Group 1 - International precious metals futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures rising by 1.48% and COMEX silver futures falling by 1.78% [1] - The non-ferrous sector benefits from the combination of "global monetary easing, rigid supply, and new demand," leading to increased interest in the "higher gold and copper content" Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652), which has attracted over 1.4 billion yuan in the last 20 trading days, bringing its total scale to over 6 billion yuan [1][4] Group 2 - A Danish pension fund plans to liquidate its U.S. Treasury holdings by the end of the month due to concerns over credit risk associated with U.S. policies, which has led to increased interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to see strong performance in 2025, with companies in the Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) projecting collective earnings growth, including a 120%-142% increase for Northern Rare Earth [4] Group 3 - The non-ferrous industry is expected to maintain high prosperity in 2026-2027 due to a combination of recovery cycles and supply constraints, with copper and aluminum prices anticipated to improve [5] - Global electrolytic copper supply is expected to remain limited in 2026, with demand driven by U.S. stockpiling and grid construction, potentially leading to a shift from surplus to shortage [6] Group 4 - Aluminum prices have been gradually increasing since the second half of 2025, with expectations of a supply growth rate of only 1.7% in 2026, resulting in a projected shortfall of over 800,000 tons [9] - Energy metals like lithium are expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics in 2026-2027, with prices likely to rise due to increased demand from energy storage batteries [12] Group 5 - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is positioned to benefit from a comprehensive layout across various metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, capitalizing on the super cycle of non-ferrous metals [13] - The ETF has a leading copper content of 34% and gold content of 12%, with a high concentration of top holdings at 38% [15] Group 6 - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has shown superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return leading its peers and a lower maximum drawdown, indicating a better investment experience [17] - The index's growth has been driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion, with a current P/E ratio of 26.27, down 52% from five years ago, suggesting a favorable valuation [18]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its stake in Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. by purchasing 3.4411 million shares at an average price of HKD 66.2865 per share, totaling approximately HKD 228 million [1] - Following the acquisition, JPMorgan's total holdings in Ganfeng Lithium rose to 31.5478 million shares, increasing its ownership percentage from 5.81% to 6.53% [1]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its stake in Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. by acquiring 3.4411 million shares at an average price of HKD 66.2865 per share, totaling approximately HKD 228 million [1] - Following the acquisition, JPMorgan's total holdings in Ganfeng Lithium rose to 31.5478 million shares, increasing its ownership percentage from 5.81% to 6.53% [1]

香港联交所最新资料显示，1月15日，摩根大通增持赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)344.1098万股，每股作 价66.2865港元，总金额约为2.28亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为3154.78万股，最新持股比例为 6.53%。 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley increased its stake in Ganfeng Lithium (01772) by 3,441,098 shares at a price of HKD 66.2865 per share, totaling approximately HKD 228 million [1] - After the increase, Morgan Stanley's total shareholding in Ganfeng Lithium is approximately 31,547,800 shares, representing a holding percentage of 6.53% [1]

港交所文件显示：摩根大通于1月15日在赣锋锂业(01772.HK)的多头头寸比例从5.81%增加至6.53%。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed resilience, with the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index recovering from previous declines, closing up by 0.37% and 1.11% respectively [1][2] - The overall market remained stable despite a significant drop in US stocks overnight [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks saw gains, with notable increases in shares of Hua Hong Semiconductor (up over 5%) and SenseTime (up over 4%) [4][5] - Semiconductor stocks were active, driven by positive sentiment in the AI-driven storage cycle, with companies like Zhaoyi Innovation reaching new highs [2][7] - Gold stocks surged, led by Chifeng Jilong Gold (up over 9%) and Lingbao Gold (up over 8%), as spot gold prices broke through $4,880 [6][8] Individual Stock Movements - The stock of Skyworth Group soared over 37% after announcing a distribution of shares in Skyworth Photovoltaic and plans for a mainboard listing [16] - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 13.93 billion, indicating strong investor interest [19] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the Hang Seng Index could challenge the 30,000 to 31,000 point range by 2026, as current valuations remain below historical averages [21]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric, Zhejiang Shibao, and Junda Co. leading in premium rates, while CATL, Hengrui Medicine, and China Merchants Bank are at the bottom of the list [1][2]. Premium Rate Rankings - Northeast Electric (00042) has a premium rate of 815.25%, followed by Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at 378.67% and Junda Co. (02865) at 342.63% [2]. - The lowest premium rates are recorded for CATL (03750) at -13.79%, Hengrui Medicine (01276) at -2.52%, and China Merchants Bank (03968) at -2.22% [1][2]. Deviation Values - Junda Co. (02865) has the highest deviation value at 104.89%, followed by Goldwind Technology (02208) at 23.62% and Guanghetong (00638) at 20.17% [1][2]. - The lowest deviation values are for Northeast Electric (00042) at -35.64%, Chenming Paper (01812) at -16.87%, and China Life (02628) at -15.34% [1][4]. Additional Insights - The report includes a detailed table of the top ten and bottom ten AH stocks based on premium rates and deviation values, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market situation [2][3][4].

Group 1: Market Trends - The cyclical sectors, including basic chemicals, petroleum and petrochemicals, and building materials, have seen significant gains, with increases exceeding 3% as of January 20 [1] - On January 21, cyclical sectors continued to rise, with non-ferrous metals up over 1%, and steel, automotive, petroleum and petrochemicals, and basic chemicals all recording positive performance [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission's deputy director indicated a commitment to implement policies to support reasonable price recovery, which may drive market sentiment [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Ten stocks in cyclical sectors are predicted to see net profit growth of tenfold by 2026, with the highest growth forecasted for Zhongzi Technology at over 51 times this year [2] - Tianyin Holdings is expected to achieve a net profit growth of over 42 times, benefiting from the AI replacement trend and national subsidies [2] - Delong Laser is projected to see a 36-fold increase in net profit, focusing on high-end industrial laser processing equipment [2] Group 3: Company Specifics - Ganfeng Lithium, with eight institutional ratings, is a leading lithium producer, planning to achieve an annual production capacity of no less than 600,000 tons of lithium products by 2030 [3] - Yujing Co., with six institutional ratings, specializes in processing equipment for hard materials and is expected to benefit from upgrades in the consumer electronics industry and expansion in the photovoltaic sector [3]

Group 1 - Rare metal concept stocks have strengthened, with Zhongmin Resources rising over 7%, and Salt Lake Co., Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium each increasing over 2% [1] - The rare metal ETF has also seen a rise of over 2% [1] Group 2 - The strategic small metal reserves are limited, extraction is difficult, and supply elasticity is insufficient, while downstream demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industry is growing rapidly, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts [2] - Under the ongoing scarcity of resources, upgrading demand structure, and policy regulation, rare metal prices are expected to continue an upward trend, benefiting companies with resource reserve advantages, technical barriers, and compliant export channels [2]