头豹市场研究| 2025/04 www.leadleo.com 2025年全球黄金消费洞察：变局、趋 势与机遇 2025 Global Gold Consumption Insights 2025年世界の金消費インサイト 近年来，全球黄金消费市场呈现出新的发展态势。2024年，全球黄金消费量需求同比增长 1.4%（不包含场外交易和其他需求），新兴市场尤其是亚太地区的消费增长显著。随着全球经济不 确定性上升和通胀压力持续，黄金作为避险资产的价值进一步凸显，投资需求持续攀升。然而，面 对地缘政治风险加剧和各国货币政策调整，黄金市场仍存在较大波动性。如何在复杂多变的国际环 境中把握投资机遇？是实物黄金还是黄金衍生品更具投资价值？ 本报告主要聚焦全球黄金消费市场现状，深入分析黄金供需格局，探讨了各类投资者的配置策 略与风险管理，并对黄金市场的持续发展进行了系统研究，同时对未来价格走势及投资机会做出预 判。 ✓ 全球黄金供给格局：稳定可控的多元化供应体系 全球黄金供应呈现多元化特征，2024年储采比达19.4年，显示资源储量充足。地上存量21.6万吨， 金矿产量3,661吨，年均增长2.0%但与金价关联度较低。在高金价 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the liquid cooling connector industry. Core Insights - The Chinese liquid cooling connector market is projected to grow significantly from 25.2 billion RMB in 2022 to 185.04 billion RMB by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25.5% [9][10]. - The revenue from China Aviation Optical-Electrical Technology Co., Ltd. (中航光电) in liquid cooling connectors is expected to increase from 3.53 billion RMB in 2022 to 37.01 billion RMB by 2029, indicating a strong growth trajectory [10][21]. - The market share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical in the liquid cooling connector segment is anticipated to rise from 14% in 2022 to 20% by 2029 [10][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Size Overview - The Chinese liquid cooling connector market is estimated to reach 36.15 billion RMB in 2023 and 50.11 billion RMB in 2024, continuing to grow each year [9][10]. 2. Revenue from China Aviation Optical-Electrical - The revenue from liquid cooling solutions and other products for China Aviation Optical-Electrical is projected to grow from 11.76 billion RMB in 2022 to 60.67 billion RMB by 2029 [12][23]. 3. Revenue Share of Liquid Cooling Connectors - The revenue share of liquid cooling connectors within China Aviation Optical-Electrical's total revenue is expected to increase from 30% in 2022 to 61% by 2029 [17][24]. 4. Market Share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical - The market share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical in the liquid cooling connector market is projected to grow from 14% in 2022 to 20% by 2029 [26].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the semiconductor advanced packaging industry Core Insights - Advanced packaging technology is a critical link between chip design and application, significantly enhancing chip performance and reducing power consumption while alleviating constraints in high-end chip manufacturing processes. The Chinese government places high importance on the development of the semiconductor industry, implementing various policies to support independent innovation and technological breakthroughs, making research into China's semiconductor advanced packaging industry particularly significant [2] Summary by Sections Overview of the Semiconductor Packaging Industry - Packaging is a core process in semiconductor manufacturing, involving the placement, fixation, sealing of chips, and connecting chip contacts to the packaging shell [14][18] - The four core functions of packaging include physical protection, mechanical support, electrical connection, and thermal management [17] Development of Packaging Technology - The development of semiconductor packaging technology can be divided into four stages, with the current global packaging technology being in the advanced packaging stage [19][21] - The core goals of packaging technology evolution include miniaturization, improved electrical performance, enhanced thermal management, and cost reduction [21] Market Analysis - The Chinese semiconductor packaging market is expected to reach 355.19 billion yuan by 2025, with advanced packaging accounting for 32% of the market [45][47] - The global packaging testing market is projected to grow from $51 billion in 2016 to $72.27 billion by 2025, with advanced packaging expected to capture half of the market share [47] Advanced Packaging Manufacturers Overview - Global advanced packaging market participants include IDM, Foundry, and OSAT manufacturers, with leading companies adopting a "large platform + technology branch" architecture covering various advanced packaging technologies [51] - Major OSAT manufacturers in mainland China have formed industrial capabilities in advanced packaging through independent research and mergers, covering a wide range of applications from consumer electronics to AI chips [7]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong growth potential for the humanoid robot tendon materials market, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 127% from 2024 to 2030, reaching approximately 757 million yuan by 2030 [4][8]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot tendon materials market is driven by the rapid development of humanoid robot technology, particularly the demand for high-performance materials like ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) fibers, which are favored for their high strength and lightweight properties [4][5]. - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of humanoid robots and related materials through various policies, which is expected to further stimulate market growth [4]. - The market is currently in its early stages, with less than 1% application of tendon materials in humanoid robots, indicating significant growth potential as the industry matures [10]. Market Overview - The market size for humanoid robot tendon materials in China was approximately 5.52 million yuan in 2024, with expectations to grow to 757 million yuan by 2030, reflecting a doubling trend [4][8]. - The supply chain includes key materials such as UHMWPE fibers and steel wire ropes, with a significant production capacity established in China, accounting for 66% of global UHMWPE fiber production [4][9]. - The demand for tendon materials is expected to increase as more humanoid robots are produced, particularly as manufacturers seek to enhance the performance of robotic hands [10]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is characterized by a tiered structure, with leading companies like Jiuzhou Star and others holding significant market shares due to advanced production technologies and strong brand recognition [11][18]. - The report identifies ten key brands in the market, including Nanshan Zhishang, Yizheng Chemical Fiber, and Jiuzhou Star, which are evaluated based on capacity, technology innovation, product performance, financial stability, policy compliance, and brand influence [11][20]. - The market for UHMWPE fibers is dominated by a few key players, with Jiuzhou Star leading in production capacity at 32,000 tons per year, followed by other notable companies [18][25]. Development Trends - The report highlights ongoing trends in technology and process optimization, including the development of modified UHMWPE fiber varieties and efforts to reduce energy consumption in production processes [32][34]. - Innovations in production techniques, such as the use of environmentally friendly extraction agents and improvements in fiber properties, are expected to enhance the performance and sustainability of UHMWPE fibers [34][35][36].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the semiconductor advanced packaging industry Core Insights - Advanced packaging technology is a critical link between chip design and application, significantly enhancing chip performance and reducing power consumption while alleviating constraints in high-end chip manufacturing processes [2] - The Chinese government places high importance on the development of the semiconductor industry, implementing various policies to support independent innovation and technological breakthroughs [2] - The advanced packaging market is expected to grow rapidly, with China's packaging market projected to reach 355.19 billion yuan by 2025, with advanced packaging accounting for 32% of the market [45][47] Summary by Sections Overview of the Semiconductor Packaging Industry - Packaging is a core process in semiconductor manufacturing, involving the placement, fixation, sealing of chips, and connecting chip contacts to the package shell [14][18] - The development of semiconductor packaging technology can be divided into four stages, with the current stage being advanced packaging [19][21] Advanced Packaging Technology Types - The global advanced packaging market includes IDM, Foundry, and OSAT manufacturers, with leading companies adopting a "large platform + technology branch" architecture [4][51] - Major OSAT manufacturers in China have formed industrial capabilities through independent research and acquisitions, covering a wide range of applications from consumer electronics to AI chips [7] Market Dynamics - The global packaging testing market is expected to grow from $51 billion in 2016 to $72.27 billion by 2025, with advanced packaging projected to capture half of the market share [47] - China's packaging testing market is growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.54%, significantly higher than the global market's 3.89% [47] Importance of Advanced Packaging - Advanced packaging is essential for integrating multiple functions within a system, enhancing overall system performance beyond the limitations of Moore's Law [35][38] - The report highlights that advanced packaging can improve chip performance without shrinking process nodes, addressing the rising costs associated with advanced process development [39][44]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the liquid cooling connector industry. Core Insights - The Chinese liquid cooling connector market is projected to grow significantly from 25.2 billion RMB in 2022 to 185.04 billion RMB by 2029, indicating a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [9][10]. - The revenue from China Aviation Optical-Electrical Technology Co., Ltd. (中航光电) in liquid cooling connectors is expected to increase from 3.53 billion RMB in 2022 to 37.01 billion RMB by 2029, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [10][21]. - The market share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical in the liquid cooling connector segment is anticipated to rise from 14% in 2022 to 20% by 2029 [10][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Size - The Chinese liquid cooling connector market size is projected to grow from 25.2 billion RMB in 2022 to 185.04 billion RMB by 2029, with annual estimates showing a steady increase each year [9]. 2. Revenue from China Aviation Optical-Electrical - Revenue from liquid cooling solutions and other products for China Aviation Optical-Electrical is expected to grow from 11.76 billion RMB in 2022 to 60.67 billion RMB by 2029 [12][23]. 3. Revenue Contribution of Liquid Cooling Connectors - The revenue contribution of liquid cooling connectors to China Aviation Optical-Electrical's total revenue is projected to increase from 30% in 2022 to 61% by 2029 [17][24]. 4. Market Share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical - The market share of China Aviation Optical-Electrical in the liquid cooling connector market is expected to grow from 14% in 2022 to 20% by 2029 [26].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the baby crib industry Core Insights - The baby crib industry is experiencing growth driven by rising consumer awareness of safety and quality, despite a decline in newborn numbers impacting demand [5][8] - The market is expected to recover with a projected increase in newborns due to policy incentives, leading to a gradual market size growth from 5.58 billion to 6.78 billion by 2029 [8] - The industry is shifting towards smart, eco-friendly, and high-quality products to meet evolving consumer demands [5][31] Market Background - The baby crib industry is a significant part of the global baby products market, influenced by consumer upgrades and safety awareness [5] - The market has evolved from traditional wooden cribs to modern smart cribs, with a focus on diverse and high-end designs [5][7] - China is a major production base for baby cribs, benefiting from a complete supply chain and lower production costs [5] Market Status - The market size decreased from 6.41 billion in 2019 to 4.8 billion in 2023 due to declining newborn numbers, but is expected to stabilize and grow in the coming years [8] - The average price range for baby cribs is between 300 to 5000 yuan, with a gross margin of 40%-50% for midstream manufacturers [9] Market Competition - The competition in the baby crib market is fragmented, with leading brands like Goodbaby and Cool Baby holding significant market shares [11][17] - The evaluation of brands is based on innovation, product quality, brand image, and customer service [11][14] - The report highlights ten recommended brands, emphasizing their unique selling propositions and market strategies [18][19][21] Development Trends - The market is expected to expand due to structural growth driven by consumption upgrades and policy support [30] - Technological advancements are leading to the introduction of smart features in baby cribs, enhancing safety and user experience [31] - The integration of online and offline channels is reshaping consumer engagement, with a notable increase in online sales [33]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong growth potential for the Artificial Intelligence and Business Intelligence (ABI) market in China, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% from 2024 to 2028, suggesting a positive investment outlook [14][59]. Core Insights - The integration of AI with traditional Business Intelligence (BI) tools is becoming essential as companies increasingly rely on data-driven decision-making. Traditional BI systems are limited by their closed architectures and static processing capabilities, which cannot meet the dynamic decision-making needs of modern enterprises [3][22]. - The ABI market in China is experiencing explosive growth, with the market size reaching 300 million yuan in 2023 and expected to grow to 800 million yuan in 2024 [14][59]. - AI enhances BI by automating data processing and improving predictive capabilities, allowing businesses to transition from reactive to proactive decision-making [11][41]. Summary by Sections Market Insights - The ABI market is characterized by a shift from traditional BI tools to AI-enabled solutions, which can handle complex data analysis and provide real-time insights [3][12]. - The ABI market is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of 3 billion yuan in 2023 and an expected increase to 8 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the need for cost reduction and efficiency improvements [14][59]. Application Insights - ABI applications are being adopted across various sectors, including finance, retail, manufacturing, and government, demonstrating its versatility and effectiveness in enhancing decision-making processes [10][11]. - The integration of AI into BI systems allows for the automation of data collection, processing, and reporting, which reduces the workload on data analysts and enables them to focus on more strategic tasks [41][58]. Technology Development - The report highlights the importance of AI technologies, such as large language models (LLMs), in breaking down barriers to data analysis, making it accessible to non-technical users [30][32]. - ABI systems are evolving to incorporate multi-modal data analysis, allowing for the integration of structured and unstructured data, which enhances the depth of insights generated [47][48]. Future Trends - The ABI market is expected to continue its rapid expansion, with a focus on enhancing the efficiency of data analysts and providing advanced analytical capabilities to small and medium-sized enterprises [58][59]. - The report emphasizes that while cost reduction is a short-term driver for ABI adoption, the long-term value lies in empowering data analysts to engage in more complex and strategic analyses [58][59].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the experimental-grade silica gel matrix chromatography filler industry Core Insights - The report focuses on the experimental-grade silica gel matrix chromatography filler industry, highlighting the significant growth potential driven by the rapid development of the peptide active pharmaceutical ingredient market and the increasing demand for chromatographic materials in the pharmaceutical sector [4][22] - Key factors driving market growth include technological innovation and the trend towards domestic production, with the domestic production rate expected to rise from approximately 40% to 60% by 2030 [4][13] Industry Overview - The experimental-grade silica gel matrix chromatography filler is primarily used for laboratory analysis of organic compounds, natural products, and peptides, with applications in pharmaceutical quality analysis, food safety testing, environmental monitoring, and chemical research [5][22] - The industry is characterized by a low domestic replacement rate but a rapid pace of domestic production development, with significant contributions from both international and domestic companies [9][13] Market Dynamics - The upstream market is dominated by international chemical companies, while the midstream filler preparation market is led by overseas firms, with a current domestic production rate of about 40% [21][29] - The downstream applications are diverse, with the pharmaceutical industry being the primary demand driver, particularly due to the growth in the peptide drug market [22][32] Competitive Landscape - The market is currently fragmented, with major international players like GE, Agilent, and Waters holding significant market shares, while domestic companies are still developing their presence [40][41] - The report indicates a trend towards market concentration as domestic firms innovate and respond to cost control demands from pharmaceutical companies [43] Market Size and Growth Forecast - The global market for experimental-grade silica gel matrix chromatography fillers is projected to grow from approximately 2.15 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.81 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5% [33][36] - The Chinese market is expected to expand from around 500 million yuan in 2024 to 900 million yuan by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 10.3% [33][36] Policy Environment - The report outlines several supportive policies aimed at promoting the development of high-end chromatography technologies and materials, which are expected to further stimulate market growth [38][39]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the psoriasis treatment market, particularly highlighting the significance of the approval of the first generic version of calcipotriene and betamethasone ointment by Huabang Pharmaceutical, which is expected to disrupt the market dynamics and increase competition [6][14]. Core Insights - Psoriasis is a chronic, systemic inflammatory skin disease affecting 2-3% of the global population, often accompanied by comorbidities such as arthritis, diabetes, and hypertension, leading to a significant impact on patients' quality of life [5][6]. - The approval of Huabang Pharmaceutical's calcipotriene and betamethasone ointment marks a milestone in the domestic pharmaceutical industry, breaking the technical barriers and filling a gap in the market for domestic generic drugs [6][14]. - The report emphasizes the shift from reliance on original branded drugs to high-quality, cost-effective generic alternatives, with expectations that generics will capture over 50% of the market share within three years due to pricing advantages [6][14]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - Psoriasis treatment options include topical medications, systemic therapies, and phototherapy, with a significant portion of patients experiencing comorbid conditions [3][5]. - The market is characterized by a long treatment duration and high recurrence rates, necessitating effective management strategies [5]. Product Development - Huabang Pharmaceutical's calcipotriene and betamethasone ointment is a combination formulation that effectively inhibits keratinocyte proliferation and provides anti-inflammatory effects [13][16]. - The company has successfully navigated various technical challenges in the development process, demonstrating a transition from "copying" to "leading" in technology within the generic drug sector [14][16]. Competitive Landscape - The report outlines Huabang Pharmaceutical's extensive product portfolio in dermatology, covering various skin conditions and establishing a comprehensive treatment line for psoriasis [18][19]. - The introduction of new small molecule targeted therapies and innovative biologics is expected to challenge the dominance of existing biologics in the market [31][33]. Future Trends - The market is anticipated to undergo significant changes driven by technological innovations, policy support, and evolving patient needs, with a focus on personalized medicine and combination therapies [31][33]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of accessibility and affordability in treatment options, particularly in light of recent policy changes that expand insurance coverage for innovative drugs [35][36].