国泰海通证券 10 月基金投资策略 [Table_Authors] 江涛(分析师) A 股持续演绎慢牛行情，相对偏向成长配置风格 本报告导读： 9 月 A 股持续演绎慢牛行情，反内卷政策效果在 8 月 PPI 数据已有所显现，各主要 宽基指数全月继续上涨。我们建议后续基金配置在整体维持均衡风格的前提下，适 度偏向成长，从大类资产配置角度来看可以对黄金和美股相关 ETF 进行一定配置。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 基金投资策略 关注基金 风险提示 基本面变化、货币政策和证券市场相关政策的不确定性、资金面大 幅波动、国内改革推进力度、全球地缘政治的不确定性。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 基金评价 /[Table_Date] 2025.10.10 | | 021-23185672 | | --- | --- | | | jiangtao4@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040067 | | | 倪韵婷(分析师) | | | 021-23185605 | | | niyunting@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040097 | [Table_ ...

报告导读： 9 月 A 股持续演绎慢牛行情，反内卷政策效果在 8 月 PPI 数据已有所显现， 各主要宽基指数全月继续上涨。我们建议后续基金配置在整体维持均衡风格的前提下，适 度偏向成长，从大类资产配置角度来看可以对黄金和美股相关 ETF 进行一定配置。 基金投资策略 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称： 国泰海通证券10月基金投资策略；报告日期：2025.10.10 报告作者： 江涛（分析师），登记编号：S0880525040067 倪韵婷（分析师），登记编号：S0880525040097 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 股混基金： 9 月份，制造业 PMI 为 49.8% ，比上月上升 0.4 个百分点，与过去三年同期均值大体相当，涨 ...

根据wind数据，中证A500ETF（159338）盘中流入4800万份，盘中净流入1500万份，资金抢筹更均衡的 大宽基。 后续市场赚钱效应或持续吸引资金入场，建议关注中证A500ETF（159338）等具代表性的宽基产品，把 握中国经济长期企稳向好的投资机遇。 从客户数量来看，根据2025年中报，国泰中证A500ETF总户数位列同类首位，是第二名的三倍多，更多 人选择中证A500ETF（159338），感兴趣的投资者或可关注中证A500ETF（159338）。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 国泰海通表示，9月份，制造业PMI为49.8%，比上月上升0.4个百分点，与过去三年同期均值大体相 当，涨幅基本符合季节性。往后看，中国股市不会止步于此，市场调整是机会，后续A/H股指还有望走 出新高。从结构性的投资机会上来看，风格不切换，新兴科技依然是主线，新兴产业进入新一轮资本开 支扩张周期；同时增配周期金融，金融板块在经历调整后，已基本回吐年中以来涨幅，股息回报潜在提 高，其对于配置类投资人而言具有重要价值，而反内卷的背后是经济治理思路的转变，看好供需格局改 善的周期品。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent bull market in Chinese assets, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, has been significantly driven by the AI industry and is expected to establish a new market pattern, with various investment opportunities emerging despite potential external disturbances [1][2]. Market Characteristics - The current bull market is characterized by more precise and effective policy support, including innovative monetary policy tools introduced by the central bank, which aim to stabilize the capital market and encourage long-term funds to enter the market [2][3]. - Institutional funds dominate the current market, with a notable influx of long-term capital from insurance and pension funds, leading to a shift from speculative trading to profit-driven investment [3][4]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares has increased by 47% from September 2024 to August 2025, indicating potential for further growth [3]. Investment Opportunities - Emerging technologies such as AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals are expected to remain the main investment themes, supported by favorable industrial policies [4][5]. - Other sectors benefiting from anti-involution policies, such as photovoltaics, non-ferrous metals, and construction materials, are also seen as having significant investment potential [4][5]. - "Hard assets" and sectors with competitive advantages in manufacturing and exports, including gold, resources, and public utilities, are highlighted as areas of interest for future investments [5]. Market Response Strategies - Investors are advised to adopt a rational approach to market fluctuations, distinguishing between short-term disturbances and long-term trends, and to maintain a long-term investment perspective [6]. - Strategies include optimizing asset allocation, focusing on companies with stable performance, and maintaining a balanced portfolio to manage risks effectively [6]. - The market is expected to experience normal fluctuations during its upward trajectory, with the potential for new highs in the A-share market supported by favorable internal policies and industry growth [7][8].

Group 1: Market Overview - The recent market rally since the "9·24" event has led to significant increases in Chinese assets, including A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, indicating the onset of a new bull market [1][2] - This bull market is characterized by a more stable and sustainable wealth effect, with the stock market becoming a new reservoir for residents' assets, replacing real estate [3] Group 2: Differences from Previous Bull Markets - The current bull market is supported by more precise and effective policies, including structural monetary policy tools introduced by the central bank to support capital markets [2][3] - There is a notable shift in the funding structure, with institutional funds, particularly long-term funds like insurance and pension funds, playing a dominant role, leading to a transition from speculative trading to profit-driven investment [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Emerging technologies, particularly in AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals, are expected to remain the main investment themes, supported by favorable industrial policies [4][5] - Other sectors such as photovoltaic, non-ferrous metals, and construction materials are also seen as potential opportunities due to the positive impact of anti-involution policies [4][5] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The total market capitalization of A-shares has increased by 47% from September 2024 to August 2025, indicating potential for further growth [3] - The market is expected to experience fluctuations, but the overall trend remains upward, with expectations for the index to reach new highs within the year due to supportive internal policies and improving overseas liquidity [8]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board indices showed positive performance, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index up by 1.5%, the Growth Index up by 1.3%, the Comprehensive Index up by 1.2%, and the Sci-Tech 100 Index up by 1.0% as of midday [1] - The trading volume for the Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588080) reached approximately 900 million yuan during the same period [1] - Guotai Junan Securities indicated that the short-term risk outlook is stable, with a weak dollar and overseas interest rate cuts favoring China's monetary easing and the resumption of government bond trading [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech 50 Index consists of 50 large-cap stocks from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with over 60% of its composition in the semiconductor sector, and a rolling P/E ratio of 176.5 times [3] - The Sci-Tech 100 Index includes 100 medium-cap stocks, focusing on small innovative enterprises, with a rolling P/E ratio of 277.2 times and over 80% of its composition in electronics, biomedicine, and power equipment [3] - The Comprehensive Index covers all market securities on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, focusing on core industries such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and new energy, with a rolling P/E ratio of 260.5 times [3] Group 3 - The Growth Index is composed of 50 stocks with high growth rates in revenue and net profit, primarily in the electronics and biomedicine sectors, with a rolling P/E ratio of 221.3 times [3]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.30%, while sectors like power equipment, electronics, and communications continued to lead in gains, contrasting with the underperforming banking, non-banking, and food and beverage sectors [1] Broker Strategies - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the recent market adjustment presents an opportunity, asserting that the Chinese stock market will not stop here. They highlight the positive implications of the recent US-China talks and the potential for capital market reforms to accelerate, suggesting that the A/H share indices may reach new highs [2] - Guojin Securities indicates that a bull market is in the making, with a focus on cyclical opportunities in manufacturing and a shift from technology-driven growth to export-oriented growth as liquidity constraints ease [2] - Zheshang Securities anticipates continued consolidation in the Shanghai Composite Index, recommending a cautious approach and suggesting adjustments in sector allocations, particularly reducing exposure to technology and media while increasing positions in real estate and infrastructure [3] - Everbright Securities expects the A-share market to maintain a volatile pattern leading up to the National Day holiday, with a focus on structural balance amid potential profit-taking [4] - China Merchants Securities notes a historical pattern of financing trends around the National Day holiday, suggesting a potential rebound in market sentiment post-holiday, with a focus on sectors like solid-state batteries and AI [5] - Industrial Securities emphasizes a rotational investment strategy to navigate market volatility, advocating for a diversified approach across multiple sectors [6][7] - CITIC Securities highlights the clarity in market trading themes following the Fed's interest rate cut, with a focus on AI and domestic demand recovery as key drivers [8] - Huaxia Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook despite short-term fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of structural support from policies aimed at stabilizing the stock market [9] - Galaxy Securities recommends four main investment themes in the construction sector during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, focusing on urban renewal and digital transformation in construction [11]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.30%, while sectors like power equipment, electronics, and communications continued to lead in gains, contrasting with stagnant performance in banking, non-banking, and food and beverage sectors [1] Broker Insights - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the recent market adjustment presents an opportunity, asserting that the Chinese stock market will not stagnate and is expected to reach new highs, driven by favorable conditions such as a stable short-term risk outlook and potential capital market reforms [1] - Guojin Securities indicates that a bull market may be in the making, with opportunities arising from the easing of liquidity constraints and a shift towards cyclical manufacturing sectors like non-ferrous metals, machinery, and chemicals [2] - Zheshang Securities suggests a period of consolidation for the Shanghai Composite Index, recommending a cautious approach to investment and a focus on sectors like hard technology and infrastructure [3] - Everbright Securities anticipates continued market fluctuations leading up to the National Day holiday, with a tendency for funds to secure profits amid uncertainties [4] - According to China Merchants Securities, historical patterns suggest that financing activities typically contract before the holiday and surge afterward, with a focus on sectors like solid-state batteries and AI [5] - Industrial rotation is emphasized by Industrial Securities, advocating for a diversified approach to investment to navigate market volatility [6][7] - CITIC Construction Investment highlights the clarity in future market trends following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a focus on AI and domestic demand recovery [8] - Huaxia Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook despite short-term fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of sectors like AI and essential materials [9] - Galaxy Securities recommends four investment themes in the construction sector, focusing on urban renewal and digital transformation in construction [10]

Company Overview - Guangdong Yinhui Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 1997, focusing on high-performance polymer new materials research, production, and sales [2] - The company has established production and R&D bases in multiple locations including Dongguan, Suzhou, and Vietnam to support international expansion [2][3] - Key product areas include modified plastics, smart lighting, 3D printing materials, and electronic chemicals, with applications across various industries such as automotive, aerospace, and new energy [3] Recent Developments - The company has shifted its product structure towards high value-added products and is actively developing emerging customer bases in niche polymer material sectors [4] - The company has a stable customer base in emerging industries such as electronics and service robots [4] Shareholder Structure - The company has been without a controlling shareholder since 2021, leading to a more cautious decision-making process by management [5] - The reduction in shares by original shareholders was due to financial needs and market conditions, with no current plans to introduce a new controlling shareholder [5] Stock Incentive Plans - Following the rejection of a previous stock incentive plan, the company has no immediate plans for a new incentive program, which will depend on operational performance and shareholder support [6] Material Applications - The company is developing materials for humanoid robots and has alternatives to PEEK materials, focusing on lightweight carbon fiber composites [6][8] - Current raw material inventory levels are stable, with procurement strategies aligned with market price trends [7] Financial Performance - The company reported significant growth in its modified plastics and smart lighting sectors, driven by the rapid expansion of low-altitude economy and new service robots [9] - Major clients are experiencing stable order growth, with accounts receivable managed within a 30-90 day credit period [10] Production Capacity - There are no immediate plans for capacity expansion in modified plastics, but adjustments are being made to meet demand from emerging industry clients [10]

Group 1 - The EmTech China 2025 Global Emerging Technology Summit and the "50 Smart Companies" (TR50) release ceremony was held in Shanghai, focusing on the theme of "China's Future" [1] - The summit featured numerous global leaders, including Nobel laureates and industry pioneers, discussing the key pathways and future scenarios for the industrialization of cutting-edge technologies [1] - The latest "50 Smart Companies" list includes Deepseek, Yushu Technology, Game Science, and Bilibili, which will serve as important examples for observing technological trends over the next decade [1] Group 2 - The "50 Smart Companies" selection was introduced in China in 2019, with this year's theme being "China's Future," reflecting the dynamic development of emerging technologies [2] - The top four fields represented by this year's selected companies are AI and computing, robotics and intelligent manufacturing, chips, and life sciences [2] - The Shanghai Jing'an District is committed to building an innovative development environment by attracting leading domestic and international companies and high-end talent, supporting the integration of innovation, industry, finance, and talent [2]