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汽车行业研究周报:吉利发布高阶智驾系统,问界m2和M92025款预售-2025-03-11
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-11 08:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry [2] Core Insights - Geely has launched the "Qianli Haohan" advanced intelligent driving system, which covers various models under its brand, aiming to enhance the driving experience across the country [1][10] - The "Qianli Haohan" system includes five versions (H1, H3, H5, H7, H9), with the H9 version featuring a fully redundant L3 level architecture for comprehensive driving scenarios [5][10] - The pre-sale prices for the 2025 models of the AITO M8 and M9 are set at 368,000 yuan and 478,000 yuan respectively, with the M9 model achieving significant sales milestones in the luxury segment [5][12] Investment Strategy and Key Focus - The report suggests focusing on undervalued leading companies in the vehicle and parts sectors due to performance improvements, as well as core targets in the new energy and intelligent vehicle sectors [6][11] - Recommended companies include BYD, Li Auto, and Top Group, each with a 20% weight in the investment focus [14] - The automotive sector is expected to rebound as economic conditions normalize and stimulus policies take effect, with production and sales likely to continue rising [11][13] Market Review - The automotive sector experienced a weekly increase of 3.08%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.39% [7][14] - In the sub-sectors, automotive services and parts saw notable weekly gains of 2.21% and 5.00% respectively [7][14]
汽车行业研究周报:吉利发布高阶智驾系统,问界M8和M9 2025款预售
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-11 08:25
行 业 研 究 吉利发布高阶智驾系统 问界 M8 和 M9 2025 款预售 ——汽车行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:吉利发布高阶智驾系统 问界 M8 和 M9 2025 款预售 据中国证券报消息,近期,吉利汽车集团举办吉利 AI 智能科技发布会,正式发布 了"千里浩瀚"安全高阶智能驾驶系统。 吉利控股集团首席智驾科学家陈奇在发布会上表示,"千里浩瀚"安全高阶智能 驾驶系统,覆盖吉利控股集团旗下各品牌车型,实现全国都能开的智驾体验。 | 评级 | 增持(维持) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 年 2025 03 | 月 | 10 | 日 | | 刘宁 分析师 | | --- | | SAC 执业证书编号:S1660524090001 | 行业表现走势图 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2024-03 2024-06 2024-09 2024-12 2025-03 汽车 沪深300 资料来源: Wind ,申港证券研究所 "千里浩瀚"安全高阶智驾系统分为 H1、H3、H5、H7、H9 五个版本,覆盖从 基础辅助到全场景高阶自动 ...
食品饮料行业研究周报:消费预期有望逐步回升,关注大众品修复机会-2025-03-06
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-06 05:17
行 业 研 究 投资摘要: 每周一谈:消费预期有望逐步回升 关注大众品修复机会 消费预期有望逐步回升,白酒龙头厂家主动调整增长节奏。上周食品饮料指数 涨幅居前,在近期市场整体回升背景下,低估值的顺周期板块有望逐步受到市 场重视。政策把提振消费摆到更加突出位置,我们认为后续宏观增量政策空间 或主要在于促消费领域,食品饮料各子行业需求改善可期。根据 21 世纪经济 报道消息,房地产市场有所复苏,春节后重点一二线城市的供应量、看房量、 交易量等在快速回升,部分城市房价有所提升。同时,宏观经济指标中社零和 CPI 等有望提振,或将带动消费板块投资情绪回升。 消费预期有望逐步回升 关注大众品修复 部分酒企核心大单品前期相继宣布停货、控货,我们认为酒企控货动作或逐步 推动批价企稳回升。目前白酒行业价格及库存压力仍存,旺季短期上量后渠道 仍将处于去库存周期中,龙头厂家主动调整增长节奏,年内报表压力或逐季度 得到释放。分场景看,宴席和商务场景在 2025 年的回补有望带动各价位带全 国化代表品牌、地产酒和大众价位的出货。白酒板块建议从场景承接、区域格 局优化、渠道率先出清、分红率提升角度寻找白酒投资标的,关注徽酒苏酒等 地产 ...
食品饮料行业研究周报:消费预期有望逐步回升,关注大众品修复机会
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-06 04:43
行 业 研 究 消费预期有望逐步回升 关注大众品修复 ——食品饮料行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:消费预期有望逐步回升 关注大众品修复机会 消费预期有望逐步回升,白酒龙头厂家主动调整增长节奏。上周食品饮料指数 涨幅居前,在近期市场整体回升背景下,低估值的顺周期板块有望逐步受到市 场重视。政策把提振消费摆到更加突出位置,我们认为后续宏观增量政策空间 或主要在于促消费领域,食品饮料各子行业需求改善可期。根据 21 世纪经济 报道消息,房地产市场有所复苏,春节后重点一二线城市的供应量、看房量、 交易量等在快速回升,部分城市房价有所提升。同时,宏观经济指标中社零和 CPI 等有望提振,或将带动消费板块投资情绪回升。 部分酒企核心大单品前期相继宣布停货、控货,我们认为酒企控货动作或逐步 推动批价企稳回升。目前白酒行业价格及库存压力仍存,旺季短期上量后渠道 仍将处于去库存周期中,龙头厂家主动调整增长节奏,年内报表压力或逐季度 得到释放。分场景看,宴席和商务场景在 2025 年的回补有望带动各价位带全 国化代表品牌、地产酒和大众价位的出货。白酒板块建议从场景承接、区域格 局优化、渠道率先出清、分红率提升角度寻找白酒投资 ...
汽车行业研究周报:特斯拉智驾升级,小米SU7 Ultra发布
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-05 10:53
特斯拉智驾升级 小米 SU7 Ultra 发布 ——汽车行业研究周报 投资摘要: 每周一谈:特斯拉智驾升级 小米 SU7 Ultra 发布 据第一财经消息,2 月 25 日,特斯拉官方推送软件更新消息,称 2024.45.32.12 已开始分批次推送,本次软件更新主要升级内容包括城市道路 Autopilot 自动辅助 驾驶(优化现有 NOA 自动辅助导航驾驶功能)。 特斯拉方面表示,此项软件更新支持车辆在通行受控道路(道路使用者通过匝道 入口和匝道出口进出的主干道)和城市道路上使用 Autopilot 自动辅助驾驶,车辆 会根据导航路线引导车辆驶出匝道和交叉口,在路口识别交通信号灯进行直行, 左转,右转,掉头等动作。并根据速度和路线自动进行变道动作。在不设置导航 路线时,会根据道路实际情况选择最优道路行驶。 今年以来,中国汽车行业的"智驾大赛"竞争态势升级,各大车企纷纷加大在高 阶智能驾驶领域的投入和普及,以比亚迪喊出"全民智驾"口号以及宣布全系车 型将搭载"天神之眼"高阶智驾系统为标志性事件,此后长安汽车、岚图汽车、 零跑汽车等车企纷纷跟上。 2 月 27 日,小米 SU7 Ultra 正式发布,定价 52 ...
电子行业研究周报:英伟达发布季报,存储供需有望好转
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-05 10:53
英伟达发布季报 存储供需有望好转 ——电子行业研究周报 投资摘要: TrendForce 集邦咨询调查显示,2024Q4 因 PC、智能手机等消费性电子产品 厂商持续去化库存,供应链大幅调整采购订单,造成 NAND Flash 价格反转向 下,平均销售价格季减 4%。2025Q1 尽管供应商已开始积极减产,仍难以避 免传统淡季效应,包括 Server 等各项终端产品备货速度已放缓,预估在订单 量、合约价皆大幅衰退的情况下,2025Q1 NAND Flash 整体产业营收可能季 减高达 20%。 根据芯智讯消息,截至 2 月 28 日,通用 NAND Flash 产品(128Gb 16Gx8 MLC)的平均固定交易价格上涨至 2.29 美元,环比上涨 5.29%。得益于 NAND Flash 大厂的减产,以及中国大陆的消费补贴政策刺激了智能手机的销售,导 致 NAND Flash 库存的降低,价格已出现回暖迹象。 TrendForce 集邦咨询认为,NAND Flash 市场供需结构将有望在下半年显著 改善,包含原厂减产、智能手机库存去化、AI 及 DeepSeek 效应等因素将推 升 NAND Flash 需 ...
电子行业研究周报:英伟达发布季报,存储供需有望好转-2025-03-05
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-05 09:21
Market Overview - The electronic industry index of Shenwan fell by 4.87% last week (2.24-2.28), ranking 28th among 31 industries, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.64% [1][13] - In February (2.1-2.28), the electronic industry index rose by 8.31%, ranking 4th among 31 industries, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.39% [1][13] - Year-to-date (1.1-2.28), the electronic industry index increased by 8.02%, ranking 4th among 31 industries, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 9.16% [1][13] Nvidia Quarterly Report - Nvidia reported Q4 FY2025 revenue of $39.3 billion, a 78% year-over-year increase, with data center revenue at $35.6 billion, up 93% year-over-year [2][33] - The company delivered $11 billion worth of Blackwell chips, with net profit reaching $22.09 billion, a growth of 80% year-over-year [2][33] - For Q1 FY2026, Nvidia expects revenue in the range of $43 billion, indicating strong demand for AI chips, although gross margin is projected to drop to 71% due to increased Blackwell chip production [2][33] Storage Market Outlook - The storage supply-demand situation is gradually improving, with NAND Flash prices expected to rebound in the second half of the year, while DRAM prices may improve quarter by quarter [2][34] - In Q4 2024, the global NAND Flash market size is expected to decrease by 8.5% to $17.41 billion, while the DRAM market size is projected to grow by 13.5% to $29.345 billion [2][34] - The overall global storage market size is anticipated to grow by 4.2% to $46.755 billion in Q4 2024 [2][34] NAND Flash Price Trends - TrendForce indicates that NAND Flash prices may decline by 5% in Q2 2025 but could rebound by 10-15% in Q3 2025 and continue to grow by 8-13% in Q4 2025 [4][37] - As of February 28, the average trading price for general NAND Flash products rose to $2.29, a 5.29% increase month-over-month, attributed to production cuts by major manufacturers and consumer subsidies in China [3][36] DRAM Market Insights - The average trading price for general DRAM products remained stable at $1.35 as of February 28, with expectations of a slight decline of 3-5% in consumer-grade DRAM prices in Q1 2025 [5][38] - High-density DRAM demand is expected to surge due to AI servers, HPC, and autonomous vehicles, with price increases projected for HBM DRAM in Q2 and consumer electronics in Q3 [5][38] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on storage module companies such as Baiwei Storage, Lanke Technology, and Demingli, as well as chip design firms like Zhaoyi Innovation and Beijing Junzheng, due to anticipated improvements in storage prices and demand [6][39]
策略周报:进入“两会”时间
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-05 03:49
进入"两会"时间 ——申港证券策略周报 投资摘要: 投资策略: 上周跟踪的市场五大指数全面收跌,随着进入 3 月份市场也来到了"两会"时 间,我们建议短期多关注"两会"相关主题,做好投资研究,减少操作频率。 风险提示:市场波动风险、政策风险。 1、《或有调整:申港证券策略周报》2025- 02-18 2、《市场有所回暖:申港证券策略周报》 2025-02-11 3、《节前交易或趋于平稳:申港证券策略 周报》2025-01-22 4、《关注业绩支撑:申港证券策略周报》 2025-01-20 2025 年 3 月 3 日 | 徐广福 分析师 | | --- | | SAC 执业证书编号:S1660524030001 | 大盘基本资料 | 股票家数 | 5404 | | --- | --- | | 大盘平均市盈率 | 12.55 | 大盘表现走势图 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-02 2024-05 2024-08 2024-11 2025-02 上证指数 沪深300 资料来源: wind ,申港证券研究所 相关报告 策 略 研 究 5、《弱势格局或将延续:申港证券策略周 报》2025 ...
申港证券策略周报:进入“两会”时间-2025-03-05
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-05 03:24
Investment Strategy - The report indicates that all five major indices tracked last week experienced declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.72% and the ChiNext Index dropping by 4.87% as the market enters the "Two Sessions" period in March. It suggests focusing on "Two Sessions" related themes and reducing trading frequency in the short term [2][21]. Market Overview - Last week's performance of major indices was as follows: CSI 300 decreased by 2.22%, Shanghai Composite Index by 1.72%, Shenzhen Component Index by 3.46%, ChiNext Index by 4.87%, and CSI 500 by 3.26% [10][12]. - Among the 31 first-level industry indices tracked, 8 indices rose while 23 indices fell. The top five performing industries were steel, real estate, food and beverage, building materials, and textiles, while the bottom five were telecommunications, media, computers, electronics, and defense [11][12]. Trading Data - The total trading volume last week was 7,154.81 million shares, with a total transaction value of 99,579.30 billion yuan. There were 1,727 stocks that rose and 3,589 that fell [12][13]. - As of the end of last week, 24 stocks reached historical highs, while none reached historical lows. The number of stocks reaching new highs over 30, 60, and 120 days were 626, 447, and 137 respectively, while the new lows were 555, 80, and 56 respectively [15][16]. Margin Trading Data - Margin trading data indicates that the weekly financing balance increased by approximately 12.7 billion yuan, while the weekly margin balance decreased by 0.2 billion yuan [16].
电力设备行业研究周报:光伏组件涨价,上游产品价格有望随之上行
Shengang Securities· 2025-03-04 08:47
投资摘要: 行 每周一谈:光伏组件涨价 上游产品价格有望随之上行 据第一财经消息,近日,隆基、晶澳、天合等一线光伏企业上调组件价格,涨价 的原因可以归结为: 此外,2 月 25 日,市场监管总局召开部分企业公平竞争座谈会,总局党组成员、 副局长孟扬主持会议,与天合光能、晶澳科技、隆基绿能等企业有关负责人围绕 整治"内卷式"竞争进行深入交流,听取意见建议。 参会企业结合实际,介绍面临的市场环境、竞争状况和存在的困难,并从反垄断 反不正当竞争、公平竞争审查、企业合规指导等方面提出具体建议。孟扬向参会 企业介绍了总局整治"内卷式"竞争、维护公平竞争市场秩序有关工作情况。 我们认为,在政策导向、行业自律、成本压力、供需格局等因素影响下,随着产 业链下游组件涨价,产业链上游硅片、硅料等也有望随之涨价,产业链企业盈利 情况有望迎来好转。 投资策略: 国内不断出台相关政策,助力淘汰落后产能、防止供给端"无序扩张",光伏行业 有望加速筑底。随着技术进步,颗粒硅应用规模有望扩大,带动多晶硅成本下降。 硅片/电池片/组件成本将降低,盈利空间有望修复及扩展。建议关注一体化龙头: 隆基绿能,以及 BC 电池技术与产能方面布局较为领先 ...