1月30日，新诺威（300765）及其间接控股股东石药集团相继公告，宣布与全球生物制药巨头阿斯利康 (AstraZeneca)签署战略研发合作与授权协议，将在创新多肽分子发现和长效递送产品的开发领域开展全 面战略合作。 合作总金额 最高可达185亿美元 根据石药集团公告，在中国以外，阿斯利康将获得该集团"每月一次注射用体重管理产品组合"的全球独 家权利——包括一个临床准备就绪的项目SYH2082(长效GLP1R/GIPR激动剂，正推进至I期临床)，以及 三个处于临床前阶段、具备不同作用机制的研发项目。 根据石药集团公告，阿斯利康将向石药集团支付12亿美元预付款。此外，石药集团有权获得最高35亿美 元的潜在研发里程碑付款和最高138亿美元的潜在销售里程碑付款，以及基于相关授权产品年净销售额 的最高达双位数比例的销售提成。若所有里程碑均达成，该合作总金额最高可达185亿美元。 针对此次合作，添翼数字经济智库高级研究员吴婉莹对记者表示，此次石药集团与阿斯利康创纪录的战 略合作，标志着其"创新+国际化"战略取得里程碑式突破，不仅以巨额合作金额强力验证了其AI药物发 现与缓释给药等前沿技术平台的全球竞争力，为正处于传统 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the overseas education sector, particularly highlighting key companies in the education and training industry [1]. Core Insights - The overseas education sector has shown significant improvement in operational efficiency, with a focus on key companies in the education and training industry [1]. - New Oriental (09901.HK) reported a revenue of $1.191 billion for Q2 FY26, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, with a Non-GAAP net profit of $73 million, reflecting a 68.6% increase [6]. - Oriental Selection (01797.HK) achieved a revenue of 2.31 billion yuan in 1H FY26, up 5.7% year-on-year, and turned a profit with a net profit of 239 million yuan [9]. Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Education - The education index surged by 7.2% in the week of January 23-29, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 2.2 percentage points [5]. - New Oriental's education business (including cultural tourism) generated $974 million, a 13% increase year-on-year, while other businesses (mainly Oriental Selection) saw a 22.9% revenue growth [6]. - The study abroad business's revenue growth has stabilized, with a 1% increase year-on-year, although it has slowed compared to previous periods [6]. 2. Oriental Selection - The company reported a revenue of 2.31 billion yuan in 1H FY26, marking a 5.7% increase year-on-year, and achieved profitability with a net profit of 239 million yuan [9]. - The gross merchandise volume (GMV) from self-operated products reached 2.16 billion yuan, with a significant improvement in gross margin from 21.5% to 33.7% year-on-year [10]. - The company is expanding its product offerings and enhancing operational efficiency, with a focus on increasing the utilization rate of existing teaching sites [7]. 3. Overseas Pharmaceuticals - The report highlights a strategic R&D collaboration between CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and AstraZeneca, valued at $18.5 billion, focusing on innovative long-acting peptide drugs [3][19]. - The agreement includes a $1.2 billion upfront payment and potential milestone payments totaling up to $13.8 billion, along with sales royalties based on net sales [19]. 4. Overseas Social Services - Macau's gaming revenue maintained double-digit growth, with December's gross gaming revenue reaching 20.9 billion MOP, a 14.8% year-on-year increase [23]. - The total visitor count for Macau in 2025 reached 40.06 million, a 14.7% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [23].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 30 Jan 2026 石药集团 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 长效多肽产品组合授权阿斯利康，加速全球创新药布局 Long-Acting Peptide Product Portfolio Out-licensed to AZ, Accelerating Global Innovative Drug Deployment 孟科含 Kehan Meng 聂照亿 Zhaoyi Nie 3）双方还将依托该等平台就另外四个新增项目开展合作。 kh.meng@htisec.com john.zy.nie@htisec.com 交易对价 [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件 石药创新（新诺威 300765.SZ，石药集团的控股子公司）的控股子公司巨石生物及石药集团、中奇制药（石药集团 的全资控股子公司）共同与阿斯利康签署《战略合作与授权协议》，将与阿斯利康 ...

Core Insights - AstraZeneca has announced a collaboration with China National Pharmaceutical Group (CSPC) for a licensing agreement valued at up to $18.5 billion, focusing on the development of obesity and diabetes medications [1][2] - The partnership will leverage CSPC's proprietary sustained-release drug delivery technology and AI drug discovery platform to jointly develop innovative long-acting peptide drugs [1] - This agreement marks CSPC's largest business development deal to date, with potential total payments reaching $18.5 billion if all milestones are achieved [2] Financial Aspects - CSPC will receive an upfront payment of $1.2 billion, with the potential for up to $3.5 billion in research milestone payments and up to $13.8 billion in sales milestone payments, along with a double-digit percentage royalty on annual net sales of the licensed products [1][2] - The deal is expected to significantly support AstraZeneca's pipeline for obesity drugs, which currently includes three candidates at various stages of development [5] Market Context - The global obesity drug market is projected to reach $100 billion by 2030, indicating a rapidly growing sector where AstraZeneca aims to compete against established players like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly [5] - The collaboration is part of a broader trend where multinational pharmaceutical companies are increasingly investing in the Chinese market, driven by the need for high-quality drug pipelines amid patent expirations and declining R&D efficiency [6][7] Strategic Importance - AstraZeneca plans to invest $15 billion in the Chinese market by 2030 to enhance its capabilities in drug production and R&D, which is crucial for achieving its goal of launching 20 innovative drugs by that year [6] - The partnership with CSPC is seen as a complement to AstraZeneca's investment strategy in China, reinforcing its commitment to local innovation and development [6] Industry Trends - By 2025, China's innovative drug licensing transactions are expected to exceed $130 billion, reflecting a significant increase in the number of deals and the value of Chinese biotech assets [7] - The shift from simple licensing to more complex collaborations indicates that Chinese pharmaceutical companies are poised to capture a larger share of the global pharmaceutical value chain [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - AstraZeneca has announced a collaboration with China National Pharmaceutical Group (CSPC) to develop obesity and diabetes drugs, with a maximum value of $18.5 billion, aiming to strengthen its position in a rapidly growing market [1][2]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - The agreement allows AstraZeneca exclusive global rights (excluding mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) to develop, produce, and commercialize a weight management product portfolio, including one project entering clinical trials and three preclinical projects [1]. - CSPC will receive a $1.2 billion upfront payment, with potential milestone payments of up to $3.5 billion for development and $13.8 billion for sales, plus a double-digit percentage royalty based on annual net sales of the licensed products [1][2]. Group 2: Market Context - If all milestones are achieved, CSPC could receive a total of $18.5 billion, making it the largest business development deal for the company to date [2]. - The deal is expected to surpass recent significant transactions in the obesity drug market, including Pfizer's acquisition of a weight loss drug startup for over $10 billion [5]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - This collaboration supports AstraZeneca's pipeline for obesity drugs, with three treatments currently in various stages of development, and positions the company to compete in a market dominated by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly [5]. - Analysts predict that the global obesity drug market could reach $100 billion by 2030, highlighting the strategic importance of this collaboration for AstraZeneca [5]. Group 4: Investment in China - AstraZeneca plans to invest $15 billion in the Chinese market by 2030 to enhance its capabilities in drug production and research, which is crucial for achieving its goal of launching 20 innovative drugs by 2030 [6]. - The partnership with CSPC is seen as a complement to this investment strategy, reflecting the increasing focus of multinational pharmaceutical companies on the Chinese market [6]. Group 5: Industry Trends - The Chinese pharmaceutical market is experiencing a surge in innovation, with projections indicating that by 2025, the total value of innovative drug licensing transactions will exceed $130 billion [7]. - The industry is evolving from simple licensing agreements to more complex collaborations, allowing Chinese pharmaceutical companies to capture a larger share of the global pharmaceutical value chain [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The strategic collaboration between Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group and AstraZeneca marks a significant milestone in the outbound business development (BD) of Chinese innovative drugs, with a potential total payment of up to $18.5 billion, setting a new record for BD transactions in the Chinese pharmaceutical industry [1][3]. Group 1: Transaction Details - Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical has signed a strategic R&D cooperation and licensing agreement with AstraZeneca, utilizing its proprietary sustained-release drug delivery technology and peptide drug AI discovery platform to develop innovative long-acting peptide drugs [1]. - The total potential payment of $18.5 billion includes an upfront payment of $1.2 billion, with the remaining $17.3 billion contingent on achieving various R&D and sales milestones over the coming years [3]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Despite the significant deal, Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical's stock experienced a sharp decline, dropping nearly 13% intraday and closing down 10.2%, attributed to profit-taking after a strong pre-announcement stock performance [1][3]. - The overall market sentiment was also negative, with major indices in Hong Kong, including the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index, falling over 2%, impacting the performance of other leading Chinese biopharmaceutical companies [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts suggest that the core logic of domestic innovative drugs remains solid, indicating a favorable window for investment as the BD of Chinese companies accelerates and the price gap for innovative drugs between China and the U.S. narrows, presenting significant long-term growth potential [5]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETF (520880) has seen substantial net subscriptions, indicating ongoing investor interest despite recent market volatility [4].

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 32.22 billion HKD from northbound trading, with 20.39 billion HKD from Shanghai and 11.83 billion HKD from Shenzhen [1] - The most bought stocks included CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) [1] Group 2: Notable Stock Transactions - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) received a net inflow of 9.36 billion HKD, following a strategic cooperation agreement with AstraZeneca for the development of innovative long-acting peptide drugs, potentially worth up to 18.5 billion USD [4] - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) saw a net inflow of 5.89 billion HKD, with positive market sentiment driven by earnings recovery, improved liquidity, low valuations, and policy support [5] - Alibaba Group-W (09988) had a net inflow of 3.29 billion HKD, as it launched a high-end AI chip, enhancing its position in the AI technology sector [5] - Longi Green Energy Technology (06869) experienced a net inflow of 2.41 billion HKD, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure and optical communication upgrades [5] Group 3: Stocks with Significant Net Outflows - Shandong Gold (01787) and Zijin Mining (02899) faced net outflows of 2.06 billion HKD and 6.35 billion HKD respectively, amid significant volatility in the precious metals market [7] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC (00981) saw a net outflow of 545.8 million HKD, with limited impact expected from the approval of H200 chips for the domestic market [7] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net inflow of 9.14 billion HKD, while China Mobile (00941) and CNOOC (00883) faced net outflows of 5.41 billion HKD and 5.25 billion HKD respectively [7]

不过，这一消息发布后，石药集团1月30日股价大跌，收跌10.2%，收盘价报9.6港元/股。旗下A股公司 新诺威收跌15.72%，收盘价为38.87元/股。 北京商报讯（记者 丁宁）1月30日，石药集团（01093.HK）发布公告称，已与阿斯利康签订战略研发合 作与授权协议，以利用石药集团专有的缓释给药技术平台及多肽药物AI发现平台，开发创新长效多肽 药物。 公告显示，本次合作潜在总金额高达185亿美元，其中石药集团将获得12亿美元预付款，还将有权获得 最高35亿美元的潜在研发里程碑付款和最高138亿美元的潜在销售里程碑付款，以及基于相关授权产品 年净销售额的最高双位数比例销售提成。 ...

Group 1 - The net inflow of southbound funds today amounted to 3.22 billion HKD [1] - The top three companies with net inflows were CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, Xiaomi Group-W, and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, with net purchases of 935 million HKD, 914 million HKD, and 590 million HKD respectively [1] - The companies with the highest net outflows included Zijin Mining, China Mobile, and CNOOC, with net sales of 635 million HKD, 541 million HKD, and 526 million HKD respectively [1]

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 32.22 billion HKD today [1] - The top net purchases included: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group at 9.34 billion HKD, Xiaomi Group-W at 9.14 billion HKD, and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong at 5.89 billion HKD [1] - Notable net sales included: Zijin Mining at 6.35 billion HKD, China Mobile at 5.41 billion HKD, and CNOOC at 5.25 billion HKD [1] Group 2 - Southbound funds have recorded a continuous net sell of China Mobile for 20 days, totaling 159.752 billion HKD [1] - Zijin Mining has seen a net sell for 5 consecutive days, amounting to 37.8638 billion HKD [1] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) has also experienced a net sell for 5 consecutive days, totaling 12.2751 billion HKD [1]