数据显示，作为自动驾驶大规模量产和商业化落地的全球领导者，小马智行已在全球实现全无人驾驶常 态运营，目前拥有超1000辆Robotaxi及约200辆Robotruck，累计超6500万公里全球自动驾驶路测里程， 其中全无人驾驶路测里程超1500万公里。 小马智行无人车在马年春节成为人们打卡的"科技年货"，印证自动驾驶技术日趋成熟与可靠，也让无人 驾驶从科幻概念走进大众日常，让更多人感受到自动驾驶技术带来的出行变革。 （文章来源：广州日报） 2026年的农历马年春节，大湾区各大城市没有上演"空城计"，反而迎来史上最热闹的新春。不少游客涌 入深圳、广州等大湾区城市，最时髦的打卡项目不是逛华强北、品尝广府美食，而是打一辆没有司机的 车——小马智行全无人Robotaxi。 据广东省文化和旅游厅初步测算，春节假期9天全省接待游客8658.9万人次，较2025年春节假期增长 8.1%。深圳、广州等城市酒店预订量位居全国前列，接待游客量更是突破千万人次。随着2月15日至23 日春节假期的落幕，小马智行也交出一份特殊的成绩单：其全无人驾驶Robotaxi在北上广深四城运营数 据节节攀升，从出行工具变身城市科技旅游新地标。其中 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 195 [5][9]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant milestone by realizing single-vehicle unit economics (UE) in Guangzhou, marking a turning point for the commercialization of Robotaxi services. The average daily revenue per vehicle is approximately HKD 299, indicating the feasibility of the business model [5][15]. - The company is positioned as a global leader in Level 4 (L4) autonomous driving, leveraging a robust technology foundation that includes multi-sensor fusion, world models, and automotive-grade hardware. This technological edge enhances its competitive advantage in the L4 autonomous driving sector [5][16]. - The company has established a diversified ecosystem for collaboration, which supports its global expansion capabilities. It has partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and technology providers, facilitating the development and commercialization of its Robotaxi and Robotruck services [5][18]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from USD 75.03 million in 2024 to USD 327.18 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 183.12% from 2026 to 2027 [4][11]. - The company is expected to achieve single-vehicle breakeven by 2026 and overall company breakeven by 2029, driven by operational efficiencies and scaling of its fleet [6][14]. - The report anticipates that the company's Robotaxi fleet will expand to approximately 100,000 vehicles by 2030, with a potential market penetration rate of 14-17% in first-tier cities [6][14]. Business Model and Market Position - The company operates a clear business model that includes autonomous driving services, technology licensing, and application services. It is the only company in China to have received regulatory approval for full-scene autonomous driving services in major cities [25][31]. - The company has successfully established a presence in eight countries, with a fleet of 1,159 Robotaxi vehicles and over 170 Robotruck vehicles as of the end of 2025 [5][14][26]. - The report highlights that the company’s competitive advantages stem from its clear commercialization path, strong technical capabilities, and a well-structured ecosystem that supports its growth [5][14][19].

Core Insights - MSCI has included 37 new stocks in its China Index, with Pony.ai being the only autonomous driving company added, which is expected to attract more passive fund attention and improve liquidity [1][3] Company Overview - Pony.ai is the first and only autonomous driving company included in the MSCI China Index, which is a significant benchmark for global investment institutions allocating assets in China [3] - The company was founded in 2016 and focuses on providing autonomous driving technology and solutions for mobility and logistics, with a dual listing on NASDAQ and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [3][4] Business Operations - Pony.ai's core business includes Robotaxi services, autonomous truck services, and technology licensing, with operations in major Chinese cities and a growing international presence [4][6] - The company has received permits for fully autonomous Robotaxi operations in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, making it the only company to do so in these cities [4] Financial Performance - For 2025, Pony.ai anticipates a loss of approximately $69 million to $86 million, a significant reduction from a loss of $275 million in 2024, primarily due to increased fair value gains from investments [4] - The Robotaxi business revenue grew by 89.5% year-on-year, with passenger fare revenue increasing by over 200%, indicating strong commercial progress [4] Fleet and Technology - The Robotaxi fleet has surpassed 1,159 vehicles, with plans to expand to 3,000 vehicles by 2026, demonstrating exponential growth [5] - The company has achieved cost reductions in its new generation of autonomous driving technology, with production material costs decreasing by 70% and specific components like the autonomous driving computing unit by 80% [5] Global Expansion - Pony.ai is pursuing a light-asset model and has formed partnerships with various companies to accelerate fleet expansion and global market entry [6] - The company has established operations in eight countries and is collaborating with major ride-hailing platforms to enhance its market presence [6] Analyst Coverage - A recent report from Zhongyou Securities initiated coverage on Pony.ai with a "Buy" rating, projecting revenues of $81.92 million, $121.85 million, and $235.58 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, while also forecasting continued losses [6]

Core Viewpoint - Pony.ai is a global leader in the large-scale commercialization of autonomous driving, focusing on Robotaxi and Robotruck services, with significant progress in commercial operations and fleet expansion [4][8]. Financial Performance - For 2025, Pony.ai expects a net loss of approximately -$0.69 to -$0.86 billion, an improvement from a net loss of -$2.75 billion in 2024 [2][6]. - The company anticipates a net profit of about $0.66 to $0.83 billion in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of -$0.61 billion in Q3 2025 and -$1.81 billion in Q4 2024 [6][7]. Business Operations - As of the end of 2025, Pony.ai exceeded its target of 1,000 Robotaxis, achieving 1,159 units, and aims to have over 3,000 Robotaxis by the end of 2026 [4][11]. - The seventh-generation Robotaxi has achieved profitability on a per-vehicle basis in urban areas, validating the company's business model [11]. Strategic Partnerships - Pony.ai has entered a comprehensive strategic partnership with BAIC New Energy, focusing on the mass production and commercialization of L4-level Robotaxis, aiming to create a benchmark in the autonomous driving industry [15]. - A collaboration with Aitboda aims to develop a fully autonomous driving service fleet, targeting the high-end market and enhancing the travel experience for passengers [19]. Technological Advancements - The company has reduced the bill of materials (BOM) cost for the seventh-generation Robotaxi by over 20% compared to 2025 benchmarks, driven by strong AI algorithms and fleet management expertise [11]. - The seventh-generation Robotaxi has been launched in major cities like Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Beijing, receiving positive user feedback for its enhanced performance and user experience features [11].

Core Insights - The RoboX industry is approaching a commercialization inflection point, driven by strong policy support, increasing demand for cost-effective and safe autonomous driving solutions, and significant reductions in core component costs [2][6][11]. Group 1: RoboX Overview - RoboX encompasses various forms of autonomous driving applications, including Robotaxi, Robovan, and Robotruck, designed to adapt to different transportation scenarios through modular design [8]. - The industry is experiencing rapid advancements in technology, with the penetration rate of L2 and above autonomous features in passenger vehicles expected to exceed 90% by 2030, significantly driving down costs for key components like LiDAR and computing chips [9][11]. Group 2: Robotaxi Insights - Robotaxi is projected to achieve an operational cost of $0.2 per kilometer by 2027, a 50% reduction compared to traditional ride-sharing platforms, primarily due to the remote safety operator model and economies of scale [3][17]. - The global Robotaxi market is expected to reach a valuation of $352.6 billion by 2035, with the Chinese market anticipated to grow from $200 million in 2025 to $179.4 billion by 2035, indicating strong growth potential [23][28]. Group 3: Robovan Insights - The demand for Robovan is driven by labor shortages and high costs in last-mile delivery, with its capabilities making it a key solution across e-commerce, retail, and food delivery sectors [4]. - The cost of Robovan is expected to drop significantly, from 500,000-600,000 yuan to around 20,000 yuan, due to economies of scale and increased penetration of L2 and above features in passenger vehicles [4][11]. Group 4: Robotruck Insights - Robotruck applications are expanding from closed environments to long-haul logistics, with a market potential reaching hundreds of billions, focusing on stable freight demand and high operational value [5]. - The adoption of "virtual drivers" in Robotrucks is expected to significantly reduce the operating costs of electric trucks, enhancing their commercial viability [5]. Group 5: Policy Support - Since 2020, the Chinese government has implemented numerous policies to support the development of intelligent connected vehicles, establishing a robust regulatory framework for the industry [11][13]. - By 2025, 17 national-level testing demonstration zones have been established, with over 32,000 kilometers of testing roads opened, facilitating the transition from technology validation to commercial operation [11][13]. Group 6: Investment Recommendations - Companies involved in autonomous driving solutions and operations are expected to benefit directly from the commercialization of RoboX, with a projected rapid increase in penetration rates between 2026 and 2027, unlocking a market potential of hundreds of billions [6][28]. - Recommended companies include WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and XPeng Motors, with a focus on intelligent component manufacturers like Horizon Robotics and Bertelson [6].

1月29日，九识智能与菜鸟无人车联合宣布，双方已就无人车业务达成深度战略整合。菜鸟以自身无人车业务注入、现金投资等方式，成为九识股东，支 持九识打造RoboVan超级航母。这标志着双方正式开启在RoboVan领域的深度协同。 携手丰宜科技、快狗打车，是切入同城货运与即时物流的广阔市场，探索更高效、灵活的运力调度模式。 与蒙牛、新希望等快消巨头合作，意味着无人车将深入冷链配送、社区零售、渠道补货等复杂场景。它解决的不仅是"送"，更是"精准库存管理"和"供应 链快速响应"。 当菜鸟集团与九识智能就无人车业务深度整合的消息传出，业界讨论多集中于"强强联合"的市场影响。然而，故事若止步于"强强联合解决末端配送"，格 局尚小。九识与菜鸟的这次联姻，其真正的想象力在于，它将共同开启一场超越快递、跨越地域的"无限游戏"，指向一个由"全链路无人化"驱动的崭新物 流世界。 作为L4自动驾驶领域产品落地最多的企业，截至2026年1月，九识无人车累计交付超17000台，落地国内超300个城市，并出海至新加坡、日韩等近10个国 家。此次合作，标志着九识的战略重心正从快递末端这一"毛细血管"，加速延伸至城市支线、区域干线乃至国际干线等 ...

1 月 29 日，九识智能与菜鸟无人车联合宣布，双方已就无人车业务达成深度战略整合。菜鸟以自 身无人车业务注入、现金投资等方式，成为九识股东，支持九识打造 RoboVan 超级航母。这标志 着双方正式开启在 RoboVan 领域的深度协同。 当菜鸟集团与九识智能就无人车业务深度整合的消息传出，业界讨论多集中于 "强强联合"的市场影 响。然而，故事若止步于"强强联合解决末端配送"，格局尚小。九识与菜鸟的这次联姻，其真正的 想象力在于，它将共同开启一场超越快递、跨越地域的"无限游戏"，指向一个由"全链路无人化"驱 动的崭新物流世界。 作为 L4 自动驾驶领域产品落地最多的企业， 截至 2026 年 1 月，九识无人车累计交付超 17000 台，落地国内超 300 个城市，并出海至新加坡、日韩等 近 10 个国家。此次合作，标志着九识的 战略重心正从快递末端这一 "毛细血管"，加速延伸至城市支线、区域干线乃至国际干线等物流 的"主动脉"体系。菜鸟生态的注入，为这一战略跃迁提供了无可替代的版图。 菜鸟带来的绝非仅仅是资本。它首先注入的是对物流产业 "颗粒度"极细的深刻理解。 与此同时，这也为 九识的全球化战略插上了翅 ...

以下文章来源于智能车参考 ，作者有车无人 站上新台阶的Waymo明确，当下的业务重心是面向全球扩张，放话"大规模自动驾驶时代已经到来"。 出海，这也是中国Robotaxi玩家萝卜快跑、文远知行和小马智行正在开拓的方向，今年有望看到中美Robotaxi双雄同台竞技。 全球自动驾驶玩家，也将同步Waymo迎来新一轮重估。 Waymo官宣完成160亿美元融资 Waymo通过社交平台官宣，最新一轮融资融了 160亿美元 ，约合人民币 1112.4亿元 ，超越此前三轮融资之和。 智能车参考 . 追踪AI+汽车新进展。量子位旗下汽车频道 一凡 发自 副驾寺 智能车参考 | 公众号 AI4Auto Waymo官宣完成1112亿融资，估值超8760亿元。 特斯拉攻上门的当口，资本市场用真金白银，表达了对Waymo和「Waymo路线」的认可与坚信，托举Waymo一轮融了160亿美元。其中谷 歌被曝豪掷900亿，红杉资本押注，将Waymo估值推上新的高度， 19个月翻了3倍 。 Waymo透露， 最新一轮融资的主要投资者仍然是谷歌 ，领投方还包括红杉资本、Dragoneer Investment Group和DST Global ...

Waymo官宣完成1112亿融资，估值超8760亿元。 站上新台阶的Waymo明确，当下的业务重心是面向全球扩张，放话"大规模自动驾驶时代已经到来"。 出海，这也是中国Robotaxi玩家萝卜快跑、文远知行和小马智行正在开拓的方向，今年有望看到中美Robotaxi双雄同台竞技。 全球自动驾驶玩家，也将同步Waymo迎来新一轮重估。 Waymo官宣完成160亿美元融资 Waymo通过社交平台官宣，最新一轮融资融了160亿美元，约合人民币1112.4亿元，超越此前三轮融资之和。 特斯拉攻上门的当口，资本市场用真金白银，表达了对Waymo和「Waymo路线」的认可与坚信，托举Waymo一轮融了160亿美元。其中谷歌被曝豪掷900 亿，红杉资本押注，将Waymo估值推上新的高度，19个月翻了3倍。 Waymo靠什么值1260亿美元？ Waymo的业务总体可以分成两大块： 基本盘Robotaxi和新业务。 为了支撑最新估值，Waymo同步放出了Robotaxi最新商业化成绩。 Waymo透露，其在美国6大都市区周订单量已超40万单，2025年全年订单量为1500万单，是2024年的两倍多，历史订单量已超2000万单，全 ...

Group 1: RoboX Industry Insights - RoboX is accelerating its industrialization, transitioning from technology validation to large-scale deployment, driven by strong policy support and urgent demand for cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] - Since 2020, the Chinese government has introduced numerous supportive policies, enhancing institutional guarantees for RoboX's development [1] - The penetration rate of L2 and above intelligent functions in passenger vehicles is rapidly increasing, leading to significant cost reductions in core components like lidar and computing chips [1] - The demand for intelligent driving solutions is fueled by multiple factors, including cost reduction, safety enhancement, and labor shortages, positioning RoboX as a core driver of this industrial transformation [1] Group 2: Robotaxi Market Dynamics - Robotaxi's core advantage lies in its significant cost reduction, with operational costs expected to be $0.2 per km by 2027, a 50% decrease compared to traditional ride-sharing platforms [2] - The reduction in human error is anticipated to significantly lower accident rates, enhancing safety, with the global market projected to reach a trillion-dollar scale by 2030 [2] - The decline in hardware costs and improved operational efficiency are key factors driving the commercialization of Robotaxi, with Tesla entering the market using a pure vision approach [2] - Full autonomous commercialization is gradually being implemented in major cities in China, transitioning from technology validation to a commercial closed loop [2] Group 3: Robovan Demand and Supply - The demand for Robovan is driven by labor shortages and high costs in last-mile delivery, making it a critical solution for various high-frequency scenarios [3] - The price of unmanned delivery vehicles is expected to drop significantly from 500,000-600,000 yuan to around 20,000 yuan due to economies of scale in core components [3] - The penetration rate of L2 and above functions in passenger vehicles is projected to exceed 90% by 2030, facilitating the mass production of essential components [3] - Policy support is accelerating with the introduction of hard indicators for deploying unmanned vehicles, promoting the transition from demonstration to large-scale application [3] Group 4: Robotruck Commercialization - Robotruck applications are primarily in closed environments like ports and mines, as well as trunk logistics, with the market size expected to reach a trillion yuan [4] - The successful implementation of L4 in closed scenarios demonstrates the capability for high-intensity operations, while trunk logistics is becoming a core commercial direction [4] - Robotruck utilizes a "virtual driver" to significantly reduce the operating costs of electric tractors, enhancing its commercial viability [4] - National support is clear, but local authorities remain cautious due to the high accident risks associated with heavy trucks, with integrated vehicle-road-cloud trials expected to accelerate cross-province collaboration [4]