调整后EBITDA为1.26亿美元，超出市场共识1.21亿美元。GAAP收益为-4.48美元。该业绩基本符合预期 (不包括某些意外的毛利润增长)，GAAP亏损主要由IPO相关的股票薪酬以及与可转债公允价值计量相关 的其他费用驱动。 总而言之，小摩认为这是表现稳健的一个季度，既执行了IPO时公布的战略，也推出了新业务。此外， 该行尤其注意到业务中高利润率领域的强劲增长，例如：1)Circle平台上的USDC(2025年第二季度平均 为45亿美元);2)其他收入(2025年第二季度为2400万美元)。 小摩提到，尽管本季度表现稳健，但USDC市场份额持平以及仍处于高位的估值使该行维持现有评级。 不过，基于平台内USDC的增长势头，该行将2026年12月的目标价上调至89美元。 USDC在Circle高利润率领域实现增长 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通本周发布Circle(CRCL.US)研究报告，指出其2Q25财报基本符合预期，平 台内USDC表现强劲，核心增长来自平台内USDC及其他收入。报告维持"减持"评级，但基于平台内 USDC增长强劲，将2026年12月目标价从美元80上调至89美元。 该行认为Q2业绩表现 ...

Core Insights - Circle Internet Group reported strong Q2 results with USDC circulation reaching $65.2 billion, a 90% year-over-year increase, driving total revenue and reserve income to $658 million, up 53% [1][3][4] - The passage of the GENIUS Act in June established a clear regulatory framework for stablecoins, benefiting compliant issuers like Circle and marking a shift in the competitive landscape towards compliance capabilities [1][7][9] Financial Performance - Total revenue and reserve income for Q2 reached $658 million, a 53% increase year-over-year, with reserve income growing 16.1% to $634 million [3][4] - The company reported a net loss of $482 million, primarily due to one-time non-cash expenses related to IPO stock incentives and convertible debt valuation changes [3][4][8] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 52% to $126 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 50% [4][8] Operational Highlights - USDC circulation reached $61.3 billion by the end of Q2, with a 90% year-over-year growth, and the market share increased to 28% [5][6] - Circle's self-developed Arc blockchain upgraded USDC to a "native gas," enabling faster cross-chain settlements and reducing transaction costs by 70% [2][6] - The Circle Payment Network (CPN) has opened four payment channels, with over 100 financial institutions in the onboarding process [5][6] Regulatory Environment - The GENIUS Act provides a federal licensing framework for stablecoins, requiring 100% reserves and regular audits, which increases operational costs but enhances compliance [7][8][9] - Tether, holding 65% of the market share, announced a transition to 100% cash and short-term government bonds by the end of 2025, responding to regulatory pressures [1][9] Competitive Landscape - The focus of competition in the stablecoin market is shifting from regulatory arbitrage to compliance and technological integration [2][7] - Circle's compliance advantages and technological innovations position it favorably against competitors like Tether and emerging players such as PayPal [9]

Core Insights - Circle's primary revenue sources are reserve income from holding cash-equivalent assets and monetizing transaction processes and network infrastructure, with the latter expected to grow significantly as network adoption increases [4][33]. - The company plans to launch Arc, a proprietary blockchain designed for stablecoin financial applications, which will use USDC as the native asset for transaction fees [3][7][27]. - Circle's competitive advantage lies in its scalable model and inherent operational leverage, supported by a strong liquidity infrastructure and significant network effects in the stablecoin market [6][25][31]. Financial Performance - Circle reported a 53% year-over-year increase in total revenue and reserve income, reaching $658 million, driven by a substantial rise in USDC circulation [3][34]. - The company experienced a 5.4-fold increase in USDC on-chain transaction volume, indicating robust growth in its stablecoin network [34]. - Other revenue sources grew to $24 million, primarily from subscription and service income related to blockchain partnerships, reflecting a 3.5-fold increase [35]. Market Position and Strategy - The stablecoin market is characterized as a "winner-takes-all" environment, with Circle benefiting from deep liquidity infrastructure and a strong competitive moat [6][25]. - The passage of the GENIUS Act is seen as a catalyst for mainstream financial institutions to accelerate the adoption of stablecoin technology [10][25]. - Circle's cautious acquisition strategy focuses on organic growth and small strategic acquisitions rather than large, complex mergers [12][13][56]. Product Development and Partnerships - The upcoming Arc blockchain aims to support various financial applications, including payments and capital markets, and will provide a low-cost, predictable fee structure [27][28]. - Circle has expanded partnerships with major financial institutions and payment providers, enhancing USDC's utility and integration into various payment networks [11][30]. - The company is actively developing its Circle Payment Network (CPN) to facilitate international fund transfers and other payment types, with significant interest from financial institutions [26][49]. Future Outlook - Circle anticipates a compound annual growth rate of 40% for USDC over the coming years, with other revenue expected to range between $75 million and $85 million in 2025 [36]. - The company is focused on expanding its platform capabilities and partnerships to drive long-term growth and profitability [36].

Core Insights - Circle, known as the "first stock of stablecoins," reported a significant increase in total revenue and reserve income, driven by a substantial growth in USDC circulation, with total revenue and reserve income rising 53% to $658 million [1][22] - The company plans to launch a self-developed blockchain named Arc in the second half of the year, designed specifically for stablecoin finance, with USDC as the native asset for transaction fees [1][4] - CFO Jeremy Fox-Geen expressed confidence in the company's profitability outlook, citing network effects and the growth of USDC holdings as key drivers for long-term support of RLDC profit margins [1][22] Revenue Generation - Circle generates revenue primarily through two methods: reserve income from holding cash-equivalent assets to support stablecoins and monetizing certain transaction processes and network infrastructure elements [2][21] - Although the second revenue stream is currently small, it is growing and has high profit margins, with the potential for rapid expansion as network adoption increases [2][21] Market Dynamics - The stablecoin market is characterized as a "winner-takes-all" environment, with liquidity and utility driving growth, making it difficult for competitors to replicate Circle's deep liquidity infrastructure [3][14] - Circle's core model anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40% for USDC over the coming years, supported by strong network effects and operational leverage [3][24] Arc Blockchain Launch - The upcoming Arc blockchain represents a strategic shift for Circle in the stablecoin infrastructure space, designed to support various financial applications and provide a robust platform for mainstream financial institutions [4][16] - Arc will operate as a new layer-1 blockchain compatible with Ethereum infrastructure, aiming to facilitate stablecoin financial applications, payments, foreign exchange, and capital markets [4][16] Institutional Adoption - The passage of the GENIUS Act has catalyzed mainstream financial institutions to accelerate their exploration of stablecoin technology, with Circle establishing partnerships with banks and payment infrastructure providers [6][14] - Major payment networks like Visa and Mastercard have announced plans to expand the availability of USDC on their networks, further driving adoption [6][14] M&A Strategy - Circle's co-founder Jeremy Allaire emphasized a cautious approach to mergers and acquisitions, preferring organic growth and strategic small-scale acquisitions over large, complex deals [7][21] - The company aims to integrate new capabilities that align with its product requirements rather than simply adding additional business lines [7][21] Financial Performance - Circle's total revenue and reserve income for the second quarter reached $658 million, with a 53% year-over-year increase, despite accounting profits being impacted by significant non-cash expenses [1][22] - The company reported a 5.4-fold increase in USDC on-chain transaction volume, reaching nearly $6 trillion, indicating strong growth in platform usage [12][22] Future Outlook - Circle anticipates a compound annual growth rate for USDC circulation of 40%, with expectations for other revenue streams to range between $75 million and $85 million in 2025 [24][25] - The company is focused on long-term success and is investing in key areas to build its platform and global partnerships, projecting adjusted operating expenses between $475 million and $490 million for 2025 [24][25]