港股8月开局不利，三大指数继续承压走低，尾盘跌幅有所扩大。截止收盘，恒生指数跌1.07%或265.52 点，报24507.81点，大市交投缩减，全日成交额为2546.74亿港元；恒生国企指数跌0.88%，报8804.42 点；恒生科技指数跌1.02%，报5397.4点。全周来看，恒指累跌3.47%，国指累跌3.78%，恒科指累跌 4.94%。 东吴证券指出，往后看，市场担心海外风险上行。一是，美元资产继续上涨，或会导致全球资金减少对 中国资产的关注；二是，对等关税截止日临近，市场预期关税博弈更偏向税率"缓"+"降"。交银国际认 为，港股市场当前流动性状态仍较为充裕，估值水平保持合理，适度的市场拥挤度也为投资者提供了较 为理想的配置窗口。 蓝筹股表现 5.71港元。 1.个别快递股逆市走高。截至收盘，中通快递-W(02057)涨7.44%，报163.2港元；极兔速递-W(01519)涨 2.52%，报10.58港元。 7月29日，国家邮政局召开快递企业座谈会，就依法依规治理行业"内卷式"竞争，强化农村地区领取快 件违规收费等突出问题整治，促进行业高质量发展进行座谈交流。据现代物流报，7月17日义乌邮管局 已率先 ...

Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry is expected to see price stabilization and potential recovery in performance due to government policies against "involution" and recent mergers and acquisitions [1][4]. Short-term Price Stabilization - The express delivery industry has maintained a double-digit growth rate in volume since 2025, with an expected growth rate of 15% for the year. However, due to intense price competition among leading companies, the performance of franchise express companies has declined in Q1 2025, and this trend may continue into Q2 2025 [2][3]. Policy Background and Price Recovery - Under the guidance of local postal authorities, express delivery prices in certain grain-producing areas have shown signs of stabilization. As the off-peak season ends and the peak season begins in September, a broader price recovery is anticipated, which may alleviate the pressure on franchise operators and improve overall industry sentiment. A price increase of 0.1 yuan is estimated to increase net profit per share by 0.0375 yuan for listed companies [3][4]. Long-term Competitive Ecology Optimization - On July 25, Shentong announced a cash acquisition of 100% of Daniao Logistics for 362 million yuan. This move aims to create a dual business matrix of "economical express + quality express," optimizing product structure and capturing new market opportunities. The State Post Bureau has been encouraging mergers and acquisitions in the express delivery sector, which is expected to lead to a healthier industry structure and improved competitive ecology, presenting investment opportunities [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - Despite significant operational pressure in the express delivery sector in H1 2025, the potential for performance recovery in the short term and competitive ecology optimization in the long term suggests that express companies may see improved results. Recommendations include Jitu Express, Shentong, YTO Express, Zhongtong, and Yunda Express due to their respective growth prospects and market positions [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of brokerage "gold stocks" in July, with all 30 brokerage gold stock combinations showing positive returns, indicating a robust recovery in the A-share market [2][9]. Brokerage Performance - Ping An Securities' gold stock combination achieved the highest return of 16.57% in July, followed by Kaiyuan Securities at 13.57% and Caitong Securities at 12.93% [3][9][10]. - Notably, all brokerage gold stock combinations recorded positive returns, with several brokerages, including China Merchants Securities and Galaxy Securities, also exceeding 10% returns [9][10]. Top Performing Stocks - The best-performing stock was Kangchen Pharmaceutical, recommended by Ping An Securities, which surged by 106.74% in July [4][6]. - Other notable stocks included Borui Pharmaceutical (82.05%), Kangfang Biotech (68.13%), and Yuandong Biotech (56.60%), all showing significant monthly gains [6][7]. August Strategy - Brokerages are adopting an aggressive strategy for August, focusing on technology growth stocks and cyclical stocks benefiting from mid-year performance reports [12][15]. - The market outlook is optimistic, driven by expectations of recovering corporate ROE and a favorable policy environment, suggesting a continued upward trend in A-shares [15]. Common Recommendations - Several stocks received multiple recommendations from brokerages for August, including Dongfang Caifu, Muyuan Foods, and Wanhua Chemical, each recommended by four different brokerages [16][19]. - The rationale for recommending Dongfang Caifu includes the potential for the securities sector to enter a main upward trend, while Muyuan Foods is recognized for its leading position in the pig farming industry [16][19].

港股物流板块走强，中通快递(02057.HK)涨超7%，极兔速递(01519.HK)涨超5%，圆通速递国际 (06123.HK)、顺丰控股(06936.HK)等跟涨。 ...

8月1日，极兔速递-W(01519)盘中上涨5.04%，截至09:36，报10.84元/股，成交5830.12万元。 极兔速递环球有限公司是一家全球综合物流服务运营商，在中国和东南亚等全球最大及增长最快的电商 市场占据领先地位，业务覆盖13个国家。公司运营238个大型转运中心、19100个网点，拥有40万名服务 人员，并与7200个网络合作伙伴合作，致力于提供高效、智能的全球物流解决方案。 截至2024年年报，极兔速递-W营业总收入737.47亿元、净利润7.23亿元。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jitu Express-W (01519) experienced a decline of 2.01% in stock price, trading at 10.7 HKD per share with a transaction volume of 393 million HKD as of 10:54 AM on July 30 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Jitu Express Global Limited is a comprehensive global logistics service operator, holding a leading position in the largest and fastest-growing e-commerce markets in China and Southeast Asia, with operations in 13 countries [1] - The company operates 238 large transfer centers and 19,100 service points, employing 400,000 service personnel and collaborating with 7,200 network partners to provide efficient and intelligent global logistics solutions [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of the 2024 annual report, Jitu Express-W reported total operating revenue of 73.747 billion CNY and a net profit of 722.3 million CNY [2]

Core Points - The China Securities Index AH Economic Growth Index has shown significant growth, with a 7.97% increase over the past month, 10.26% over the last three months, and a year-to-date increase of 13.34% [1] - The index comprises financially sound leading companies from both mainland and Hong Kong markets, reflecting the performance of companies benefiting from changes in the national economic structure [1] - The index's top ten holdings include Tencent Holdings (9.46%), Alibaba-W (9.43%), Meituan-W (3.83%), Yum China (3.37%), Jiangsu Bank (3.03%), Jitu Express-W (2.96%), Muyuan Foods (2.56%), Dekang Agriculture (2.43%), Wens Foodstuff Group (2.3%), and China Telecom (1.84%) [1] Market Composition - The index's market composition shows that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange accounts for 52.86%, the Shanghai Stock Exchange for 30.81%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 16.33%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange for 0.00% [1] - In terms of industry representation, the index has 20.08% in industrials, 19.84% in consumer discretionary, 15.61% in communication services, 11.42% in information technology, 9.15% in consumer staples, 8.30% in financials, 6.14% in materials, 4.91% in healthcare, 1.69% in utilities, 1.68% in energy, and 1.18% in real estate [2] Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the sample changes, and in special circumstances, temporary adjustments may be made [2]

Core Viewpoint - As of July 18, 160 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performances from China New Economy Investment (00080), Aoyuan Group Equity (02905), and Zhong An Holdings Group (08462) showing high growth rates of 288.89%, 55.28%, and 50.00% respectively [1][2]. Summary by Category 52-Week High Performers - China New Economy Investment (00080) closed at 0.440, with a peak price of 0.700, achieving a growth rate of 288.89% [2]. - Aoyuan Group Equity (02905) closed at 0.218, with a peak price of 0.250, achieving a growth rate of 55.28% [2]. - Zhong An Holdings Group (08462) closed at 0.221, with a peak price of 0.228, achieving a growth rate of 50.00% [2]. - Other notable performers include Hualian International (00969) with a growth rate of 40.13% and Zhongke Bio (01237) with a growth rate of 37.25% [2]. Additional High Performers - Wanma Holdings (06928) closed at 0.550 with a growth rate of 30.43% [2]. - Lepu Biopharma-B (02157) closed at 7.940 with a growth rate of 24.54% [2]. - Other stocks with significant growth include ZhiJianYueDong (06860) at 17.14% and China Jindian Group (08281) at 17.12% [2]. 52-Week Low Performers - The document also lists stocks that reached their 52-week lows, with XI Ernan CO-U (09311) showing a decline of 16.10% [6]. - Other notable declines include XI Ernan CO (07311) at -12.62% and Haotian International Construction Investment (01341) at -5.70% [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Southeast Asia's e-commerce demand is driving significant growth for the company, with a notable increase in business volume and effective pricing strategies [1][2] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a business volume of 1.69 billion parcels in Southeast Asia, representing a year-on-year growth of 65.9%, up from 50.0% in Q1 2025 [1] - The company is expected to maintain its aggressive pricing strategy to capture more market share, despite a significant drop in revenue per parcel in H2 2024 [1] Group 2 - The company is continuously investing in cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with a significant increase in the number of operational vehicles and automated sorting equipment across its markets [2] - In Southeast Asia, the company operates 5,400 line-haul vehicles, an increase of 1,600 vehicles year-on-year, and has invested in 57 sets of automated sorting equipment [2] - The growth in e-commerce and the rise of social commerce in China present opportunities for the company to diversify its customer base and expand its market presence [2] Group 3 - The rapid growth in business volume is expected to enhance the company's economies of scale and improve profitability, with projected revenues of $11.85 billion, $13.38 billion, and $14.99 billion for 2025-2027 [3] - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit, with projections of $368 million, $611 million, and $897 million for the same period, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 266%, 66%, and 47% respectively [3] - The target price for the company's stock is set at HKD 15.2, based on a 30x PE for Southeast Asia operations and a 10x PE for China operations [3]

Group 1: Company Performance and Strategy - The report highlights that Guoquan (锅圈) is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 180-210 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 111%-146% compared to 85.5 million yuan in H1 2024 [4] - The core operating profit for Guoquan is projected to be around 180-210 million yuan, up approximately 44%-68% from 125 million yuan in the same period last year, driven by revenue growth and operational efficiency improvements [4] - Guoquan continues to implement its community central kitchen strategy, expanding its instant retail store network and enhancing store operational efficiency through a multi-channel approach [4] Group 2: Market Trends and Competitive Landscape - Jitu Express (极兔速递) has seen a significant increase in business volume, achieving 1.69 billion parcels in Q2 2025, a year-on-year growth of 65.9%, benefiting from the e-commerce demand in Southeast Asia and effective pricing strategies [8][9] - The company is expected to maintain its aggressive pricing strategy to capture more market share, with a projected revenue growth of 16% to 149.94 billion yuan by 2027 [11] - The report indicates that the demand for AI chips in China is anticipated to reach approximately 50 billion USD in the next two to three years, with Nvidia's H20 chip resuming supply in China potentially boosting its market presence [14][18] Group 3: Collaborations and Partnerships - Shengqu Games (盛趣游戏) has entered into a deep cooperation agreement with Tianqiong Interactive to explore the multi-dimensional value of the "Legend" IP, which is expected to enhance the ecosystem of these classic IPs in the mobile and film sectors [22] - The partnership allows Tianqiong Interactive exclusive rights to various derivative products related to the "Legend" and "Legend World" games, while Shengqu Games will focus on developing official products to improve user experience [22] Group 4: Policy and Urban Development Insights - The report discusses the central urban work conference held in July 2025, emphasizing the need for cities to transition from large-scale expansion to improving existing urban quality, aligning with the "People's City" concept [24][25] - It outlines the importance of innovation, livability, environmental sustainability, resilience, and cultural preservation in building "good cities" that meet the aspirations of the people [25][29][30]