机构：东北证券 研究员：刘家薇/苏浩洋 索康尼维持高速增长。2025Q4 索康尼全渠道零售同比增长超30%，环比增速提升。Q2 以来公司对索康 尼电商渠道主动调整，减少低价位段及低折扣产品，。产品方面，索康尼持续增加服装及OG 产品线， 打造丰富的产品矩阵，提升单店店效。渠道拓展方面，索康尼维持积极的高端渠道开店策略，目前仍处 于线下门店布局早期，开店空间广阔。 事件： 投资建议：特步主品牌深耕跑步稳健增长，索康尼维持高速增长。预计公司2025 — 2027 年实现营业收 入同比增长6.1%/8.9%/7.7% 至144.1/156.9/169 亿元。归母净利润同比增长12.1%/11.5%/9.5% 至 13.9/15.5/16.9 亿元，对应估值9/8/7 倍，维持其"买入"评级。 公司发布2025Q4 营运状况。2025Q4，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售同比基本持平，索康尼全渠道销售同 比增长超30%。 风险提示：新品开发不及预期，门店拓展不及预期，市场竞争加剧，盈利预测及估值不及预期等 点评： 特步主品牌基本保持稳健。2025Q4 特步主品牌全渠道零售同比基本持平，环比Q3 低单位数的增速有所 放缓。分渠 ...

Group 1 - Ping An Good Doctor has upgraded its integrated "medical insurance" service by deepening cooperation with platforms like Meituan and Dingdang Pharmacy, launching "lightning delivery service" on its apps [2][6] - The upgrade focuses on supply chain integration and data connectivity to enhance the drug purchasing experience and service efficiency, aiming to build a comprehensive service loop of "health + insurance + medicine" [2][6] - The collaboration allows for extensive coverage of offline pharmacies and smart warehousing resources across the country, significantly expanding the range of available medications, especially for common and chronic diseases [2][6] Group 2 - Xtep has launched its new generation cushioning flagship running shoe, the Cloud 2.0, featuring the new ACE cloud cushioning system, which provides a comprehensive comfort experience suitable for various scenarios [3][7] - The trend in sports technology is evolving towards the popularization of professional performance, with cushioning technology advancing from single-dimensional softness to a balanced and dynamic adaptation [3][7] Group 3 - Recent changes in Anhui Mokejia Intelligent Robot Technology Co., Ltd. have introduced new shareholders, including Zhiyuan Innovation and Bertley, with registered capital increased to 104 million yuan [4][8] - The entry of Zhiyuan Innovation and Bertley signifies deep collaboration within the intelligent manufacturing sector, accelerating the application of humanoid robots in industrial and service scenarios [4][8] - This capital injection is expected to help overcome the high R&D costs associated with humanoid robots, facilitating large-scale production and application in various scenarios [4][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall performance is described as meeting market expectations, indicating a positive outlook for investors [2]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated resilience in its operations, achieving key performance indicators for revenue, profit, and inventory health in 2025, with the main brand showing low single-digit growth despite a high base and challenging consumer environment [2][3]. - The subsidiary brand, Saucony, continued its strong growth trajectory, achieving over 30% year-on-year growth, becoming a significant growth driver for the company [2][3]. - The company maintains a healthy inventory turnover of approximately 4.5 months, with retail discounts remaining stable, reflecting solid operational quality [2][3]. Brand Performance - The main brand focused on deepening its core running category, with the Champion series running shoes seeing sales double, showcasing product strength and market recognition [3]. - Saucony's high-end strategy has proven effective, with significant growth in key marathon events, enhancing brand influence and market position [3]. Channel and Operations - The company is advancing its Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) transformation, having closed approximately 200 stores in 2025 and planning to close an additional 300-400 in 2026 to improve operational efficiency and market responsiveness [4]. - The online business is thriving, with the main brand's e-commerce growth leading the way, and cross-border e-commerce revenue increasing by over 200% [4]. Outlook - The company has established a clear dual strategy focusing on consolidating the mass market with its main brand while pushing Saucony into the high-end segment, with confidence in doubling Saucony's revenue by 2027 [4]. - Marketing investments will be more focused in 2026, aligning with the anticipated sports year, which is expected to enhance brand visibility while maintaining profit levels [4]. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be CNY 1.346 billion, CNY 1.460 billion, and CNY 1.630 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.49X, 8.75X, and 7.83X [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expectations for significant revenue growth in the coming years [10]. Core Insights - The main brand of the company has shown stable performance, with retail sales remaining flat year-on-year in Q4 2025, while the subsidiary brand, Saucony, has experienced over 30% year-on-year growth in sales [1][3]. - The company is focusing on upgrading its main brand stores to new formats and expanding its presence in high-end urban areas, with plans to open 70-100 outlet stores by the end of 2026 [2][3]. - Revenue projections for the company are expected to grow by 6.1% in 2025, 8.9% in 2026, and 7.7% in 2027, reaching 144.1 billion, 156.9 billion, and 169 billion yuan respectively [3]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 14,345.51 million yuan, with a projected revenue of 13,577.22 million yuan for 2024, followed by 14,408.10 million yuan in 2025 [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 1,030.01 million yuan in 2023 to 1,388.28 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.1% [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.49 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.14 [4].

据特步国际截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长 同比持平，零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折；索康尼品牌的零售销售实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025 年度运营情况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比增长，渠道存货周转约为四个半月；索 康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 (特步国际) ...

根据公司25Q4及25Q3运营公告，特步主品牌全渠道流水同比持平，环比Q3(低单增长)降速，预计主要 受Q4天气暖和、春节时间晚等因素影响冬装销售；零售折扣为70-75折，环比Q3持平；渠道存货周转为 约4.5个月，环比Q3(4-4.5个月)略有增加，但仍处于健康水平。该行预计电商渠道有望延续25H1趋势， 维持双位数增长；特步儿童在"特步少年"助力儿童运动追高的品牌定位下，推出成长鞋，有望实现较快 增速。 25Q4索康尼流水恢复高增 根据公司25Q4运营公告，索康尼全渠道流水同比增长超过30%，环比Q3(同比增长超过20%)有所提速， 预计主要系公司自Q2对电商渠道进行调整，Q4已初显成效，恢复高增趋势。索康尼定位精英跑者，聚 焦专业产品，持续在高线城市的高端购物中心开设全新旗舰店和概念店，扩大客群、提高店效。特步主 品牌和索康尼在跑步领域的协同效应有望不断加强，进一步提升跑步市场份额。根据公司微信公众号及 其引用的悦跑圈数据，特步与索康尼的集团军效应凸显，2025年国内马拉松大赛全局跑者联合穿着率第 一；在专业影响大众策略引领下，公司2025年跑鞋销量突破2500万双。 广发证券发布研报称，根据特步国际( ...

智通财经APP获悉，广发证券发布研报称，根据特步国际(01368)25年中期报告，公司将于25H2升级零 售战略，进行DTC改革，加快响应消费者需求，提高运营效率，该行预计DTC改革将逐步推进，短期财 务影响较小。预计公司25-27年归母净利润13.62/15.14/16.58亿元，参考可比公司，给予公司26年PE10 倍，对应合理价值6.02港元/股，维持"买入"评级。 广发证券主要观点如下： 25Q4特步主品牌流水同比持平 根据公司25Q4及25Q3运营公告，特步主品牌全渠道流水同比持平，环比Q3(低单增长)降速，预计主要 受Q4天气暖和、春节时间晚等因素影响冬装销售；零售折扣为70-75折，环比Q3持平；渠道存货周转为 约4.5个月，环比Q3(4-4.5个月)略有增加，但仍处于健康水平。该行预计电商渠道有望延续25H1趋势， 维持双位数增长；特步儿童在"特步少年"助力儿童运动追高的品牌定位下，推出成长鞋，有望实现较快 增速。 25Q4索康尼流水恢复高增 根据公司25Q4运营公告，索康尼全渠道流水同比增长超过30%，环比Q3(同比增长超过20%)有所提速， 预计主要系公司自Q2对电商渠道进行调整，Q4已初 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the EPS forecast for Xtep International (01368) at 0.49/0.55 yuan for 2025/26, introduces a new EPS forecast of 0.61 yuan for 2027, and sets a target price of HKD 6.47, reflecting an 11% decrease and a 27% upside potential from the current stock price, corresponding to an 11x P/E for 2026 [1]. Company Status - Xtep reported that its main brand's retail revenue remained flat year-on-year in Q4 2025, with retail discounts between 70% to 75%, and channel inventory turnover at 4.5 months by the end of December. The Saucony brand saw retail revenue growth of over 30% year-on-year [2]. Retail Environment and Performance - The retail environment showed fluctuations, with the main brand's retail revenue remaining stable in Q4 2025. Online channels, particularly live e-commerce, performed well. Monthly performance was strong in October and November due to promotional events, but December was affected by weather conditions. Retail discounts for the main brand remained stable, and the inventory turnover was healthy [3]. Saucony Brand Growth - The Saucony brand experienced accelerated growth in Q4 2025, with retail revenue increasing by over 30% year-on-year. Strong growth was noted in offline channels, with average store efficiency reaching 450,000 yuan per month. The brand's product line continued to expand with new sports and leisure products, achieving double-digit growth in apparel [4]. Strategic Focus for 2026 - In 2026, the main brand will focus on enhancing offline store efficiency, while the Saucony brand aims for a premium positioning. The management plans to convert 200 stores to a DTC model and open 20-30 new flagship stores. The company also plans to accelerate the opening of outlet stores, with a target of 70-100 new stores in 2026, and aims to enhance the high-end sports image of Saucony [5].

中金发布研报称，基本维持特步国际(01368)2025/26年EPS预测0.49/0.55元不变，引入27年EPS预测0.61 元，当前股价对应8倍2026年市盈率，维持跑赢行业评级。考虑行业估值中枢下移，下调目标价11%至 6.47港元，对应26年11x P/E，较当前股价有27%的上行空间。 特步主品牌线下渠道逐步优化提升，管理层表示4Q25已回收200家门店转为DTC模式，26年继续按计划 推进。新店型方面，2H25公司分别在西安、上海南翔开设金标领跑店，截至目前表现符合公司预期， 26年计划新开设20-30家金标领跑店。公司继续加快精选奥莱门店布局，25年已开出20+门店，规划在26 年开设70-100家精选奥莱店，已有门店月店效超100万元。索康尼方面，管理层规划2026年线下加强高 端运动形象，切入高端消费群体，渠道升级以提升店效，产品上继续投入研发，持续提升服装、休闲 OG系列的占比。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧，终端零售环境不及预期，渠道转型不及预期。 中金主要观点如下： 公司近况 公司公布2025年第四季度营运情况：特步主品牌零售流水同比持平，零售折扣七至七五折，12月末渠道 库存周转4.5个月 ...

Group 1: Fixed Income Insights - The demand for bank bonds has increased due to rising bond yields, making them more attractive compared to loan interest rates, leading to sustained buying from institutional investors [12] - Wealth management products have shown a significant increase in scale, with a notable shift towards deposits, while there has been a reduction in bond holdings, particularly in interest rate bonds [14] - The one-year interest rate has decreased to 1.6%, indicating a trend of net repayment of certificates of deposit [15] Group 2: Real Estate Market Analysis - The second-hand housing market has shown improvement with a year-on-year decline narrowing to 7.3%, while new home sales continue to weaken with a year-on-year drop of 38.6% [5] - In 2025, new home prices fell by 3.0% and second-hand home prices dropped by 6.1%, with significant declines across all city tiers [24][25] - The report suggests that the real estate sector remains a key economic indicator, with potential for recovery driven by policy changes and market dynamics [26] Group 3: Commodity Market Trends - The price of Brent crude oil has increased by 5.4%, while copper and coking coal prices have risen by 2.1% and 3.4% respectively, indicating a general upward trend in major commodity prices [5] - The coal market is experiencing a dual weakness in supply and demand, with prices stabilizing as winter demand begins to wane [28] - The silver price has recently surpassed $100, indicating a bullish trend in precious metals, while other metals like nickel and lithium are also showing upward momentum [23] Group 4: Consumer and Retail Sector Developments - The consumer sector is expected to benefit from policy support and improving fundamentals, particularly in new retail and service sectors [19] - Key retail segments such as hotels and duty-free shops are projected to see growth, with specific companies recommended for investment [20] - The report highlights the importance of domestic consumption and the potential for brands to expand internationally, with a focus on companies that have established competitive advantages [19]