Core Insights - The Chinese football shoe market is experiencing significant growth driven by an increase in football participation and favorable policies, with production and sales both thriving [1][9] - Domestic brands are enhancing their R&D efforts and adopting new materials and advanced technologies, enabling them to compete with international brands [1][9] - The market is projected to reach a production volume of 115.86 million pairs and a sales revenue of 15.463 billion yuan in 2024, with further growth expected in 2025 [1][9] Industry Overview - Football shoes are specialized footwear for players, categorized based on the playing surface, including FG, AG, MG, and TF types [2][3] - The domestic market primarily offers MG and TF types, while FG and AG types are less common due to stringent surface requirements [5][9] Market Dynamics - The global football shoe market is also expanding, with a projected production of 233.42 million pairs and a market size of 6.446 billion USD in 2024 [7][9] - In China, the demand for football shoes is largely driven by amateur players, with 59.52 million pairs expected to be sold in 2024, contributing to a market size of approximately 6.708 billion yuan [11][9] Competitive Landscape - The competition in the Chinese football shoe market is characterized by international brands dominating the high-end segment, while domestic brands focus on cost-effectiveness and local market needs [21][26] - Domestic brands are increasingly investing in R&D to improve their product offerings and compete in the mid-range market [26][29] Policy Environment - Recent government policies aim to support the sports industry, including financial backing for sports manufacturing and encouraging participation in outdoor activities [18][20] Future Outlook - The demand for football shoes in China is expected to continue growing, with a structural trend of "amateur dominance and professional follow-up" [29] - Domestic brands are encouraged to enhance their material and design capabilities to penetrate the high-end market effectively [29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The main brand shows stable fundamentals, and the product experience of the professional brand, Saucony, continues to improve [5] - The company reported a revenue of 6.838 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, which aligns with expectations [7] - The gross profit for the same period was 3.074 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 6.9%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 914 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.5% [7] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, distributing an interim dividend of 0.18 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 50% [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 14,345.51 million RMB - 2024: 13,577.22 million RMB (decrease of 5.36%) - 2025E: 14,486.83 million RMB (increase of 6.70%) - 2026E: 15,668.76 million RMB (increase of 8.16%) - 2027E: 17,186.96 million RMB (increase of 9.69%) [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2023: 1,030.01 million RMB - 2024: 1,238.40 million RMB (increase of 20.23%) - 2025E: 1,384.97 million RMB (increase of 11.84%) - 2026E: 1,568.61 million RMB (increase of 13.26%) - 2027E: 1,787.65 million RMB (increase of 13.96%) [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be: - 2023: 11.62% - 2024: 14.23% - 2025E: 13.73% - 2026E: 13.46% - 2027E: 13.30% [6] Brand Performance - The main brand, Xtep, achieved a revenue of 6.053 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [7] - The professional sports segment, including Saucony and Maile, saw a revenue increase of 32.5% to 785 million RMB in the same period [7] - The company is focusing on product iteration and category expansion to drive growth in high-end brands [7]

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks experienced volatility, with the Hang Seng Index closing down 0.21% at 25,122.9 points and a total turnover of 278.2 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.3% to 9,006.23 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.67% to 5,542.03 points [1] Blue Chip Performance - China Resources Beer saw a significant increase of 6.24%, closing at 28.28 HKD, contributing 4.24 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The company reported a revenue of 23.942 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.789 billion RMB, up 23.04% [2] - Other notable blue chips included Zhongsheng Holdings, which rose 8.29%, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical, which increased by 4.75% [2] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks showed mixed results, with Tencent up 0.94% and Alibaba down 0.25% [3] - AI application stocks performed well, with Zhihu-W rising 23% and Fenbi increasing by nearly 14% [3] - The property management sector was active, with Wanwu Cloud rising 7.19% and Sunac Services increasing by 5.18% [4][5] Earnings Reports - Wanwu Cloud reported a revenue of 18.14 billion RMB, a 3.1% year-on-year increase, and a core net profit of 1.32 billion RMB, up 10.8% [5] - Kancheng Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of 1.569 billion RMB, a 23.7% increase, and a net profit of 498 million RMB, up 24.6% [8] - Li Auto announced a revenue of 24.25 billion RMB, a 174% increase, with a gross margin of 14.1% [9] Notable Stock Movements - Dongfang Zhenxuan experienced a significant drop of 20.89%, closing at 34.32 HKD, following rumors regarding its CEO [12] - Gilead Sciences saw a decline of 15.01% after announcing a share placement and a new share subscription at a discount [13]

8月19日，港股体育用品概念股午后走高。 安踏体育(02020.HK)盘中领涨超4%；特步国际(01368.HK)、李宁(02331.HK)跟涨超3%。 高志丹表示，"十四五"期间，体育产业成为经济发展新亮点。 出台冰雪经济、户外运动等政策，推动 体育产业提质增效，体育产业总规模近五年年均增速超10%，"赛事进景区、进街区、进商圈""跟着赛 事去旅行""苏超""村超"火爆出圈。 高志丹同时提到，户外运动发展成果诠释了"绿水青山就是金山银 山"的发展理念，冰雪运动高质量发展激发冰雪经济新活力，体育产业为国民经济增长和地方经济转型 增添了新的动力。 各种运动项目的火热也带动了相关公司的业绩。 特步国际于8月18日公布了2025年上半年未经审核中期业绩。期内。公司业务收入68.38亿元，同比增长 7.1%，归母净利润9.1亿元，同比增涨21.5%。特步国际重申指引，因基于正向销售增长，预计2025年报 表净利润同比增长超过10%，对2025年下半年消费环境持谨慎乐观态度。 中信里昂日前发布研报称，预期中国运动服饰市场占有率将持续增长，上半年销售额年增4.2%。该行 预计，国内品牌的销售额和盈利能力将超过国际运动零售 ...

Group 1 - Citigroup gives a "Buy" rating to China Biologic Products with a target price raised to HKD 10.5, expecting over 19 new products to be approved in the next three years, many with sales potential exceeding HKD 20 billion [1] - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Sea Group, raising the target price to HKD 28, citing significant profit growth and improved profitability due to strong volume and price increases in the first half of the year [4] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health, highlighting strong sales growth in pharmaceuticals and health products, and the efficiency improvements from AI medical applications [2] Group 2 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Netease-S, raising the target price to HKD 240, driven by steady growth in gaming revenue and expectations of new game launches boosting future income [3] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor, raising the target price to HKD 89.2, with expectations of accelerated new car cycles leading to sustained sales and profit growth [5] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Xtep International, noting robust growth driven by e-commerce and double-digit growth in same-store sales for its subsidiary [6] Group 3 - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for Standard Chartered Group, with second-quarter results exceeding expectations, particularly in non-interest income and wealth management [7] - Huaxing Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings, raising the target price to HKD 685, citing strong performance across all business segments, particularly in AI-driven advertising revenue [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 7.1% year-on-year increase in revenue to 6.84 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, and a 21.5% increase in net profit to 910 million RMB, driven by the divestiture of loss-making brands [6][8] - The main brand continues to grow steadily, maintaining the top position in marathon apparel, with a revenue of 6.05 billion RMB, a 4.5% increase year-on-year [6] - The company is focusing on optimizing its multi-brand matrix and has initiated a Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) transformation to enhance market responsiveness and efficiency [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: 143 billion RMB (2023), 136 billion RMB (2024), 143 billion RMB (2025E), 151 billion RMB (2026E), and 161 billion RMB (2027E) [5] - Net profit forecasts are: 10.3 billion RMB (2023), 12.4 billion RMB (2024), 13.7 billion RMB (2025E), 14.9 billion RMB (2026E), and 16.0 billion RMB (2027E) [5] - The company’s gross margin is projected to stabilize around 45% from 2025 to 2027, with a PE ratio of 11 for 2025 [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue increase of 7.1% year-on-year to 6.84 billion HKD and a net profit increase of 21.5% year-on-year to 0.91 billion HKD, with a net profit margin improvement of 1.6 percentage points to 13.4% [1][6]. - The company is focusing on the running ecosystem, iterating products for the mass market, and accelerating its direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategy, which is expected to drive performance growth [1][4]. - The professional sports brand, Saucony, has seen over 30% revenue growth, benefiting from double-digit same-store sales growth and increased online and apparel sales [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 45.0%, with the main brand and professional sports brand gross margins at 43.6% and 55.2%, respectively [3]. - The overall net profit margin increased by 1.6 percentage points to 13.4%, partly due to losses from the K&P brand in the previous period and growth in other income sources [3]. Brand and Product Development - The main brand's revenue grew by 4.5% year-on-year to 6.05 billion HKD, with e-commerce achieving double-digit growth [2]. - New product launches, such as the 160X champion running shoes and 360X 2.0 carbon plate running shoes, have contributed to an increase in average selling price (ASP) for the running category [2]. Future Outlook - The company plans to upgrade its retail strategy in the second half of 2025 by launching the DTC model, aiming to enhance operational efficiency [4]. - Saucony is expected to accelerate its store openings in high-tier cities, with plans to open 30-50 new stores in 2025, which will likely boost store efficiency and operating profit margin [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.37 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.71 billion HKD, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.49, 0.55, and 0.61 HKD [5][11]. - The target price has been adjusted upward by 7.6% to 7.08 HKD, reflecting a revised PE ratio of 13.3x for 2025 [5][11].

大和发布研报称，对特步国际(01368)2025年预测仅作微调，但将2026年每股盈利预测下调2%，以反映 核心特步品牌收入增长可能放缓。该行重申对该公司"买入"评级，估值基于不变的12倍市盈率，应用于 2025至2026年每股盈利平均值(此前为2025年每股盈利);将12个月目标价从6.6港元上调至7港元。 大和又认为，特步国际童装业务将带来进一步上行潜力，管理层预计，该业务未来可见的增长将超越成 人市场。按同口径计算，该行预测公司2025年盈利增长约5%。 特步国际今年上半年净利润按同口径同比增长6.4%，分别超出该行及市场共识预期19%及17%，主要得 益于强劲的营运成本控制，以及专业运动(索康尼(Saucony)及迈乐(Merrell)品牌)业务的营运利润率超出 预期，同比增长6.1个百分点至10%。大和表示，尽管业绩超预期，但对特步2025年预测仅作微调，因 预计下半年营运利润率将因季节性因素减弱，同时Saucony在下半年的市场推广活动(及相关成本)可能 增加。 大和认为，特步国际业绩中最突出之处在于，尽管2025年上半年收入增长放缓，大众市场及专业运动部 门的营运利润率仍保持韧性。然而，鉴于下半 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Daiwa has made slight adjustments to the earnings forecast for Xtep International (01368) for 2025, while lowering the 2026 earnings per share forecast by 2% due to potential slowdown in core brand revenue growth [1] - Daiwa maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised from HKD 6.6 to HKD 7, based on a consistent 12x price-to-earnings ratio applied to the average earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 [1] - Xtep International's net profit for the first half of this year increased by 6.4% year-on-year on a comparable basis, exceeding Daiwa's and market consensus expectations by 19% and 17% respectively, driven by strong operational cost control and improved operating profit margin in the professional sports segment [1] Group 2 - Despite the better-than-expected performance, Daiwa only made slight adjustments to the 2025 forecast, anticipating a decrease in operating profit margin in the second half of the year due to seasonal factors and increased marketing costs for Saucony [1] - The most notable aspect of Xtep International's performance is the resilience of operating profit margins in both the mass market and professional sports segments, despite a slowdown in revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company is expected to face challenges in maintaining profit margins in the second half of 2025 due to product launches and store openings, including the release of Triumph 23 in July 2025 and lifestyle products in Q4 of this year [1] Group 3 - Daiwa believes that Xtep International's children's clothing business will provide further upside potential, with management expecting growth in this segment to outpace that of the adult market [2] - On a comparable basis, Daiwa forecasts the company's earnings growth to be approximately 5% in 2025 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The sportswear sector is experiencing a rise in stock prices, with notable increases for companies such as Anta Sports, Xtep International, Li Ning, and Tabo. [1] Company Summaries - Anta Sports (02020) saw a stock price increase of 4.08%, reaching 97 HKD, supported by strong performance in its diversified brand operations, including Descente and Kolon Sport, which contribute to long-term sustainable growth. The current stock price corresponds to a 2025 PE ratio of 17 times. [1] - Xtep International (01368) increased by 3.74% to 6.38 HKD, with a stable performance from its main brand and growth potential from its new brand Saucony, leading to a 2025 PE ratio of 11 times. [1] - Li Ning (02331) rose by 2.72% to 18.5 HKD, recommended for its long-term earnings elasticity, with a 2025 PE ratio of 18 times. [1] - Tabo (06110) experienced a 2.21% increase to 3.24 HKD, noted for its high dividend yield, making it a company of interest. [1]