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液冷专题汇报:千亿级别大市场,国产龙头有望充分受益
2025-08-12 15:05
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The liquid cooling market is expected to reach a scale of over 100 billion, driven by advancements in chip technology and increasing computing power demands [1][2] - Liquid cooling technology is gradually replacing air cooling, expanding its application from GPUs to switches and large-scale overseas data centers [2] Key Points and Arguments - **Demand and Supply Dynamics**: - Profit expectations have been revised upwards, leading to changes in supply dynamics. Taiwanese manufacturers are seeking outsourcing opportunities in mainland China, reflecting an urgent demand shift [3][4] - The liquid cooling technology is projected to see rapid penetration in data centers due to lower operational costs (OPEX) and strict energy consumption policies [3][8] - **Market Performance**: - The liquid crystal sector has shown strong performance, with leading companies reaching new highs and new entrants emerging [5] - Companies providing complete product solutions, such as Invec and Shengjing Environment, are seen as having greater commercial potential compared to those offering only a full range of products [5] - **Key Players in the Domestic Liquid Crystal Industry**: - The largest and most comprehensive supplier in the domestic liquid crystal industry has clear overseas order expectations, indicating significant performance elasticity [6] - Adaptation Environment, while smaller than Invec, has potential for growth through Southeast Asian orders and gradual entry into the North American market [6] - **Future Prospects of Key Companies**: - Keke New Source is expected to enter the AV product field and has a partnership with Dongguan Zhaoke for thermal materials, with projected performance exceeding 200 million after integration [7] Additional Important Insights - **Liquid Cooling in Data Centers**: - The application of liquid cooling technology in data centers is essential due to the increasing thermal power of AI chips and the need for lower PUE values [8][9] - The global trend towards stricter energy efficiency standards is pushing the adoption of liquid cooling solutions [8] - **NVIDIA's Liquid Cooling Supply Chain**: - NVIDIA's supply chain is structured in a pyramid, with NVIDIA at the top, followed by OEM and ODM manufacturers, and specialized cooling module suppliers at the base [12] - **Market Trends in North America**: - Major North American cloud providers are accelerating the adoption of liquid cooling solutions, with companies like Meta and Google leading the way [16] - **Impact of Domestic Chip Clusters**: - The iteration of domestic chip clusters is opening new liquid cooling solutions, significantly impacting the global market [17] - **Liquid Cooling in Energy Storage**: - Liquid cooling temperature control systems are becoming mainstream in the energy storage sector, with market share expected to reach 53% by 2024 [20] - **Potential for Data Center Liquid Cooling**: - Data center liquid cooling technology is expected to see both volume and price increases, with companies like Invec and Shengjing Kecai recommended for significant growth [21]
浙商证券:海外大厂Capex上修明显 液冷市场有望加速放量
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 06:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the AI industry is experiencing a "investment-growth-reinvestment" cycle, with significant Capex increases from major overseas companies [1] - Major CSP companies reported a substantial increase in AI cloud business growth, with combined Capex from Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon reaching $96.1 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 66% [1] - The liquid cooling market is expected to grow rapidly, driven by the demand for NVIDIA GPUs and self-developed ASIC chips from major cloud providers, with projected market sizes of approximately 35.4 billion, 71.6 billion, and 108.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][7] Group 2 - Vertiv reported Q2 2025 revenue of $2.638 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35%, exceeding market expectations by 12%, driven by strong data center demand [2] - Adjusted EPS for Vertiv was $0.95, surpassing consensus estimates by 14%, with organic orders increasing by 15% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter [2] - Vertiv's revenue growth guidance for 2025 has been raised to a midpoint of 24%, up from a previous estimate of 18% [2] Group 3 - The liquid cooling penetration rate is accelerating due to the design of integrated cabinet products, with significant demand from NVIDIA's GPUs and cloud providers' ASIC chips [3] - NVIDIA's B series chips are expected to drive liquid cooling demand significantly, with projected liquid cooling values of approximately $2.282 billion, $5.5 billion, and $7.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][7] - The ASIC chip market is projected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate of 65% from 2024 to 2027, and expected liquid cooling demand of approximately $2.7 billion, $4.5 billion, and $7.4 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7]