28 August 2025 | 10:47AM CST HG Tech (000988.SZ): Migration to 800G in domestic market to drive growth in 2026-27E; Overseas progress could add more upside; Buy We view HG Tech as a key beneficiary of China domestic AI transceiver growth. We now factor in incrementally stronger 800G shipment to local customers as they start migrating from 400G to 800G in 4Q25~1Q26, per our supply chain checks. With this, we raise EPS by up to 5% in 2026-27E with our 12M TP updated to Rmb71 (from Rmb62). Our estimates do not ...

Summary of Shenzhen Kstar Science & Tech (002518.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Kstar Science & Tech (002518.SZ) - **Industry**: Electric power conversion technology, focusing on data centers and energy storage systems (ESS) Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue: Rmb1,219 million, +15% YoY - Gross Profit: Rmb350 million, +7% YoY - EBIT: Rmb141 million, +82% YoY - Net Profit: Rmb144 million, +70% YoY - Gross Margin: 29%, -2pp YoY - Operating Margin: 12%, +4pp YoY - Net Profit Margin: 12%, +4pp YoY - **Comparison to Guidance**: Results were largely in line with expectations, with slight deviations in gross profit and net profit compared to guidance estimates [1][21] Growth Projections - **Revenue Growth**: - Targeting 15%-20% sales growth in the data center segment for full-year 2025, implying 21%-30% growth in 2H25 [2] - Revised 2025E-2030E net profit estimates increased by 7% on average due to solid data center demand and overseas expansion potential [19] - **Price Target**: Updated 12-month price target raised to Rmb35.3 from Rmb30.9, based on a higher target multiple reflecting improved growth and return profiles [19] Segment Performance - **Data Center Products**: - Sales in 1H25: Rmb1,329 million, +8% YoY - Significant order growth (>20% YoY) expected in 2Q25, with many orders scheduled for delivery in 2H25 [2] - **Energy Storage Systems (ESS)**: - Sales in 1H25: Rmb265 million, +80% YoY - Targeting to double ESS sales growth in full-year 2025 [17] - **Solar Inverters**: - Sales in 1H25: Rmb450 million, +5% YoY - Anticipated domestic demand headwinds in 2H25, but low profitability expected to limit impact on overall earnings [18] Market Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - **Overseas Markets**: Contributed approximately 55% of segment sales in 1H25, primarily driven by Southeast Asia and Europe [2] - **New Partnerships**: Collaborating with a UPS brand for potential ODM business targeting high-power UPS products for AI data centers in North America [2] - **Domestic Market**: Domestic sales accounted for about 45% of segment sales in 1H25, with key customers including Alibaba and Bytedance [20] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: - Lower-than-expected data center revenue growth - Lower-than-expected new energy revenue outlook - Lower-than-expected new energy margins [19][23] Conclusion - **Investment Rating**: Maintain Buy rating based on attractive P/E valuation and long-term growth potential [19][22] - **Future Outlook**: Positive growth outlook driven by data center demand, overseas expansion, and recovery in new energy business, with a focus on improving margins and profitability [22]

29 August 2025 | 7:04AM CST Haier Smart Home Co. (600690.SS): 2Q25 First Take: Margins and interim dividends positive surprises; Buy Haier Smart Home reported 2Q25 results post market close of Aug 28 where revenue was in-line with our estimates but profits and dividends came as positive surprises. Total revenue/net profit in 1H25 was Rmb156bn/Rmb12bn, growing by +10%/+16% yoy (on LFL basis), and implying +10%/+16% yoy in 2Q (0%/+4% vs. GSe). Operating cash flows also improved, growing by 45% yoy in 2Q25. Me ...

Summary of Gree Electric Appliances Inc. 2Q25 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Gree Electric Appliances Inc. (000651.SZ) - **Industry**: Consumer Appliances, primarily Air Conditioning (AC) Key Financial Results - **1H25 Performance**: Total revenue of Rmb 97.6 billion, net profit of Rmb 14.4 billion, representing a year-over-year change of -3% for revenue and +2% for net profit [1][2] - **2Q25 Performance**: Revenue and net profit declined by -12% and -10% year-over-year, respectively, and were -20% and -18% below Goldman Sachs estimates [1][6] - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased to Rmb 17.3 billion in 2Q25 from Rmb 8.1 billion in 2Q24 [1] Market Dynamics - **Sales Decline**: Consumer appliances sales, mainly AC, fell by 5% year-over-year in 1H25, attributed to market share losses and intensified competition, particularly in the online channel [2] - **Domestic vs. Export Sales**: Domestic sales decreased by 5% in 1H25, while exports grew by 10% year-over-year [2] - **Contractual Liabilities**: Decreased to Rmb 12.4 billion in 2Q25 from Rmb 14.1 billion in 2Q24 [2] Profitability Metrics - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Core manufacturing GPM declined by 0.9 percentage points year-over-year in 1H25, while consumer appliances GPM decreased by 0.3 percentage points [3] - **Operating Profit Margin (OPM)**: OPM fell by 0.7 percentage points to 14.1% in 1H25 and by 1.5 percentage points to 14.5% in 2Q25 [3] - **Net Profit Margin (NPM)**: NPM expanded by 0.3 percentage points to 15.2% in 2Q25, supported by non-operating items such as government subsidies [3] Investment Thesis - **Market Position**: Gree is the largest residential split AC manufacturer in China and globally [7] - **Valuation**: The company is considered to have an attractive risk/reward profile with a forward P/E of 8x and a dividend yield of 6% [7] - **Growth Outlook**: Expected to grow in line with the overall AC market, with stable margin outlook due to product mix improvement and healthy channel inventory [7] Price Target and Risks - **Target Price**: Set at Rmb 53 based on a 10x exit multiple applied to 2027E EPS [8] - **Key Risks**: 1. Disruption to white goods demand from a weaker macro and property market 2. Rising material costs, particularly for steel and copper 3. High channel inventory impacting revenue growth 4. Diversification into other home appliances potentially reducing short-term returns [9] Additional Insights - **Cash Dividend Payout**: Potential increase in cash dividend payout ratio could serve as a short-term catalyst for stock performance [7] - **Competitive Landscape**: The company faces significant competition in the domestic market, particularly in online sales channels [2] This summary encapsulates the critical financial metrics, market dynamics, investment thesis, and associated risks for Gree Electric Appliances Inc. as discussed in the conference call.

Summary of Zhejiang Dingli Co Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhejiang Dingli Co Ltd. (603338.SS) - **Industry**: Aerial Working Platforms (AWP) Key Points from the Conference Call 1. Sales Performance - **US Sales**: Stable year-over-year (flat yoy) in 1H25 despite US-China tariff escalation in April, with a temporary suspension of shipments for 1-2 months [1][6] - **EU Sales**: Relatively soft in 1H25 due to a high comparison base from the previous year, as shipments were front-loaded ahead of EU anti-dumping rulings [6] - **Emerging Markets**: Robust growth in non-US/Europe markets, with a double-digit percentage increase year-over-year in 1H25, contributing 25% to total sales [6] - **Domestic Sales**: Approximately 30% decline year-over-year in 1H25, primarily due to weak demand from large rental customers, although small-to-medium-sized customers saw a 20% increase in sales [7] 2. Profitability and Margins - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Declined by 0.8 percentage points year-over-year in 2Q25, attributed to a change in product mix and the impact of higher tariffs [8] 3. Tariff and Pricing Strategy - **Current Tariffs**: Dingli faces a 79% tariff in the US, which includes 24% anti-dumping/subsidy duties and 55% tariffs, approximately 10 percentage points higher than the previous year [10] - **Pricing Strategy**: Management indicated that they do not plan to pass on the additional tariffs this year but may negotiate prices for next year based on tariff clarity [10] 4. Market Outlook - **US Market**: Demand for AWP remains solid, with expectations of flat sales year-over-year in 2025. Current inventory levels are sufficient to support sales until year-end [10] - **EU Market**: Anticipated improvement in sales in 2H25 due to a low comparison base and ramp-up of high-end new products, with expectations for positive full-year growth [10] - **Capacity Expansion**: Plans for overseas capacity expansion are contingent on tariff changes [10] 5. Investment Thesis - **Long-term Potential**: The company is well-positioned in the under-penetrated Chinese AWP market, driven by rising labor costs, a construction worker shortage, and increasing safety awareness [13] - **Product Differentiation**: Focus on higher-ASP boom lifts and electrification technology, which provides a competitive edge [13][14] 6. Risks - **Key Risks**: Include weaker-than-expected global construction activities, intensifying competition in the AWP market, and potential escalations in US-China trade tensions that could lead to unfavorable tariffs [12] 7. Valuation - **Price Target**: The 12-month target price is set at Rmb64.0, reflecting a 10.0X 2026E DACF multiple, which is below the 3-year average due to uncertainties in global trade [11] 8. Financial Projections - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenues for 2025E are Rmb8,949.4 million, with a core EPS CAGR of approximately 15% from 2025E to 2027E [16] Additional Insights - **Market Share**: Dingli has gained market share in the EU due to favorable anti-dumping duties compared to peers [10] - **Operational Resilience**: The company has demonstrated resilience under high-tariff environments, optimizing the competitive landscape against domestic peers [14]

Summary of StarPower Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: StarPower (603290.SS) - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically focusing on SiC (Silicon Carbide) and IGBT (Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor) technologies for automotive, home appliances, and photovoltaic (PV) applications Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Net Income**: Rmb172 million, up +53% YoY and +66% QoQ, exceeding expectations by 8% compared to Goldman Sachs estimates and 23% compared to consensus [1][2] - **Revenue**: Rmb1 billion, reflecting a +40% YoY growth and +11% QoQ, aligning closely with consensus estimates [2][3] - **Gross Margin**: Decreased to 29.2% from 30.4% in the previous quarter, attributed to pricing pressures in automotive markets [1][2][3] - **Operating Expenses**: Lower than expected at Rmb139 million, down 23% QoQ, as R&D expenses normalized after new product launches [2] Future Outlook - **3Q25 Expectations**: Anticipated revenue growth of 41% YoY and a slight increase in gross margin to 30.4% as in-house SiC production ramps up [1] - **Long-term Projections**: Despite a cautious outlook on pricing pressures and competition, net income is expected to grow by 40%/30%/26% YoY from 2025 to 2027 [9] Market Dynamics - **SiC Adoption**: Management noted an increase in the adoption of SiC in vehicles, driven by mass production of new car models [4][8] - **Server Market Opportunities**: Management sees potential in the server power supply market, although current revenue contributions are minimal [13] - **PV Market**: Significant growth in PV revenues in 1H25, but a pull-forward of orders may impact demand in 2H25 [13] Risks and Challenges - **Pricing Pressure**: Ongoing pricing pressures in automotive and industrial control markets could affect margins [1][19] - **Competition**: Increased competition from matured nodes capacity expansion in China and among automotive OEMs [19][22] - **Operational Risks**: Risks associated with the pace of new design wins and product development [22][24] Valuation and Rating - **Current Stock Valuation**: Trading at 21x 2026E PE, close to the target PE multiple of 27x [1] - **Target Price**: Raised to Rmb105.9 from Rmb92.5, based on a revised 27.4x target P/E multiple for 2026E EPS [12][23] - **Investment Rating**: Maintained at Neutral due to the balance of growth potential and risks [1][19] Conclusion - StarPower is positioned for growth in the SiC and IGBT markets, particularly in automotive and clean energy applications. However, the company faces challenges from pricing pressures and competition, necessitating a cautious investment approach.

Summary of Huaqin Technology (603296.SS) Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Huaqin Technology - **Ticker**: 603296.SS - **Industry**: Technology, specifically focusing on AI servers, data centers, consumer electronics, and smart devices Key Financial Results - **2Q25 Revenue**: Rmb48.9 billion, up 111% YoY and 40% QoQ, aligning with estimates and guidance [2][6] - **Net Income**: Rmb1 billion, a 53% increase YoY and 24% increase QoQ, consistent with expectations [1][2] - **Gross Margin (GM)**: 7.1%, lower than estimates due to AI server ramp-up [2][6] - **Operating Expenses (Opex) Ratio**: Improved to 5.1% from 7.3% in 2024, reflecting better cost control [9] Business Segments and Growth Drivers Data Center Business - **AI Infrastructure Demand**: Management anticipates continued growth in AI infrastructure demand from major Chinese Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) [7] - **Investment in R&D**: Focus on AI servers with various chipset platforms and liquid-cooled AI servers to enhance competitiveness [7] Consumer Electronics - **Smartphones and PCs**: Positive outlook driven by rising ODM penetration in smartphones and market share gains in PCs [8] - **Smart Wearables and AIoT**: Expansion into smart wearables and AIoT products, including gaming gadgets and automotive electronics [8] Capital Expenditure and Operational Efficiency - **Capex**: Increased by 41% YoY to Rmb2.1 billion in 2024, with expectations for similar growth in 2025 [9] - **Opex Management**: Continued improvement in opex ratio, with revenues expected to grow faster than opex [9] Earnings Revisions and Future Outlook - **Earnings Revision**: Net income estimates for 2025-2028 raised by 1%-8% due to higher revenues and lower opex ratio [10] - **Price Target**: Revised up to Rmb124 from Rmb108, reflecting a target P/E multiple of 23.9x [12][17] Risks and Challenges - **Key Risks**: Slower-than-expected ramp-up of AI servers, production site diversification, and increased pricing competition [17] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating, reflecting confidence in Huaqin's growth trajectory driven by its expansion into data centers and AI infrastructure [1][12]

Summary of Anhui Conch Cement (0914.HK) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Anhui Conch Cement - **Stock Codes**: 0914.HK (Hong Kong), 600585.SS (Shanghai) - **Market Cap**: HK$126.8 billion / $16.3 billion - **Industry**: Basic Materials, specifically Cement Production Key Financial Highlights - **1H25 Net Profit**: Rmb4.6 billion, EPS of Rmb0.874/share, up 33% YoY [1] - **Recurring Net Profit**: Rmb5.1 billion, up 32% YoY, excluding one-offs [1] - **Interim Dividend**: Proposed Rmb0.24/share, 27% payout ratio, compared to nil in previous interims [1] - **Sales Volume**: 126 million tons of self-produced cement, flat YoY, outperforming national market decline of -4.3% [23] - **Gross Profit from Cement**: Increased by 34% YoY, driven by higher unit profit in domestic and overseas markets [23] Earnings Estimates and Projections - **2025E Recurring Earnings**: Revised down by 13% due to persistent low cement margins in China [2] - **2026E and 2027E Earnings Growth**: Expected growth of 34% and 3% respectively [2] - **Price Target**: Revised to HK$31.00 / Rmb32.00, implying a 2026E P/E of 10.4x [2] - **Free Cash Flow (FCF)**: Expected to be Rmb6.7-12.7 billion in 2025-26E, with a FCF yield of 5.5-10.5% [22] Operational Insights - **Cement Operations**: Contributed 84% of total gross profit, with improved overseas margins from pricing recovery in Uzbekistan and Cambodia [23] - **Aggregate and RMC Operations**: Gross profit above expectations, with RMC sales up 3% YoY [24] - **Cost Management**: Total SG&A better than expected due to lower administrative costs [25] - **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow increased by 21% YoY in 1H25A, with slight improvements in working capital management [26] Market and Industry Outlook - **Cement Pricing**: Expected to improve in 2026E and 2027E due to industry control on unauthorized capacity [2][38] - **Risks**: 1. Weaker-than-expected property and infrastructure demand affecting utilization and pricing [40] 2. Slower exit from unauthorized cement capacity leading to depressed prices [40] 3. Increased competition and potential new production lines affecting market share [40] 4. Rising raw material costs impacting margins [40] Valuation Metrics - **P/E Ratios**: 2025E at 11.4x, 2026E at 7.9x [13] - **P/B Ratios**: 2025E at 0.6x, 2026E at 0.6x [13] - **Dividend Yield**: Expected to be 4.3% in 2025E and 6.5% in 2026E [22] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain Buy rating on Anhui Conch Cement, with an attractive risk-reward profile based on potential margin improvements and strong cash flow generation [2][38]

Summary of Mindray's Earnings Review for 1H25 Company Overview - **Company**: Mindray (300760.SZ) - **Industry**: Medical Technology (Medtech) Device Manufacturing Key Financial Results - **1H25 Revenue**: Decreased by 18.4% year-over-year (yoy) to Rmb8,506 million, which was 7.4% lower than Goldman Sachs estimates (GSe) [1][2] - **China Revenue**: Decreased by 33.4% yoy, with a significant drop of 42.4% in 2Q25 compared to 22.4% in 1Q25 [1][2] - **Overseas Revenue**: Grew by 5.4% yoy, but only 6.3% in 2Q25, which was below expectations [1][2] - **1H25 Earnings**: Reported at Rmb5,069 million, down 33.0% yoy and 22.9% below GSe [1][16] Segment Performance - **Patient Monitoring and Life Support (PMLS)**: - Revenue decreased by 64% yoy in 2Q25 [2][6] - GPM (Gross Profit Margin) fell to 60.6% in 1H25 from 62.6% in 2024 due to price competition [17] - **Medical Imaging (MI)**: - Revenue decreased by 66% yoy in 2Q25 [2][6] - GPM decreased to 65.1% in 1H25 from 66.9% in 2024 [17] - **In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD)**: - Revenue decreased by 30% yoy in 2Q25 [2][6] - GPM fell to 59.5% in 1H25 from 62.0% in 2024 [17] Inventory and Market Dynamics - **Channel Inventory Destocking**: Accelerated in 2Q25, particularly in the PMLS segment, to mitigate inventory risks [2][9] - **Procurement Activities**: Remained strong in April to June, indicating potential recovery in demand [2] Future Guidance - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to turn positive in 3Q25, with a turning point for China revenue anticipated in the same quarter [1][2] - **Overseas Revenue Growth**: Expected to accelerate, driven by the IVD business [1][2] Long-term Strategy - **Overseas Market Expansion**: Targeting to achieve similar market share in emerging markets as in China, with a focus on recurring business [18] - **Product Focus**: Emphasis on minimally-invasive consumables and animal care products, with expected sales ramp-up for ultrasonic scalpel and stapler in 2025 [18] Valuation and Estimates - **Revised Profit Estimates**: Net profit estimates revised down by 7.7% for 2025E due to faster inventory destocking and lower GPM [19] - **Price Target**: Adjusted to Rmb296 from Rmb300, reflecting near-term estimate cuts but long-term growth expectations [20] Investment Thesis - **Market Position**: Mindray is a leading medtech device manufacturer in China, with strong growth potential in both domestic and overseas markets [22] - **Risks**: Key risks include further impacts from Value-Based Procurement (VBP), challenges in entering North American and European markets, and potential patent-related lawsuits [23] Conclusion - **Recommendation**: Maintain a Buy rating on Mindray, with expectations of recovery in procurement activities and new product launches serving as key catalysts for growth [22]

Summary of Suzhou Yinghuate Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Suzhou Yinghuate - **Industry**: Heat Pump and Compressor Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments 1. **Sales Performance**: In the first half of 2025, domestic sales in the heat pump sector slightly declined due to a slowdown in the tobacco drying business, while external sales growth was slow due to tariff fluctuations [2][3] 2. **Revenue and Profit**: For Q2 2025, Yinghuate achieved a revenue of 243 million yuan and a net profit of approximately 9.3 million yuan, marking a turnaround from previous losses [3] 3. **R&D Investment**: R&D investment increased from less than 4% to over 13%, focusing on variable frequency compressors, centrifugal compressors, and environmentally friendly refrigerants [2][6] 4. **Market Growth Projections**: - Automotive air conditioning compressors are expected to grow by about 9% in 2025 - Refrigeration and cold storage are projected to grow by about 2% - The heat pump sector is under pressure but may improve in heating and hot water applications in the second half of the year [2][4] 5. **New Product Development**: New centrifugal and scroll compressors are expected to be launched by the end of 2025 or early 2026, primarily serving the rail transit, data center, and commercial air conditioning sectors [2][7] 6. **Data Center Market**: The data center air conditioning equipment market has grown by 16.5% over the past five years, with a projected growth rate of 35% for scroll compressors in 2024 [8] 7. **Competitive Position**: Yinghuate is the first domestic brand of scroll compressors, leveraging technology, pricing, and service advantages to compete against foreign monopolies [8] 8. **Centrifugal Compressor Development**: The new centrifugal compressors include magnetic levitation technology, with samples expected to be available by the end of 2025 or early 2026 [9][10] 9. **Market Trends**: There is a trend of scroll compressors gradually replacing screw compressors in data centers, with a significant portion of the market moving towards variable frequency applications [20][23] 10. **R&D Expense Trends**: R&D expenses are currently high at 13.4% for the first half of 2025, with expectations to maintain around 10% for the full year [18][17] Additional Important Information 1. **Customer Validation**: The customer validation period for magnetic levitation compressors is approximately 3 to 6 months, with direct clients being manufacturers of air conditioning and refrigeration modules [15] 2. **Production Capacity**: The production cycle for magnetic levitation compressors is long, with potential capacity bottlenecks due to semi-automated processes [13] 3. **Sales Team Preparedness**: The sales team is already covering downstream clients, eliminating the need for additional personnel for the data center sector [26] 4. **Future R&D Directions**: Future R&D expenses may decrease after the completion of current projects, but new projects may be initiated based on market demand [17][16] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market trends, and strategic initiatives.