 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 231%-249% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The Q4 net profit is projected to be between 3.1-3.6 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 160%-202% [1] - The performance slightly exceeds expectations, leading to a "buy" recommendation [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market share for overseas 800G products is anticipated to increase rapidly, driving significant growth in the company's 2025 performance [1] - The production capacity in Thailand is continuously being released, and the impact of tariffs on North American customer deliveries is minimal [1] Group 3: Strategic Positioning - The company's Q2 performance growth exceeded expectations partly due to advanced inventory stocking of high-speed optical modules in response to tariff impacts [1] - The Thai factory has benefited from temporary tariff exemptions, allowing for early shipments to the North American market [1] - The company has a rich technological reserve in 1.6T and AEC cable modules, and has positioned itself in high-speed AEC cable modules, high-speed LPO optical modules, and CPO products, which may help maintain its leading position in the industry amid market evolution and competition in various computing connection solutions [1]
中际旭创接待140家机构调研,包括睿远基金、国信证券、浙商证券、中泰证券等
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-02 12:04
2026年02月01日,中际旭创披露接待调研公告,公司于01月31日接待睿远基金、国信证券、浙商证券、 中泰证券、华源证券、摩根大通证券(中国)等140家机构调研。 中际旭创(300308)最新股价为591.00元,较前一交易日收盘价下跌58.00元,跌幅为8.94%,总市值 6566.71亿元。从行业市盈率来看,中际旭创所处的通信设备行业滚动市盈率平均88.90倍,行业中值 95.04倍,中际旭创76.80倍排名第27位。 调研情况显示,中际旭创发布2025年业绩预告,归母净利润区间98-118亿元,同比增长 89.50%-128.17%;扣非净利润97-117亿元,同比增长91.38%-130.84%。2025年各季度收入均呈现稳定环 比增长趋势,毛利率也呈现环比提升,主要受益于高端产品比重增加、硅光比例提升等因素。 公司2025年四季度重点客户需求和订单保持快速增长,800G等产品出货量持续环比增长,1.6T在三季 度开始正式向重点客户出货,四季度上量更加迅速。硅光占比持续提升,其中800G硅光出货量占比进 一步提升,1.6T硅光占比较800G更高,对四季度毛利率提升起到显著作用。 在投资者问答环节,公 ...
中际旭创20260131
2026-02-02 02:22
中际旭创 20260131 摘要 中际旭创四季度毛利率环比提升近两个百分点,主要受益于高端产品和 硅光产品出货比例增加,毛利润绝对额环比增长约 30-35%,但受一次 性费用、研发及汇兑损失影响,费用绝对额环比增加 55-60%。 2025 年四季度,中际旭创 800G 产品出货量持续增长,1.6T 产品开始 快速上量,硅光产品占比进一步提高,尤其是 800G 硅光产品全年占比 超一半,1.6T 硅光产品占比更高,显著拉动毛利率。 客户需求旺盛,部分重点客户已下达 2026 年全年订单,订单能见度已 达 2026 年四季度,部分客户正在酝酿 2027 年订单,行业前景持续景 气。 2026 年一季度 1.6T 产品出货量预计将快速增长,全年需求规模显著提 升,但单季是否超过 800G 产品需根据后续出货情况判断。 光芯片供应相对紧张,公司通过提升硅光比例、锁定大规模生产厂商产 能等方式缓解,预计 2026 年上半年物料紧张状况逐步缓解,不影响交 付能力。 Q&A 请介绍一下中际旭创 2025 年四季度的整体经营情况和财务表现。 2025 年四季度,中际旭创的整体经营情况和财务表现均呈现出稳健增长态势。 首先, ...
新易盛暴涨400%!90后CFO林小凤,凭什么年薪暴涨500%?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 12:29
一、不是每一轮行情,财务总监都能被看见 过去几年,市场给了很多公司高光时刻;但坦率地说,并不是每一家高速增长的企业里,财务总监都会走到台前。 有的公司涨势很猛,但财务角色始终隐身;有的CFO兢兢业业,却只存在于年报签字页。 不过新易盛是个例外。 当它在2025年成为光模块板块里最耀眼的那匹黑马,截至去年12月底,股价涨幅为444.84%,是AI算力板块中涨幅最大的一只股。 而市场在讨论技术路线、产能爬坡、行业周期的同时,也应该开始注意到一个名字:林小凤。 90后上市公司财务总监(履职时年仅30)——这个标签本身就足够稀缺,但真正值得拆解的,并不是年轻本身,而是她为什么能在一家公司飞速上 行的阶段,稳稳站住这个位置。 二、新易盛的高光,并非忽如一夜春风来 如果把新易盛的成长史拉长来看,它并不是典型的风口公司。这家公司最早只是光通信设备的代理商,长期处在产业链的低端位置,直到合并重组 完成制造能力转型,才真正进入光模块赛道。 但即便如此,在很长一段时间里,新易盛的产品仍以中低速率为主,市场存在感并不强。 真正的转折,发生在2018—2019年。 管理层基于对云计算趋势的判断,把研发资源大幅倾斜到100G、400G ...
长城基金:关注具有产业催化的板块,新兴科技仍有望成为主线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 12:55
Group 1 - Major indices mostly rose last week, with the communication sector continuing its strong performance, primarily benefiting from ongoing AI industry catalysts [1][3] - GPT-5.2 has set new records in several challenging reasoning benchmark tests, significantly enhancing knowledge reasoning capabilities, such as achieving a perfect score without tools in the AIME 2025 math competition, demonstrating high practicality in professional decision-making and complex tasks [1][3] - Overseas optical communication companies reported better-than-expected earnings, with 800G products accelerating mass production, maintaining high industry prosperity [1][3] Group 2 - The military industry saw active performance in specific sub-themes, focusing on two main directions: controllable nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace [1][3] - Recent project tenders for controllable nuclear fusion have entered a concentrated implementation phase, with multiple core system procurement results being announced, marking an acceleration in the engineering process and providing clear business increments for upstream and downstream enterprises [1][3] - In commercial aerospace, international tech companies are actively laying out space computing capabilities, while domestic satellite constellation construction and launch rhythms are accelerating, with the first space computing constellation recently being networked, alongside continuous supportive signals from policy levels [1][3] Group 3 - Looking ahead, short-term visibility for the cross-year market is expected to improve, with recent market performance following the trajectory of industrial catalysts [1][3] - After the fluctuations in November, the risk in the A-share market has been somewhat released, indicating potential rebound momentum [1][3] - There is a strong correlation between the short-term trends of the US stock market and the A-share market, with overseas mapping aspects warranting continuous attention, maintaining the judgment that emerging technology is likely to be the main line [1][3] Group 4 - The enhancement of global industrial competitiveness is also driving Chinese companies to open new growth spaces, with attention on Hong Kong stocks in the internet, semiconductor, power equipment, and innovative pharmaceuticals sectors [2][4] - Thematic focus should continue on industries and policies with new catalysts, such as commercial aerospace, AI applications, robotics, and domestic consumption [2][4] - Additionally, expectations of easing policies are expected to significantly boost the performance of bulk commodities, with industry fundamentals likely to continue improving [2][4]
中际旭创(300308)季报点评:需求推动三季度业绩高增长 1.6T产品即将迎来大规模出货
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 08:42
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial results for Q3, with significant year-over-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by robust demand and new product launches [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of 25 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 44.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.13 billion yuan, up 90.0% year-over-year [1]. - In Q3 alone, revenue reached 10.22 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.8%, while net profit was 3.14 billion yuan, marking a 125.0% increase year-over-year [1]. - The company's gross margin for Q3 was 42.79%, with a sequential increase of 1.30 percentage points, and the net profit margin improved to 32.57%, up 1.12 percentage points sequentially [1]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is a global leader in the optical module sector, with successful advancements in emerging technologies such as 1.6T and silicon photonics [2]. - The 1.6T optical module products are in the testing phase and are expected to begin mass shipments in the second half of the year, contributing to revenue growth starting in 2026 [2]. - The company has a strong technology reserve, including self-developed silicon photonic chips, positioning it well to maintain its industry leadership amid rising AI demand [2]. Profit Forecast - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 11.263 billion yuan, 20.126 billion yuan, and 28.023 billion yuan, representing year-over-year growth rates of 117.8%, 78.7%, and 39.23% respectively [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 10.14 yuan, 18.11 yuan, and 25.22 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 51, 28, and 20 times [2].
研报掘金丨群益证券(香港):维持中际旭创“买入”建议,需求推动三季度业绩高增长
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-07 06:58
Core Viewpoint - Zhongji Xuchuang achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 90.0%. In Q3 alone, the net profit reached 3.14 billion yuan, up 125.0% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations, and the recommendation remains "Buy" [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 7.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 90.0% [1] - In Q3, the net profit was 3.14 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 125.0% [1] Group 2: Demand and Production Capacity - Strong demand has driven performance growth, with a focus on the mass shipment of 1.6T optical modules [1] - Q3 saw continuous improvement in production capacity, with sufficient upstream material reserves and robust global demand for computing power [1] Group 3: Product Development and Future Outlook - The company’s 1.6T optical module products have entered the testing phase, with expectations for mass shipments in the second half of the year and gradual ramp-up starting in 2026 [1] - The company has ample technological reserves, including a 1.6T silicon photonics solution and self-developed silicon photonic chips, positioning it to maintain its leading industry status amid high AI demand [1]
创业板Q3业绩增速领跑A股
Core Insights - The ChiNext board demonstrated strong resilience in Q3 2025, with 1,388 companies reporting a total revenue of 3.25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.69%, and a net profit of 244.66 billion yuan, up 18.69% [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, ChiNext companies achieved total revenue of 1.18 trillion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7.13%, and a net profit of 93.26 billion yuan, reflecting a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.32% [1] - Among the top 100 companies by market capitalization, total revenue reached 1.54 trillion yuan, growing 17.72% year-on-year, with net profit at 170.84 billion yuan, up 26.78% [2] - The average gross margin for ChiNext companies increased by 0.87 percentage points, while the period expense ratio decreased by 0.93 percentage points, indicating improved operational efficiency [2][3] Group 2: Investment and R&D - Long-term asset investments by ChiNext companies totaled 273.77 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.46% [3] - R&D expenditures reached 147.35 billion yuan in the first three quarters, up 6.20% year-on-year, with 271 companies investing more than 10% of their revenue in R&D [3] Group 3: Sector Performance - The electronics sector saw a revenue increase of 21.65% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 36.29% [5][6] - The telecommunications sector reported a revenue growth of 24.82% and a net profit increase of 94.10% year-on-year [5] - Traditional industries such as basic chemicals and non-ferrous metals experienced profit recovery, with net profits increasing by 28.86% and 15.94% respectively [7]