Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a potential upside of 52% based on a non-HKFRS net profit metric [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, and a non-HKFRS net profit of USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - Overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: AI PC and Market Position - The company's IDG revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3% [3] - Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, increasing its market share to 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure Growth - The ISG revenue for 2QFY26 increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improved operating profit margins [4] - The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, with AI server revenue showing high double-digit growth and strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to 9.3x/8.0x P/E ratios for FY2026/27, and maintains an outperform rating with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a 52% upside potential [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%; non-HKFRS net profit was USD 512 million, up 25.2%; and net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - The overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The IDG segment's revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3%. Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, leading to a market share of 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure - The ISG segment's revenue increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improvements in operating profit margins. The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, and AI server revenue saw high double-digit growth with strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]

11月20日，联想集团公布截至2025年9月30日的2025/26财年第二财季业绩：当季营收同比增长15%至 1464亿元（人民币，下同），创下财季历史新高，并显著超出市场普遍预期；经调整后的净利润同比增 长25%至36.6亿元，净利增速远超营收增速，展现了集团在复杂环境下稳健前行的经营韧性与战略确定 性。 值得关注的是，在第二财季，联想的AI相关业务营收在总营收中的占比已提升至30%，同比提升13个百 分点，标志着人工智能不仅成为联想创新核心驱动力，更成为业绩的实质性贡献来源。随着AI渗透加 速、应用场景落地愈发多样化，AI业务正在从辅助角色成长为联想业务版图中的核心增长主线。 第二财季，联想实现了全业务集团与全区域市场的双位数营收增长：IDG智能设备业务集团延续领先优 势，在全球PC市场加速复苏的大背景下实现营收1081亿元，同比增长12%，其中个人电脑市场份额更 是史上首次超过25%，进一步巩固在端侧AI市场中的领先地位；ISG基础设施方案业务集团实现营收约 293亿元，同比增长24%，其中AI基础设施营收显著跃升；SSG解决方案与服务业务集团营收同比增长 近20%，连续第18个季度实现双位数增长的同时 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Lenovo, with a target price adjusted to HKD 14.00 from the previous HKD 16.00, reflecting a 12.5% decrease [5][7]. Core Insights - Lenovo reported a revenue of USD 20.45 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.6%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate by 1.7%. The Non-HKFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-over-year, exceeding the company's prior guidance by approximately 19% [1][5]. - The company benefits from a strong position in the global PC market, holding the largest market share and demonstrating robust supply chain management capabilities, which enhances its resilience against industry cycles [1][2]. - The AI-related business has become a core growth driver, with its revenue contribution reaching 30% and a year-over-year increase of 13 percentage points [1][5]. Summary by Sections IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) - IDG's revenue increased by 11.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit margin of 60%. The global PC market share rose by 1.8 percentage points to 25.6%, marking a record high [2]. - Driven by mixed AI demand, PC revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, with AI PC penetration increasing by 16 percentage points to 33% of total shipments [2]. ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - ISG's revenue grew by 23.7% year-over-year, primarily due to strong demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions. The AI server business recorded high double-digit revenue growth [3]. - The Neptune liquid cooling technology saw a revenue increase of 154% year-over-year, reinforcing the company's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [3]. SSG (Solutions and Services Group) - SSG achieved an 18.3% year-over-year revenue growth, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [4]. - The project and solution services, along with operational services, accounted for 60% of SSG's total revenue, indicating a stable growth trajectory [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects a slight decrease in Non-HKFRS net profit estimates for FY26, FY27, and FY28 by 1.8%, 1.7%, and 1.7% respectively, with expected profits of USD 1.66 billion, USD 1.85 billion, and USD 2.08 billion [5][10]. - The expected Non-HKFRS EPS for FY26, FY27, and FY28 is projected to be USD 0.12, USD 0.14, and USD 0.15 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 15.5%, 11.4%, and 12.4% [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group's recent financial results indicate strong growth across various business segments, with a notable increase in AI-related revenue, reflecting the company's confidence in the ongoing demand for AI technologies and solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - Lenovo reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth for the second quarter, reaching 146.4 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit increasing by 25% to 3.66 billion yuan [1]. - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated 108.1 billion yuan in revenue, up 12% year-on-year; the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a 24% increase to approximately 29.3 billion yuan; and the Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved 18% growth, totaling 18.3 billion yuan [1]. AI Business Insights - AI-related business revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, with AI terminal devices contributing 36% to IDG's overall revenue, marking a 17 percentage point increase year-on-year [1]. - The CEO emphasized that AI encompasses more than just large language models, highlighting its applications in computer vision, autonomous driving, and industrial automation, suggesting that the AI sector is in its early stages of widespread adoption [2][3]. Market Trends and Challenges - The CEO addressed the ongoing price increases in storage chips due to supply-demand imbalances driven by AI technology advancements, indicating that this trend may persist into next year [3]. - Lenovo's robust supply chain management and long-term supplier relationships are expected to mitigate the impact of cost fluctuations on profit margins, with a focus on maintaining double-digit growth in gross and net margins [3]. Windows 10 Update Impact - The transition from Windows 10 is not expected to significantly hinder the PC market, as the upgrade cycle is still ongoing, with AI PCs becoming a central driver of market demand [4][5]. - Lenovo anticipates a 5%-10% growth in the global PC market by 2026, supported by the end of the Windows 10 update cycle and the rise of AI PCs [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo is accelerating its investment in enterprise-level AI infrastructure, aiming to shift AI computing from public cloud training to local data centers and edge-side inference [5]. - The company plans to leverage hybrid AI solutions and customized services to facilitate the intelligent transformation of enterprise clients, which is expected to open new market opportunities and restore profitability in its infrastructure business [5].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower today, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 2.21%, and the Hang Seng Internet ETF and Hang Seng Technology Index ETF falling by 2% and 1.6% respectively [1] - Despite the declines, there has been a net inflow of funds into the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF totaling 4.472 billion yuan over 16 trading days from October 30 to November 20, during which the index fell by 10.11% [1] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF also saw a net inflow of 2.518 billion yuan over the same period, despite a 10.24% decline [1] Group 2 - Recent adjustments in the Hong Kong stock market are attributed to factors such as the "AI bubble theory," tightening liquidity in the US market, and profit-taking by institutions after a more than 20% increase in the Hang Seng Technology Index this year [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index has experienced a cumulative decline of over 18% since October 3, which may present a buying opportunity [1] - Positive factors include strong Q3 financial results and Q4 guidance from Nvidia, which may help alleviate concerns regarding the "AI bubble," along with Alibaba's upcoming financial report on November 25 [1] Group 3 - The Hang Seng Internet ETF has a weight of over 80% in leading internet stocks, with an AI content exceeding 90%, including major companies like Alibaba, Tencent, NetEase, JD.com, and Baidu [2]

Group 1 - The founder of Bawang Tea Ji, Zhang Junjie, is getting married to Gao Haichun, daughter of the founder of Trina Solar, with a combined market value of approximately 613 billion yuan for their respective companies [5][6] - DJI has officially entered the consumer-grade 3D printing market by investing in Smart Pie Technology, indicating a strategic move towards innovative technology [11] - Ant Group's CTO He Zhengyu stated that the Lingguang App and Alibaba's Qianwen App are not competitors but rather allies in the pursuit of AGI [8][9] Group 2 - Xiaomi's 500,000th car has rolled off the production line, achieving this milestone in just 602 days, marking a record for global new energy vehicle companies [15] - Star Motion Era has completed nearly 1 billion yuan in A+ round financing, led by Geely Capital, indicating strong investor confidence in the robotics sector [17][18] - Huawei and GAC have had multiple disputes during their collaboration on the Qijiang project, highlighting the challenges in automotive partnerships [20][21] Group 3 - NetEase reported a Q3 revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, with gaming revenue reaching 23.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [23] - The new Xiangjie S9 MPV from Huawei's Hongmeng Zhixing will be launched, featuring a price range of 309,800 to 369,800 yuan, with a focus on high-end configurations [24][25] - Meizu Technology has clarified that it will not relocate its headquarters despite a building being listed for sale, emphasizing its commitment to its current location [27][28] Group 4 - Nvidia has warned that its potential $100 billion investment in OpenAI is not guaranteed, reflecting the uncertainties in large-scale tech investments [37][38] - Qualcomm has filed a complaint leading to a raid on Arm's Seoul office by South Korea's antitrust agency, indicating ongoing tensions in the semiconductor industry [38][39] - Google has introduced AI content detection features in its Gemini application, aiming to enhance transparency in AI-generated content [39][40]

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group has demonstrated resilience and growth despite pressure from hardware costs and initial investments, with significant revenue increases driven by AI-related business opportunities [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the second fiscal quarter of 2025, Lenovo reported total revenue of $20.45 billion, a 15% year-on-year increase, setting a new record for quarterly revenue [1]. - For the first half of the fiscal year, total revenue reached $39.28 billion, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth, also a historical high [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the second quarter was $340 million, a 5% decrease year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.4%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous year [4]. Cost Challenges - Lenovo's position as a leading player in the global PC market makes it sensitive to fluctuations in storage costs, with its PC business market share increasing by 1.8 percentage points to 25.6% [3]. - The prices of NAND Flash and DRAM products have surged, with DDR5 memory prices increasing by 307% since September, leading to higher production costs for end devices [3]. - The cost of storage now accounts for over 20% of the bill of materials (BOM) for laptops, up from 10%-18% [3]. AI Business Growth - AI-related revenue accounted for 29% of total revenue in the first half of the fiscal year, a 15 percentage point increase year-on-year [6]. - AI PC shipments represented 33% of total shipments in the second quarter, with Lenovo holding a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market [6]. - Revenue from AI servers and digital solutions saw double-digit growth, with solution service revenue increasing by 19% and operating profit rising by 28% [6]. R&D Investment - Lenovo's R&D expenditure increased by 8% in the first half of the fiscal year, focusing on hybrid AI strategies to convert technology into scalable revenue growth [6]. - The company aims to leverage its established supply chain to mitigate cost fluctuations in the short term while investing in AI development for long-term growth opportunities [6].

Major Events - Sanofi Pharmaceutical (01530) proposes to spin off Mandi International and independently list it on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - Youbao Online (02429) signs a trusted asset management platform service agreement with Ant Chain Technology [1] - Jianxi Technology-B (09877) reports 6-month clinical follow-up results for LuX-Valve Plus TRINITY study on patients with large valve rings [1] - Fuhong Hanlin (02696) announces that Hanshu® (Sru Li monoclonal antibody injection) combined with chemotherapy for gastric cancer neoadjuvant/adjuvant treatment has been officially included in the breakthrough therapy drug program by the National Medical Products Administration [1] - Kaizhile International (02122) partners with globally renowned toy company Jazwares to launch HELLO KITTY AND FRIENDS toys [1] Operating Performance - ZTO Express-W (02057) reports third-quarter net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.524 billion yuan, an increase of 5.32% year-on-year [1] - Lenovo Group (00992) announces interim results with a profit attributable to shareholders of 846 million USD, a year-on-year growth of 40% [1] - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) releases third-quarter results showing a profit attributable to shareholders of 3.511 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.06% year-on-year [1] - NetEase-S (09999) reports third-quarter net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 8.616 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.77%, with a dividend of 0.114 USD per share [1] - Jingyou Pharmaceutical (00858) issues a profit warning, expecting a mid-term loss of approximately 450 million to 480 million HKD, transitioning from profit to loss year-on-year [1]

Group 1 - Lenovo and the Chinese Football Association have launched the first AI Command Center for football events in China, marking a significant step towards the integration of AI and sports [1][2] - The AI Command Center features a large-screen visualization and intelligent interaction model, covering three core functions: event status, event supervision, and command scheduling [1] - The center's operational management capabilities include real-time display of standings for 16 Chinese Super League teams, match schedules, and weather conditions across different regions [1] Group 2 - The establishment of the AI Command Center is expected to inject strong development momentum into the intelligent, professional, and international aspects of Chinese football [2] - Lenovo's full-stack AI has already been implemented across various industries, including manufacturing, education, and finance, showcasing its versatility [2] - Industry experts view Lenovo's push into "AI + Sports" as an expansion of its intelligent business sector, indicating ongoing growth in the AI ecosystem [3]