Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - **Company**: Shijia Photonics - **Industry**: Data Communication and Optical Components Key Points and Arguments 1. **Financial Performance**: Shijia Photonics successfully transformed into the data communication market, achieving profitability with a quarterly profit of 20 million yuan. The total profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 306 million yuan, although the growth rate in Q3 showed a decline compared to Q2. A recovery is expected in Q4 [2][4][10] 2. **AWG Business**: The Arrayed Waveguide Grating (AWG) business benefits from the demand for wavelength division multiplexing in data center optical modules, particularly excelling in the FR solution. The penetration rate is continuously increasing, with Shijia Photonics having achieved mass production of 1.6T AWG products, capturing approximately 50% of the domestic market [2][6][11] 3. **NPO Business**: The NPO (High-Density Wiring) business focuses on interconnections between data center switches. Following the acquisition of Foxmar, Shijia Photonics aims to enhance gross margins and accelerate overseas growth. The company is expected to improve its competitive position in the NPO market [2][7][11] 4. **CW Light Source Business**: The Continuous Wave (CW) light source business is projected to achieve significant breakthroughs by 2026. The global supply-demand gap for CW light sources is widening, providing opportunities for Shijia Photonics to increase its market share. The company has accumulated technology and sufficient MOCVD equipment to handle a large volume of orders [2][8][9][11] 5. **Growth Potential**: All three core business lines (AWG, NPO, CW light source) exhibit high growth potential, with a conservative estimate of net profit exceeding 1 billion yuan next year. These segments not only support current performance but also prepare for new demands in CPU scenarios [3][10] Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Dynamics**: The AWG business is expected to grow faster than the overall 800G market due to increasing downstream demand and higher silicon photonics penetration [11] 2. **Strategic Acquisitions**: The acquisition of Foxmar is anticipated to enhance Shijia Photonics' gross margins and facilitate overseas expansion, addressing the competitive landscape in the NPO sector [7][11] 3. **Technological Advancements**: Shijia Photonics has made significant technological advancements in CW light sources, positioning itself to capitalize on the growing global demand and supply gap [8][9][11]

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Shijia Photonics, a company involved in the photonics industry, particularly focusing on products like AWG components, MPO, and CW light sources. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's profit decreased sequentially due to changes in product mix, with AWG component revenue declining, leading to a gross margin drop from 35% to 30% [2][5][15] - Q3 revenue showed slight growth compared to Q2, with profits reported at approximately 83 million yuan, down from 120 million yuan in Q2 [5] Product and Market Dynamics - The company anticipates stable gross margins across various products moving forward, with improved supply chain management expected to enhance profitability [2][5] - AWG components are expected to gain market share as large data centers are constructed, despite current saturation in NPO orders [2][9] - CW light sources are noted for their high-temperature optimization, with plans to reach a production capacity exceeding KK level monthly by 2026 [2][10] Organizational Changes - The company has restructured its organization, integrating its U.S. and Singapore subsidiaries under a unified marketing center to strengthen strategic planning [2][7] - The chairman has stepped down as general manager to focus on long-term strategic development [2][7] Stock and Incentives - The company has canceled some repurchased shares due to the lack of stock incentive plans within three years, but it remains committed to implementing stock incentives through various means, including potential issuance [2][8] Inventory and Supply Chain - As of September 2025, the company's net inventory stood at 593 million yuan, an increase of 270 million yuan from the beginning of the year, primarily due to increased raw material orders for MPO indoor cables [3][19] - The company expects inventory levels to remain stable in Q4 2025 [3][19] Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on future profitability, driven by ongoing technological advancements and market demand [6][21] - The MPO business is expanding in Thailand, with a new factory expected to be operational by mid-2026, and existing facilities showing a 40% revenue increase quarter-over-quarter [2][11] Strategic Acquisitions - The acquisition of Foxma is in the final stages of due diligence, which is expected to enhance the NPO business through customer base integration and collaborative R&D opportunities [2][16] New Product Development - The company is actively developing new products in the FIU business segment, focusing on various communication technologies [2][17] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding the AWG product line, with expectations of increased penetration in the market [2][20] Market Conditions - The global public sector is experiencing rapid technological iteration and demand structure upgrades, which the company is navigating through a robust operational strategy [4][6] Additional Important Information - The company is closely monitoring artificial intelligence industry trends and customer demands to adapt its strategies accordingly [5][6] - The overall operational status of the company is reported as stable, with confidence in future growth despite short-term fluctuations [21]

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing importance of integrated semiconductor optical modules, specifically On-Board Optical (OBO), Near-Package Optical (NPO), and Co-Packaged Optical (CPO) solutions, which are expected to see a compound annual growth rate of 50% in shipment volume by 2033 [2][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - Integrated optical solutions are significantly improving transmission capacity and processing for AI systems, providing higher bandwidth at lower power consumption [2][4]. - The transition from copper to optical solutions is anticipated to lead to a non-linear performance enhancement, with potential performance increases of up to 80 times compared to existing solutions [7]. Group 2: Key Players and Future Projections - Major companies like NVIDIA, Intel, Marvell, and Broadcom are currently leading the development of CPO technology, which is expected to drive substantial revenue growth and shipment volume by 2027 [4]. - By 2033, it is projected that over half of the revenue and shipment volume will come from integrated semiconductor optical I/O solutions [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Counterpoint Research highlights the significant growth potential of integrated semiconductor optical modules, particularly embedded optical interconnects, which are expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50% by 2033, driven by advancements in AI and high-bandwidth network architectures [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The shipment volume of integrated optical solutions, including On-Board Optical (OBO), Near-Package Optical (NPO), and Co-Packaged Optical (CPO), is projected to grow at a CAGR of 50% by 2033 [2]. - The transition from copper to optical technology is anticipated to enhance bandwidth and reduce power consumption, with embedded optical modules expected to see a significant increase in adoption [2][3]. - By 2027, widespread adoption of NPO and CPO is expected to drive a triple-digit year-on-year revenue growth, with their share in total shipments reaching double digits [2][3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - CPO is identified as a game changer for AI computing, enabling ultra-high bandwidth expansion and significant reductions in power consumption [3][5]. - The shift towards "less copper, more light" will lead to a substantial decrease in copper usage at each stage of transition from OBO to NPO to CPO, resulting in nonlinear performance improvements [7]. - The performance of 3D CPO solutions may exceed current technologies by up to 80 times, marking a significant leap in capabilities [7]. Group 3: Key Players - Major companies leading the CPO field include NVIDIA, Intel, Marvell, and Broadcom, with ongoing technological evolution expected to be a gradual process [3][5].