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中金点评联想Q2业绩:AI PC推动结构性需求升级 维持目标价14.8港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 03:44
联想集团公布 2QFY26 业绩:公司营收为 204.52 亿美元,同比增长 14.6%;non-HKFRS 净利润 5.12 亿 美元,同比增长25.2%;归母净利润 3.40 亿美元,同比下降 5.1%,其中与认股权证相关的非现金公允 价值收益为 1.48 亿美元、可换股债券的名义利息为 2847 万美元。 对此,中金公司发布观点称,整体业绩超出预期,主要由于:1)三大业务集团和全区域市场均实现双 位数营收增长,AI 相关收入业务营收占比同比提升 13ppt 至 30%;2)运营利润率提升。 发展趋势来看,AI PC 推动结构性需求升级,积极应对上游核心元器件涨价。2QFY26 公司 IDG 收入同 比增长 11.8%至 151.07 亿美元,运营利润率为 7.3%。根据 IDC,3Q25 全球 PC 出货量同比增长 9.4%,联想增速高于行业,PC 出货量同比增长 17.3%,龙头优势持续扩大,市占率达到 25.5%,主要 得益于 AI PC 加速渗透和全球化供应链布局下的效率优势。根据公司官微,联想在全球 Windows AI PC 市场份额为 31.1%,稳居全球第一;具有 五大 AI 特征的 AI ...
何同学称今年公司亏损百万;蚂蚁回应灵光与千问竞争丨新鲜早科技
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-21 03:09
早上好,新的一天又开始了。在过去的24小时内,科技行业发生了哪些有意思的事情?来跟21tech一起 看看吧。 【巨头风向标】 何同学称公司今年亏损百万:一条微博"影响比较大" 近日,何同学在《罗永浩的十字路口》访谈中被问及公司今年盈利情况,何同学表示:"我们今年可能 亏个一两百万。当然我们今年亏钱,主要还是因为我发了一条微博影响比较大。" "因为其实客户来投 我们其实就是投我这个名字,投我们这个频道。但如果说我们最核心的资产,我们的品牌形象有了很大 的问题,那确实是不可能的。但是我对于发这条微博确实我是非常抱歉的。"4 月 11 日,何同学曾发布 一条微博,称自己现在打网约车时,除非司机服务 "好到想打好评的程度",否则会直接拒绝给司机好 评,引发群嘲。 魅族回应出售总部大楼 21世纪经济报道新质生产力研究院综合报道 11月20日,有报道称,平台显示,位于广东省珠海市高新区唐家湾的一处高端综合办公园区正在出售 中,发布人为黄先生,标价2.5亿元,总面积约23848.55平方米。经查询具体地址发现,该定位在百度地 图标记为"魅族科技楼",挂牌的大楼外观也和魅族官网的总部大楼外观相符,只是没有了魅族Logo和字 ...
高盛点赞联想集团供应链议价能力! 维持目标价13.62港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 02:45
具体业务板块表现来看: 智能设备集团:营收环比增长 12%,占总营收的 74%;尽管存储芯片成本上升,营业利润率仍稳定在 7.3%(2024 年三季度为 7.3%)。2025 年三季度(自然年),联想全球个人电脑出货量市场份额进一步提升 至 26%,同比增长 17%(全球市场同比增长 9%);人工智能个人电脑渗透率达 33%,在 Windows 系统人 工智能个人电脑领域的全球出货量市场份额为 31%。强劲的业绩表现印证了我们对联想领先市场地位 的积极看法,同时也体现出在行业整合及人工智能个人电脑趋势崛起的背景下,公司持续扩大市场份 额。在存储芯片成本上升的环境下,联想强大的供应链议价能力及产品结构升级举措有效支撑了其利润 率水平。 基础设施方案集团:营收环比下降 5%,占总营收的 20%;营业利润率改善至 - 0.8%(2024 年三季度为 - 1.1%)。尽管营收环比下滑,但受以下因素驱动,同比增长仍保持稳健的 24%:(1)人工智能应用普及推 动人工智能服务器营收实现高双位数增长;(2)新增云服务提供商(CSP)客户;(3)企业及中小企业(SMB) 转型持续推进。利润率提升反映出随着人工智能服务器规模扩 ...
高盛点评联想Q2业绩:供应链有强劲议价能力 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 02:42
11月20日,联想集团公布截至2025年9月30日的2025/26财年第二财季业绩:当季营收同比增长15%至 1464亿元人民币,创下财季历史新高,并显著超出市场普遍预期;经调整后的净利润同比增长25%,达 36.6亿元人民币,净利增速远超营收增速,展现了集团在复杂环境下稳健前行的经营韧性与战略确定 性。 智能设备集团:营收环比增长 12%,占总营收的 74%;尽管存储芯片成本上升,营业利润率仍稳定在 7.3%(2024 年三季度为 7.3%)。2025 年三季度(自然年),联想全球个人电脑出货量市场份额进一步 提升至 26%,同比增长 17%(全球市场同比增长 9%);人工智能个人电脑渗透率达 33%,在 Windows 系统人工智能个人电脑领域的全球出货量市场份额为 31%。强劲的业绩表现印证了我们对联想领先市 场地位的积极看法,同时也体现出在行业整合及人工智能个人电脑趋势崛起的背景下,公司持续扩大市 场份额。在存储芯片成本上升的环境下,联想强大的供应链议价能力及产品结构升级举措有效支撑了其 利润率水平。 基础设施方案集团:营收环比下降 5%,占总营收的 20%;营业利润率改善至 - 0.8%(2024 ...
中金:维持联想集团跑赢行业评级 目标价14.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 02:37
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a potential upside of 52% based on a non-HKFRS net profit metric [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, and a non-HKFRS net profit of USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - Overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: AI PC and Market Position - The company's IDG revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3% [3] - Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, increasing its market share to 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure Growth - The ISG revenue for 2QFY26 increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improved operating profit margins [4] - The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, with AI server revenue showing high double-digit growth and strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]
中金:维持联想集团(00992)跑赢行业评级 目标价14.8港元
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 02:29
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains Lenovo Group's FY2026/27 profit forecast largely unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to 9.3x/8.0x P/E ratios for FY2026/27, and maintains an outperform rating with a target price of HKD 14.8, indicating a 52% upside potential [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported 2QFY26 revenue of USD 20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%; non-HKFRS net profit was USD 512 million, up 25.2%; and net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 340 million, which included a non-cash fair value gain of USD 148 million related to warrants and nominal interest of USD 28.47 million from convertible bonds [2] - The overall performance exceeded expectations due to double-digit revenue growth across all three business groups and regions, with AI-related revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The IDG segment's revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.107 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3%. Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outpaced the industry average of 9.4%, leading to a market share of 25.5% [3] - Lenovo holds a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, maintaining its leading position, with AI PC products accounting for 30% of notebook shipments in mainland China [3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure - The ISG segment's revenue increased by 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.087 billion, with improvements in operating profit margins. The cloud infrastructure business achieved record revenue for the period, and AI server revenue saw high double-digit growth with strong order reserves [4] - The enterprise infrastructure business is undergoing a transformation to cater to different business models for large enterprises and SMEs [4]
联想集团:第二财季实现营收1464亿元,AI相关业务占比提升至30%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-21 02:21
11月20日,联想集团公布截至2025年9月30日的2025/26财年第二财季业绩:当季营收同比增长15%至 1464亿元(人民币,下同),创下财季历史新高,并显著超出市场普遍预期;经调整后的净利润同比增 长25%至36.6亿元,净利增速远超营收增速,展现了集团在复杂环境下稳健前行的经营韧性与战略确定 性。 值得关注的是,在第二财季,联想的AI相关业务营收在总营收中的占比已提升至30%,同比提升13个百 分点,标志着人工智能不仅成为联想创新核心驱动力,更成为业绩的实质性贡献来源。随着AI渗透加 速、应用场景落地愈发多样化,AI业务正在从辅助角色成长为联想业务版图中的核心增长主线。 第二财季,联想实现了全业务集团与全区域市场的双位数营收增长:IDG智能设备业务集团延续领先优 势,在全球PC市场加速复苏的大背景下实现营收1081亿元,同比增长12%,其中个人电脑市场份额更 是史上首次超过25%,进一步巩固在端侧AI市场中的领先地位;ISG基础设施方案业务集团实现营收约 293亿元,同比增长24%,其中AI基础设施营收显著跃升;SSG解决方案与服务业务集团营收同比增长 近20%,连续第18个季度实现双位数增长的同时 ...
联想集团(00992):发挥供应链优势应对存储周期影响
HTSC· 2025-11-21 02:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Lenovo, with a target price adjusted to HKD 14.00 from the previous HKD 16.00, reflecting a 12.5% decrease [5][7]. Core Insights - Lenovo reported a revenue of USD 20.45 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.6%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate by 1.7%. The Non-HKFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 512 million, up 25.2% year-over-year, exceeding the company's prior guidance by approximately 19% [1][5]. - The company benefits from a strong position in the global PC market, holding the largest market share and demonstrating robust supply chain management capabilities, which enhances its resilience against industry cycles [1][2]. - The AI-related business has become a core growth driver, with its revenue contribution reaching 30% and a year-over-year increase of 13 percentage points [1][5]. Summary by Sections IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) - IDG's revenue increased by 11.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit margin of 60%. The global PC market share rose by 1.8 percentage points to 25.6%, marking a record high [2]. - Driven by mixed AI demand, PC revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, with AI PC penetration increasing by 16 percentage points to 33% of total shipments [2]. ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - ISG's revenue grew by 23.7% year-over-year, primarily due to strong demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions. The AI server business recorded high double-digit revenue growth [3]. - The Neptune liquid cooling technology saw a revenue increase of 154% year-over-year, reinforcing the company's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [3]. SSG (Solutions and Services Group) - SSG achieved an 18.3% year-over-year revenue growth, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [4]. - The project and solution services, along with operational services, accounted for 60% of SSG's total revenue, indicating a stable growth trajectory [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects a slight decrease in Non-HKFRS net profit estimates for FY26, FY27, and FY28 by 1.8%, 1.7%, and 1.7% respectively, with expected profits of USD 1.66 billion, USD 1.85 billion, and USD 2.08 billion [5][10]. - The expected Non-HKFRS EPS for FY26, FY27, and FY28 is projected to be USD 0.12, USD 0.14, and USD 0.15 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 15.5%, 11.4%, and 12.4% [5][10].
联想杨元庆:不认为AI存在泡沫
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-21 02:04
Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group's recent financial results indicate strong growth across various business segments, with a notable increase in AI-related revenue, reflecting the company's confidence in the ongoing demand for AI technologies and solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - Lenovo reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth for the second quarter, reaching 146.4 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit increasing by 25% to 3.66 billion yuan [1]. - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated 108.1 billion yuan in revenue, up 12% year-on-year; the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a 24% increase to approximately 29.3 billion yuan; and the Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved 18% growth, totaling 18.3 billion yuan [1]. AI Business Insights - AI-related business revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, with AI terminal devices contributing 36% to IDG's overall revenue, marking a 17 percentage point increase year-on-year [1]. - The CEO emphasized that AI encompasses more than just large language models, highlighting its applications in computer vision, autonomous driving, and industrial automation, suggesting that the AI sector is in its early stages of widespread adoption [2][3]. Market Trends and Challenges - The CEO addressed the ongoing price increases in storage chips due to supply-demand imbalances driven by AI technology advancements, indicating that this trend may persist into next year [3]. - Lenovo's robust supply chain management and long-term supplier relationships are expected to mitigate the impact of cost fluctuations on profit margins, with a focus on maintaining double-digit growth in gross and net margins [3]. Windows 10 Update Impact - The transition from Windows 10 is not expected to significantly hinder the PC market, as the upgrade cycle is still ongoing, with AI PCs becoming a central driver of market demand [4][5]. - Lenovo anticipates a 5%-10% growth in the global PC market by 2026, supported by the end of the Windows 10 update cycle and the rise of AI PCs [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo is accelerating its investment in enterprise-level AI infrastructure, aiming to shift AI computing from public cloud training to local data centers and edge-side inference [5]. - The company plans to leverage hybrid AI solutions and customized services to facilitate the intelligent transformation of enterprise clients, which is expected to open new market opportunities and restore profitability in its infrastructure business [5].
越跌越买!规模最大的恒生科技指数ETF、恒生互联网ETF连续16日获资金净申购
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 01:56
②英伟达强劲的Q3财报数据以及Q4指引,或有助于平息"AI泡沫论"。叠加阿里将于11月25日公布财 报。 ①近期"AI泡沫论"+美元市场流动性紧张(美政府停摆+12月降息概率走低),港股科技股承压下跌。 ②恒生科技指数年内涨幅超20%的情况下,机构倾向于锁定利润,转而关注稳定性更高的红利资产。③ 港股年初IPO和配售个股迎来解禁期。 但积极因素同样在积累: ①恒生科技指数10月以来持续回调,自10月3日至今累计回调幅度超18%。 受隔夜超预期的9月非农数据+美股跳水下跌,今日港股全线低开,恒生科技指数跌2.21%,恒生互联网 ETF、恒生科技指数ETF分别跌2%和1.6%。 资金却选择越跌越买,恒生科技指数ETF自10月30日-11月20日的16个交易日连续获资金净申购,合计 净流入额44.72亿元,期内下跌10.11%。恒生互联网ETF同样上演16日净流入,合计净流入25.18亿元, 期内下跌10.24%。 港股近期持续调整的原因: ③美联储12月1日暂停缩表+9月非农数据虽超预期,但美联储更关注的失业率连续三个月上升。 相关产品,及截至发稿涨跌幅: 港股全科技赛道:恒生科技指数ETF(513180),-1 ...