机构：国信证券 研究员：丁诗洁/刘佳琪 事项： 公司公告：1 月23 日，公司发布2025 年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠 道零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5 折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超 过30%；2025 全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比约4.5 个月； 索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%。 国信纺服观点： 1、第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、跑步品类表现亮眼，折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流 水增长30%，迈乐流水增长双位数； 2、风险提示：消费需求复苏不及预期；品牌形象受损；品牌恶性竞争加剧；市场的系统性风险；3、投 资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦跑步 领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势，四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下，主品牌流水保持同比持 平，跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼；专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至30%以上 增长，全年30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。我们看好未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增速，索康尼 ...

Group 1 - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports with a target price of HKD 108.70, noting a low single-digit decline in Q4 revenue for the Anta brand, while FILA and other brands show resilience with a growth of 35%-40% [1] - CMB International also maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Beverage with a target price of HKD 11.87, indicating that 2025 will be a year of pressure release, with stable market share in packaged water and potential improvements in sales incentives [1] Group 2 - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Hutchison China MediTech, highlighting the significant superiority of Savolitinib combination therapy over chemotherapy in MET amplified NSCLC, with global sales peak potential exceeding USD 1.8 billion [2] - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Power with a target price of HKD 21.05, projecting a 6.7% increase in core profit for 2025, with a 9.8% decrease in thermal coal fuel costs partially offsetting coal price rebounds [3] Group 3 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Geek+, setting a target price of HKD 53.00, with a significant upward revision of order growth from 30% to 40% for 2026, and successful penetration into North American key accounts [4] - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangnan Buyi, noting excellent performance in FY1H26 and a fundraising of HKD 270 million to enhance brand development, with expected high single-digit to double-digit growth in revenue and profit [5] Group 4 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Xaircraft with a target price of HKD 87.00, emphasizing its leading position in general aviation and private aviation, with current valuations not reflecting its brand potential and scarcity [6] - CITIC Jiantou maintains a "Buy" rating for Xtep International, indicating flat revenue for the main brand in Q4 2025, with bright performance in running categories and successful adjustments in e-commerce [7][8]

国信证券发布研报称，看好特步国际(01368)未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增速，索康尼和迈乐分 别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外，保持较快增速，并在未来3-5年盈利持续提升。该行维持盈利预测，预计 2025-2027年净利润分别为14.0/14.9/16.0亿元，同比增长13.2%/5.9%/7.7%。维持6.1-6.6港元的合理估值 区间，对应2026年11-12x PE，维持"优于大市"评级。 国信证券主要观点如下： 事项 公司公告：1月23日，公司发布2025年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下 （300959）全渠道零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流 水同比增长超过30%；2025全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比 约4.5个月；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%。 国信纺服观点 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、跑步品类表现亮眼，折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流水增 长30%，迈乐流水增长双位数。 投资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦跑 ...

公司公告：1月23日，公司发布2025年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠道 零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过 30%；2025全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比约4.5个月；索 康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%。 国信纺服观点 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、跑步品类表现亮眼，折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流水增 长30%，迈乐流水增长双位数。 投资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦跑 步领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势，四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下，主品牌流水保持同比持 平，跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼；专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至30%以上 增长，全年30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，看好特步国际(01368)未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增 速，索康尼和迈乐分别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外，保持较快增速，并在未来3-5年盈利持续提升。该行 维持盈利预测 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月23日 2026年01月24日 2026年01月27日 特步国际（01368.HK） 第四季度主品牌流水持平，索康尼增长超 30% |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 公司公告：1 月 23 日，公司发布 2025 年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠道 零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%； 2025 全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比约 4.5 个月；索康尼品牌 线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 服装家纺 跑步心智向上，索康尼如期靓丽 ——特步国际点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 公司发布 2025Q4 运营情况，特步主品牌流水同比持平，零售环境疲软下维持稳 健；索康尼流水同比+30%以上，线下高速增长，电商调整顺利。2025 年全年特 步主品牌流水低单位数增长，索康尼流水同比+30%以上，全年目标顺利达成。 ❑ 主品牌：Q4 流水持平，25 年低单增长，跑步户外增长领跑 特步主品牌 25Q4 流水同比持平，Q4 分月来看,10-11 月流水表现好于 12 月；25 年流水低单位数增长，受跑步品类和电商渠道均双位数增长拉动，整体维持稳健 增长态势，跑步品牌势能持续向上，25 年 11 月上海马拉松赛事中公司旗舰碳板 跑鞋 160X 7.0 PRO 助力运动员丰配友斩获男子组冠军，特步品牌全局选手穿着 率继续稳居第一达到 21.5%。主品牌 25Q4 折扣 70-75 折，同比持平，25 年末库 销比约 4.5 个月，库存状况健康，折扣较为可控。 ❑ 索康尼：店效快速提升，电商调整顺利 索康尼 25Q4 和 25 全年流水均同比增长 30%以上，顺利完成全年目标，Q4 增长 环比加 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 服装家纺 跑步心智向上，索康尼如期靓丽 ——特步国际点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 公司发布 2025Q4 运营情况，特步主品牌流水同比持平，零售环境疲软下维持稳 健；索康尼流水同比+30%以上，线下高速增长，电商调整顺利。2025 年全年特 步主品牌流水低单位数增长，索康尼流水同比+30%以上，全年目标顺利达成。 ❑ 主品牌：Q4 流水持平，25 年低单增长，跑步户外增长领跑 特步主品牌 25Q4 流水同比持平，Q4 分月来看,10-11 月流水表现好于 12 月；25 年流水低单位数增长，受跑步品类和电商渠道均双位数增长拉动，整体维持稳健 增长态势，跑步品牌势能持续向上，25 年 11 月上海马拉松赛事中公司旗舰碳板 跑鞋 160X 7.0 PRO 助力运动员丰配友斩获男子组冠军，特步品牌全局选手穿着 率继续稳居第一达到 21.5%。主品牌 25Q4 折扣 70-75 折，同比持平，25 年末库 销比约 4.5 个月，库存状况健康，折扣较为可控。 ❑ 索康尼：店效快速提升，电商调整顺利 索康尼 25Q4 和 25 全年流水均同比增长 30%以上，顺利完成全年目标，Q4 增长 环比加 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月23日 2026年01月24日 2026年01月27日 3、投资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦 跑步领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势，四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下，主品牌流水保持同比持 平，跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼；专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至 30%以 上增长，全年 30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。我们看好未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增速，索康尼 和迈乐分别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外，保持较快增速，并在未来 3-5 年盈利持续提升。我们维持盈利预 测，预计 2025-2027 年净利润分别为 14.0/14.9/16.0 亿元，同比增长 13.2%/5.9%/7.7%。维持 6.1-6.6 港 元的合理估值区间，对应 2026 年 11-12x PE，维持"优于大市"评级。 评论： 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流水增长 30%，迈乐流水增 长双位数 公司公告：1 月 23 日，公司发布 2025 年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠 ...

Company Dynamics - The company reported its Q4 2025 operational performance, with the main brand's retail revenue remaining flat year-on-year, retail discounts maintained at 70-75%, and channel inventory turnover at 4.5 months by the end of December [1] - The Saucony brand saw retail revenue growth of over 30% year-on-year, with strong performance in offline channels and an average store efficiency of 450,000 yuan per month [1] Commentary - The retail environment has experienced fluctuations, but the main brand's operations remained stable in Q4 2025, with online channels, particularly live e-commerce, performing well [1] - Monthly performance showed stability in October and November due to the Golden Week and Double Eleven promotions, while December's performance was affected by weather conditions [1] - The main brand's retail discounts remained stable, and the turnover of channel inventory was at a healthy level [1] - The functional category continued to perform well, with the running category achieving double-digit growth year-on-year [1] Future Plans - In 2026, the main brand will focus on enhancing offline store efficiency, with plans to convert 200 stores to DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) model in Q4 2025 and continue this strategy [2] - The company plans to open 20-30 new gold standard leading stores in 2026, with a focus on core business districts in first and second-tier cities [2] - The company aims to accelerate the layout of selected outlet stores, planning to open 70-100 new outlet stores in 2026, with existing stores achieving monthly efficiencies exceeding 1 million yuan [2] - For the Saucony brand, the management plans to strengthen its high-end sports image in 2026, targeting high-end consumer groups and upgrading channels to enhance store efficiency [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.49 and 0.55 yuan respectively, and introduces a 2027 EPS forecast of 0.61 yuan [2] - The current stock price corresponds to an 8x P/E ratio for 2026, with a target price adjustment down by 11% to 6.47 HKD, indicating a 27% upside potential from the current stock price [2]

Core Viewpoint - The operational data released by Xtep indicates stable performance for its main brand and strong growth for Saucony, meeting previous guidance expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Main Brand Performance - Xtep's main brand achieved steady all-channel revenue, with a low single-digit growth for the year, despite a slight slowdown in December due to warm winter and delayed Spring Festival [1]. - The children's segment and online sales showed remarkable performance, with online channels experiencing double-digit growth and live streaming platforms like Douyin and Kuaishou leading in sales [1]. Group 2: Saucony's Growth - Saucony's revenue for Q4 and the entire year grew over 30% year-on-year, indicating a strong development momentum [1]. - The brand has successfully adjusted its online strategy by reducing low-priced products and enhancing discount rates, leading to improved brand image [2]. Group 3: Inventory and Discount Management - The retail discount rate remained stable at 70-75%, with flexible adjustments during promotional periods to enhance terminal sales [2]. - The inventory turnover ratio for the main brand was approximately 4.5 months at the end of Q4, maintaining a reasonable level [2]. Group 4: Channel Optimization and DTC Transformation - The main brand's channel upgrade is ongoing, with over 70% of new stores being of the ninth generation or higher, and plans to open 20-30 new flagship stores by 2026 [3]. - The DTC transformation is progressing steadily, with plans to recover 300-400 stores in 2026, which will enhance responsiveness to market changes [3]. Group 5: Product Innovation and Market Position - The main brand continues to excel in functional products, with double-digit growth in the running category and significant sales increases for the Champion running shoe family [3]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its multi-brand matrix by divesting from fashion sports brands and concentrating on core running business, which is expected to strengthen its market position [4].