[Table_Page] 公告点评|耐用消费品与服装 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 【 广 发 纺 服 | 海 外 】 特 步 国 际 & | | --- | --- | | （01368.HK） | | | 25Q4 | 主品牌稳健，索康尼环比提速 | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测：*本文如无特殊说明，货币单位均为人民币，1HKD=0.90CNY | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | 12,743 | 13,577 | 14,416 | 15,516 | 16,868 | | 增长率（ % ） | -1.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | | EBITDA | 2,120 | 2,379 | 2,343 | 2,571 | 2,813 | | 归母净利润 | 1,030 | 1,238 | 1,362 | 1,514 | 1,668 | | ...

(01368) 型公司 纺织服饰 2026 年 01 月 25 日 主品牌表现稳健,索康尼延续强劲趋势 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 婴人(维持) | 市场数据: | 2026 年 01 月 23 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 5.08 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9160.81 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 6.83/4.46 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 142.55 | | 流通 H 股 (百万股) | 2,806.07 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.8968 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势: 76% 26% 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 联系人 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 投资要点: 财务数据及盈利预测 | 货币单位:人民币 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025E | FY202 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The main brand of the company shows stable performance, while the subsidiary brand, Saucony, continues its strong growth trend. The overall performance aligns with expectations, with the main brand achieving low single-digit growth for the year [6] - The company has successfully optimized its multi-brand matrix by divesting from fashion sports brands and focusing on core running business, which is expected to strengthen its competitive advantage in the running segment [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 143 billion RMB - FY2024: 136 billion RMB (down 5%) - FY2025E: 142.8 billion RMB (up 5%) - FY2026E: 151 billion RMB (up 6%) - FY2027E: 161 billion RMB (up 6%) [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - FY2023: 10.3 billion RMB - FY2024: 12.4 billion RMB (up 20%) - FY2025E: 13.7 billion RMB (up 11%) - FY2026E: 14.9 billion RMB (up 8%) - FY2027E: 16.0 billion RMB (up 8%) [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.41 RMB in FY2023 to 0.57 RMB in FY2027 [5] Sales Performance - The main brand's retail sales performance for Q4 2023 showed over 30% year-on-year growth, with a stable discount rate of 7-7.5 [10] - The company plans to open 20-30 new flagship stores in 2026 and has already opened around 30 outlet stores, with an average monthly sales performance exceeding 1 million RMB [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q4 2025 met expectations, with the main brand, Xtep, showing stable revenue while the Saucony brand experienced a decline of over 30% year-on-year [1][3] - The company is expected to focus on the running segment in 2026, with anticipated revenue growth of 8.7% to 15.785 billion yuan and a net profit decline of 10.2% to 1.5 billion yuan [3] - The company has introduced new products, including the 160X 7th generation running shoes and the 2000 km 5th generation running shoes, which are expected to perform well in sales [1] Revenue Performance - In Q4 2025, Xtep's main brand revenue remained flat year-on-year, with strong performance in the running category and e-commerce channels [1] - The company anticipates that the running category will outperform the overall brand performance due to events like marathons and athlete sponsorships [1] Operational Performance - The company maintained excellent discount control in Q4 2025, with terminal discounts at 70-75%, and inventory turnover days at approximately 4.5 months, indicating a healthy inventory level [2] - Saucony's revenue decline accelerated in Q4 2025 compared to Q3, but improvements in brand influence and product matrix are expected to enhance same-store sales [2] Financial Projections - The company forecasts a revenue decline of 10.2% in net profit for 2026, with projected net profits of 1.5 billion yuan [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.49 yuan in 2025 and 0.54 yuan in 2026, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.5 times for 2026 [4][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5] Core Views - The main brand of the company is under short-term pressure, but the Saucony brand is expected to continue its rapid growth in the future [2][8] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, estimating earnings per share of 0.49, 0.53, and 0.59 RMB respectively, with a target price of 7.06 HKD based on a 12x PE valuation for 2026 [3][9] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB) is projected to be 14,380 in 2025, 15,321 in 2026, and 16,451 in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.9%, 6.5%, and 7.4% respectively [4] - Operating profit (in million RMB) is expected to be 1,974 in 2025, 2,218 in 2026, and 2,463 in 2027, with growth rates of 0.5%, 12.3%, and 11.1% respectively [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million RMB) is forecasted to be 1,366 in 2025, 1,494 in 2026, and 1,661 in 2027, with growth rates of 10.3%, 9.4%, and 11.2% respectively [4] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 44.0% in 2025 to 45.0% in 2027 [4] - The net profit margin is projected to increase from 9.5% in 2025 to 10.1% in 2027 [4] - The return on equity is expected to be 13.5% in 2025 and improve to 14.2% in 2027 [4] Brand Performance Insights - The main brand's revenue is under pressure due to a weak consumer environment and increased competition, but it is expected to stabilize through channel expansion and product innovation [8] - The Saucony brand has shown strong growth, with a revenue increase of over 30% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, and is expected to continue outperforming the industry [8]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] 2. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the SW textile and apparel sector increased by 3.83%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.99% [14] - The top five stocks in the textile and apparel sector by weekly increase were Tianchuang Fashion, Yanjing Co., Mengjie Co., Tanshan Outdoor, and Sanfu Outdoor [14] 3. Industry Data Tracking 3.1. Raw Material Data - The Australian wool market index rose by 6.49% in the week ending January 15, 2026, and has increased by 38.49% since the beginning of 2025 [4][32] - The cotton price index in China decreased slightly, with a year-to-date increase of 1.83% as of January 23, 2026 [26] 3.2. Export Data - In 2025, textile and apparel exports totaled $267.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.26% [45] - In December 2025, the export value of oilcloth, tents, and sunshades decreased by 8.89% year-on-year [50] 3.3. End Consumer Data - In December 2025, the online retail sales of the apparel industry decreased by 11.93% year-on-year, with a total of 45.55 billion yuan [3.3.4] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in 2025 grew by 0.9% year-on-year, while online retail sales increased by 8.6% [3.3.5]

北京商报讯1月23日，特步国际发布公告称，截止至2025年12月31日的第四季度中国内地业务营运状况 显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长同比持平，零售折扣水平维持在七至七五折；而索康尼品牌的零售销 售则实现了超过30%的同比增长。2025年度运营情况显示，特步主品牌的零售销售增长为低单位数同比 增长，渠道存货周转约为四个半月；索康尼品牌同样保持了超过30%的同比增长。 （文章来源：北京商报） ...

格隆汇1月23日丨特步国际(01368.HK)宣布，董事会会议将于2026年3月26日(星期四)举行，旨在(其中包 括)审议及批准公司及其附属公司截至2025年12月31日止年度之经审核全年业绩及其刊发，并考虑派发 末期股息(如有)。 ...

香 港 交易 及 結 算 所 有限 公 司 以 及香 港 聯 合 交 易所 有 限 公 司 對本 公 佈 的 內容 概 不 負責 ， 對 其 準 確性 或 完 整 性亦 不 發 表 任 何聲 明 ， 並 明 確表 示 ， 概 不對 因 本 公佈 全 部 或 任 何部 分 內 容 而產 生 或 因 倚 賴該 等 內 容 而 引致 的 任 何 損失 承擔任何責任。 Xtep International Holdings Limited 特 步 國 際 控 股 有 限 公 司 主席 丁水波 香港，二零二六年一月二十三日 於 本 公佈 刊 發 日 期 ，本 公 司 執 行董 事 為 丁 水 波先 生 、 丁 美 清女 士 、 丁 明忠 先 生 及楊 鷺 彬 先 生 ；非 執 行 董 事為 陳 偉 成 先 生； 及 獨 立 非 執行 董 事 為 鮑明 曉博士、胡家慈博士及陳綺華博士。 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1368） 董事會會議通告 特步國際控股有限公司（「本公司」）之董事會（「董事會」）謹此宣佈，董事會 會議將於二零二六年三月二十六日（ 星期四 ）舉行，旨在（ 其中包括 ）審議及 批 准 本公 ...

特步国际(01368)午后跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.87%，报5.08港元，成交额4075.51万港元。 截至2025年12月31日止年度，特步主品牌零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现低单位数同比增长，渠道存 货周转约四个半月；索康尼零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现超过30%同比增长。 消息面上，特步国际午间发布2025年第四季度及全年中国内地业务营运状况，截至2025年12月31日止3 个月，特步主品牌零售销售(包括线上线下（300959）渠道)同比持平，零售折扣水平为七至七五折；索 康尼零售销售(包括线上线下渠道)实现超过30%同比增长。 ...