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香港交易所(00388):港交所 12 月跟踪:降息预期持续升温,港股流动性预计将持续改善
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-18 13:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - As of January 12, 2026, the company's PE ratio is 31.42x, positioned at the 24th percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of investment value. It is expected that the continuous enhancement of the mutual market access policy will elevate liquidity in the Hong Kong capital market, leading to increased market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of HKD 30.1 billion, HKD 32.7 billion, and HKD 35.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits attributable to shareholders of HKD 17.4 billion, HKD 19.2 billion, and HKD 20.8 billion, corresponding to PE valuations of 31.5x, 28.6x, and 26.3x respectively [2][50] Summary by Relevant Sections Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend in December, supported by domestic policy drivers and expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 27.8% and 23.5% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The total market capitalization of listed securities on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 47.39 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of 34.2% [10][15] Trading Volume - The average daily trading (ADT) for the Hong Kong stock market in December was HKD 186 billion, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 19.4% but a year-on-year increase of 31.0%. Northbound trading ADT was HKD 229.7 billion, down 5.5% month-on-month but up 11.6% year-on-year. Southbound trading ADT was HKD 83.6 billion, down 14.6% month-on-month but up 26.5% year-on-year [15][19] Derivatives Market - In December, the trading volume of futures and options decreased month-on-month. The average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 517,000 contracts, down 18.8% month-on-month and 12.6% year-on-year. The ADV for options was 823,000 contracts, down 18.9% month-on-month but up 13.5% year-on-year [19] Primary Market - The IPO scale in the Hong Kong market saw a significant year-on-year increase in December, with 26 new stocks listed, raising a total of HKD 25.7 billion, which is a 189% increase year-on-year but a 39% decrease month-on-month. The total number of new listings for 2025 was 117, with a cumulative scale of HKD 286 billion, representing a 224% year-on-year increase [29][30] Investment Income - As of the end of December, the relevant interest rates for investment income showed a general decline. The 6-month HIBOR was 2.99%, down 0.23 percentage points month-on-month and down 1.21 percentage points year-on-year [39] Macroeconomic Environment - The domestic economic outlook improved, with the manufacturing PMI for December at 50.10, indicating growth. The overseas liquidity is expected to enhance further due to a cooling job market and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [43][45]
金融行业周报(2026、01、18):央行宣布结构性降息,衍生品交易监管更规范-20260118
Western Securities· 2026-01-18 11:43
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the financial industry, but it provides specific recommendations for various sectors and companies within the industry [3][21]. Core Insights - The financial industry experienced a decline this week, with the non-bank financial index down by 2.63%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.06 percentage points. The banking sector saw a decline of 3.03%, also underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.46 percentage points [1][9]. - The report highlights a structural interest rate cut by the central bank, which is expected to impact various financial sectors, particularly banks and insurance companies. The insurance sector is viewed as being in a critical window for performance and valuation recovery [3][21]. - Regulatory measures have been introduced to stabilize the derivatives market, which is expected to benefit well-capitalized and compliant brokerage firms [2][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Performance and Sector Insights - The non-bank financial index decreased by 2.63%, with the securities, insurance, and diversified financial indices down by 2.21%, 3.59%, and 1.83% respectively [1][9]. - The banking sector's performance was notably poor, with state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks experiencing declines of 2.20%, 4.08%, 2.40%, and 2.20% respectively [1][9]. 2. Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector's index fell by 3.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.02 percentage points. The report indicates that regulatory cooling measures have created short-term pressure on the insurance sector, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to asset growth and interest margin recovery [1][13][15]. - Key companies such as China Pacific Insurance, China Life, and New China Life are recommended for investment due to their strong fundamentals and recovery potential [3][16]. 3. Brokerage Sector Insights - The brokerage sector saw a decline of 2.21%, with the report emphasizing the potential benefits of new regulatory measures aimed at enhancing the derivatives market. The focus is on larger, well-capitalized firms that can navigate the evolving regulatory landscape [2][17]. - Recommendations include major brokerages like Guotai Junan and Huatai Securities, which are expected to benefit from the anticipated recovery in profitability and valuation [2][18]. 4. Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector's index fell by 3.03%, with the central bank's recent interest rate cut expected to support the sector's performance in the long run. The report suggests that banks may see a gradual recovery in net interest income and profitability [3][21][22]. - Specific banks such as Hangzhou Bank and Ningbo Bank are highlighted as potential investment opportunities, particularly those with previously undervalued positions [3][22].
香港交易所获贝莱德增持约188.69万股 每股作价约425.98港元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-18 08:52
客户端 香港联交所最新资料显示,1月12日,贝莱德增持香港交易所(00388)188.6872万股,每股作价 425.9778港元,总金额约为8.04亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为6516.11万股,最新持股比例为 5.14%。 责任编辑:卢昱君 香港联交所最新资料显示,1月12日,贝莱德增持香港交易所(00388)188.6872万股,每股作价 425.9778港元,总金额约为8.04亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为6516.11万股,最新持股比例为 5.14%。 责任编辑:卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...
智通ADR统计 | 1月17日
智通财经网· 2026-01-16 23:57
Group 1 - Major blue-chip stocks mostly declined, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 128.695, up 0.15% from the previous close in Hong Kong; Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 612.833, down 0.76% [2] - Tencent Holdings reported a latest price of HKD 617.500, with a decrease of HKD 4.500 or 0.72%; its ADR price is HKD 612.833, reflecting a decline of HKD 4.667 [3] - HSBC Holdings had a latest price of HKD 128.500, increasing by HKD 0.300 or 0.23%; its ADR price is HKD 128.695, showing a slight increase of HKD 0.195 [3] Group 2 - Other notable stocks include China Construction Bank at HKD 7.830, down 0.25%, and Xiaomi Group at HKD 37.100, down 2.01% [3] - AIA Group saw a decline of HKD 1.300 or 1.53%, closing at HKD 83.550; its ADR price is HKD 83.075, down HKD 0.475 [3] - Meituan-W closed at HKD 100.000, down 0.79%, while JD.com saw a decrease of HKD 1.500 or 1.30%, closing at HKD 113.600 [3]
贝莱德增持香港交易所约188.69万股 每股作价约425.98港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 11:06
香港联交所最新资料显示,1月12日,贝莱德增持香港交易所(00388)188.6872万股,每股作价425.9778 港元,总金额约为8.04亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为6516.11万股,最新持股比例为5.14%。 ...
贝莱德增持香港交易所(00388)约188.69万股 每股作价约425.98港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-16 11:04
智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新资料显示,1月12日,贝莱德增持香港交易所(00388)188.6872万 股,每股作价425.9778港元,总金额约为8.04亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为6516.11万股,最新持股 比例为5.14%。 ...
智通ADR统计 | 1月15日
智通财经网· 2026-01-14 22:41
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,783.18, down by 216.63 points or 0.80% as of January 14, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 26,918.58 and a low of 26,724.89 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 82.41 million [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 127.501, up by 0.39% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 632.594, down by 0.06% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings (00700) latest price is HKD 633.000, with an increase of HKD 5.500 or 0.88%, but its ADR price is HKD 632.594, showing a decrease of HKD 0.406 [3] - Alibaba Group (09988) latest price is HKD 169.000, up by HKD 9.100 or 5.69%, with an ADR price of HKD 165.595, down by HKD 3.405 [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005) latest price is HKD 127.000, up by HKD 0.600 or 0.47%, with an ADR price of HKD 127.501, up by HKD 0.501 [3] - Other notable movements include Meituan (03690) down by 3.24% and Ctrip Group (09961) down by 6.49% [3]
智通ADR统计 | 1月14日
智通财经网· 2026-01-13 22:43
Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline, closing at 26,787.80, down 0.23% from the previous close, indicating a mixed performance in the Hong Kong stock market [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,787.80, down 60.67 points or 0.23% [1]. - The index reached a high of 26,950.81 and a low of 26,739.26 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 52.77 million shares [1]. - The average price for the session was 26,845.04, with a 52-week high of 27,275.90 and a low of 19,335.70 [1]. Group 2: Major Blue-Chip Stocks - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 127.188, up 0.62% compared to the previous close [2]. - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 624.864, down 0.42% from the previous close [2]. - Alibaba Group saw a price increase of 3.63%, closing at HKD 159.900 [3]. - Other notable performances include AIA Group up 0.84% at HKD 84.400 and China Construction Bank up 1.17% at HKD 7.810 [3].
港股13日涨0.9% 收报26848.47点
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-13 10:17
Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index increased by 239.99 points, a rise of 0.9%, closing at 26,848.47 points [1] - The total turnover for the day on the main board was HKD 315.92 billion [1] - The National Enterprises Index rose by 65.33 points, closing at 9,285.41 points, with a gain of 0.71% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index saw a slight increase of 6.59 points, closing at 5,869.79 points, reflecting a gain of 0.11% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings rose by 0.72%, closing at HKD 627.5 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing increased by 1.31%, closing at HKD 431.8 [1] - China Mobile decreased by 0.25%, closing at HKD 80.95 [1] - HSBC Holdings rose by 1.85%, closing at HKD 126.4 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings fell by 0.19%, closing at HKD 42.56 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 1.22%, closing at HKD 107.9 [1] - Henderson Land Development rose by 2.99%, closing at HKD 31.72 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China increased by 0.9%, closing at HKD 4.48 [1] - China Construction Bank rose by 1.17%, closing at HKD 7.81 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China increased by 0.96%, closing at HKD 6.3 [1] - Ping An Insurance rose by 2.19%, closing at HKD 70 [1] - China Life Insurance increased by 3.51%, closing at HKD 33 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - Sinopec increased by 0.65%, closing at HKD 4.65 [1] - PetroChina rose by 1.36%, closing at HKD 8.22 [1] - CNOOC increased by 2.58%, closing at HKD 21.48 [1]
瑞银:料港交所(00388)第四季税后净利润同比升4% 上调今明两年每日成交量预测-即时看
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 08:22
该行料第四季净投资收益将同比及按季跌29%及16%,至8.56亿港元,主要受减息周期下港元拆息走弱 所拖累。至于营运开支,虽然预期将按季升6%,但同比则跌2%,反映成本控制持续见效。同期存管、 托管及代理人服务费受强劲的电子化IPO活动所支持。 关键词: 财经频道 财经资讯 【资料图】 智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,预期港交所(00388)2025年第四季税后净利润及收入将分别同比升 4%及6%,至39亿及68亿港元,但按季跌20%及13%,主要因成交活动疲弱、净投资收益减少,及营运 开支上升。展望2026及27年,该行将每日成交量预测由2,220亿港元及2,400亿港元,上调至2,360亿元及 2,500亿港元,每股盈利预测亦分别上调8%及4%; 目标价471港元,予"中性"评级。 ...