大和发布研报称，对特步国际(01368)2025年预测仅作微调，但将2026年每股盈利预测下调2%，以反映 核心特步品牌收入增长可能放缓。该行重申对该公司"买入"评级，估值基于不变的12倍市盈率，应用于 2025至2026年每股盈利平均值(此前为2025年每股盈利);将12个月目标价从6.6港元上调至7港元。 大和又认为，特步国际童装业务将带来进一步上行潜力，管理层预计，该业务未来可见的增长将超越成 人市场。按同口径计算，该行预测公司2025年盈利增长约5%。 特步国际今年上半年净利润按同口径同比增长6.4%，分别超出该行及市场共识预期19%及17%，主要得 益于强劲的营运成本控制，以及专业运动(索康尼(Saucony)及迈乐(Merrell)品牌)业务的营运利润率超出 预期，同比增长6.1个百分点至10%。大和表示，尽管业绩超预期，但对特步2025年预测仅作微调，因 预计下半年营运利润率将因季节性因素减弱，同时Saucony在下半年的市场推广活动(及相关成本)可能 增加。 大和认为，特步国际业绩中最突出之处在于，尽管2025年上半年收入增长放缓，大众市场及专业运动部 门的营运利润率仍保持韧性。然而，鉴于下半 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Daiwa has made slight adjustments to the earnings forecast for Xtep International (01368) for 2025, while lowering the 2026 earnings per share forecast by 2% due to potential slowdown in core brand revenue growth [1] - Daiwa maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised from HKD 6.6 to HKD 7, based on a consistent 12x price-to-earnings ratio applied to the average earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 [1] - Xtep International's net profit for the first half of this year increased by 6.4% year-on-year on a comparable basis, exceeding Daiwa's and market consensus expectations by 19% and 17% respectively, driven by strong operational cost control and improved operating profit margin in the professional sports segment [1] Group 2 - Despite the better-than-expected performance, Daiwa only made slight adjustments to the 2025 forecast, anticipating a decrease in operating profit margin in the second half of the year due to seasonal factors and increased marketing costs for Saucony [1] - The most notable aspect of Xtep International's performance is the resilience of operating profit margins in both the mass market and professional sports segments, despite a slowdown in revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company is expected to face challenges in maintaining profit margins in the second half of 2025 due to product launches and store openings, including the release of Triumph 23 in July 2025 and lifestyle products in Q4 of this year [1] Group 3 - Daiwa believes that Xtep International's children's clothing business will provide further upside potential, with management expecting growth in this segment to outpace that of the adult market [2] - On a comparable basis, Daiwa forecasts the company's earnings growth to be approximately 5% in 2025 [2]

智通财经APP获悉，体育用品股上扬，截至发稿，安踏体育(02020)涨4.08%，报97港元；特步国际 (01368)涨3.74%，报6.38港元；李宁(02331)涨2.72%，报18.5港元；滔搏(06110)涨2.21%，报3.24港元。 消息面上，国盛证券近日研报指出，运动鞋服板块重点推荐业绩确定性较强的龙头公司安踏体育，公司 集团化运营能力卓越，以迪桑特、Kolon Sport为代表的其他品牌分部增速优异，助力公司长期可持续增 长，当前股价对应公司2025年PE为17倍；推荐长期业绩弹性较大的李宁，当前股价对应公司2025年PE 为18倍；推荐跑步赛道运营领先的特步国际，短期主品牌表现稳健，新品牌索康尼长期收入和利润具备 增长空间，当前股价对应公司2025年PE为11倍；关注高分红标的滔搏。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][32][34] Core Views - The company reported a 7.1% year-on-year revenue growth to 6.84 billion RMB and a 21.5% increase in net profit to 910 million RMB for the first half of 2025, driven by improved profitability in ongoing operations and reduced losses from the divestment of KP [1][9] - The main brand showed steady growth with a 4.5% increase in revenue to 6.05 billion RMB, while the professional sports brands (Saucony and Merrell) experienced a significant 32.5% revenue growth to 790 million RMB [2][22] - The company is focusing on Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) strategies, planning to open 100-200 DTC stores in 2025 and a total of 300-400 by 2026, with a capital expenditure of approximately 400 million RMB [3][31] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 6.84 billion RMB, with a net profit of 910 million RMB, reflecting a 22% increase in net profit [1][9] - The gross margin remained stable, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][14] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.18 HKD per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 50% [1][16] Brand Performance - The main brand's revenue grew by 4.5% to 6.05 billion RMB, with e-commerce channel revenue increasing by double digits [2][21] - The professional sports segment saw a revenue increase of 32.5% to 790 million RMB, with a significant improvement in operating profit margin [2][22] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing channel management and implementing a DTC strategy to adapt to market changes, which may have a short-term impact on revenue and profit margins but is expected to benefit long-term growth [3][31] - The focus on the running category is anticipated to drive steady growth for the main brand, while professional sports brands are expected to maintain rapid growth and improve profitability [32][34] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion RMB, 1.49 billion RMB, and 1.6 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% [32][33] - The reasonable valuation range is set at 6.1 to 6.6 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11-12x for 2025 [32][34]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has set a new target price of HKD 7.1 for Xtep International (01368), up from HKD 7, based on a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 13 times for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to attractive risk-reward dynamics [1] Financial Performance - Xtep International's net profit for the first half of the year exceeded Goldman Sachs' forecast by 12%, driven by higher-than-expected other income and revenue, while core business revenue met expectations [1] - The company has reiterated its guidance, expecting a net profit growth of over 10% year-on-year for 2025, supported by positive sales growth and a cautiously optimistic outlook for the consumer environment in the second half of 2025 [1] Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs remains encouraged by the robust growth in Xtep's core business, particularly in the running market, despite uncertainties related to non-functional products and the macroeconomic environment [1] - The firm holds a constructive view on the long-term sales and profitability of the Saucony brand [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Following the better-than-expected net profit in the first half of the year, Goldman Sachs has slightly adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 0% to 1.5%, reflecting minor downward adjustments in sales forecasts for the Xtep brand due to macroeconomic factors and direct sales transformation [1] - Increased sales and management expenses for both brands in the second half of the year are expected to be offset by higher-than-expected other income and revenue [1]

高盛发布研报称，对特步国际(01368)的新目标价为7.1港元(此前为7港元)，基于2025年预测市盈率13 倍。鉴于高盛认为风险回报仍具吸引力，维持对公司的"买入"评级。该行预测特步国际2025年报表净利 润同比增长14%，2025年预估市盈率为11倍。 特步国际今年上半年净利润超出该行预测12%，主要得益于其他收入及收益高于预期，而核心业务收入 符合预期，毛利率、经常性营运利润率略高于高盛预测。特步国际重申指引，因基于正向销售增长，预 计2025年报表净利润同比增长超过10%，对2025年下半年消费环境持谨慎乐观态度。 该行表示，特步国际今年上半年的净利润超出预期后，将2025至2027年净利润预测微调0%至1.5%，主 要反映特步品牌销售预测因宏观及直营转型略有下调、两品牌下半年销售及管理费用投资增加等，这些 被高于预期的其他收入及收益所抵消。 该行表示，听取了特步国际的财报简报后，维持对其观点不变，对于特步核心业务，对跑步市场的稳健 增长感到鼓舞，尽管非功能性产品及宏观环境仍存在不确定性。对于Saucony品牌，高盛对其长期销 售、盈利能力保持建设性看法。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][8] Core Views - The company's mid-year performance showed robust revenue growth, with a 21.5% increase in profit, slightly exceeding market expectations due to effective management cost control and increased government subsidies [7] - The overall gross margin saw a slight decline, but long-term prospects for improvement are anticipated as the company continues to expand its children's business and enhance the income share from the Saucony brand [7] - The Saucony brand demonstrated strong growth, with a projected doubling of revenue over the next three years, supported by the opening of new stores and a focus on high-end running products [7] - The company is expected to strengthen its outdoor brand, Merrell, in response to the growing outdoor industry, which could become a potential growth driver in the medium term [7] Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.49, 0.56, and 0.63 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 8.54 HKD based on a 16x PE valuation for 2025 [2][8] - Revenue projections for the years 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 14,346 million RMB (2023), 13,577 million RMB (2024), 14,452 million RMB (2025), 15,795 million RMB (2026), and 17,244 million RMB (2027), reflecting a compound annual growth rate [2][12] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 1,030 million RMB in 2023 to 1,745 million RMB in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 11.8% (2023), 20.2% (2024), 10.6% (2025), 13.7% (2026), and 12.0% (2027) [2][12]

高盛发表报告指出，特步国际上半年净利润超出该行预测12%，主要得益于其他收入及收益高于预期， 而核心业务收入符合预期，毛利率、经常性营运利润率略高于高盛预测。公司重申指引，因基于正向销 售增长，预计2025年报表净利润按年增长超过10%，对2025年下半年消费环境持谨慎乐观态度。 该行表示，听取了特步国际的财报简报后，维持对其观点不变。对于特步核心业务，对跑步市场的稳健 增长感到鼓舞。对于Saucony品牌，对其长期销售、盈利能力保持建设性看法。该行将其目标价从7港元 微升至7.1港元，基于2025年预测市盈率13倍，鉴于风险回报仍具吸引力，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong sportswear stocks experienced an afternoon rally on August 19, with Xtep International (01368.HK) rising over 3% after its earnings report [1] - Li Ning (02331.HK) saw an increase of over 2% [1] - Other stocks such as Anta Sports (02020.HK) and Tmall (06110.HK) also followed the upward trend [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.84 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 21.5% to 910 million RMB [5] - The main brand and the subsidiary brand, Saucony, are experiencing synergistic growth, with a continued focus on the running segment [11] - The company has successfully divested its KP business, which had previously incurred losses, leading to a more favorable profit outlook [5] Financial Performance - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the first half of 2025 was 0.35 RMB, with a proposed cash dividend of 0.18 HKD per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 50% [5] - Gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 45.0%, while operating profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 19.1% [6] - The retail revenue for the main brand and Saucony grew in the mid-single digits and over 30% respectively [6] Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, the revenue composition was 60.8% from footwear, 37.3% from apparel, and 1.9% from accessories, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 6.3%, 9.5%, and a decline of 7.8% [7] - The main brand's revenue accounted for 88.5% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, while professional sports revenue (Saucony and Maile) accounted for 11.5% with a growth of 32.5% [7] Retail and Market Strategy - The company continues to strengthen its position in the running market, with the main brand maintaining the highest wearing rate in key marathon events [11] - The company has launched new products and expanded its retail presence, with a focus on enhancing consumer experience and increasing the number of retail outlets [11] Future Earnings Forecast - The report maintains earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027, projecting EPS of 0.49 RMB, 0.55 RMB, and 0.60 RMB respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 times [12][13]