我们下调公司25-27 归母净利至9.12/10.29/10.90 亿元（ 分别下调23%/21%/25%），对应EPS 为 3.26/3.68/3.90 元，主要系光伏下游客户盈利承压拖慢公司收入确认节奏，并提升减值压力。虽然公司 光伏业务收入确认放缓对公司短期利润造成一定影响，但考虑公司半导体刻蚀、沉积设备等布局加速， 我们在可比公司中新增中微公司，以反应公司半导体刻蚀设备、沉积设备等业务估值。可比公司2025 年Wind 一致预期PE 为34 倍，给予公司25 年34 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价为110.84 元（前值89.04 元，对 应25 年PE 21 倍）。 海外HJT 设备与半导体设备收入确认推动公司毛利率提升根据公司半年报，Q2 公司实现毛利率 39.0%，同比+8.0pp，环比+9.9pp；实现净利率12.3%，同比+4.8pp，环比+5.4pp。公司毛利率提升，我 们认为主要系海外HJT 设备收入确认和半导体设备收入确认推动。25 上半年公司确认印度信实4.8GW HJT 设备部分收入约5.36 亿元。2025 上半年，公司在半导体及显示行业实现收入1.3 亿元，同比增长 496.9%； ...

证券研究报告 迈为股份 (300751 CH) 海外 HJT 确收，半导体设备布局加速 | 华泰研究 | | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 8 月 | 24 日│中国内地 | 专用设备 | 目标价(人民币): | 110.84 | 公司发布 2025 年半年报。2025 上半年公司实现营业收入 42.1 亿元，同比 -13.5%；实现归母净利润 3.9 亿元,同比-14.6%；其中二季度实现营业收入 19.8 亿元，环比-11.0%，实现归母净利润 2.3 亿元，环比+43.0%。我们看 好公司海外 HJT 设备和半导体晶圆制造、封装等设备拓展对公司长期收入 和利润的推动作用。维持"买入"评级。 海外 HJT 设备与半导体设备收入确认推动公司毛利率提升 根据公司半年报，Q2 公司实现毛利率 39.0%，同比+8.0pp，环比+9.9pp； 实现净利率 12.3%，同比+4.8pp，环比+5.4pp。公司毛利率提升，我们认 为主要系海外 HJT 设备收入确认和半导体设备收入确认推动。25 上半 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities believes that 2025 will mark the beginning of the bidding year for GW-level perovskite production lines, with the lower limit of equipment demand being largely determined within three years, while the path to economic viability is becoming clearer, indicating potential upper limits for the industry [1] Industry Summary - The industry is still in its early development stage, with technology routes not yet converged and the competitive landscape not yet defined [1] - As GW-level production lines become operational and commercialization accelerates, equipment manufacturers with relevant technological accumulation and a high strategic priority on perovskite will likely emerge as the frontrunners [1] Company Recommendations - The focus is on recommending leading manufacturers of HJT equipment, inkjet printing technology providers, as well as leading component equipment manufacturers and complete line solution providers [1] - It is suggested to pay attention to related PVD and laser manufacturers [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 89.04 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 9.83 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 21.53%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 0.93 billion RMB, a slight increase of 1.31% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is facing pressure on net profit margins due to challenges in the photovoltaic industry and delays in order acceptance, but there is optimism regarding the growth potential of its non-photovoltaic business [1][4]. - The company has seen a significant decline in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 0.06 billion RMB in 2024, down 92.57% year-on-year, primarily due to increased bank acceptance bill payments and slow customer payments [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.23 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.01%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.16 billion RMB, a decrease of 37.69% year-on-year and 3.18% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to significant credit impairment losses [1][2]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.11%, down 2.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.80%, down 1.01 percentage points year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 29.10%, although the net margin decreased to 6.98% [2]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the potential for the company's HJT equipment in overseas markets, noting that HJT technology has lower labor and operational costs and higher photoelectric conversion efficiency. The company is expected to benefit from expanding its presence in these markets [4]. - In the semiconductor and display sectors, the company achieved revenue of 0.67 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 88.41%, indicating strong growth potential in these areas [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has been revised downwards for 2025 and 2026 by 21% each, now expected to be 1.19 billion RMB and 1.31 billion RMB, respectively. The estimated EPS for 2025 is 4.24 RMB [5][7]. - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 21 times for 2025, with a target price set at 89.04 RMB, reflecting a significant adjustment from the previous target price of 150.36 RMB [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but there is optimism regarding the ramp-up of semiconductor and display equipment [1] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 9.83 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21.53%, while net profit is expected to be 925.91 million yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.31% [1] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, particularly in the semiconductor and display sectors, with R&D spending expected to reach 950 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24.6% [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 8.09 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 94.99% [1] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 764.86 million yuan, a decrease of 17.39% compared to 2024 [1] - The company's gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 28.1%, down 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for 2024 is projected to be 56 million yuan [8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 69.48 yuan, with a market capitalization of 19.41 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the current price and latest diluted earnings is 21.24 for 2023 and projected to be 25.38 for 2025 [1][8] Operational Insights - The company has successfully launched several core devices in the semiconductor field, achieving a leading market share in laser grooving equipment [7] - The company is also expanding its product matrix in the semiconductor sector, with new products entering trial production [7] - In the display sector, the company has developed a complete set of equipment for Mini/Micro LED, enhancing its market position [7]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.83 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.53%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 926 million yuan, a slight increase of 1.31%, which was below expectations due to pressure in the photovoltaic industry and delays in order acceptance [1] - In Q1 2025, the company generated a revenue of 2.23 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.47% and 8.01% respectively, but the net profit dropped to 162 million yuan, a decrease of 37.69% year-on-year and 3.18% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to significant credit impairment losses [1][2] Financial Performance - The company faced a significant decline in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 561 million yuan in 2024, down 92.57% year-on-year, and a negative cash flow of 352 million yuan in Q1 2025, attributed to increased bank acceptance bill payments and slow customer payments [3] - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.11%, down 2.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.80%, down 1.01 percentage points, mainly due to changes in accounting policies [2] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 29.10%, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.84 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.61 percentage points, while the net margin was 6.98%, reflecting a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter decline [2] Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the overseas market expansion for HJT equipment and the development of its display and semiconductor business, with HJT technology offering lower labor and operational costs and higher photoelectric conversion efficiency [3] - The company has achieved a leading market share in domestic wafer laser grooving equipment and has made significant progress in key equipment deliveries, with semiconductor and display sectors generating revenue of 67 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 88.41% year-on-year [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised down its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 21% to 1.19 billion yuan and 1.31 billion yuan respectively, with an expected net profit of 1.46 billion yuan for 2027 [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 89.04 yuan, based on a 21 times PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating despite the downward revision due to potential short-term supply-demand mismatches in the photovoltaic sector [4]

Group 1: Financial Performance and Market Strategy - The company reported a research and development expenditure of 951.1425 million yuan, accounting for 9.68% of its operating income [4] - The overseas orders for photovoltaic equipment are expected to significantly increase this year, with non-photovoltaic orders also projected to rise substantially [9][12] - The company is actively pursuing the development of HJT (Heterojunction Technology) equipment and aims to enhance its market presence in the semiconductor sector [2][3] Group 2: Product Development and Technological Advancements - The company is optimistic about the commercialization timeline for perovskite heterojunction batteries, with pilot production expected in 2026 and mass production anticipated between 2027 and 2028 [3] - The company is focusing on the research and sales of heterojunction and perovskite stacked battery equipment [2][4] - The company has established six laboratory platforms, including a new solid-state lithium battery laboratory, indicating a diversification in research capabilities [5] Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company acknowledges the competitive pressure from peers in the semiconductor equipment sector and is committed to strategic planning to enhance its market position [4][10] - The company believes that the perovskite heterojunction stacked battery will become the ultimate product form in photovoltaics [4][11] - The company is exploring entry into larger market segments within the semiconductor equipment industry, such as etching and thin-film deposition equipment [4][12] Group 4: Shareholder Engagement and Stock Management - The company has implemented measures such as mid-term dividends and share buybacks to manage its market value and stabilize stock prices [10][11] - The management is encouraged to maintain good relationships with investment institutions and provide timely updates on order progress and research developments to improve stock performance [10][11]