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证券行业周报:或随大势起舞,以配置为主
Shengang Securities· 2025-04-23 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities industry [6] Core Insights - The first quarter of the national economy shows a good start, with GDP reaching 318,758 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2% [11][16] - The securities industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index last week, with a slight increase in individual stock prices, indicating a market trend that may follow broader market movements without significant catalysts in the short term [4][28] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of April 14-18, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.59%, while the securities industry index increased by only 0.07%. Among the 49 stocks in the sector, 30 rose, 2 remained flat, and 17 declined [2][17] Securities Sector Performance - The top five stocks by price change were Tianfeng Securities, Huahuan Securities, Dongwu Securities, Dongfang Securities, and Guoxin Securities. The bottom five were Guolian Minsheng, Xiangcai Shares, Shouchuang Securities, Xinda Securities, and CITIC Securities [3][19] Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the securities industry may follow the overall market trend in the short term, with a focus on allocation due to the lack of clear catalysts [4][28] Industry Fundamentals - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the securities industry is 21.87, compared to the market average of 12.26, indicating a higher valuation in the sector [7][30]
证券行业周报:或随大势起舞,以配置为主-20250423
Shengang Securities· 2025-04-23 07:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities industry [6] Core Views - The first quarter of the national economy shows a good start, with GDP reaching 318,758 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2% [1][11] - The securities industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index last week, but more than half of the stocks in the sector saw price increases [4][28] - The report suggests that the securities industry may follow the broader market trends in the short term, with a focus on allocation due to the lack of significant catalysts [4][28] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of April 14-18, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.59%, while the securities industry index increased by only 0.07%. Within the sector, 30 stocks rose, 2 remained flat, and 17 declined [2][17] Securities Sector Performance - The top five stocks by price increase were Tianfeng Securities, Huahuan Securities, Dongwu Securities, Dongfang Securities, and Guoxin Securities. The bottom five were Guolian Minsheng, Xiangcai Shares, Shouchuang Securities, Xinda Securities, and CITIC Securities [3][19] Investment Strategy - The report indicates that the securities industry index's performance lagged behind the CSI 300 index, suggesting a strategy focused on allocation in the absence of clear short-term catalysts [4][28] Industry Fundamentals - The industry consists of 49 stocks, with an average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.87, compared to the market average P/E ratio of 12.26 [7][30]
策略周报:高位或持续震荡
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-26 03:04
高位或持续震荡 ——申港证券策略周报 投资摘要: 投资策略: -16% -8% 0% 8% 16% 24% 2024-03 2024-06 2024-09 2024-12 2025-03 上证指数 沪深300 资料来源: wind ,申港证券研究所 相关报告 上周跟踪的市场五大指数全面收跌,融资余额却有所增加,周成交量无论是成 交数量还是成交金额连续三周有所下降。从周度上来看,上涨家数大幅度减少, 而下跌家数大幅度增加。我们认为后市高位震荡或将持续。 风险提示:市场波动风险、政策风险。 2025 年 3 月 24 日 | 徐广福 分析师 | | --- | | SAC 执业证书编号:S1660524030001 | 大盘基本资料 | 股票家数 | 5409 | | --- | --- | | 大盘平均市盈率 | 12.54 | 大盘表现走势图 1、《进入"两会"时间:申港证券策略周 报》2025-03-04 2、《注意业绩的影响:申港证券策略周报》 2025-02-24 3、《或有调整:申港证券策略周报》2025- 02-18 4、《市场有所回暖:申港证券策略周报》 2025-02-11 5、《节前交易或趋于 ...
汽车行业研究周报:比亚迪发布超级e平台,开启油电同速
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-26 02:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive sector [6] Core Insights - BYD has launched the groundbreaking Super e platform, featuring innovations such as a fast-charging battery, a 30,000 RPM motor, and a new generation of automotive-grade silicon carbide power chips, marking multiple global records [1][15] - The Super e platform aims to achieve "oil-electric synchronization" by enabling ultra-high voltage and ultra-large current charging [2][16] - The platform includes the world's first mass-produced 30,000 RPM motor, which significantly enhances vehicle speed while reducing motor weight and size [3][17] - BYD's self-developed liquid-cooled megawatt fast-charging terminal system can output up to 1,360 kW, with plans to build over 4,000 megawatt charging stations nationwide [3][17] - The pre-sale prices for the first models on the Super e platform, Han L and Tang L, are set between 270,000 to 350,000 CNY and 280,000 to 360,000 CNY respectively, with an official launch scheduled for April [3][17] Investment Strategy and Focus - The report suggests focusing on undervalued leading automakers and parts manufacturers due to performance improvements, as well as high-quality core targets in the new energy and intelligent sectors [4][18] - Recommended companies include BYD, Changan Automobile, Geely Automobile, and Li Auto in the new energy sector, along with stable, undervalued parts leaders like Huayu Automotive and Fuyao Glass [4][21] - The report highlights the potential benefits from domestic substitution opportunities and the positive impact of strong automakers on core components [4][21] Weekly Focus Portfolio - The report emphasizes a focus portfolio consisting of BYD (20%), Li Auto (20%), Top Group (20%), Desay SV (20%), and Shangsheng Electronics (20%) [5][20] Market Review - The automotive sector experienced a weekly decline of 0.75%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and other major indices [20][23] - The report notes that the automotive industry is expected to rebound as economic conditions normalize and stimulus policies take effect, with production and sales likely to continue rising [18]
电力设备行业研究周报:电网工程完成投资高增
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-26 02:47
电网工程完成投资高增 ——电力设备行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:电网工程完成投资高增 近期,国家能源局发布了今年 1-2 月份全国电力工业统计数据。 风电装机情况:今年 1~2 月,全国风电装机量为 9.14 GW,同比增加 1%。截至 2 月底,全国风电累计装机量约为 529.8 GW。 光伏发电装机情况:今年 1~2 月,全国光伏装机量 39.56 GW,同比增长 3%。 截至 2 月底,全国光伏累计装机量约为 926.22 GW。 发电装机结构:截至今年 2 月底,火电装机容量占比最高,达 43%,是电力安全 保障的"压舱石";光伏、风力发电装机容量占比分别为 27%、16%。 全社会用电量:今年 1~2 月,全社会用电量累计 15564 亿千瓦时,同比增长 1.3%,其中规模以上工业发电量为 14921 亿千瓦时。从分产业用电看,第一产 业用电量 208 亿千瓦时,同比增长 8.2%;第二产业用电量 9636 亿千瓦时,同 比增长 0.9%;第三产业用电量 2980 亿千瓦时,同比增长 3.6%;城乡居民生活 用电量 2740 亿千瓦时,同比增长 0.1%。 电网工程完成投资高增:根据国家能源局 ...
食品饮料行业研究周报:提振消费政策持续加码,大众品修复机会凸显
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-23 04:46
行 业 研 究 提振消费政策持续加码 大众品修复机会 凸显 ——食品饮料行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:提振消费政策持续加码 大众品修复机会凸显 安井食品拟收购鼎味泰 70%股权进入冷冻烘焙赛道,建议关注奶业周期和餐 饮供应链修复机会。根据安井食品公众号,公司拟收购鼎味泰 70%股权,鼎 味泰主营高端速冻关东煮产品和速冻火锅料产品,且拥有软欧包、贝果、吐司、 司康和德式硬面包等冷冻烘焙产品,冷冻烘焙产品已进入瑞幸咖啡、奥乐齐等 渠道。我们认为,公司本次并购可切入冷冻烘焙市场且实现渠道、品牌及产品 的互补,有利于公司继续打开增长空间、增厚公司盈利。根据荷斯坦 HOLSTEINFARMER 消息,2024 年中国原奶产量首次出现负增长,同比减产 118 万吨、降幅 2.8%,8 个百万吨主产地区奶牛存栏 251 万头、比 2023 年减 少 4 万头,未来 3-5 年主产地区牛奶产量和奶牛存栏预计将继续下降。奶业产 能去化,叠加近期育儿补贴等需求端政策刺激,有望带动原奶周期加速见底, 建议关注奶业周期和政策提振对乳品板块行情的催化。速冻和调味品企业在宏 观政策提振下,有望跟随餐饮业和服务消费的复苏,迎来渠道补 ...
电子行业研究周报:半导体并购整合加速 存储厂商跟进涨价
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-23 04:29
行 业 研 究 半导体并购整合加速 存储厂商跟进涨价 ——电子行业研究周报 存储涨价获行业企业持续跟进,有望推动存储价格迎来上涨周期。根据财联社 报道,继闪迪此前通知 4 月 1 日将上调 NAND 闪存报价后,由于存储原厂减 产和生产节奏影响,NAND 供货吃紧,美光、三星电子、SK 海力士等厂商均 将从 4 月起提高 NAND 闪存报价,NAND 价格回涨速度高于原先预期。根据 闪存市场数据,从容量上看,2025 年 NAND Flash 和 DRAM bit 容量需求较 2024 年分别增长 12%和 15%。我们认为,除 AI 带来的算力服务器这一核心 市场增长驱动因素外,技术进步和原厂聚焦先进产能带来的升级产品如 QLC 和 LPDDR、DDR5 等也有望迎来放量增长,带动存储行业价值提升。随着存 储上游控产、库存消化,以及 AI 应用扩大带来企业数据中心 eSSD、大模型 本地部署和终端换机等新增需求,行业供需关系或将逐步改善,存储价格和需 求有望逐步回升。建议关注佰维存储、澜起科技、德明利、江波龙等存储模组 公司,兆易创新、北京君正、普冉股份、东芯股份、澜起科技、聚辰股份等端 侧存储和芯片设计企 ...
策略周报:创年内新高
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-20 02:02
创年内新高 ——申港证券策略周报 投资摘要: 2025 年 3 月 17 日 | 徐广福 分析师 | | --- | | SAC 执业证书编号:S1660524030001 | 大盘基本资料 | 股票家数 | 5406 | | --- | --- | | 大盘平均市盈率 | 12.82 | 大盘表现走势图 -16% -8% 0% 8% 16% 24% 2024-03 2024-06 2024-09 2024-12 2025-03 上证指数 沪深300 资料来源: wind ,申港证券研究所 相关报告 投资策略: 上周跟踪的市场五大指数全面收涨,市场情绪维持相对高位,但成交量相对前 一周来说无论是成交数量还是成交金额都有所下降,属于缩量上涨。从周度上 来看,上涨家数有所减少,而下跌家数增加。我们认为短期市场创出年内新高 之后,后市高位震荡概率或大增,建议仓位适度。 风险提示:市场波动风险、政策风险。 1、《进入"两会"时间:申港证券策略周 报》2025-03-04 2、《注意业绩的影响:申港证券策略周报》 2025-02-24 3、《或有调整:申港证券策略周报》2025- 02-18 4、《市场有所回暖:申港证 ...
汽车行业研究周报:2月新能源汽车表现亮眼
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-20 02:00
2 月新能源汽车表现亮眼 ——汽车行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:2 月新能源汽车表现亮眼 行 业 研 究 2025 年 2 月全国汽车销量、库存情况等数据公布,车企新车型持续发布,居民购 车需求持续释放,汽车市场热度延续,市场表现持续向好。新能源汽车销量增速 依然保持较高水平。伴随各项刺激政策效果不断显现,汽车销量有望继续攀升。 总体销量:2 月汽车销量为 212.9 万辆,同比增加 34.4%。今年 1-2 月,汽车累 计销量为 455.2 万辆,同比增长 13.1%。 库存情况:2 月汽车经销商综合库存系数为 1.6,同比减少 7.5%,环比增加 15%。 同期经销商库存预警指数为 56.9,同比减少 7.2,环比减少 5.4,汽车库存基本稳 定。 新能源车:2 月,我国新能源汽车销量为 89.2 万辆,同比增长 87.1%,渗透率达 41.9%。2025 年 1-2 月,新能源汽车销量为 183.5 万辆,同比增长 52%,渗透率 为 40.3%。 本周投资策略及重点关注: 汽车板块应关注低估值的整车和零部件龙头企业因业绩改善带来的机会,新能源 电动化和智能化的优质赛道核心标的。因此我们建议关注: ...
电力设备行业研究周报:2月动力电池装车量稳步增长
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-20 02:00
2 月动力电池装车量稳步增长 ——电力设备行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:2 月动力电池装车量稳步增长 新能源汽车销量稳定增长。2025 年 2 月,我国新能源汽车销量为 89.2 万辆,同 比增长 87%,渗透率为 41.9%。2025 年 1-2 月,新能源汽车销量为 183.5 万辆, 同比增长 51.98%,渗透率为 40.3%。随着各大厂家加速向新能源转型,我们对 2025 年新能源车市场的发展保持积极乐观的态度。 装车增速依然可观。2 月,我国动力电池装车量 34.9GWh,同比增长 94%。2025 年 1-2 月,我国动力电池累计装车量 74GWh,同比增长 47%,增速依然可观, 维持较高水平。 磷酸铁锂动力电池装车量同比高增长。2 月,我国磷酸铁锂动力电池装车量 28.4 GWh,占总装车量 81%,同比增长 158%;三元动力电池装车量 6.4 GWh,占 总装车量 18%,同比减少 7.2%。2025 年 1-2 月,国内磷酸铁锂动力电池装车量 58.6 GWh,占总装车量 80%,同比增长 91%;三元电池装车量 14.9 GWh,占 总装车量 20%,同比减少 24%。 比亚迪 ...