证券研究报告·行业深度 工业 AI 助力制造业智能化转 型升级 核心观点 工业软件作为智能制造的核心基石，在政策支持、技术迭代的多 重驱动下，市场规模稳健增长，与 AI 等新技术加速融合，推动制 造业智能化转型升级。政策层面，从"十三五"的试点示范到"十 四五"的系统规划，智能制造已上升为国家战略；市场层面，2024 年中国工业软件市场规模达 3541.4 亿元，同比增长 11.2% ，但高 端领域仍以外资主导，国产厂商潜在替换市场广阔；技术层面， AI 与工业软件深度融合，CAD/CAE 实现智能生成与优化，工业 大模型及智能体在质量检测、能耗管理等场景落地，物理 AI 进 一步推动多行业仿真与决策升级。未来，工业软件将聚焦关键技 术自主可控、垂直领域大模型与智能体落地及工业数据要素化方 向演进，支撑中国制造 2035 目标实现。 摘要 中国制造业智能化转型路径清晰且支持力度持续加强。"十四五" 时期顶层设计逐步完善，《"十四五"智能制造发展规划》设定 了到 2025 年规模以上制造业企业数字化渗透率超 70%等具体目 标。近期，大规模设备更新、产业链供应链安全及"人工智能+" 行动等政策，共同表明工业软件 ...

Core Insights - The essence of digital transformation is to utilize data-driven and systematic information flows to drive, optimize, and even reshape business processes [15] - Understanding the differences and symbiotic relationship between business processes and information flows is crucial for enhancing operational efficiency and advancing digital transformation [3] Business Processes - Business processes are the "value streams" that create customer value, focusing on the actual business activities such as production and service delivery [4][5] - A typical example in the e-commerce sector is the sequence of "customer order → review → picking → shipping → receipt," which directly generates transaction value [6] - In manufacturing, the business process includes steps like "raw material procurement → warehouse inspection → production → quality testing → finished goods storage," which directly produces tangible products [12][13] Information Flows - Information flows act as the "nervous system" of enterprise operations, responsible for transmitting, processing, and storing information that supports business operations [7][8] - In the same e-commerce scenario, synchronizing orders, inventory updates, and logistics status tracking exemplifies information flow [9] - In manufacturing, the information flow includes steps like "procurement request → supplier entry → inspection report upload → production instruction issuance → progress feedback → inventory update," ensuring data transmission and business node collaboration [14] Comparative Analysis - Business processes aim to create business value, while information flows support business collaboration and decision-making [11] - Business processes involve the movement of physical resources and human actions, whereas information flows deal with data, instructions, and status information [11] - The optimization focus for business processes is on efficiency, cost, quality, and cycle time, while for information flows, it is on accuracy, timeliness, completeness, security, and accessibility [11] Conclusion - The integration of business processes and information flows is essential for modern management, where competition is based on process efficiency and information response speed [15][16] - Companies must ensure that both elements are highly integrated and mutually supportive to achieve a robust operational framework and agile responsiveness to market demands [15][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The current external environment is causing disturbances, increasing policy risks and uncertainties, which highlight the urgency for technological self-reliance in China. This situation is expected to accelerate the domestic substitution process, presenting new development opportunities for the domestic software and industrial software sectors [2][27]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with competitive advantages in foundational hardware, foundational software (databases, operating systems, middleware), and application software within the domestic software sector. In the industrial software sector, attention should be directed towards companies excelling in product design, production control, and operational management [2][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Review - The Shenwan computer sector experienced a cumulative decline of 4.21% from October 9 to October 16, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.73 percentage points, ranking 28th among 31 Shenwan primary industries. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 22.64%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.27 percentage points [9][19]. 2. Valuation Situation - As of October 16, 2025, the Shenwan computer sector's PE TTM (excluding negative values) stands at 57.38 times, placing it in the 91.01 percentile for the past five years and the 84.33 percentile for the past ten years [19][21]. 3. Industry News - Key developments include the U.S. imposing export controls on critical software to China, a 12.6% year-on-year increase in China's software business revenue from January to August 2025, and strategic collaborations in AI technology between OpenAI and Broadcom [20][22]. 4. Company Announcements - Notable announcements include acquisitions and performance forecasts from various companies, indicating growth in sectors such as industrial software and smart logistics [23][24]. 5. Weekly Perspective - The report emphasizes the urgency for technological self-reliance in China, suggesting that the domestic software and industrial software sectors may see new growth opportunities due to increased policy risks and uncertainties [27]. 6. Recommended Companies - The report lists several companies to watch, including: - GuoDianYunTong (002152.SZ) for its stable growth in financial technology - Digital China (000034.SZ) as a core partner in the "Kunpeng + Ascend" industry chain - Inspur Information (000977.SZ) for its leadership in AI server markets [28].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government, led by President Trump, announced a 100% tariff on all Chinese goods starting November 1, along with export controls on key software, which will accelerate the domestic software replacement process in China [2][3]. Group 1: U.S. Trade Measures - The U.S. will impose a 100% additional tariff on all Chinese imports and export controls on key software starting November 1 [2]. - The U.S. measures are seen as a strategic move to pressure China ahead of the APEC summit, with potential implications for negotiations [2][3]. Group 2: China's Response and Industry Impact - China's Ministry of Commerce has implemented export controls on various technologies, including chip production equipment and lithium batteries, which are crucial for modern industries [2][3]. - China is expected to dominate the rare earth industry by 2025, holding 49% of global reserves and 69% of production, making it a critical resource for the U.S. [2][3]. Group 3: Domestic Software Development - The export controls on key software will accelerate the domestic replacement process in China, particularly in the fields of EDA, CAD, CAE, MES, and PLM [3][4]. - The shift towards domestic software is seen as essential due to China's heavy reliance on imported industrial software [3][4]. Group 4: Industrial Digital Transformation - The announcement of using WPS format in government documents marks a significant milestone for domestic software, indicating a breakthrough in the software replacement strategy [4]. - "Lighthouse factories," which utilize advanced technologies for efficiency, are expected to be prioritized in national strategic development plans, driving demand for industrial software [4]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Companies in the EDA, industrial software, operating systems, databases, network security, and industry IT sectors are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to the ongoing shift towards domestic solutions [4]. - Specific companies to watch include: - EDA: Huada Jiutian, Guangliwei, Gai Lun Electronics [4] - Industrial Software: Dingjie Zhizhi, Nengke Technology, Suochen Technology, Zhongwang Software, Zhongkong Technology [4] - Operating Systems: China Software, Ruantong Power, Runhe Software, Chengmai Technology [4] - Databases: Dameng Data, Taiji Co. [4] - Network Security: Deepin Technology, Qilin Security, Sanwei Security, Guotou Intelligent, Qimingxing Chen [4] - Industry IT: Keda Xunfei, Hehe Information, Hengsheng Electronics, Kingsoft Office, Foxit Software, Tuolisi, Tax Friend Shares, Caixun Shares, Dingdian Software, Jiuyuan Yinhai, Jiahe Meikang, Guanglian Da, Kingdee International, Yonyou Network, Fanwei Network, Yuxin Technology, Newland [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [16]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the concept of "Lighthouse Factories," which are leading the intelligent upgrade of the manufacturing industry by integrating advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, IoT, and big data analytics [6]. - A total of 201 factories have been recognized as Lighthouse Factories globally, with 85 located in China, showcasing their exceptional manufacturing capabilities and performance in areas like production efficiency and supply chain resilience [6]. - Industrial software is identified as the digital foundation for Lighthouse Factories, playing a crucial role in enhancing production intelligence and efficiency across four core areas: R&D design, manufacturing, operational management, and maintenance services [6]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that are positioned to benefit from the growth of industrial software and intelligent manufacturing, including Zhongwang Software, Huada Jiutian, and Yonyou Network, among others [6]. Industry Overview - The computer industry consists of 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 60,881.53 billion and a circulating market value of about 55,021.98 billion [3]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 12 months has been 52.1%, while the relative performance against the benchmark index has improved by 33.9% [4].

Summary of Conference Call on Greater China IT Services and Software Industry Industry Overview - The focus is on the Greater China IT Services and Software sector, particularly in the context of trade tensions and software localization themes [1][3][4]. Key Points 1. **Impact of US Export Controls** - The US has announced export controls on critical software, particularly affecting areas like Electronic Design Automation (EDA) and industrial software [2]. - However, these controls are not expected to significantly improve the fundamentals of China's software industry, which is facing tight domestic budgets and macroeconomic deflation [4]. 2. **Software Localization Sentiment** - There is an anticipated positive stock market sentiment around the software localization theme (Xinchuang) for A shares and H shares, driven by southbound capital flows [3]. - This segment is currently under-owned by institutions due to poor business models and inconsistent earnings, indicating high beta and elasticity [3]. 3. **Current Market Dynamics** - Despite the push for software localization, many Chinese customers can continue using existing US software as long as it is locally deployed, reducing the urgency to switch [4]. - The Chinese government has been proactive in promoting software localization, leading to an increase in local vendors' market share over the past five years [4]. 4. **Potential Trade Negotiations** - The situation may evolve rapidly due to potential trade negotiations between the US and China, which could impact the software industry [5]. 5. **Related Companies** - Companies mentioned in relation to the software localization theme include Empyrean, Kingsoft Office, Yonyou, Baosight, and Kingdee [5]. - No stocks under this theme are currently rated as Overweight by Morgan Stanley [5]. Additional Insights - The report highlights that the software localization dynamics vary across different sub-markets, with specific players identified in the sector [10][12]. - The overall industry view remains cautious, reflecting the challenges posed by external trade policies and internal economic conditions [6]. - Analysts express concerns that the US export controls may not effectively address the core issues facing the industry, such as fiscal constraints and the availability of free alternatives [4]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the Greater China IT Services and Software industry, focusing on the implications of US export controls, market sentiment, and the ongoing push for software localization.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing trend towards automation and intelligence in pharmaceutical equipment, driven by technological advancements [1] - The company provides various information systems software such as MES, WMS, QMS, and SCADA, offering comprehensive smart manufacturing solutions to clients [1] - Dongfulong is identified as a comprehensive pharmaceutical equipment service provider, delivering process, core equipment, and system engineering solutions to global pharmaceutical enterprises [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dongfulong Technology Group held an online earnings briefing to address investor concerns regarding stock performance, business layout, and product feedback, emphasizing strategic planning and overseas marketing efforts to enhance competitiveness and brand recognition [1][2]. Business Layout - The company is enhancing its market share in the pharmaceutical equipment sector through both organic growth and mergers and acquisitions, considering innovative models such as equipment equity participation or leasing [2]. - Dongfulong's main business segments include bioprocessing, formulation equipment, engineering solutions, and food equipment engineering, with new business expansions in the healthcare sector contributing to revenue, although specific growth data for the first half of the year was not disclosed [2]. Product Feedback - As a leading domestic pharmaceutical equipment provider, Dongfulong's products are noted for their high technical content and intelligence, performing well across various customer applications [2]. - The company offers integrated solutions including MES, WMS, QMS, and SCADA systems, reflecting a trend towards automation and intelligence in pharmaceutical equipment [2].

Group 1: Company Strategy and Market Position - The company aims to enhance investor confidence by actively expanding its product chain and strengthening its overseas marketing network to increase market share [2][3] - The company is a leading player in the domestic pharmaceutical equipment sector, with high technical content and automation levels in its products [3][4] - The company is considering innovative models such as equipment equity participation or leasing to boost market share [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Shareholder Value - The company is focused on developing new products to meet customer demands and is actively securing domestic and international orders to improve operational performance [3] - The company reported significant growth in orders within the biopharmaceutical and vaccine production sectors, which are key strategic areas [3] - The company’s revenue contribution from new business expansions in the healthcare sector is detailed in its semi-annual report [3] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company is enhancing its product intelligence through automation and smart manufacturing solutions, which improve production efficiency and product quality [4] - The company provides various information systems software to offer comprehensive smart manufacturing solutions to clients [4] Group 4: Investment and Partnerships - The company holds a 20% stake in Yantai Saibo Biotechnology Co., which is a minority investment and does not involve operational management [3] - The company’s subsidiary, Shanghai Bohao, is primarily focused on chip detection and single-cell sequencing, with no current plans to enter the brain-computer interface chip sector [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth, achieving an operating income of 1.045 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.08%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 45.03 million yuan, up 6.09% year-on-year [1][4]. - The AI business has seen significant growth, with revenue increasing by 125.91% year-on-year, reflecting successful implementation and customer acquisition strategies [3]. - The company is focusing on integrating AI technology into its products, enhancing operational efficiency and customer value [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 1.045 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 58.32%, an increase of approximately 0.88 percentage points year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly, reaching -45.52 million yuan [1][4]. Business Segments - The R&D design segment generated 57 million yuan, growing by 11.05% year-on-year. The digital management segment achieved 571 million yuan, up 4.32%. The production control segment reported 138 million yuan, a 7.36% increase. The AIoT segment earned 274 million yuan, growing by 3.51% [2]. AI Business Development - The company launched an AI-powered PLM product, which has been adopted by nearly 100 clients, contributing to a significant increase in average transaction value. The multi-agent collaboration platform has been successfully implemented in various industries, establishing benchmark cases [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 2.536 billion, 2.794 billion, and 3.048 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit forecasts are set at 188.84 million, 236.92 million, and 274.51 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.70, 0.87, and 1.01 yuan per share [4][7].