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成功预判存储涨价潮!联想集团内存库存较往常高出50%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 07:27
"当然,(相关产品)价格正涨得非常、非常厉害,而且我认为,在人工智能需求推动下,这样的涨价速 度是前所未有的,郑孝明表示。他补充称,联想已经签订了长期合同,并且拥有规模优势,"那些供应 有保障的公司实际上能够在市场上占据一席之地。" 郑孝明称,联想集团本季度将力求避免把不断上涨的成本转嫁给客户,以维持今年的强劲销售增势。他 还表示,公司2026年将在价格和供货能力之间找到平衡。 11月25日,据媒体报道,联想集团(00992)已囤积内存及其他关键零部件,以应对由人工智能热潮引发 的供应短缺。 "联想当前的零部件库存较往常高出了约50%",联想集团首席财务官郑孝明(Winston Cheng)周一向媒体 电视表示。 全球范围的AI数据中心建设热潮,正在推高消费电子产品制造商的采购成本,但联想也从中看到了机 遇,希望借助其库存优势获利。 上周联想集团Q2业绩会上联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆表示,公司已与关键零部件供应商签署长期供 货合同。作为核心零部件的大买家,联想能够在供应链谈判中占据更主动的位置,这本身就是应对市场 波动的重要优势。比如在PC领域,庞大的采购量不仅能获得更优的价格成本,还能与供应商建立更深 的 ...
成功预判存储涨价潮!联想集团(00992)内存库存较往常高出50%
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 07:05
"联想当前的零部件库存较往常高出了约50%",联想集团首席财务官郑孝明(Winston Cheng)周一向彭博 电视表示。 全球范围的AI 数据中心建设热潮,正在推高消费电子产品制造商的采购成本,但联想也从中看到了机 遇,希望借助其库存优势获利。 智通财经APP获悉,11月25日,据彭博社报道,联想集团(00992)已囤积内存及其他关键零部件,以应对 由人工智能热潮引发的供应短缺。 "当然,(相关产品)价格正涨得非常、非常厉害,而且我认为,在人工智能需求推动下,这样的涨价速 度是前所未有的,郑孝明表示。他补充称,联想已经签订了长期合同,并且拥有规模优势,"那些供应 有保障的公司实际上能够在市场上占据一席之地。" 上周联想集团Q2业绩会上联想集团董事长兼CEO杨元庆表示,公司已与关键零部件供应商签署长期供 货合同。作为核心零部件的大买家,联想能够在供应链谈判中占据更主动的位置,这本身就是应对市场 波动的重要优势。比如在PC领域,庞大的采购量不仅能获得更优的价格成本,还能与供应商建立更深 的战略绑定,这是中小玩家难以比拟的"规模护城河"。 郑孝明称,联想集团本季度将力求避免把不断上涨的成本转嫁给客户,以维持今年的 ...
AI服务器需求强劲!光大证券维持联想“增持”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 06:32
Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth to 146.4 billion RMB for Q2 FY26, achieving a historical high for the quarter and significantly exceeding market expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 25% year-on-year to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating strong operational resilience and strategic certainty in a complex environment [1] Business Segment Summaries PC Business - FY26Q2 PC revenue rose by 17% year-on-year, with a market share of 25.5% in PC shipments, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year according to IDC data [1] - Lenovo's AI PC segment led the global Windows AI PC market with a shipment share of 31.1%, accounting for 33% of total PC shipments in FY26Q2 [1] Smartphone Business - The activation of new smartphone models reached a historical high, driven by strong sales of high-end models like Razr and Edge [1] - Sales performance was particularly strong in the Asia-Pacific region and the Indian market, with the company effectively leveraging supply chain advantages to mitigate storage price increases [1] ISG Business - FY26Q2 ISG revenue was $4.087 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue up 21% and enterprise infrastructure revenue up 30% [2] - AI server revenue experienced double-digit growth due to increased adoption and product iteration, while the Neptune liquid cooling solution saw a 154% year-on-year revenue increase [2] - The operating loss narrowed to $0.032 billion from $0.036 billion year-on-year, indicating improved profitability in the Chinese market [2] SSG Business - FY26Q2 SSG revenue reached a historical high of $2.556 billion, an 18% year-on-year increase, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters [2] - The operating profit margin remained stable at 22% year-on-year, with support services revenue up 16% and deferred revenue reaching $3.6 billion, a 17% increase [2] - Operations and project solutions revenue grew by 29% and 13% year-on-year, respectively, contributing to 59.9% of total SSG revenue, which is a 1 percentage point increase year-on-year [2]
AI服务器需求强劲!光大证券维持联想(00992)“增持”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 06:10
Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group reported strong financial results for the second quarter of FY26, with revenue reaching 146.4 billion RMB, a 15% year-on-year increase, and adjusted net profit growing by 25% to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating robust operational resilience and strategic certainty in a complex environment [1] Group 1: PC Business - FY26Q2 PC revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, with a market share of 25.5% in PC shipments, up 1.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - Lenovo's AI PC segment achieved a 31.1% share of the global Windows AI PC market, with AI PCs accounting for 33% of total PC shipments in FY26Q2 [1] Group 2: Smartphone Business - The activation of new smartphone models reached a historical high in FY26Q2, driven by strong sales of high-end models such as Razr and Edge [1] - Sales performance in the Asia-Pacific region and the high-end market in India showed significant improvement, with the company effectively leveraging its supply chain to mitigate storage price pressures [1] Group 3: ISG Business - FY26Q2 ISG business revenue was $4.087 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue up 21% and enterprise infrastructure revenue up 30% [2] - AI server revenue experienced double-digit growth due to increased adoption and product iteration, while the Neptune liquid cooling solution saw a remarkable 154% year-on-year revenue increase [2] Group 4: SSG Business - FY26Q2 SSG business revenue reached a record high of $2.556 billion, an 18% year-on-year increase, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters [2] - Support services revenue rose by 16%, with deferred revenue reaching $3.6 billion, up 17% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in operational and project solutions [2]
联想集团疯狂囤积PC内存:足以支撑至2026年底!
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 05:59
Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group has accumulated memory and other critical components to address supply shortages driven by the AI boom, with current inventory levels approximately 50% higher than usual [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Management - The global AI data center construction surge is increasing procurement costs for consumer electronics manufacturers, but Lenovo sees an opportunity to profit from its inventory advantage [1] - Lenovo has signed long-term contracts with key component suppliers, allowing the company to take a more proactive position in supply chain negotiations [1] Group 2: Pricing Strategy - Lenovo aims to avoid passing rising costs onto customers to maintain strong sales momentum this year, with a goal to balance pricing and supply capabilities by 2026 [1] - The company is experiencing unprecedented price increases for related products due to AI demand, as stated by CFO Winston Cheng [1] Group 3: Competitive Advantage - As a major buyer of core components, Lenovo's large procurement volume enables it to secure better pricing and establish deeper strategic ties with suppliers, creating a competitive "scale moat" that smaller players cannot match [1]
供应链优势足以应对存储涨价压力!光大证券力推联想集团
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 05:53
Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a 15% year-on-year revenue increase to 146.4 billion RMB for Q2 FY26, marking a historical high for the quarter and significantly exceeding market expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit rose by 25% year-on-year to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating strong operational resilience and strategic certainty in a complex environment [1] Business Segment Summaries PC Business - FY26Q2 PC revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, with a market share of 25.5% in Q3 FY25, up by 1.7 percentage points [1] - Lenovo's AI PC segment led the global Windows AI PC market with a 31.1% shipment share, accounting for 33% of total PC shipments in FY26Q2 [1] Smartphone Business - FY26Q2 saw record high activation of new smartphone models, driven by strong sales of high-end models like Razr and Edge [1] - The Asia-Pacific region and the Indian market showed robust sales performance, with the company effectively leveraging supply chain advantages to mitigate storage price pressures [1] ISG Business - FY26Q2 ISG revenue reached $4.087 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue up 21% and enterprise infrastructure revenue up 30% [2] - AI server revenue experienced high double-digit growth due to increased downstream AI adoption and product iterations, while the Neptune liquid cooling solution revenue surged by 154% [2] - Operating loss narrowed to $0.032 billion from $0.036 billion year-on-year, with profitability in the Chinese market improving [2] SSG Business - FY26Q2 SSG revenue hit a historical high of $2.556 billion, an 18% year-on-year increase, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters [2] - Support services revenue rose by 16%, with deferred revenue reaching $3.6 billion, up 17% year-on-year [2] - Operations and project solutions revenue increased by 29% and 13% respectively, contributing to 59.9% of total SSG revenue, indicating a core engine for profit growth [2]
开源证券:充分消化存储涨价体现供应链韧性 维持联想“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 05:46
开源证券发布点评报告称,分业务线来看,(1)IDG:实现收入151.1亿美元,同比增长11.8%,2025Q3联 想/行业PC出货量同比增长17.3%/9.4%(IDC数据),联想持续优于行业,或表明此前所预期的win11换机 潮正逐步兑现。AI PC出货量占比达到33%,估算当前联想AI PC均价为800-850美元,较普通PC均价提 升明显,从而实现本轮换机行情中量价起升。opm为7.29%,同比微降0.04pct;(2)ISG:实现收入40.87 亿美元,同比增长23.7%,AI服务器收入同比高双位数增长,需求保持强劲。opm为-2.7%,亏损率环比 收窄,公司当前CSP订单充足,规模效应有望逐步呈现,期待后续实现可持续性盈利;(3)SSG:收入 25.56亿美元,同比增长18.1%,发展韧性较强,递延收益36亿美元(同比增长17%)提升业务可预见性。 opm为22.34%,同比提升1.91pcts。 据此,开源证券认为,联想有着丰富的零部件价格波动应对经验,同时公司也是市场上的大型买方,拥 有优于同行的议价能力与拿货能力,亦可通过新品推出、产品及客户结构调整、有限度的下游传导等方 式调节成本影响。 近 ...
开源证券:充分消化存储涨价体现供应链韧性 维持联想(00992)“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 05:41
Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth to 146.4 billion RMB for Q2 of the fiscal year 2025/26, achieving a historical high for the quarter and significantly exceeding market expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 25% year-on-year to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating strong operational resilience and strategic certainty in a complex environment [1] Business Segment Analysis - **IDG (Intelligent Devices Group)**: Revenue reached 15.11 billion USD, up 11.8% year-on-year. Lenovo's PC shipment growth of 17.3% outperformed the industry average of 9.4%, suggesting the anticipated Windows 11 upgrade cycle is materializing. AI PC shipments accounted for 33%, with an estimated average price of 800-850 USD, significantly higher than regular PCs, contributing to both volume and price increases [2] - **ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group)**: Revenue was 4.087 billion USD, a 23.7% year-on-year increase. AI server revenue saw strong double-digit growth, with robust demand. The operating profit margin (OPM) was -2.7%, but losses narrowed sequentially, supported by a healthy backlog of CSP orders and potential for sustainable profitability [2] - **SSG (Solutions and Services Group)**: Revenue reached 2.556 billion USD, growing 18.1% year-on-year. Deferred revenue increased to 3.6 billion USD, up 17% year-on-year, enhancing business predictability. OPM improved to 22.34%, up 1.91 percentage points [2] Competitive Positioning - Lenovo possesses extensive experience in managing component price fluctuations and is a major buyer in the market, which provides it with superior bargaining power and procurement capabilities. The company can mitigate cost impacts through new product launches, adjustments in product and customer mix, and limited downstream cost transmission [2]
联想供应链韧性强韧可消化存储价格波动!开源证券维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 05:39
分业务线来看,(1)IDG:实现收入151.1亿美元,同比增长11.8%,2025Q3联想/行业PC出货量同比增 长17.3%/9.4%(IDC数据),联想持续优于行业,或表明此前所预期的win11换机潮正逐步兑现。AI PC 出货量占比达到33%,估算当前联想AI PC均价为800-850美元,较普通PC均价提升明显,从而实现本轮 换机行情中量价起升。opm为7.29%,同比微降 0.04 pct;(2)ISG:实现收入40.87亿美元,同比增长 23.7%,AI服务器收入同比高双位数增长,需求保持强劲。opm为-2.7%,亏损率环比收窄,公司当前 CSP订单充足,规模效应有望逐步呈现,期待后续实现可持续性盈利;(3)SSG:收入25.56亿美元, 同比增长18.1%,发展韧性较强,递延收益36亿美元(同比增长17%)提升业务可预见性。opm为 22.34%,同比提升1.91 pcts。 据此,开源证券认为,联想有着丰富的零部件价格波动应对经验,同时公司也是市场上的大型买方,拥 有优于同行的议价能力与拿货能力,亦可通过新品推出、产品及客户结构调整、有限度的下游传导等方 式调节成本影响。 近日,联想集团公布截 ...
20年来最缺,有钱也买不到存储芯片了
半导体行业观察· 2025-11-25 01:20
Core Viewpoint - The memory module industry is experiencing the most severe shortage in 20 years due to surging AI demand, with customers receiving only 30% of their orders, leading to significant price increases expected to last for at least two to three quarters [1][2]. Group 1: Memory Shortage Insights - The current memory shortage is not driven by economic cycles but by strong demand from AI, cloud data centers, and high-performance computing, compounded by production adjustments favoring DRAM over NAND Flash [1][2]. - Major electronic brands are elevating procurement discussions to the highest levels, with company leaders personally negotiating for memory supplies, yet availability remains extremely limited [1][2]. - DDR4 and DDR5 memory supplies are tight, with DDR3 prices having doubled from their lows, and DDR5 prices expected to rise more than DDR4 starting this quarter [2]. Group 2: Lenovo's Strategy - Lenovo is stockpiling memory components, increasing its inventory by approximately 50% compared to normal levels, to mitigate the impact of rising memory prices [3][4]. - This strategy positions Lenovo to maintain competitive pricing for its OEM PC and laptop products through 2026, potentially giving it an advantage over competitors who have not stockpiled [3][4]. - The surge in demand for DRAM chips, particularly from AI companies, has led to skyrocketing prices, with some memory kits exceeding the cost of a PS5 console [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Memory manufacturers are prioritizing supply to AI firms like NVIDIA, resulting in limited availability for other markets, and production increases are not anticipated to address the current shortages [4]. - Analysts suggest that the current price surge in memory could persist for up to ten years, with the market expected to remain volatile until at least the end of 2026 [4].