Core Insights - The growth rate of private banking clients in major state-owned banks has outpaced the market, with a total of 864,000 clients reported by four major banks in the first half of 2025, reflecting an increase of approximately 83,400 clients or 11% since the beginning of the year [1][2] Group 1: Client Growth Data - Agricultural Bank of China reported 279,000 private banking clients with managed assets of 3.5 trillion yuan as of June 2025 [1] - Bank of China had 216,900 private banking clients and financial assets of 3.4 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025 [1] - China Construction Bank reported 265,500 private banking clients with financial assets of 3.18 trillion yuan [2] - Bank of Communications reached a milestone with 102,600 private banking clients, marking the first time it surpassed the 100,000 client threshold [2] Group 2: Comparative Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the increase in private banking clients for the four major banks was as follows: Agricultural Bank (+23,000), Bank of China (+18,000), China Construction Bank (+34,000), and Bank of Communications (+8,400) [5] - The total number of private banking clients for the four major banks reached 864,000, with all traditional "Big Five" banks surpassing the 100,000 client mark [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China did not disclose specific private banking client data in its report but emphasized its focus on serving entrepreneurs and scientists, indicating a strategic shift in targeting high-net-worth individuals [3] - Postal Savings Bank has been increasing its focus on private banking, reporting a significant growth in its high-net-worth client base, with 41,400 clients having assets over 6 million yuan, a 21.28% increase from the previous year [5]

Core Viewpoint - The retail credit market is experiencing a significant divergence between traditional credit card business contraction and the expansion of personal loans, driven by consumer demand and policy support [2][11]. Credit Card Business - The total number of credit cards and credit card loans has declined for 11 consecutive quarters, with a reduction of 12 million cards compared to the end of last year [2]. - Among 15 listed banks, 11 reported a decrease in credit card loan balances compared to the end of last year, highlighting a pronounced industry-wide contraction [3]. - The most significant decline in credit card loan balances was observed at Bank of China, with a drop of 13.89%, followed by Postal Savings Bank at 5.67% [4]. - Credit card transaction volumes have also decreased, leading to a decline in non-interest income, with some banks reporting drops exceeding 15% [2][6]. Personal Loans - In contrast to the credit card sector, personal loans, particularly consumer loans, have seen robust growth, with several banks reporting increases exceeding 10% [11]. - Among state-owned banks, personal loans and consumer loans have both shown positive growth, with Agricultural Bank leading at 5.60% [12]. - The consumer loan segment has become a key growth driver for banks, with many institutions launching tailored products to stimulate demand [2][11]. Asset Quality - The asset quality of retail credit is under pressure, with rising non-performing loan (NPL) ratios for personal loans and credit cards across many banks [16]. - State-owned banks generally exhibit higher NPL ratios, with notable increases in personal loan NPLs for several institutions [17]. - Credit card NPL ratios have also risen, particularly at Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which reported a rate of 3.75% [18][20]. Market Dynamics - The decline in credit card usage reflects a broader shift in consumer spending patterns, with an increase in smaller, more frequent transactions [6][8]. - The overall market for credit cards is facing significant challenges, with many banks reporting double-digit declines in credit card income [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy aims to reduce borrowing costs for consumers, stimulate consumption, and support economic growth through a collaboration between fiscal and financial mechanisms [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy was officially implemented on September 1, with participation from six major state-owned banks, twelve national joint-stock commercial banks, and five larger consumer finance companies [1]. - Many banks have completed preparations to ensure consumers can benefit from the new subsidy policy promptly [1][2]. Group 2: Loan Details and Subsidy Structure - The subsidy covers two types of consumption scenarios: daily consumption loans under 50,000 yuan and key area consumption loans of 50,000 yuan or more, including categories like home appliances, education, and healthcare [2]. - The subsidy standard is set at an annual interest rate reduction of 1 percentage point, with a maximum subsidy of 1,000 yuan for loans under 50,000 yuan and 3,000 yuan for loans above that amount [2][3]. Group 3: Application Process - Consumers can apply for the subsidy through regular loan processes, with banks automatically deducting the subsidy from the interest owed once eligibility is confirmed [3]. - If consumers believe they qualify for the subsidy but do not see it reflected, they can appeal at bank branches with supporting documents [3][4]. Group 4: Compliance and Risk Management - The subsidy is only applicable to the portion of loans that are actually used for consumption, and any misuse of funds for investment or real estate will result in penalties [4][6]. - Banks are advised to implement strict risk controls and compliance measures to ensure that funds are used appropriately and to prevent fraudulent activities [6]. Group 5: Impact on Banking Sector - The subsidy policy is expected to positively impact banks' consumer credit business, encouraging them to enhance service quality and operational efficiency [5][7]. - Banks are focusing on simplifying the subsidy process and improving customer experience to better align with consumer needs and government policy objectives [7].

Core Viewpoint - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) has shown significant growth in corporate loans, indicating a strategic shift towards corporate finance that aligns with industry trends [1][2]. Group 1: Corporate Loan Growth - As of June 2025, PSBC's corporate loans increased by 541.098 billion yuan, a growth of 14.83%, with a year-on-year increase of 222.924 billion yuan [1]. - The proportion of corporate loans in the total credit volume rose from 62% at the end of 2021 to 67% in the first half of this year, with corporate credit accounting for 75% of new credit in June [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - PSBC has implemented a "1+N" operational and service system focused on customer-centricity, aiming to cultivate loyal and high-return corporate clients [2]. - The bank has seen a 62% increase in its main bank clients in the first half of the year, with these clients contributing 1.93 times the revenue and 1.33 times the risk-adjusted return on capital compared to general corporate clients [2]. Group 3: Operational Efficiency and Performance - PSBC has established an integrated service system that enhances operational efficiency by breaking down barriers between departments and optimizing traditional workflows [2]. - The total assets of corporate loans exceeded 4 trillion yuan, and the financing volume for corporate clients surpassed 6.4 trillion yuan, maintaining double-digit growth for three consecutive years [3]. - The new loan yield for PSBC's corporate loans is consistently about 30 basis points higher than the industry average, while the interest rate on liabilities is 20 basis points lower than peers, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.49%, down 5 basis points from the end of last year [3].

Core Viewpoint - The six major state-owned banks in China reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, with increased credit issuance, rising operating income, and improved asset quality, as indicated by a collective decrease in non-performing loan ratios [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The six major banks achieved a total operating income exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 682.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, averaging over 3.7 billion yuan in net profit per day [2]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) led with an operating income of 427.1 billion yuan, followed by China Construction Bank (CCB) and Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) with 394.3 billion yuan and 369.9 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - In terms of net profit, ICBC reported 168.1 billion yuan, CCB followed with 162.1 billion yuan, while ABC, Bank of China (BOC), Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC), and Bank of Communications (BoCom) reported net profits of 139.5 billion yuan, 117.6 billion yuan, 49.2 billion yuan, and 46.0 billion yuan, respectively [2]. Group 2: Asset Quality - The asset quality of the six banks remained stable, with a collective decrease in non-performing loan ratios and a high provision coverage ratio, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [4]. - PSBC reported the lowest non-performing loan ratio at 0.92% among the six banks [4]. Group 3: Asset Scale - All six banks experienced steady growth in total assets, with ICBC's total assets surpassing 52 trillion yuan, reaching 52.32 trillion yuan, maintaining its leading position in the industry [3]. Group 4: Net Interest Margin - The banks faced pressure on net interest margins due to factors such as the reduction in loan market quotation rates (LPR) and changes in deposit structures, leading to a general contraction in interest income [5]. - Management from various banks indicated efforts to stabilize interest income through adapting to interest rate changes and diversifying non-interest income sources, with expectations for marginal stabilization in net interest margins in the second half of the year [5][6].

Core Insights - Mobile banking has evolved from a simple financial tool to a comprehensive service platform, emphasizing banks' overall service capabilities [1][3] - The competition for customer acquisition on mobile platforms is intensifying, with major state-owned banks leading in personal mobile banking user numbers [1][2] Group 1: Personal Mobile Banking Performance - As of June 2023, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) leads with 600 million personal mobile banking users, followed by Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) with 586 million, and China Construction Bank (CCB) with 432 million [1] - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) has 386 million personal mobile banking customers, while Bank of China (BOC) has over 302 million signed customers [1] - Among joint-stock banks, Ping An Bank's mobile app has 17.8 million registered users, a 2% increase from the end of 2022 [1] Group 2: Corporate Mobile Banking Development - Corporate mobile banking is focusing on enhancing payment, cross-border finance, and foreign exchange services, with ICBC reporting 17.87 million corporate mobile banking clients and 7.59 million monthly active users [2] - Agricultural Bank of China's corporate mobile banking registered clients increased by 960,000 to 9.7 million [2] - BOC is promoting a multi-version service system for corporate mobile banking, enhancing features for cross-border finance [2] Group 3: Digital Transformation and Ecosystem Development - The trend in mobile banking development is characterized by "dual-core driving and ecological integration," with personal banking focusing on user scale and experience, while corporate banking emphasizes specialized services [3] - Banks are deepening AI applications and exploring various mobile banking scenarios to enhance online service quality [4] - The adaptation to the HarmonyOS system is becoming standard, with banks like PSBC and CCB launching features that improve user experience and operational efficiency [4][5] Group 4: User Experience and Future Directions - Banks are encouraged to build sustainable user experience management systems and enhance customer experience through AI-driven solutions [6] - The focus is on creating personalized financial solutions and improving service delivery through advanced technology [6]

Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) has shown remarkable growth in corporate banking, with a 14.83% increase in corporate loans and over 41.62% growth in corporate intermediary income in the first half of 2025, outperforming other major state-owned banks [1][3] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio for corporate loans stands at 0.49%, significantly lower than the industry average of 0.91% [1][5] - PSBC's total assets exceeded 18 trillion yuan, indicating a robust expansion strategy aimed at becoming a leading large retail bank [1][3] Corporate Banking Performance - As of June 2025, PSBC's corporate loans increased by 541.1 billion yuan, reaching a total of 4.19 trillion yuan, ranking sixth among domestic commercial banks [3][4] - The bank's corporate deposits grew by 229.6 billion yuan, with a 13.86% increase, totaling 1.89 trillion yuan [3][4] - Compared to other major banks, PSBC's corporate loan growth exceeded the average growth of 8.32% by 6.51 percentage points [3][4] Growth Metrics - PSBC's corporate customer financing total (FPA) reached 6.43 trillion yuan, reflecting a 15.72% increase from the beginning of the year, with a 65% growth over three years [4][5] - The bank's corporate loan and deposit net increases, as well as corporate intermediary income, have all more than doubled over the past three years [4][5] Strategic Focus - The bank's corporate banking strategy emphasizes a balanced business structure, with corporate finance being a key driver for achieving this balance [1][12] - PSBC's management has identified four strategic keywords for its corporate banking approach: integration, high efficiency, differentiation, and finance+ [8][9][10] Market Positioning - PSBC has strategically focused on underserved markets, targeting sectors such as technology finance and green finance, with significant loan balances in these areas [5][10] - The bank's corporate loan yield remains approximately 30 basis points higher than comparable peers, while its cost of liabilities is about 20 basis points lower [5][6] Future Growth Potential - The bank acknowledges a 20 percentage point gap in corporate income contribution compared to peers, indicating substantial growth potential [13] - PSBC is actively pursuing the establishment of a financial asset investment company (AIC) to enhance its comprehensive service capabilities in corporate finance [14] Digital Transformation - The bank is leveraging AI and big data to enhance its corporate banking operations, achieving a 261% year-on-year increase in approved amounts through advanced credit assessment technologies [14] - The implementation of a smart investment banking ecosystem has significantly reduced transaction times, showcasing the bank's commitment to digital innovation [14]

Core Viewpoint - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) has demonstrated remarkable growth in its corporate banking sector, achieving a company loan growth of 14.83% and a corporate intermediary income growth of over 41.62% in the first half of 2025, significantly outperforming other major state-owned banks [1][2]. Group 1: Corporate Banking Performance - PSBC's corporate loans increased by 5410.98 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reaching a total of 4.19 trillion yuan, ranking sixth among domestic commercial banks [2]. - The bank's corporate deposit growth was also notable, with an increase of 2296.23 billion yuan, marking a 13.86% rise to 1.89 trillion yuan [2]. - The bank's corporate loan non-performing ratio stands at 0.49%, which is 0.91 percentage points lower than the average of other state-owned banks [1][5]. Group 2: Growth Trajectory - Over the past five years, PSBC's corporate loans have grown by 115%, surpassing 4 trillion yuan, while corporate intermediary income has increased more than sixfold from 2020 to 2024 [1][3]. - The total financing amount for corporate clients reached 6.43 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, reflecting a growth of 15.72% year-to-date [3]. - The bank's corporate customer base has expanded significantly, with a 65% increase over three years [3]. Group 3: Strategic Focus - PSBC has strategically targeted key national sectors, providing services to over 100,000 technology enterprises and achieving a technology loan balance exceeding 930 billion yuan [4]. - The bank's green finance loans reached 958.639 billion yuan, growing by 11.59% compared to the previous year, indicating a focus on sustainable finance [4]. - The proportion of loans to small and micro enterprises is among the highest among state-owned banks, with a balance of 1.72 trillion yuan [4]. Group 4: Revenue Composition - In the first half of 2025, PSBC's corporate loan interest income grew by 2.08%, while corporate intermediary income surged by 41.62%, with investment banking income increasing by 48% and transaction banking income by 34% [6]. - The contribution of corporate intermediary income has transformed from a weakness to a major revenue driver for the bank [6]. Group 5: Strategic Keywords - The bank's corporate strategy is encapsulated in four keywords: integration, high efficiency, differentiation, and finance+ [7][8][9]. - The integration strategy focuses on deepening relationships with key corporate clients and enhancing service offerings across various financial needs [7]. - High efficiency is achieved through streamlined processes and technology, improving customer response and approval times [8]. - Differentiation involves targeting niche markets with high potential but insufficient financial supply, while finance+ represents a shift towards providing comprehensive solutions that integrate financial services with industry needs [9]. Group 6: Future Growth Potential - PSBC's corporate banking sector is seen as a critical growth area, with management acknowledging a 20 percentage point gap in income contribution compared to peers, indicating significant growth potential [10]. - The establishment of a financial asset investment company (AIC) is expected to enhance the bank's service capabilities in the corporate sector [11][12]. - The integration of AI and big data into corporate banking operations is enhancing asset identification and operational efficiency, positioning PSBC for continued growth [12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Wanlian Securities has given Postal Savings Bank (601658.SH, latest price: 6.21 yuan) an "overweight" rating due to strong credit growth and a decrease in the provision coverage ratio [1][1][1] Group 2 - The report highlights that credit growth remains at a high level, indicating robust lending activity within the bank [1] - It notes a decline in the provision coverage ratio on a month-on-month basis, which may suggest changes in risk management practices [1] - The report emphasizes that the banking industry is significantly influenced by macroeconomic conditions, monetary policy, and regulatory policies, which can impact the bank's operations, including net interest margin and asset quality expectations [1][1][1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is maintained as "Add" [4] Core Views - The performance of Postal Savings Bank has shown a recovery with a 1H25 revenue growth of 1.5%, pre-provision profit growth of 14.9%, and net profit growth of 0.8%, all improving compared to 1Q25 [2] - The bank's net interest income decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to 1Q25. Net fee income increased by 11.6%, driven mainly by rapid growth in investment banking and wealth management [2] - Non-interest income grew by 25.2% year-on-year, primarily due to contributions from investment net income [2] - The adjustment of savings agency fee rates has led to a 5.2 percentage point decrease in business management fee rates [2] - Loan growth remains robust at 10.5% year-on-year, with total assets growing by 10.8% year-on-year [2] - The bank's core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.52%, up 1.31 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, supporting future asset deployment [2] - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.92% at the end of 1H25, with a provision coverage ratio of 260%, down 5.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 882.47 billion, 905.1 billion, and 933 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.04%, 2.56%, and 3.08% [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1H25 operating revenue was 354.86 billion, with a growth rate of 1.74% expected for 2025 [4] - Net profit for 2025 is projected at 88.25 billion, with a growth rate of 2.04% [4] - The bank's net interest income for 2025 is estimated at 290.03 billion, with a slight decrease in interest income [4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan generation rate increased slightly to 0.93%, with retail loan non-performing rates at 1.53% [3] - The bank's total loans are projected to reach 9,688.65 billion by the end of 2025 [4] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 0.71, 0.66, and 0.62 respectively [3][4]