Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of stabilizing expectations in the real estate market, highlighting the need for proactive measures to shorten adjustment periods and smooth market fluctuations [5][14][17] - The article from "Qiushi" magazine outlines the critical role of real estate in the national economy and stresses the necessity of maintaining policy strength to align with market expectations [5][14][16] Section Summaries 1. Policy Environment During New Year - The article in "Qiushi" magazine discusses the current phase of the real estate market, indicating a shift from housing shortages to a balance in supply, with a focus on quality over quantity in housing demand [13][15] - It highlights the financial asset nature of real estate, emphasizing its significance in stabilizing the economy and the need for effective expectation management [14][15] 2. Transaction Performance: New and Second-Hand Housing - New housing transactions during the New Year period saw a significant decline, with a daily average of 15.66 million square meters sold across 32 cities, down 44.8% year-on-year [19][21] - In contrast, second-hand housing transactions showed relative stability, with an average of 2,676 units sold daily across 80 cities, a slight decrease of 1.1% year-on-year [26][28] 3. Market Trends and Insights - The real estate sector's performance was weak, with the SW real estate index down 0.7%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.1 percentage points [5][19] - The report notes that the PB valuation for major developers is at 0.45x, indicating low market expectations for price recovery [5][19] 4. Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides a detailed valuation analysis of key companies in the real estate sector, indicating a "Buy" rating for several firms based on their projected earnings and valuation metrics [6][19] - Companies like Vanke A and China Overseas Development are highlighted for their potential upside based on current market conditions and valuations [6][19] 5. Future Outlook - The report suggests that despite current challenges, there remains significant potential for growth in housing services, second-hand transactions, and real estate asset management, with estimates indicating a need for 10 to 14.9 million new homes annually [16][18] - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining policy strength and aligning it with market expectations to foster recovery in the real estate sector [16][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the recovery of core cities and the potential for value reassessment in shopping centers [2][30]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the real estate sector as a significant contributor to the national economy and household wealth, advocating for robust policy measures to stabilize market expectations [30]. - It identifies two major opportunities: the rise of favorable policies for "good housing" and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which could lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2][30]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transactions - In the week of December 27 to January 2, new housing transactions in 34 key cities totaled 4.067 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 10.8% [2][3]. - Year-on-year, December transactions in these cities decreased by 26%, with first and second-tier cities down 25.4% and third and fourth-tier cities down 30.6% [2][6]. Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, second-hand housing transactions in 13 cities totaled 1.1 million square meters, a decrease of 10.4% from the previous week [11]. - Cumulatively, December transactions were down 26.8% year-on-year, with a notable decline in third and fourth-tier cities [11][7]. Inventory and Market Dynamics - The report notes a decrease in available housing inventory, with a total of 89.401 million square meters available in 15 cities, down 1.4% week-on-week [23]. - The average months of inventory turnover for the last three months is reported at 21.8 months, indicating a slight improvement in market absorption [23]. Policy and News Tracking Macro Policies - Recent policy changes include a reduction in the value-added tax rate for personal housing sales, aimed at stimulating market activity [30][31]. - The report highlights the need for policies that align with market expectations to avoid creating a tug-of-war between market forces and regulatory measures [30]. Company Developments - Notable company activities include the establishment of a Pre-REITs fund by China Resources Land, aimed at investing in quality commercial real estate projects [36][38]. - CIFI Holdings has completed its debt restructuring, marking a significant milestone in its financial recovery efforts [36].

Core Insights - Despite industry challenges, four real estate companies are expected to exceed 200 billion yuan in sales by 2025, with the top 10 maintaining a threshold of 100 billion yuan [1][2] - The companies achieving over 200 billion yuan in sales include Poly Developments (253 billion yuan), Greentown China (251.9 billion yuan), China Overseas Property (251.2 billion yuan), and China Resources Land (233.6 billion yuan) [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In December 2025, nearly 70% of 105 typical real estate companies reported a month-on-month increase in total sales, with almost 50% experiencing a month-on-month growth rate exceeding 20% [3] - Notable performers include Yuexiu Property, China State Construction, and Renheng Real Estate, with some companies achieving month-on-month sales growth exceeding 100% [3] - China Resources Land and China State Construction reported year-on-year sales growth rates exceeding 15% [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The real estate sector is expected to continue its adjustment phase in 2026, with debt restructuring accelerating and the completion of housing delivery tasks [1][9] - The market is anticipated to seek a new supply-demand balance, with structural recovery possible while overall prices are expected to remain stable [9] - The importance of community amenities and services is expected to increase, with a focus on green, smart, healthy, and safe products gaining premium pricing [9] Group 3: Company Resilience and Strategy - 53 companies have maintained their position in the top 100 for five consecutive years, with firms like Binjiang Group and Longfor Group demonstrating stable operations while maintaining investment levels [8] - Some struggling private companies, such as Country Garden and Sunac, remain in the top rankings due to prior land reserves that support sales and debt restructuring efforts [8] - Regional private companies are focusing on local high-capacity cities through precise strategies and partnerships to mitigate financial pressures [8]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of real estate companies in 2025 continues to show a bottoming trend, with some companies experiencing significant recovery in their performance. The proportion of companies with year-on-year performance growth is 24%, with 12 companies achieving growth rates exceeding 30% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The real estate market in 2025 maintains a bottoming trend, with overall sales remaining at low levels. There are 10 companies with sales exceeding 100 billion yuan, 13 companies with sales between 30-100 billion yuan, 42 companies with sales between 10-30 billion yuan, and 35 companies with sales below 10 billion yuan [2]. - Among the 10 companies with sales over 100 billion yuan, only one company, China Jinmao, reported performance growth. In the 13 companies with sales between 30-100 billion yuan, three companies reported growth: Greenland Holdings, China State Construction East, and Bangtai Group [8]. Group 2: Company Performance - A total of 224 companies reported year-on-year performance growth, with 24 companies showing growth. Notably, Bangtai Group's performance surpassed 30 billion yuan for the first time, with a significant year-on-year increase of 79.7% [4][5]. - The companies with the highest sales and their respective year-on-year growth rates include: - Kerry Properties: 227.87 billion yuan, 1646.5% - Jiangshan Wanli Real Estate: 174.50 billion yuan, 731.3% - Fuzhou Jianfa: 88.90 billion yuan, 92.9% - Shanghai Construction: 92.75 billion yuan, 80.6% - Bangtai Group: 303.54 billion yuan, 79.7% [5]. Group 3: State-Owned vs. Private Enterprises - Central state-owned enterprises performed relatively well, with 42.9% of them reporting performance growth. In contrast, only 15.2% of private enterprises and 12.5% of mixed-ownership enterprises reported growth [9][13]. - The proportion of performance growth among various types of real estate companies shows a clear differentiation, with state-owned enterprises leading in growth rates compared to private and mixed-ownership enterprises [13].

香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 告 的 內 容 概 不 負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部 或任何部分內容所產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （股份代號：00123） （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） 有關二○二六年廣州地鐵物業管理及增值服務框架協議 的持續關連交易 二○二六年廣州地鐵物業管理及增值服務框架協議 茲提述本公司日期為二〇二二年十一月二十三日有關二○二三年廣州地鐵物業 管理及相關服務框架協議的公告。由於二○二三年廣州地鐵物業管理及相關服 務框架協議將於二○二五年十二月三十一日到期，於二○二五年十二月三十一 日，越秀服務與廣州地鐵訂立二○二六年廣州地鐵物業管理及增值服務框架協 議，據此，越秀服務集團可提供，而廣州地鐵服務接受方集團可購買廣州地鐵 物 業 管 理 及 增 值 服 務 ， 期 限 自 二 ○ 二 六 年 一 月 一 日（ 或 所 有 先 決 條 件 獲 達 成 的 有關較後日期 ）起至二○二八年十二月三十一日止。 上市規則的涵義 於本公告日期，廣州地鐵為主要股 ...

越秀地产(00123)发布公告，于2025年12月31日，泓景有限公司(泓景)(作为借款人)与一家银行(贷款人) 订立一份融资协议，据此，贷款人在融资协议的条款及条件的规限下提供5亿港元的循环贷款融资，贷 款期由融资协议日期起计364天。泓景为公司全资附属公司，其于融资协议项下责任由公司担保。 ...

智通财经APP讯，越秀地产(00123)发布公告，于2025年12月31日，泓景有限公司(泓景)(作为借款人)与 一家银行(贷款人)订立一份融资协议，据此，贷款人在融资协议的条款及条件的规限下提供5亿港元的 循环贷款融资，贷款期由融资协议日期起计364天。泓景为公司全资附属公司，其于融资协议项下责任 由公司担保。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表 任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任 何責任。 （在香港註冊成立的有限公司） 承董事會命 越秀地產股份有限公司 余達峯 公司秘書 香港，二○二五年十二月三十一日 （股份代號：00123） 公 告 本公告乃根據上市規則第13.18條之規定而作出。 本公告乃由越秀地產股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市 規則（「上市規則」）第13.18條之披露規定而作出。 於二○二五年十二月三十一日，泓景有限公司（「泓景」）（作為借款人）與一家銀行（「貸款 人」）訂立一份融資協議（「融資協議」），據此，貸款人在融資協議的條款及條件之規限下提供 500,000,000港元之循環貸款融資，貸款期由融資協議日期起計364天。泓景為本公司全資附 屬公司，其於融資協議項下責任由本公司擔保。 融資協議規定，倘本公司之控股股東越秀企業（集團）有限公司（「越秀企業」）於本公司已發行 之具投票權股份中持有少於30%之直接或間接權益，或倘越秀企業不再是本公司單 ...

Group 1 - The company, Yuexiu Property (00123), announced a financing agreement with a bank, where the bank will provide a term loan of HKD 220 million [1] - The loan term is set for 364 days from the date of the first drawdown [1]

Group 1 - The company, Yuexiu Property (00123), announced a financing agreement with a bank to secure a term loan of HKD 220 million [1] - The loan term is set for 364 days starting from the date of the first drawdown [1]