东北证券指出，光模块行业景气度持续攀升，明年需求可见度较高，订单指引持续上修，供不应求 将成为行业常态。上游物料是影响光模块厂商交付能力的核心因素，需重视EML光芯片、CW光源、硅 光芯片、无源光器件等上游核心环节的投资机遇。硅光技术优势显著，正持续夺取EML市场份额，尤 其在1.6T速率下表现突出。行业头部企业正积极扩充产能，Tower半导体计划加码硅光子和硅锗业务， 目标2025年硅光子收入超过2.2亿美元。光模块与光芯片业务正从技术突破迈向规模放量阶段，未来将 通过深度协同与创新适应市场变化。 通信ETF（515880）跟踪的是通信设备指数（931160），该指数聚焦于通信设备制造及相关服务领 域，从市场中选取涉及通信网络基础设施、终端设备生产等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本。指数成 分股通常具备较高的技术含量和研发投入，能够综合反映通信设备行业的整体表现和发展趋势。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需 ...

Group 1 - The company positions itself as a provider of overall optical device solutions and advanced optoelectronic packaging manufacturing services [1] - Its products are widely used in telecommunications, data centers, fiber connections, and automotive auxiliary driving laser radar applications [1] - The company does not currently produce continuous wave (CW) light sources [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - **Company**: Shijia Photonics - **Industry**: Data Communication and Optical Components Key Points and Arguments 1. **Financial Performance**: Shijia Photonics successfully transformed into the data communication market, achieving profitability with a quarterly profit of 20 million yuan. The total profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 306 million yuan, although the growth rate in Q3 showed a decline compared to Q2. A recovery is expected in Q4 [2][4][10] 2. **AWG Business**: The Arrayed Waveguide Grating (AWG) business benefits from the demand for wavelength division multiplexing in data center optical modules, particularly excelling in the FR solution. The penetration rate is continuously increasing, with Shijia Photonics having achieved mass production of 1.6T AWG products, capturing approximately 50% of the domestic market [2][6][11] 3. **NPO Business**: The NPO (High-Density Wiring) business focuses on interconnections between data center switches. Following the acquisition of Foxmar, Shijia Photonics aims to enhance gross margins and accelerate overseas growth. The company is expected to improve its competitive position in the NPO market [2][7][11] 4. **CW Light Source Business**: The Continuous Wave (CW) light source business is projected to achieve significant breakthroughs by 2026. The global supply-demand gap for CW light sources is widening, providing opportunities for Shijia Photonics to increase its market share. The company has accumulated technology and sufficient MOCVD equipment to handle a large volume of orders [2][8][9][11] 5. **Growth Potential**: All three core business lines (AWG, NPO, CW light source) exhibit high growth potential, with a conservative estimate of net profit exceeding 1 billion yuan next year. These segments not only support current performance but also prepare for new demands in CPU scenarios [3][10] Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Dynamics**: The AWG business is expected to grow faster than the overall 800G market due to increasing downstream demand and higher silicon photonics penetration [11] 2. **Strategic Acquisitions**: The acquisition of Foxmar is anticipated to enhance Shijia Photonics' gross margins and facilitate overseas expansion, addressing the competitive landscape in the NPO sector [7][11] 3. **Technological Advancements**: Shijia Photonics has made significant technological advancements in CW light sources, positioning itself to capitalize on the growing global demand and supply gap [8][9][11]

Core Insights - The company, Zhao Chi Co., has announced that its 25G DFB laser chip has achieved mass production capability [1] - The 2.5G optical chip is progressing towards mass production to achieve self-sufficiency in core raw materials [1] - The company plans to launch 50G and above DFB chips and CW light sources by 2026, focusing on high-end products [1] - The company is investing in research and development for Micro LED technology, aiming to address low latency, high bandwidth, and low power consumption needs in AI deployment [1] Company Developments - Zhao Chi Co. has successfully developed a 25G DFB laser chip that is ready for mass production [1] - The company is advancing the mass production of its 2.5G optical chip to ensure independence in core material supply [1] - Future product plans include the introduction of 50G and higher DFB chips and CW light sources by 2026 [1] Industry Trends - The company is focusing on the next-generation optical communication technology based on Micro LED, which is characterized by a "wide and slow" approach [1] - Increased investment in Micro LED optical interconnect technology is aimed at meeting the demands of AI applications [1]

Core Viewpoint - Company has established long-term stable partnerships with key domestic and international chip manufacturers, ensuring a proactive approach to order management and inventory control [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Management - Company has communicated with upstream chip manufacturers to prepare orders six months in advance [1] - Current inventory capacity can cover approximately three months of production needs [1] Group 2: Future Preparedness - Company is validating backup solutions through its established upstream chip manufacturers, Yunling Optoelectronics and CW Light Source [1] - Company is preparing for higher downstream demand growth in the upcoming year [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 115.1% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 383 million yuan, with a net profit of 106 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025 alone, revenue surged by 207.31% year-on-year to 178 million yuan, with a net profit of 60 million yuan, reflecting strong performance in line with expectations [1] Financial Highlights - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved to 61.6%, up 9.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales of high-margin CW light sources [1] - The net profit margin also saw a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.93 percentage points to 33.44% due to rapid revenue growth and scale effects [1] - The company announced a new order worth 63.02 million yuan for high-power laser chip products, indicating strong market demand and plans for capacity expansion [1] Industry Trends - There is a rising demand for high-speed optical modules, with supply constraints for key materials like CW light sources and EML [2] - The capital expenditure from major North American cloud providers exceeded expectations, driving up the demand for high-speed optical modules [2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the anticipated supply-demand gap in CW light sources and EML, with potential opportunities for 100G/200G EML products [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised upwards by 23.7%, 43.7%, and 42.5% respectively, reaching 190 million, 515 million, and 862 million yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a 50.7 times P/E ratio for 2027, with a target market value of 51.89 billion yuan based on a 60 times P/E ratio [3] - The target price has been raised by 43% to 560 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 10.2% [3]

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Shijia Photonics, a company involved in the photonics industry, particularly focusing on products like AWG components, MPO, and CW light sources. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's profit decreased sequentially due to changes in product mix, with AWG component revenue declining, leading to a gross margin drop from 35% to 30% [2][5][15] - Q3 revenue showed slight growth compared to Q2, with profits reported at approximately 83 million yuan, down from 120 million yuan in Q2 [5] Product and Market Dynamics - The company anticipates stable gross margins across various products moving forward, with improved supply chain management expected to enhance profitability [2][5] - AWG components are expected to gain market share as large data centers are constructed, despite current saturation in NPO orders [2][9] - CW light sources are noted for their high-temperature optimization, with plans to reach a production capacity exceeding KK level monthly by 2026 [2][10] Organizational Changes - The company has restructured its organization, integrating its U.S. and Singapore subsidiaries under a unified marketing center to strengthen strategic planning [2][7] - The chairman has stepped down as general manager to focus on long-term strategic development [2][7] Stock and Incentives - The company has canceled some repurchased shares due to the lack of stock incentive plans within three years, but it remains committed to implementing stock incentives through various means, including potential issuance [2][8] Inventory and Supply Chain - As of September 2025, the company's net inventory stood at 593 million yuan, an increase of 270 million yuan from the beginning of the year, primarily due to increased raw material orders for MPO indoor cables [3][19] - The company expects inventory levels to remain stable in Q4 2025 [3][19] Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on future profitability, driven by ongoing technological advancements and market demand [6][21] - The MPO business is expanding in Thailand, with a new factory expected to be operational by mid-2026, and existing facilities showing a 40% revenue increase quarter-over-quarter [2][11] Strategic Acquisitions - The acquisition of Foxma is in the final stages of due diligence, which is expected to enhance the NPO business through customer base integration and collaborative R&D opportunities [2][16] New Product Development - The company is actively developing new products in the FIU business segment, focusing on various communication technologies [2][17] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding the AWG product line, with expectations of increased penetration in the market [2][20] Market Conditions - The global public sector is experiencing rapid technological iteration and demand structure upgrades, which the company is navigating through a robust operational strategy [4][6] Additional Important Information - The company is closely monitoring artificial intelligence industry trends and customer demands to adapt its strategies accordingly [5][6] - The overall operational status of the company is reported as stable, with confidence in future growth despite short-term fluctuations [21]

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - Shijia Photonics has successfully transitioned to the data center AWG chip market through collaboration with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, establishing partnerships with North American clients such as AOY and Intel, and expanding production capacity overseas [2][4] Key Industry Insights - The AWG chip is utilized in data center wavelength division multiplexing (WDM) solutions for data transmission over distances greater than two kilometers, offering cost and integration advantages. The penetration rate of AWG solutions is expected to increase as leading domestic optical module companies adopt this technology [2][3] - The establishment of overseas factories has led to a significant influx of MPO multi-fiber connector orders, successfully integrating with global cabling companies like Corning, CommScope, and Fujikura, driving rapid growth in the high-end connector business [2][9] Financial Performance - The ADWG product line is a cornerstone of Shijia Photonics, projected to account for nearly half of the company's revenue in 2024, with a high gross margin contributing significantly to profits [12] - The laser chip business, initially focused on the telecom sector, is expected to see substantial growth as validation from major clients in the data center market progresses [8] Market Dynamics - The FR optical module market is currently dominated by Meta's procurement, with Google also planning to increase its purchases. Demand is expected to rebound in 2024 as Meta and Google ramp up their FR requirements, following a decline in 2023 due to shifts in project focus [11] - The MPO connector market is fragmented, with a global market space estimated at approximately 20 billion RMB. Chinese companies possess a competitive edge in high-end MPO technology, which is expected to enhance their market share [14] Technological Advancements - Domestic companies have made significant progress in the independent research and supply of MTX chips, although high-end MTX chips still rely on overseas suppliers. The acquisition of Foxima by Shijia has notably improved its MPU competitiveness, creating synergistic effects within the industry [16] - The penetration rate of silicon photonics technology is rapidly increasing, with expectations to rise from 10% in 2023 to 20% in 2024, and potentially exceed 50% by 2026. This technology shift positions Chinese companies favorably in the market [17] Future Growth Prospects - Shijia Photonics anticipates significant business growth over the next two years, driven by the successful ramp-up of AWG and MPU products, alongside emerging product lines such as CW light sources and FAU passive devices [18] - The development of silicon photonics is expected to have a profound impact on the high-speed module market, with projected demand for high-speed modules exceeding 30 million units in 2025 and potentially reaching 50 million units in 2026 [19] Conclusion - Overall, Shijia Photonics is well-positioned for future growth, with a strong focus on data center solutions and a competitive edge in high-end optical components, supported by strategic partnerships and technological advancements. The company's financial outlook remains positive, with expectations for improved profitability and market share expansion.

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijiazhuang Shijia Photonics Company Overview - **Company**: Shijiazhuang Shijia Photonics - **Industry**: Optical Communication and Photonics Key Points and Arguments 1. **Product Development**: Progress has been made in 800G and 1.6T FAU products, with client validation completed. CW light source clients have also completed validation but are still in small batch delivery phase, with expectations for large orders in the second half of 2026 [2][3][4] 2. **Revenue Structure**: Over 70% of revenue comes from optical chips and devices, approximately 15% from indoor optical cables, and the remaining 15% from other businesses. AWG components have a high gross margin, while MPO jumpers have a relatively low margin [2][5] 3. **MPO Business Growth**: MPO business is experiencing rapid growth but is limited by production capacity. The company is expanding production through new factory leases, equipment installation, and worker recruitment, although specific growth rates are difficult to predict [2][6] 4. **AWG Product Line Performance**: The AWG product line showed stable growth in Q2, with no significant changes in order volume, possibly due to seasonal fluctuations from different client solutions. The company is expanding AWG capacity to maximize utilization and gross margin [2][6][7] 5. **High-Speed DML Products**: Breakthroughs have been achieved in high-speed DML products (e.g., 25G and 50GPON), with EML samples (100G, 200G, and 50GPON) launched [2][8] 6. **Yield Improvement**: Continuous improvements in yield across product lines have been implemented, particularly starting from the AWG pilot, which has positively impacted gross profit margins [2][9] 7. **Inventory Levels**: The company has over 500 million yuan in inventory, primarily due to high stock levels of indoor optical cables and MPO products, influenced by international market shortages and tariff policies [2][4][12] 8. **Capital Expenditure**: Capital expenditure for the first half of 2025 was 83 million yuan, significantly up from the same period in 2024, driven by increased orders and capacity expansion investments [2][19] 9. **Production Capacity**: The company is confident in meeting market demand across various product lines, with specific focus on AWG and DFB products, which are currently at full production capacity [2][11][21] 10. **Future Product Plans**: There are ongoing validations for new products like CW, with potential surprises from the Yuyuan team. The company is also investing in new fields such as sensing and lidar [2][25] Additional Important Information - **Customer Base**: The silicon photonics high-temperature FAU product line is in small batch supply, mainly for verification and design, with some customers starting bulk purchases [2][16] - **Acquisition Impact**: The acquisition of Foxima is expected to enhance collaboration in customer validation processes, although the company still relies on external sourcing for certain components [2][17] - **Market Trends**: The demand for DFB access networks is strong, with new applications in sensing and lidar being explored [2][24] - **Product Transition Signals**: There are no clear signals yet regarding the transition of 800 series and 1.6T products to new solutions, as internal and customer recognition processes take time [2][25]

Group 1 - The company, Tianfu Communication, positions itself as a provider of overall solutions for optical communication devices and advanced optoelectronic packaging manufacturing services [1] - The company currently does not produce continuous wave (CW) light sources [1]