Guan Cha Zhe Wang

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韦斯特曼:特朗普只会加速美国霸权衰落,任何外国都不应干预巴西内政
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-17 00:54
观察者网:从8月1日起,巴西将面临美国征收的50%关税。美国总统特朗普称,此举部分动机源于对前 总统博索纳罗的起诉。昨天,卢拉总统签署了一项贸易对等法,我们很快将看到细则。除此之外,巴西 还采取了哪些举措来反击或抵抗美国这种突如其来的贸易攻势? 韦斯特曼:嗯,这是个非常复杂的问题,但我认为重点不在于反击,而在于纠偏。特朗普的这些单边制 裁或措施完全不符合当前的全球秩序。 首先,我们谈论的是一个主权国家,一个拥有强大民主传统和独立自主法律体系的主权国家。我们起诉 前总统博索纳罗是因为他企图发动政变。考虑到巴西遵循的民主程序,任何外国都不应试图干预这一进 程。这是第一点。 当地时间7月6日至7日,金砖国家领导人第十七次会晤在巴西里约热内卢举行并达成了重要宣言。不久 后,对金砖国家组织耿耿于怀的美国总统特朗普宣布将对巴西加征50%的关税,自8月1日起生效。 巴西如何看待特朗普的新一轮"关税大棒"?中巴合作的发展潜力在何方?面对矛盾日益突出的世界,金 砖国家组织可以发挥怎样的作用?巴西如何发挥自身作为国际调解者角色的独特优势? 就相关话题,"北京对话"与巴西总统府国际事务特别顾问办公室主任古斯塔沃·韦斯特曼交流,带来 ...
心智观察所:美国真能推动本土稀土供应链建设吗?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-17 00:48
Group 1 - The core of the U.S. rare earth revival is centered around the Mountain Pass mine, which is the only rare earth mine in the U.S. and aims to restore the country's dominance in the industry [4] - MP Materials signed a significant agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense in July 2025, which includes a $400 million preferred stock investment, a $1 billion loan commitment, and a price guarantee for neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide at $110 per kilogram [3][5] - The 2023 Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing Production Tax Credit Act provides a tax credit of $20 per kilogram for U.S.-made magnets, which can increase to $30 if 90% of components are sourced from U.S. suppliers, aiming to create a complete rare earth supply chain [3][5] Group 2 - MP Materials has produced 45,455 tons of rare earth oxide concentrate and 1,294 tons of NdPr oxide in 2024, accounting for 15% of global supply [5] - The company aims to become the only vertically integrated rare earth magnet producer globally, covering the entire supply chain from mining to refining to magnet manufacturing [5][6] - Other companies like USA Rare Earth and Energy Fuels are also benefiting from government support and market enthusiasm, with USA Rare Earth's stock rising over 13% following MP Materials' agreement [6][7]
卖的越多、赚的更少?水井坊上半年净利润“腰斩”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 13:50
Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Shui Jing Fang Co., Ltd. is experiencing a paradox of "selling more but earning less," as indicated by its financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant declines in revenue and net profit [1][4]. Financial Performance - The company expects a revenue of 1.498 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.84% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 105 million yuan, down 56.52% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2, the company anticipates a net loss of 85 million yuan, a staggering decline of 251.24% year-on-year, with revenue of 539 million yuan, down 31.37% year-on-year [1]. Sales Volume and Market Dynamics - Despite the revenue decline, Shui Jing Fang expects a sales volume increase of 543,000 liters, a year-on-year rise of 14.54%, all from mid-to-high-end liquor [4]. - The increase in sales volume is attributed to strategic adjustments rather than merely price-driven volume growth, as the company focuses on channel management and consumer experience [4]. Industry Context - The overall liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment phase, with traditional consumption scenarios like business banquets facing ongoing pressure, leading to reduced revenue [4]. - The company's proactive measures to address market issues, such as controlling low-price dumping and streamlining distribution, reflect its commitment to maintaining brand integrity [5]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that with the easing of national policies and a potential recovery in consumption, Shui Jing Fang may see a gradual release of market potential in the second half of the year, possibly leading to a rebound and structural growth in the following year [5].
中国CEO入职不到一年离职,捷尼赛思在华“三进宫”陷入僵局
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The CEO of Genesis Motor Sales (Shanghai) Co., Ltd., Zhu Jiang, has reportedly left the company after only 10 months in the role, raising concerns about the brand's stability and performance in the Chinese market [1][4][11]. Company Background - Zhu Jiang has extensive experience in the automotive industry, having held various senior positions at BMW, Lexus, NIO, Ford, and Lucid Motors before joining Genesis [3][4]. - Genesis, originally a high-end model under Hyundai-Kia, became an independent luxury brand in 2015 and has made multiple attempts to enter the Chinese market since 2008 [4][6]. Market Performance - Genesis has struggled in the Chinese market, with sales figures from 2021 to 2024 being 367, 1457, 1558, and 1328 units respectively, which is less than 1% of Lexus's sales during the same period [6][11]. - The brand has incurred significant losses, totaling 3 billion yuan over nearly five years, with a loss of 1.2 billion yuan in the first ten months of 2023 alone [6][11]. Management Changes - Genesis has experienced frequent leadership changes, with three CEOs in less than five years, indicating instability within the company's management [6][11]. - Zhu Jiang was seen as a strategic move to strengthen local leadership, but his departure raises questions about the brand's future in China [7][11]. Strategic Initiatives - In March 2024, Genesis announced a "Brand 2.0" strategy aimed at localizing production and research, with plans to produce electric vehicles domestically within 3 to 5 years [7][10]. - The company intends to close some of its experience centers while reducing operational costs by approximately 60% [11].
月薪13万,年终奖610万?博时基金:不实,已报警
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The incident of data leakage at Bosera Asset Management Co., Ltd. has raised significant concerns in the financial industry, particularly regarding employee salary information and the implications for information security and compensation governance in the public fund sector [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Details - On July 16, news emerged about a potential data leak involving employee salary information from Bosera Fund, with details shared on GitHub, including employee IDs, names, positions, and monthly salaries [1]. - The leaked data indicated that the highest monthly salary reached 135,000 yuan, while the year-end bonus for the fixed income department showed a maximum of 6.1 million yuan and a minimum of 490,000 yuan [1]. - The salary distribution revealed that 9 employees earned less than 20,000 yuan, 39 earned between 20,000 and 50,000 yuan, 16 earned between 50,000 and 100,000 yuan, and 7 earned over 100,000 yuan [1]. Group 2: Company Response and Context - Bosera Fund has publicly stated that the leaked data does not reflect actual conditions and involves personal privacy and business secrets, and the company has reported the incident to law enforcement [3]. - The timing of the incident coincides with significant reforms in compensation management within the public fund industry, with several state-owned enterprises initiating salary reductions for high-income employees starting in 2024 [3]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced measures aimed at optimizing fund operation models and reducing performance-based compensation to better align with investor interests [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Established in July 1998, Bosera Fund is one of the first public fund managers in China, with a major shareholder being China Merchants Securities, holding 49% [3]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, Bosera Fund managed assets totaling 1.07 trillion yuan, ranking sixth in the industry, with a portfolio of 386 fund products across various categories [3].
茶咖日报|“关税大棒”挥向巴西,咖啡贸易商:伤害的是美国企业
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 12:15
7月16日,茶咖日报的主要内容有: 巴西咖啡恐大涨,贸易商抢在50%关税前加速进货 巨亨网7月16日消息,多位商品贸易商周二(15 日)表示,他们正与时间赛跑,力求在特朗普政府对巴西 商品加征50%新关税前,尽可能多将巴西咖啡运抵美国。 此前的7月9日,特朗普宣布计划自8月1日起对所有巴西输美商品加征50%惩罚性关税,而这一针对巴西 的高额关税,极有可能重创最受美国人钟爱的咖啡市场。 咖啡贸易商RGC Coffee总经理Jeff Bernstein表示,"我们加快了一些本来行程较长的货物,让它们提前 抵达美国,""但有些货我们实在加速不了。" 进口商Lucatelli Coffee执行长Steve Walter Thomas表示,"这是一种课税方式,伤害的是美国企业,不是 别人,不是巴西,也不是巴西总统。这项50%新关税对像我这样的进口商来说,是生存威胁。" 另有贸易商指出,若关税持续,全球咖啡供应链将重整:巴西咖啡将改销欧洲与亚洲,美国则将更多采 购自非洲、南美与中美洲国家。他们并坦言,这样的转向并不容易,且将增加进口商的成本。 美国全国咖啡协会(National Coffee Association)对此 ...
AI重新定义钢铁,中国宝武&宝信软件展厅亮点来了!
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 12:04
7月16日,2025WAIC中国宝武&宝信软件展厅的亮点和观众见面。亮点内容介绍如下: 在场景落地层面,钢铁行业的全链条智能变革是重头戏。从智慧高炉的实时参数优化、转炉AI炉长的 工艺自决策,到工业机器人模拟车间作业;再到供应链端 "源小宝" 智能体、"营销智能体" 带来的高效 协同,以及 "AI +碳管理" 方案助力绿色发展 —— 大家能在每个AI落地场景的实际成效中,看到AI如何 重新定义钢铁生产与管理。 支撑这些场景落地的核心,正是宝武钢铁大模型这个"垂域智能变革引擎"。作为国内首个 "全自主可 控、全体系能力、全场景应用" 的工业大模型,它构建了 "通专融合" 的垂直体系,集成语言、视觉、 预测、决策四大核心模型,覆盖钢铁全流程智能化,是制造业垂类智能升级的关键支撑。 同时,宝之云打造的智算国资云全国算力网络、工业知识图谱工场的高质量数据集,以及宝联登工业互 联网平台等工业AI底座,共同构成了坚实的技术基石,为大模型和各类智能应用提供稳定运行的保 障。 值得一提的是,我们的能力不止于钢铁行业,已经拓展到矿山、医药、轨道交通等多个领域,展现AI 技术跨行业赋能的潜力。 通过这次展会,我们希望让大家真切感 ...
美媒哀叹:特朗普攻击美高等教育,把全球领导权拱手让给中国
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 11:12
【文/观察者网 王一】美国国会参议院外交关系委员会的民主党议员们近日用一份长达91页的报告,痛 批特朗普政府的种种保护主义行径。几乎同时,《美国新闻与世界报道》新公布的全球最佳大学排名 中,中国顶尖大学的排名也有所上升。观察者网此前对两件事都进行了深度报道。 美国《时代》周刊7月16日借该报告发文称,在中美竞争日趋激烈之际,特朗普不断攻击本国高等教 育,可能会削弱美国与中国竞争的能力,还把报告中所说的"将全球领导权拱手让给中国"放进了标题。 观察者网国际时政评论员指出,特朗普的这些保护主义行径在全球范围内都遭到了广泛的批评,但因为 现在美国国内的"政治正确",美国民主党议员批评时竟还不忘搬出中国。而且,这些民主党人心中所想 的"全球领导权"实质是全球霸权,"让"出来中国也不会"收",它与中国在很多领域"做好自己的事"而实 现的全球领先不是一回事,更与中方提倡的"人类命运共同体"格格不入。但《时代》周刊对美国相关问 题的批评揭露,仍有一定的参考价值。 "美国在撤退,中国在前进" "在我们撤退之际,他们却在扩大影响力。"美参院外交关系委员会主席、民主党人珍妮·沙欣(Jeanne Shaheen)主导的报告中写道, ...
苹果5亿美元押注美国唯一稀土商
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 10:28
Core Insights - Apple has signed a $500 million agreement with MP Materials to supply rare earth magnets, reflecting strong support for the only operating rare earth mining company in the U.S. [1][2] - The U.S. government recently announced it would become the largest shareholder of MP Materials, marking a significant turnaround for the company [1][4] - The deal ensures a stable supply of rare earth magnets for Apple, which is crucial for its products, including electric vehicles and various electronic devices [2][3] Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement guarantees Apple a stable supply of rare earth magnets, with analysts noting that the cost of supporting U.S. magnet production is minimal compared to the long-term risk of losing critical component supplies [2] - Apple will prepay $200 million to MP Materials for magnet supply starting in 2027, with production taking place at MP's Texas facility using recycled magnets from California [2][3] - The deal is part of Apple's broader commitment to invest $500 billion in the U.S. over four years, which includes establishing a large AI server farm in Texas and creating approximately 20,000 R&D jobs nationwide [3] Group 2: Market Context - Rare earth elements, consisting of 17 metals, are essential for manufacturing magnets that convert electrical energy into motion, used in various applications from smartphones to military weapons [2] - MP Materials is expected to begin commercial magnet production at its Texas facility by the end of this year, which will supply magnets for a significant portion of Apple's product lines [3] - The U.S. Department of Defense has invested $400 million in MP Materials, acquiring a 15% stake and committing to purchase products at double the current market price for a duration of 10 years [4]
智能化指引中国汽车未来,2025新能源智能汽车新质发展论坛召开
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-16 10:06
Core Insights - The 2025 New Energy Intelligent Vehicle Development Forum emphasized the importance of intelligentization as a new productive force in the automotive industry, focusing on safety and efficiency innovations [1][3]. Industry Trends - The Chinese automotive industry is expected to accelerate the adoption of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and cultivate a culture of intelligent driving, aiming for L3 and higher levels of automation by 2030 [3]. - The cost structure of vehicles is projected to shift significantly, with mechanical components decreasing from 70% to below 30%, while electronics and software will account for 70% of vehicle costs [3]. Company Strategies - Companies like Jianghuai Automobile and Lantu are focusing on high-quality development and technological innovation to break free from low-level competition [5][7]. - The collaboration between Jianghuai Automobile and Huawei since 2019 has led to deep integration across the entire value chain, exemplified by the launch of the "Respect" brand [7]. Technological Innovations - The integration of AI in vehicle systems is becoming standard, with challenges in hardware-software separation being highlighted by industry leaders [7]. - Great Wall Motors introduced an end-to-end driving assistance model that emphasizes safety through a combination of data-driven approaches and safety protocols [7]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The automotive supply chain is undergoing a transformation, with more chip manufacturers involved in early-stage vehicle design to meet rapid iteration and quality demands [10]. - The software supply chain in China has matured, enabling quick adaptation to chip and electronic architectures [10]. Academic Contributions - Experts from universities are proposing innovative ideas in key areas such as intelligent driving safety and electric drive systems, contributing to the industry's development [11][13]. - The concept of "cognitive-driven" technology is being introduced to enhance the safety and decision-making capabilities of intelligent vehicles [11].