Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales for Q3 2025, while the Saucony brand achieved over 20% year-on-year growth in retail sales [2][3] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was maintained at a healthy level of 70-75%, consistent with Q2 2025 [3] - The company is focusing on a direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategy, which may have short-term negative impacts on sales but is expected to enhance consumer interaction and brand loyalty in the long run [4] Summary by Sections Event Overview - The company reported Q3 2025 operational data showing low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, with Saucony retail sales exceeding 20% year-on-year growth [2] Analysis and Judgments - Q3 2025 retail sales growth for the main brand was low single-digit, with the growth rate remaining flat compared to Q2 2025 [3] - The retail discount for Q3 2025 was stable at 70-75%, slightly down from 75% in Q3 2024 [3] - Saucony and Myle's brands benefited from their superior performance in professional running and outdoor tracks, with Saucony's retail growth exceeding 20% [3] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to continue expanding its product matrix and develop retro and commuting series to meet diverse consumer needs [4] - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 142.86 billion, 155.58 billion, and 172.51 billion respectively, with net profits of 13.74 billion, 15.11 billion, and 16.64 billion [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.50, 0.54, and 0.60 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [4]

Core Insights - The Hang Seng Index closed down 22 points, reflecting a volatile performance in the Hong Kong stock market, with significant fluctuations throughout the trading day [3][4] - The technology sector negatively impacted the market, with major companies like Xiaomi, Tencent, and Meituan experiencing declines [4] - The overall market saw a net inflow of capital from the north, amounting to 158.21 million [3] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened lower at 25,890 points, peaked at 26,062 points, but ultimately closed at 25,888 points, down 0.09% [3] - Among 88 blue-chip stocks, 46 rose while 40 fell, indicating mixed performance across sectors [4] - The trading volume for the day was 27.54 billion [3] Technology Sector Developments - The Hong Kong Science Park Company announced the development of the INNOPOLE project, aimed at fostering innovation and economic growth in Hong Kong, with an initial phase covering approximately 2.5 hectares [7] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported a significant increase in the number of hard technology companies applying for listings, with about 280 companies currently in the application process, half of which are technology firms [8] Smartphone Market Insights - In the third quarter, smartphone shipments in mainland China decreased by 2.75% year-on-year, with Vivo leading the market share at 18% despite a 9.23% decline in shipments [9] - The overall smartphone market has seen consecutive declines, but the rate of decline is narrowing, suggesting potential recovery in the upcoming quarter [9] Company-Specific News - Xtep International reported low single-digit growth in retail sales for the third quarter, with inventory turnover ranging from 4 to 4.5 months [11] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered a licensing agreement with Roche, receiving an upfront payment of $80 million (approximately 624 million HKD) and potential milestone payments totaling up to $1.45 billion (approximately 1,131 million HKD) [12] - China Tower reported a 6.81% year-on-year increase in profit for the first nine months, with total revenue growing by 2.58% [13] - China Pacific Insurance expects a net profit increase of approximately 40% to 60% for the first three quarters, driven by improved operational management and capital market performance [14]

Core Insights - Xtep International reported its operational status for the third quarter of 2025 in mainland China, highlighting a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail discount level for the main brand ranged between 70% to 75% [1] - Sales for the Saucony brand experienced a significant increase, achieving over 20% year-on-year growth, also including both online and offline channels [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand, including both online and offline channels [1] - The retail sales for the Saucony brand, including online and offline channels, achieved over 20% year-on-year growth [1] Summary by Category Company Performance - The main brand of the company experienced low single-digit growth in retail sales compared to the previous year [1] - The Saucony brand showed significant performance with retail sales growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [1]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the operational performance of Xtep International in the third quarter of 2025, specifically focusing on retail sales growth for its main brand and the Saucony brand in mainland China [1] Group 1: Retail Sales Performance - Xtep's main brand retail sales, encompassing both online and offline channels, achieved low single-digit year-on-year growth [1] - Saucony's retail sales, including online and offline channels, experienced over 20% year-on-year growth [1]

香 港 交易 及 結 算 所 有限 公 司 以 及香 港 聯 合 交 易所 有 限 公 司 對本 公 佈 之 內容 概 不 負責 ， 對 其 準 確性 或 完 整 性亦 不 發 表 任 何聲 明 ， 並 明 確表 示 ， 概 不對 因 本 公佈 全 部 或 任 何部 分 內 容 而產 生 或 因 倚 賴該 等 內 容 而 引致 之 任 何 損失 承擔任何責任。 Xtep International Holdings Limited 特 步 國 際 控 股 有 限 公 司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1368） 二零二五年第三季度中國內地業務營運狀況 本公佈由特步國際控股有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司「本集團」）董 事會（「董事會」）發出。 特步國際控股有限公司 索康尼 主席 丁水波 | | | 香港，二零二五年十月十七日 本 公 司股 東 及 潛 在 投資 者 須 注 意， 此 公 佈 是 根據 本 集 團 未 經審 計 的 營 運資 料而編製，這些資料尚未經過本公司審計師審計或覆核。 本公司建議本公司股東及潛在投資者在進行本公司股份交易時謹慎行事。 營運狀況（截至二零二五年九月三十日 ...

Retail Industry Overview - The total retail sales of consumer goods in China reached 24.55 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0%, slightly up from 3.7% in the same period last year [2] - Online retail sales amounted to 7.43 trillion yuan, growing by 8.5%, while offline retail sales were 17.12 trillion yuan, with a growth of 3.75%, indicating a shift in consumer shopping habits towards online platforms [2][5] Store Closures - In the first half of 2025, at least 1.71 million stores closed across various sectors, including major brands like Walmart, Starbucks, and Haidilao [2] - The supermarket sector saw at least 720 store closures, including national and regional brands such as Yonghui Supermarket and Hema [3][4] - The restaurant industry faced nearly 10,000 closures, while the apparel sector saw around 4,500 stores shut down [2][6] Supermarket Sector Challenges - Traditional supermarkets are experiencing accelerated closures due to increased competition from e-commerce and the rise of instant retail, which has grown from 36.6 billion yuan in 2017 to 650 billion yuan in 2023 [6] - Many supermarkets are closing underperforming stores and focusing on online business to adapt to changing consumer preferences [6][7] Department Store and Shopping Center Decline - The department store sector reported a year-on-year growth of only 1.2%, with at least 23 department stores and shopping centers closing in the first half of 2025 [8][9] - The decline is attributed to outdated business models and a lack of unique product offerings, leading to decreased foot traffic [11][12] Tea and Coffee Shop Closures - The tea and coffee sectors saw significant closures, with at least 6,673 tea and coffee shops shutting down in the first half of 2025 [13] - Brands like Heytea and Nayuki faced substantial store reductions, reflecting a market consolidation where only strong brands survive [15][20] Apparel Industry Adjustments - The apparel sector experienced a 3.1% year-on-year growth, with at least 4,563 clothing stores closing, including major brands like Semir and GU [21][24] - The closures are driven by high inventory levels, brand aging, and a shift towards larger store formats, which require higher operational efficiency [24][25][27] Cinema Industry Struggles - The cinema industry is facing a crisis, with a high vacancy rate of 30-40% and at least 38 cinemas closing in the first half of 2025 [28][30] - Factors contributing to this decline include high fixed costs, reliance on blockbuster films, and competition from streaming services [30][31][32] Other Industries - Various other sectors, including pet care, home improvement, and education, also experienced closures, indicating a broader trend of market contraction [34]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the broader market since September, with textile manufacturing outperforming branded apparel, showing +0.1% and -1.6% respectively as of October 9 [1][13] - Key companies that have seen significant gains since September include Xin'ao Co. (+16.9%), Fengtai Enterprise (+14.9%), Adidas (+11.6%), and others [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in August grew by 3.1% year-on-year, with a 1.3 percentage point increase from the previous month [2] - The sales pressure is expected in September due to the absence of the Mid-Autumn Festival and high temperatures affecting consumer behavior [2] - E-commerce channels showed strong growth in outdoor apparel, with sportswear brands like Descente (+51%) and Lululemon (+35%) leading the way [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports in September increased by 9.4% year-on-year, while footwear exports rose by 9.0% [3] - China's textile exports showed a slight improvement in August, with a 1.4% increase, although apparel and footwear exports declined significantly [3] - Wool prices saw a notable increase in September, rising by 17.5% month-on-month and 28.3% year-on-year [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the rebound opportunities in textile manufacturing, with expectations for order recovery in Q4 [5] - Companies like Shenzhou International, which is Nike's largest apparel supplier, and Huayi Group are highlighted as key beneficiaries of tariff changes and Nike's recovery [5] - The report suggests that the impact of tariffs will diminish in Q4, leading to a stabilization of orders [5] Key Company Forecasts - Shenzhou International is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 4.37 in 2025 and a PE ratio of 13.9 [8] - Other companies such as Huayi Group and Kai Run Co. are also rated "Outperform" with positive growth forecasts [8]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the broader market since September, with textile manufacturing showing better performance than branded apparel, with respective changes of +0.1% and -1.6% as of October 9 [1][13] - Key companies that have seen significant gains since September include Xin'ao Co. (+16.9%), Fengtai Enterprise (+14.9%), Adidas (+11.6%), and others [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing increased by 3.1% year-on-year in August, with a 1.3 percentage point improvement from the previous month. However, sales in September are expected to face pressure due to the absence of the Mid-Autumn Festival and continued warm weather [2] - E-commerce channels showed strong growth in outdoor apparel, with categories like sportswear and outdoor clothing growing by 22% and 51% respectively for leading brands [2] - On social media platform Xiaohongshu, the top three brands in the sports and outdoor category saw significant follower growth, indicating strong consumer interest [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports saw a year-on-year increase of 9.4% in September, while footwear exports rose by 9.0%, indicating a recovery in the sector [3] - The price of wool significantly increased in September, with a month-on-month rise of 17.5% and a year-on-year increase of 28.3% [3] - Companies like Ruohong have visibility on orders extending to Q1 2026, maintaining a revenue target of over 3 billion yuan per month [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on textile manufacturing rebound opportunities, particularly after the release of Q3 reports. The impact of U.S. tariffs is expected to diminish, with orders stabilizing [5] - Key companies to watch include Shenzhou International, Huayi Group, and Kai Run Co., which are positioned to benefit from tariff changes and recovery in demand [5][7] - In the branded apparel segment, long-term growth is anticipated in the sports category, with recommendations for brands like Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Li Ning [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 18x, and 11x [11][27]. Core Insights - Nike's FY2026 Q1 revenue decreased by 1% year-on-year to $11.7 billion, with a net profit decline of 31% to $727 million. The company anticipates a low single-digit revenue decline for FY2026 Q2, while wholesale business revenue is expected to see moderate growth [1][16]. - The report highlights the ongoing inventory reduction efforts across major regions, with North America showing a 4% revenue increase, while the Greater China region experienced a 10% revenue decline [23][24]. - The sportswear segment is expected to outperform the broader apparel market, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 for major brands [3][24]. Summary by Sections Nike's Performance - Nike's North America revenue grew by 4% year-on-year, driven by a 11% increase in wholesale business, while direct sales fell by 3% [23]. - In the EMEA region, revenue increased by 1%, with a notable performance in functional categories like running, which saw double-digit growth [23]. - The Greater China region faced challenges, with a 10% revenue decline, necessitating a focus on improving new product sales [23][24]. Market Outlook - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the sportswear sector, particularly for companies with strong operational fundamentals like Anta Sports, which is noted for its excellent group operation capabilities [3][27]. - The report also identifies opportunities in the textile manufacturing sector, particularly for companies like Shenzhou International, which has a low exposure to the U.S. market and a strong international supply chain [26][37]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with strong performance metrics, such as Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, while also highlighting the potential of Shenzhou International and Huali Group in the manufacturing space [11][27][37]. - It suggests that companies with robust product differentiation and brand strength, like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji, are likely to outperform in the jewelry sector [25].